MGBF-L

$Circle(CRCL.US)Before going to bed, I scrolled through Douyin. On this day last year, CRCL's stock price was 191 yuan. A year has passed, so much has changed, and I haven't made any money either. Fortunately, I'm still at the table.

$Sandisk(SNDK.US) Have you added it yet?

$Microsoft(MSFT.US) The options I bought earlier have nearly doubled in unrealized gains. I'm being a bit greedy and haven't taken profits yet. Recently, two things have caught my attention. One is Meta renting out idle computing power, combined with last night's sharp drop in storage stocks. It's clear that trading in the storage sector is extremely tight; any slight disturbance leads to an immediate plunge. The other is Dazi launching a "rent-to-own" program. From my perspective, this can hardly be seen as positive news. Personally, I think its strong period is over. In the short term, considering capital rotation is inevitable, I'm thinking about whether to add more options on Microsoft 🤔. Looking further ahead, I might need to gradually create a safety cushion in terms of my overall portfolio and cash position.

$Circle(CRCL.US) Many people in the community are probably going to be proven wrong. No need for lengthy explanations, just think about a few basic points: 1. Is there any potential for imagination in AI agent payments and real-world asset tokenization? If not, companies like Visa and Mastercard wouldn't be planning things like OUSD. From the perspective of strengthening the ecosystem moat, these companies are bound to do this; 2. For the two major areas mentioned above, CRCL is still only in the "pie-in-the-sky" stage and hasn't produced impressive data. The market still prices its stock core based on "dividend yield"; 3. If any random stablecoin issuance could kill USDC, then frankly, what's the value of USDC's existence? All the narratives around stablecoins are just nonsense.

I've been following Circle this company. At this stage, I can't say I'm optimistic, as it's still just a "dividend yield" company. But seeing someone in the comments say the stock price will reach $10, personally, I think that's too ridiculous.

$Microsoft(MSFT.US) previously dropped to 355, a decline of nearly 35%. Some say, for Microsoft to have such a large drop, looking back over the past few years, it's unheard of; this month, the drop exceeded 20%, and some say, for Microsoft to have such a large single-month drop is truly rare. Then, the usual argument is that Microsoft's current PE, compared to the median PE over the past few years, is not too cheap. Then, after a round of relative valuation and absolute valuation calculations, the conclusion is that Microsoft has been clearly misjudged. I want to hear what else these people have to say. Although... however, I've still decided to bet on options (I set the price a few trading days ago, and looking at this situation, it might be triggered to buy), because this is my largest holding, and recently, due to the regulatory issues with overseas brokers, I couldn't transfer my positions. Now I'm stuck, and I can only gamble. If the options are bought, Microsoft, I'm almost all in. Bros, just asking, isn't this scary... thinking about it makes me shiver... but still, I've decided to take the gamble... no choice, I'm hooked.

$Netflix(NFLX.US) Which big shot is betting against next quarter's earnings? Just asking, are you guys scared?