财经俏佳人Shelly

A friend was interested in a small case study on quantitative research shared in shelly's article yesterday and privately messaged shelly, asking for a complete sharing. Actually, this is a very simple quantitative analysis. At that time, we studied the comparison of returns between extreme retail intuition strategies and buy-and-hold passive strategies. The retail intuition strategy means following yesterday's rise and selling after yesterday's drop, similar to the 'three-good student' among retail investors. The passive strategy is buy & hold. We used the Nasdaq 100 ETF as an example, and the results turned out as shown in the figure...

I've been busy with business trips recently. 😸 Last Friday, Berkshire submitted its 13F, disclosing the stock god's third-quarter portfolio adjustments, which were also his last. I've been consistently tracking Buffett's portfolio adjustments because, after all, managing large funds is primarily about value investing, and I don't adjust my portfolio frequently. Today, Shelly will share with you some of the most valuable points from this 13F for my operations. I'll focus on the key points—simplicity is key, and extracting the most valuable information from the noise is what matters most. $Alphabet - C(GOOG.US) Buffett bought $4.3 billion worth of Google...

Friends, long time no see. I've been very busy lately. I still want to set aside more time to share some trading strategies and experiences with everyone, after all, the process of sharing is also a process of improvement 😄. First, the news: The weak September non-farm payrolls further strengthened expectations for a rate cut in September, although the market had already anticipated this. The next Federal Reserve meeting will be held on September 16-17. The AI boom is ongoing, and the performance and stock prices of tech stocks theoretically should rise accordingly. However, the market is also quite wary of these overvalued tech giants, as we can see from the recent divergence in tech stocks...

Recently read a book called "Turtle Trading Rules". Many things mentioned in it resonated deeply with me, and I only truly understood them after gaining some stock trading experience. Let me share my favorite quote from the book: The difference between the strongest and the weakest lies in their personal psychological characteristics. I'll share more insights and practices from the book when I get the chance. 1. News 1. Tariffs. Last Thursday, Trump postponed the reciprocal tariffs originally scheduled to take effect on August 1 to August 7. This has become a routine move, leaving room for negotiation but also adding uncertainty once again. And according to his message on Truth Social...

Sharing the beautiful pink sunset in Shenzhen yesterday. 1. Market Overview: After a big bearish candle on Tuesday, the three major U.S. stock indices showed mixed performance. Before the market opened, the U.S. released several macroeconomic data points that beat expectations: July's ADP private employment data exceeded forecasts, indicating a robust labor market; Q2 consumer spending also surpassed expectations, boosting market confidence in a soft landing for the economy. In other words, the Fed's two key concerns—employment and inflation—are both within better-than-expected controllable ranges, making a September rate cut a logical next step. Pre-market, U.S. stocks saw a slight uptick on this news. Yesterday, the Nasdaq closed up 0.15%, while the Dow and S&P ended lower...

Weili Yitou Zhonger, sold one in the dark pool yesterday and another one today, making a small profit of 6000, no big deal. The important thing is, it's finally Friday, feeling great, let's eat something delicious to celebrate. That's right, it's my beloved foie gras sushi. 1. Market Overview. On the US stock market, Trump has already signed an executive order on artificial intelligence, the news came just a few days ago, so the implementation speed of this executive order is very fast, the future direction is quite obvious. In contrast, many other executive orders are progressing extremely slowly, long and smelly, hitting walls everywhere. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit new highs again, regardless of the Dow Jones, which fell back by 0.7 points...

It's raining heavily again in Shenzhen today, with overcast skies. McDonald's maple syrup egg burger is absolutely amazing. 1. Market Overview. US Stocks. Influenced by the US-Japan tariff agreement, agreements with other countries are also within reach. The three major indices collectively rose, and the bull market is unstoppable. After a general pullback in tech stocks on Tuesday, they immediately resumed their upward climb on Wednesday, reluctant to pull back further. Now, the Nasdaq and S&P have broken through, and the Dow is just a step away from breaking through, likely to happen tonight. With breakthroughs expected in EU-US trade negotiations, the 15% tariff framework is just around the corner, so US stocks remain bullish. Hong Kong Stocks. Also all red...

