AllIn Call
AllIn Call
Oracle's 44% cloud growth confirms AI demand is broadening beyond hyperscalers. The $553B backlog is staggering
Oracle's 44% cloud growth confirms AI demand is broadening beyond hyperscalers. The $553B backlog is staggering
Mixed signals on $Coinbase(COIN.US) : Up 14% on stock trading launch but China Renaissance cut target to $223.20 . Monness maintains $120 PT with Sell rating citing stablecoin concerns and $3.8B ETF outflows . Meanwhile Sovran Advisors increased position 617% last quarter . Who's right?
10-year SGS at 2.7%, $GLD SG(GSD.SG) yield 5.8%. Spread 310bps vs historical avg 220bps. Still cheap relative to risk-free. 88% of leases locked beyond 2026. No need to refi at peak rates. GSD at $0.92, I'm accumulating. 📈
$Unitedhealth(UNH.US) used to be the classic defensive healthcare play, but rising medical utilization and cost pressure are making investors rethink valuation. Short term sentiment weak, but long-term bulls still watching for margin stabilisation.
Many people see $Oracle(ORCL.US) as a "low-key AI stock," but it's actually more like a beta version of the enterprise IT upgrade cycle. Recently, enterprises have begun to reinvest in data infrastructure, and the combination of Oracle database and AI has successfully captured the upgrade needs of existing customers—a different logic from pure cloud vendors!
Wah, Large Model Stocks Running Hot! 🚀
Another strong day for AI concept stocks — $KNOWLEDGE ATLAS.HK, $MINIMAX-WP.HK all up big. News flow? New models like GLM-5 and MiniMax M2.5 just dropped, and the industry is buzzing about a fresh wave of large model innovation.
AI is iterating fast and going live everywhere. Opportunities in the large model era? They’re already here.
So… anyone positioning in this space?
Feels like $Alibaba(BABA.US) narrative slowly shifting from old-school e-commerce to AI cloud story already. Recent results showed cloud growth driven by AI demand, but profits still pressured due to heavy investment
$Palantir Tech(PLTR.US) Software stocks like ORCL, MSFT, etc are going to rise further today. So, PLTR will follow suit
The Battle for the AI Gateway: Who Wins?This Lunar New Year, China's tech giants unleashed a new wave of AI application wars. Alibaba's "Spring Festival Treat" campaign, backed by ¥3B, offered deals across e-commerce and local services, logging 10 million free milk tea orders in 9 hours. Tencent doubled down on its WeChat ecosystem, investing ¥1B into its "Yuanbao" AI red packet feature to boost engagement.ByteDance played a different card. Its Dream platform launched Seedance 2.0, a new video AI model. A key breakthrough: it boosted the usable output rate for 15-second clips to over 90%, far above the ~20% industry average, slashing generation costs.Beyond subsidies, this battle tests real AI integration and ecosystem strength. The holiday season is a prime testing ground to shape user habits, collect data, and train models—all fighting to become users' first-choice "AI ask" portal.The stakes? It's not just about traffic. It's about defining the super-app gateway for the AI era, which will ripple across the entire investment landscape.So, who's your pick for the ultimate AI gateway? Alibaba with its commerce power, Tencent with its social lock-in, or ByteDance with its tech edge?
$Netflix(NFLX.US) Recent earnings showed decent margins, but subscriber growth keeps slowing, especially in mature markets. Investors are realizing Netflix is becoming a cash cow, not a hyper-growth story, and the stock is being repriced accordingly.
$Apple(AAPL.US) $Circle(CRCL.US) Make a small profit. It's still important to follow the market, indicators, and your own logic, not your beliefs.
With Nasdaq‑100 down recently and broader tech under pressure, is QQQ due for a bounce or further downside before it finds support?
Big week ahead, Tesla, Microsoft, Meta, and Apple all report, mark down what to watch:
$Tesla(TSLA.US)
TSLA is always a wildcard. Forget just delivery numbers; the street is obsessed with margins and the AI story. The big money wants concrete updates on FSD take rates and, more importantly, any real timeline for the Robotaxi network. After the recent run-up, they need to prove the "future tech" isn't just more Musk magic talk. EPS expectation is around $0.44.
