欧阳大叔

That's really good news.$United States Oil Fund LP(USO.US)

When quietly focused on trading, profits also increase rapidly. This month's profit reached 28%.

$United States Oil Fund LP(USO.US) Today, I bought another 261006 P 100 put options, hoping to achieve considerable returns.

$Pro Ultrshrt Silver(ZSL.US) Hold patiently.

The narrative rules are changing, $Intel(INTC.US) is highly likely to undergo a qualitative change in market capitalization.

There are always some people in this world who are extremely subjective and crazy.

When you use equally crazy behavior, abandoning self-cultivation, to deal with those crazy people and things, then you become them.

When you become them, that is a betrayal—a betrayal of education, a betrayal of the long-term demands you placed on yourself, a betrayal of your true heart.

To make time more valuable, you need to avoid these crazy and subjective people. Even saying a single "hello" or "goodbye" is a waste of time.

As I once said:

Time is long; for those who start striving now, you can still keep trying and making mistakes.

Time is short; not a second should be wasted. Even if you spend those seconds sleeping, at least you're using them for your own benefit.

【260430】I was so bored on the 28th (the day before yesterday) that I bought 6 lots, originally planning to make a 20% profit and leave. Unexpectedly, in the second half of that day, $Intel(INTC.US) narrowed its losses, causing me to miss the profit opportunity. I closed the position with a small loss of 180.

On the 29th (yesterday), news of a 20% price increase came out again, causing it to rise another 10%.

If it corrects, I might consider going long and holding for the long term.

$Intel(INTC.US) try my luck.

$United States Oil Fund LP(USO.US)$Us Brent Oil(BNO.US) seems to have an opportunity now.

The next step is to face the market volatility brought about by changes in inflation and interest rates.

$Intel(INTC.US) exceeded expectations. Attention! Dismissed.

【April 23, 2024, Beijing Time】$Tesla(TSLA.US) earnings report was released, exceeding expectations. However, this slight beat, coupled with intensifying competition, leaves no room for any geometric multiple growth expectations. Therefore, I believe it is beginning to enter a phase of business slowdown and decline.

Tesla, see you at 300!

After the market close on the 24th, Beijing Time, $Intel(INTC.US) earnings report will be released. It's impossible to predict the report, but two key points are crucial: If the 18A yield reaches 60-65%, and there is a concrete increase in stable orders, it will lead to a significant stock price surge. If the yield is 55-60%, that's considered normal. If there are no concrete orders, the stock price could fall. If the yield is less than or equal to 55%, the stock price will inevitably drop significantly. If there are no concrete orders, a conservative estimate is a 20% drop.

$Arm(ARM.US) hit a new all-time high closing price of 196.57. I don't mind shorting or going long before the earnings report. Intervene on the 5th. Personally, I'm bearish after the earnings. Because the current gains lack expectation support and are entirely due to the rally in the chip sector.

$NVIDIA(NVDA.US) might catch up to or break new highs before the earnings report, but it's not necessarily a rise after the report; a decline is more likely. Because the upside potential is compressed, unless it can be proven that the AI industry can bring high returns. At the same time, the hardware competition among major manufacturers is about to end. If there is no significant business increase for GPU users, investment in and refresh rates for hardware will inevitably slow down. If NVIDIA's performance declines or growth slows, it will become a nightmare for the entire AI sector.

$Tesla(TSLA.US) After hours today, Tesla's earnings report, what's your take?

I feel quite panicked.

$Intel(INTC.US) The earnings report will be revealed in just over ten hours (after market close on 4.23). What do you think the trend will be after the earnings?

$Direxion FTSE China Bear 3X(YANG.US) can enter the market in two more days. It will still rise to 30

Keep watching, wait for the right moment, go all in, and hold patiently for a 2-year 5x return.$Pro Ultrshrt Silver(ZSL.US)

I plan to set a stop loss for my short position on $Intel(INTC.US) between 60-65. Based on the current trend, even though the stock price has already priced in the better-than-expected earnings report, I really don't want to bet on a post-earnings drop; there are too many uncertainties.

The current trend suggests most capital believes this earnings report will be very good. In this scenario, after the earnings are announced, it would be a case of 'buy the rumor, sell the news,' leading to a drop. But there's also the possibility of another rise because as the yield rate of A18 stabilizes and gradually improves, it could lead to an even better next quarter.

If my current understanding is correct, and if the earnings report shows steadily improving yield rates, in the next quarter's report, it could potentially hit new highs again. Driven by expectations and burning sentiment, the market will inevitably price in the future expectation of turning losses into profits.

In any market, we lack the initiative in controlling the narrative, while capital has it.

I want to say 'sorry' to the bros who were affected by my short position in the past few days.

$Pro Ultrshrt Silver(ZSL.US)I'll start building my position gradually when it reaches around 18. 1. No margin, no full position. → 2. If it falls to 15, continue to add. → 3. Add leverage when an uptrend forms. 4 → Hold for a year.

The ceasefire is on, but the last few "little motorcycles" launched hit my $Intel(INTC.US). The only way is to trade time for space, using the account balance to tough out this wrong timing.

【260408】After the Iran-US ceasefire, Israel "continues to strike Iran"

According to Xinhua News Agency, citing a security official reported by The Times of Israel on the 8th, despite the announced ceasefire between the US and Iran, Israel "continues to strike Iran".

The situation is not optimistic, this is a temporary ceasefire, not an end.

The reason why US stocks and silver surged is because the Trump administration's evaluation of the plan was "a viable basis for negotiations," leaving huge room for imagination in the market.

The demands put forward by Iran are also very harsh, you can go search for them.

"Making an offer" means "willing to talk": Before the deadline set by Trump expires, Iran providing specific terms (even if very high) means both sides have entered a substantive game stage, rather than directly going to war.

Liquidity of the Strait of Hormuz: As long as Iran mentions "opening navigation" and "passage under supervision," the risk of a global energy supply chain break instantly drops by more than 50%. This is a huge positive for silver (industrial demand) and US stocks (energy costs).

Trump's flexible attitude: Trump called these plans viable, suggesting the US might make some degree of compromise on sanctions and strait rights in exchange for energy stability.

These two weeks are essentially "trading space for time." If the formal negotiations held in Islamabad on April 10th make no progress, or if the details about "collecting tolls" cause a strong backlash from the US, the current gains may be quickly given back next week.

Simply put: What's rising now is the expectation of "no war," whether it can continue to rise later depends on "whether the business deal can be struck."

$Nasdaq(NDAQ.US)

$Pro Shrt S&P 500(SH.US)

$Silver(IN00270.US)

$NVIDIA(NVDA.US) options order at 3.81 didn't get filled, missed out on a 20% gain.

$Intel(INTC.US) did a day trade to lower the cost a bit. That's it. Going to the beach to get some sun and chat with my foreign friends.

52 shorting $Intel(INTC.US), follow suit?

【260407】Trump's "4-Hour Destruction" Ultimatum

• Deadline: US President Donald Trump has once again made it clear that 20:00 Eastern Time on April 7 is the final deadline.

• Escalating Threat: Trump claimed at a White House press conference that if Iran does not reach an agreement (the core being the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz), the US military will launch a 4-hour intensive airstrike, destroying all infrastructure such as bridges and power stations within Iran. He even said, "Iran could be completely defeated overnight."

$United States Oil Fund LP(USO.US)$Us Brent Oil(BNO.US)

$Sandisk(SNDK.US)$Micron Tech(MU.US)$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)