1. In terms of the U.S. stock market, the Dow and S&P 500 continue to climb, while the Nasdaq has seen a slight pullback. This is just a breather on the way forward after the concentrated gains earlier, paving the way for a longer journey. After the Nasdaq hit a new high on the 26th, I have increased my positions in U.S. stocks for the long term and will add more when the pullback stabilizes. As for the Hong Kong market, it opened higher across the board today. The Hang Seng Index broke through yesterday and continued to rise today, up 2.48%, with both price and volume increasing. Capital inflows from around the world suggest the rally won’t end immediately—new highs will follow new highs. The Hang Seng Tech Index is already up over 2.6%, and breaking previous highs is inevitable...

LintonBio, first the conclusion: The wind is here, and it's not just pigs, they're bound to soar!!!? Analysis below. 1. Sponsored by CITIC and Morgan Stanley, the big brother Ying'en also had this combo, resulting in nearly 100% gains in the gray market and on the first day. Little Ying'en will also ride the wave. (The only thing to note is that Morgan Stanley doesn't play tricks, so if you're betting on tricks, goodbye.) 2. Cornerstone investors account for 50%, meaning less anchoring, so selling pressure in the gray market and on the first day won't be too heavy. Plus, the cornerstone investors are all big names—follow them, and you won't go wrong. 3. The company's technology has core competitiveness...

Good Monday. The WIPHA typhoon has hit Shenzhen these days, and roadside trees have been blown down. Friends in Shenzhen and Hong Kong should be careful when going out. I stayed at home reading books over the weekend—truly, a book is a world of its own. I deeply analyzed The First Principles, which discusses learning mental models and deliberate practice. It was very enlightening. I also watched the premiere of The Photographer over the weekend, and it left me feeling quite heavy-hearted. We must strive for self-improvement!!! 1. On the news front over the weekend: 1. Trump signed the GENIUS Act, establishing a regulatory framework for stablecoins. The era of digital assets as everyday payment methods has begun. Supporting the development of stablecoins...

Yesterday, the House of Representatives passed Trump's "Genius Act" on cryptocurrencies, with only Trump's final signature needed. In the future, as regulatory frameworks become clearer, the stablecoin market will further expand, with significant potential. Additionally, the market capitalization of the stablecoin leader USDT has surpassed $160 billion, and the second-place Circle (issuer of USDC) rose 0.81% yesterday and nearly 20 points the day before. In short, stablecoins are a ticket to the future world. Have a great weekend...

On Wednesday, Comrade Trump conducted a panic test on the U.S. capital market, threatening to replace Powell. However, the results were: 1. Gold surged (safe-haven sentiment heated up) $Gold(IN00380.US) $Gold(20328.HK) 2. U.S. Treasury yields rose (expectations for future rate cuts increased, U.S. Treasury yields fell, and U.S. Treasuries suffered heavy selling) $Direxion 20+Yr Trsry Bull 3X(TMF.US) 3. U.S. stocks fell intraday (concerns about the Fed's independence...

Good morning, CRCL finally went up yesterday!!!!!!!!!! 19 points!!!!!!!! I previously bottom-fished CRCL at two positions. There are two good buying points: one is after a 7-day pullback (Fibonacci sequence, usually sufficient adjustment), and the other is the support level of the 20-day moving average...

First, let me share a quote from "The Algorithm of Life". Just some personal thoughts. Last night, the U.S. June CPI month-on-month increase fell short of expectations, marking the fifth consecutive month below market forecasts. This suggests that since the tariffs in April, the market's concerns about inflation might indeed be a bit of "unnecessary worry". This also plays right into Trump's hands, as he believes he has won again and immediately called on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 300 basis points on Truth Social!!! But...

First of all, this is a sad story. $IFBH(06603.HK) The coconut water stock rose 60 points in the dark pool. Because I thought it could still rise, I held onto it and didn't sell. On the first day, it surged up to 60% at the opening, but I was still greedy and didn't sell. The next day, it rose another 20 points, and I thought this was just the beginning. Then, then, it started to drop bit by bit every day, like a perfect descending staircase. Until yesterday! On Tuesday, the coconut water stock finally rebounded, rising 9 points. Although it dipped slightly today and hasn't turned green yet, a rebound takes time, and the momentum for a rebound is already there. Sometimes...

