我是汤姆

The smell of a cyclical recovery in storage and analog chips is getting stronger again. A string of names like $Silicon Motion Tech(SIMO.US), $Infineon Technologies(IFNNY.US), $Analog Devices(ADI.US), $SENASIC(06675.HK), and $Vishay Precision(VPG.US) are all being given more narrative by demand from both AI and automotive sectors.

$Entegris(ENTG.US) makes materials, $ACM Research(ACMR.US) makes cleaning equipment, $SG MICRO(03661.HK) makes analog chips, covering the entire chain from upstream to design. If you want to save effort, just look at the $EFUND A SEMICON ETF(03486.HK) and take the whole basket.

There are a lot of domestic AI software small-cap stocks, $DEEPEXI TECH(01384.HK), $DEEPZERO(02723.HK), $HAIZHI TECH GP(02706.HK), $UNISOUND(09678.HK), $PHANCY(06682.HK) are all telling their own large model stories. Whether they can succeed depends on orders. Let's wait and see for now 🙈

After all these years of inflation, $Domino's(DPZ.US) and $Wendys(WEN.US), whose membership system and delivery commission calculations are more precise, will have the last laugh 🙃

Dashi Optics suddenly surged 20% in this wave. I only have a tiny bit of base position left, and it took off right after I reduced my holdings.

So-Young fell 4%. The medical aesthetics sector hasn't shown much improvement lately, it's so weak I don't even want to look at it.

In the short term, the shipping freight index of COSCO Shipping Holdings is under pressure due to expectations of the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz after the ceasefire, with the premium for route detours declining. However, the long-term growth in global trade volume provides structural support.

MMG's copper metal exposure: the copper price hovering around $5.6 reflects market doubts about the recovery of industrial demand.

China Silver and Tongguan Gold benefit from following the gold rally. After the ceasefire, gold remains at a high of $4,747, continuing to provide profit support for precious metal companies.

CGN Mining's uranium business benefits from the nuclear energy narrative, with its valuation being relatively undervalued.

$Unity Software(U.US) was basically flat today, with minor fluctuations. Compared to the passionate market movements of the past two years, it's like a different company. The market still often mentions it when talking about AI and 3D engines, but it feels like the times have changed. 😔

Today, watching $Firefly Aerospace(FLY.US) make such a wild move of over twenty points, with no apparent news to support it, is really baffling. The small-cap tech stock $Lemonade(LMND.US) has shown some life recently, but honestly, I've been burned too many times, so I'm skeptical even when it goes up now. As for $Figma(FIG.US), the information is also very messy, so it's safer to stay away.

The old three insurance stocks in the mainland gave a bit of face today, especially New China Life Insurance, which surprisingly managed to show its head. AIA is playing dead on the side, while China Life Insurance is inching up bit by bit. It feels like there's no major market movement, but it also doesn't seem like it will fall. The internet insurance company ZhongAn Online turned green again, so dramatic... The insurance sector really tests your mentality. Now we're stuck between a rock and a hard place: wanting to cut losses but can't bring ourselves to do it, and wanting to add more but lacking the passion. 😪

Industrial and defense sectors are all in the red again: Caterpillar, Boeing, and GE Aviation plummeted, feeling like the stocks in my hand are being ground into the dirt. Lockheed Martin and RTX are relatively more resilient, but still not very exciting. With this rhythm in the US stock market, even defense stocks are no longer a safe haven 😰

Cosco Shipping Holdings had another sluggish day, down 1.19%. It feels like the big shipping boom is over, and capital isn't too keen on jumping in either, with not much movement lately. After holding for so long, my position is getting more and more passive. Not counting on a rally, just treating it as a dividend stock to get by. 😪

Watching stocks like BLSH, GEMI, and PTLE recently has been pure torture. Seeing today's drop just makes me exhausted; it's a real test of holding conviction. Especially GEMI and PTLE, they dropped double digits directly, leaving one speechless during trading.

Tempus AI barely held up, but it also looks shaky.

This market for small-cap US stocks feels like a recurring script for harvesting naive investors. Seeing the account in the red just numbs you. I have zero desire to trade right now. Let's take a break first and hope for a miracle.

Tech stocks are really strong, Huahong Semiconductor, Biren, and Cambridge Technology are all soaring together, and new energy Xintec also performed well. It's a rare market trend with a clear main theme.

In contrast, Shandong Molong is down 9%. The oil and gas sector suddenly crashed, getting a harsh lesson from the market. 😥

My first reaction to CEG's unusual movement today was news about nuclear power policy🔋 VNET is following the AI data center narrative, and the recent sector-wide linkage is very obvious.

For Ciena, we need to see if there are any new SEC filings for optical communication orders.

RGC has a small market cap, the movement might be from hot money. I checked the insider trading records and found nothing unusual for now.

These few stocks in construction machinery and energy: Caterpillar and Eaton had a slight pullback, no surprise nor big drop, probably just a period of sideways movement; Vertiv and Vistra, which are more focused on digital infrastructure and energy services, are actually rising.

Thinking to myself, always focusing on traditional large-cap stocks, but it turns out the new main themes of data centers and electricity are where the hot money is looking. My position wants both, human nature is always greedy... But I can't be bothered to make changes now, I'll continue to hold and observe, and see which way the wind blows later 😪

Today, I looked at my holdings of $Bloom Energy(BE.US), $Applied Materials(AMAT.US), $Pfizer(PFE.US), $Figure Tech Solutions - CL(FIGR.US), and $Figma(FIG.US), and it really feels like I've been given the cold shoulder.