$Microsoft(MSFT.US)
The AI Kingpin. This is the purest test of AI monetization. All eyes on Azure cloud growth – is it accelerating or hitting a wall? Any slowdown chatter will spook the market. We also need to hear how Copilot is actually selling and if those insane capital expenditures are paying off. Can they justify the spend? Consensus EPS is looking for ~$3.86.
$Meta Platforms(META.US)
The efficiency champ. Their ad engine has been a beast, but the question is sustainability. Watch for ad pricing trends and user engagement, especially with Reels. The real tension? Balancing massive AI/metaverse investments against profit growth. The market hates "spend now, profit later" stories if the payoff isn't clear. They're expected to deliver a hefty ~$8.16 EPS.
$Apple(AAPL.US)
The pressure is on. After lagging this year, AAPL needs to show iPhone 17 demand is still strong, especially in China, and prove it's insulated from rising memory costs. More importantly, they must sell a credible AI vision. Everyone's watching the Google Gemini partnership for Siri – any rollout details will be a major catalyst. It's time to move beyond the "AI laggard" talk. Expected EPS is around $1.73.
Don't forget to mark your calendars, let's watch this together!
Netflix pre-market plunged, bulls can only comfort themselves, which is fine, after all, they've been bottom-fishing all the way down from 110. Not comforting each other would really affect the mood.
Stocks, once a downtrend forms, can keep falling for months, even a year. Many big US companies are like this—Apple/Microsoft/Google adjustments can drop from Nov 2024 to Apr 2025. Many are trapped, cutting losses before dawn, let alone Netflix and META.
These stocks have all moving averages diverging bearishly, candlesticks below MA5/10/30/60. All moving averages above will act as resistance, with huge selling pressure on rebounds. Refer to META759-580-670-600, or the trends of Pop Mart/Lao Pu Gold/Xiaomi—roughly this idea.
To be cautious, value investing should also consider technical patterns. Wait for a bottom rebound, solidify the base, and see candlesticks stabilize above the 10-day MA. Earning less is fine.
US stocks always reward the strong—gold/silver/copper bulls are very dominant. Wait for Trump's TACO before topping starts. No left shoulder yet, let alone the right.
SNDK/MU—too many shorts here. MU200+, SNDK300+ and shorts pile in, yet they don’t even set stop-losses. Suicide. Technically, the left shoulder isn’t done. Need 2-3 big bearish tops to confirm the head. If not, there’s still room for longs. Wait and see.
Of course, the funnier one is APP. Some small-time short firm released a short report, many rushed in at -11% to short, only to get squeezed overnight… If everyone knows it’s an opportunity, is it really?
As for PDD’s $100K fine… we all know what’s up.
$Unitedhealth(UNH.US) will jump after earning on 27 Jan?
Just saw Trump's latest threats: 100% committed to slapping tariffs on 8 European allies (Denmark, Germany, UK, France etc.) starting Feb 1, potentially hitting 25% by June. Oh, and a 200% tariff on French wine & champagne? That's a new one.Europe isn't bluffing either. They're talking about a €93 billion counter-strike on US goods and might pull out the big "trade bazooka" (restricting US market access). UK and Germany called the move "completely wrong".Market's reaction? Risk-off mood.European stocks got hit hard, especially autos & luxury goods.Safe-havens like gold & silver are pushing higher.US futures were down pre-market.Here's the kicker: studies show US importers & consumers bear 96% of the tariff cost. So much for "other countries pay".Feels more political than economic. This uncertainty is the real killer for business investment. What do you think?
$Oracle(ORCL.US) The AI infrastructure bet (hosting GPU clusters for startups) is capital-intensive and risky. The market is pricing in that risk and the lawsuit overhang
$ASML(ASML.US) ASML steady. Intel's 18A success is built on ASML machines
$Intel(INTC.US) I'm in for the dividend and the hope. Long timeline
$Coinbase.US Keeps trending lower day after day... really disappointing.
Why does this stock move with crypto?$Trump Media & Tech(DJT.US)
More and more voices are turning bearish on AMD...$AMD(AMD.US)
$Apple(AAPL.US)Apple hits another all-time high as its first foldable-screen device makes major progress in development. If Apple launches a new product, would you buy it?