Previously, Shelly mentioned several major trends in U.S. stocks (including artificial intelligence, cryptocurrency, rare earth, and innovative drugs) and recommended related concept stocks. Many friends wanted to learn more about stablecoins, so today Shelly will discuss them. The background of stablecoins. Since May, driven by legislative progress in Hong Kong, the stablecoin sector has gained global momentum. In June, the U.S. Senate officially passed stablecoin legislation, establishing regulatory rules for cryptocurrencies pegged to the U.S. dollar, marking a milestone victory for the crypto community. On July 14, China Merchants International was approved for a virtual asset license...

Long time no see. Yesterday, I went to Hong Kong to meet clients and had afternoon tea at the Peninsula. The Peninsula is still as beautiful as ever. And the French toast at the cha chaan teng was really yummy! 1. News: Trump issued an ultimatum to the EU and Mexico, threatening to impose a 30% tariff. Trump's stance remains very high-handed, but the EU also has a backup plan, stating they are preparing a retaliatory tariff list. However, no matter what, both sides have not abandoned negotiations. Our focus remains on August 1st. If the agreement is reached, then everything will be fine, and the U.S. stock market will continue to rise. But if the talks collapse...

On Friday, the US stock market was closed for Independence Day, and Shelly had a great weekend. Mr. Joseph Tsai said: Learn as much as you can, experience as much as you can, travel as much as you can, and eat as much good food as you can, and life will be a little better. That's indeed true. There was some incremental information about US stocks over the weekend, and Shelly will share my analysis with everyone, hoping to provide some inspiration for your future operations. First, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq broke through again last Thursday. The overall US stock market still shows clear bullish sentiment, which once again proves the resilience of the US stock market. According to Shelly's analysis, the second half of 2025...

Today I was invited to play golf at a friend's golf course. It's been a while since I last played, so I was a bit rusty, but at least I managed to score an eagle—pretty lucky! The U.S. stock market is closed today, so shelly will briefly discuss recent macroeconomic news. There are three key points, all leading to the same conclusion: the U.S. stock market bull run remains intact. Details below: 1. The House finally passed the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. Trump's long-awaited tax cut bill has finally been implemented, expected to reduce taxes by $4 trillion and cut spending by $1.5 trillion over the next decade. This bill is a short-term positive for U.S. stocks...

Having claypot porridge today~ Summer is coming, and the US stock market is getting hotter. Talking about a few stocks that friends have been asking Shelly about recently. $Tesla(TSLA.US) Q1 global vehicle deliveries dropped significantly, marking two consecutive quarters of decline. This is no longer news, and the market's tolerance for TSLA is surprisingly high, resulting in a 5% rise. TSLA can't get much worse from here, so I won't touch my core holdings. Cathie Wood bought the dip in Tesla on Tuesday, aligning with my move—my trading position cost is around 298...

It's been raining every day in Shenzhen recently. My favorite thing is to stay at home and read on rainy days. I read a new book, and Shelly shared some thoughts. Actually, there are many more good books, and I'll share them with you gradually.~~~~"The truth of the world is that 99% of hardworking but cognitively limited people support 1% of those who reap without sowing." Ordinary people believe in the principle that hard work pays off, thinking diligence can lead to wealth and effort will eventually be rewarded. If this statement were true, then the most diligent workers in society should be the wealthiest, but the reality is that wealth never belongs to these people. The acquisition of wealth...

Orange🍊 Americano is the best drink! It tastes like summer~~ Hong Kong stocks are coming in clusters, it feels like institutions are doing it on purpose, not wanting to dial back. Both Jizhijia and Lens can be invested in, with Jizhijia's fundamentals being extremely strong. All in. $NASDAQ Composite Index(.IXIC.US) $Lens(300433.SZ) $Lens(06613.HK) $GEEKPLUS-W(02590.HK) $XIAOMI-W(01810.HK) Last night, HOOD surged again. Shelly reminded everyone to position and add HOOD at 4.27, and I also added a sports warehouse...

Good morning, reheated the pizza I made last night 🍕, yummy👍🏻 After hitting a new high on Friday, the US stock market achieved another glorious night, partly because Canada 🇨🇦 withdrew its digital services tax to advance trade negotiations with the US. But the most important reason is the stable interest rates and the upward trend in corporate earnings. The 'wall of worry' in the market is collapsing, and the trumpet of the US stock bull market has sounded. Following new highs for NVIDIA, Broadcom, Microsoft, Meta, Netflix, and HOOD, other tech stocks will also be pulled along by the locomotive, including Amazon, Google, Apple...