Tech growth, semiconductors, clean energy, pharmaceuticals, blockchain, and cloud collaboration—every sector has pulled back, which is heartbreaking, especially for new players like Figma and Figure Technology, which have fallen harder than anyone else.

Not long ago, I was still thinking that diversification might help manage some risk, but now everything is down together. The days of making money seem far away, and I'm starting to doubt if I have the kind of luck where I jump in right after every major rally has just finished…

Oh well, guess I'll just have to sit back and watch the show.

The nuclear energy sector has recently experienced what true loneliness feels like 😰

$Cameco(CCJ.US) punched me right in the face; the pullback left me without the courage to even cut my losses. $NuScale Power(SMR.US) is a bit more interesting, rising nearly 3% against the market trend. This wave of small nuclear reactors seems to still have some room for imagination.

$Centrus Energy(LEU.US) $Lightbridge(LTBR.US) $Energy Fuels(UUUU.US) are all making minor adjustments, stuck in an awkward, indecisive state.

To be honest, it feels like holding faith in one hand and a stop-loss order in the other. In the nuclear energy track, who isn't just complaining while enduring all the way...

Lately, these big blue-chip US stocks in my portfolio—MO, NKE, DIS, JNJ, JPM—feel like old buddies comforting each other.

Nike and Disney fluctuate slightly every day; I'm already numb to it 😰

Johnson & Johnson and JP Morgan are indeed stable, but they don't get me excited.

A tobacco giant like MO can still manage a little gain even in a down market, probably surviving on high dividends. It's truly stable, but just lacks a bit of thrill.

To put it bluntly, my current holdings are all about "Zen retirement." Waiting for something to stimulate the market 🙈

Chagee turned a bit greener again, -1.57%. This tea beverage sector really doesn't seem right. Consumption is cutthroat, stock prices are cutthroat. Those who hold it have all become zen. Getting rich by relying on tea drinks? Might as well make a few more trips to a milk tea shop.

Watching the market today is really about living by intuition. $Atour(ATAT.US) is still holding up with a slight gain. In the hotel industry market, it's really about being steady and solid. $UPS(UPS.US) just plummeted, and there's also $Caterpillar(CAT.US). Even the construction machinery giant is catching up on the decline, the sentiment is so heavy... This kind of pullback in the old economy sectors, even the most optimistic people have to hold back. $Echostar(SATS.US) is down again. Satellite communication's potential is one thing, but the volatility really tests patience. Now I can only watch Eaton's little red dot, waiting with a zen attitude, not messing around anymore.

$Venture Global(VG.US) At first glance, this name made me think it was an ETF for Vonage or Vanguard. After searching for a long time, I found almost no information. Turns out it's a different entity with the same name... After investing for so long, naive investors like me still often get confused by names. Nowadays, with these kinds of targets, information isn't transparent at all. Thinking about it, I'd rather just lie flat, not bother, and consider it a form of comfort. Sometimes, the market makes people's mentality more and more zen.

I glanced at the $Abrdn Platinum ETF Trust(PPLT.US), $Abrdn Silver ETF Trust(SIVR.US), and $United States Oil Fund LP(USO.US) in my portfolio today. These commodity ETFs really seem to have no presence lately, with daily price movements becoming more and more 'zen-like' (i.e., minimal). I can only let them do their thing.

Capital continues to flow into the Japan $ISHRS MSCI Japan(EWJ.US). It looks lively, but I still can't bring myself to get on board. Vietnam VNM was quite strong recently, but today it saw a pullback on heavy volume, catching me completely off guard.

In this kind of market, holding positions feels uninspiring, but staying out makes me afraid of chasing highs if prices rise. Ah, forget it, forget it. Better not mess around blindly.

Tech leverage ETFs were a bloodbath today, with AVGX.US, INTW.US, and FBL.US all crashing to the ground. The AI sector sell-off was brutal, with a one-day drawdown nearing 15%. Missing out feels even worse than being trapped in a losing position. Even leading stocks like Meta and Intel couldn't hold up. Those still holding can only take a deep breath. EZJ.US (Japan ETF) was relatively resilient, though. It seems sector rotation really "rotates" you into worry. Friends in the Hong Kong and US stock markets, is anyone else staring blankly at the green screen like me...

Recently, the Nasdaq 2x Inverse ETF, S&P 3x Inverse ETF, VIXY, and TLT have all collectively "surged," making me wonder if I've become a contrarian indicator again. I couldn't bring myself to buy when tech stocks kept hitting new highs recently, and now with this sudden sharp drop and safe-haven assets soaring together, it just goes to show that whoever can catch the rhythm is the boss. Now that the market is panicking, VIXY is skyrocketing, and funds are rushing to embrace bonds like TLT. I'm relying entirely on short positions and safe-haven tools to recover, not sure if there's a "Crash 2.0" coming... Sigh, I was as slow as a dog when mainstream stocks hit new highs, and too scared to go all in when they crashed. I'm done.

The semiconductor sector is really a tearjerker today... Despite the news of Texas Instruments' acquisition, the stock price still fell. I can't figure out what the market is hesitating about.

Rambus got hammered right after its earnings report was released, but then it bounced back. This kind of volatility is heart-stopping.

The worst was Amkor, dragged down by the entire sector, -5% is really unbearable. Just take it easy now, with sector rotation and chaotic news flow, those holding can continue to hold, and those not in the market should just wait and see—it's too easy to get "trapped".