阿尔法s

$SK Hynix - WI(SKHYV.US) SK Hynix is one of the companies with the strongest logic in the current AI storage track. Institutions are generally bullish on it in the medium to long term, but short-term ADR premiums are already high, and institutional opinions are extremely divided, so chasing highs requires caution. In the long run, how long the story of HBM demand and capacity shortage can be told determines its ceiling.

$Micron Tech(MU.US) Micron's fundamentals remain at historically strong levels, with institutional consensus target prices pointing to over 60% upside potential. However, the short-term stock price has already retraced 23% from its high, with a clear loosening of positions. Bank of America characterizes the current pullback as a summer reset, believing a rebound is possible in the fall. UBS explicitly stated that the recent decline is a buying opportunity. However, the market's core concern—whether the memory cycle is nearing an inflection point—has not been fully dispelled.

$Micron Tech(MU.US) Micron's fundamentals remain at their strongest level in history, with institutional consensus target prices pointing to 60% upside potential. Citigroup has added it to its watchlist of upside catalysts, and this week's Samsung earnings report and SK Hynix's Nasdaq listing may also provide additional catalysts for the memory sector.

$Micron Tech(MU.US) Micron's fundamentals remain at their strongest historical level, with institutional consensus target prices still pointing to 40-60% upside potential. However, short-term stock price has been dominated by bearish sentiment and profit-taking. The $950-1000 range is the focal point of the battle between bulls and bears.

$Tesla(TSLA.US) Tesla's Q2 delivery data proves the resilience of its auto business, but the market has long stopped pricing it solely on delivery volume. 480,000 units is good news from the past, while the stock price needs future AI progress. The real test is the Q2 earnings report on July 22, when the market will verify whether those 480,000 deliveries actually made money. Before that, the Austin announcement on July 7th could be a window for short-term sentiment recovery.

$SpaceX(SPCX.US) The index inclusion on July 7th may bring a short-term impulse, but it does not change the fundamental contradictions in the fundamentals. Susquehanna's summary is very accurate: "There is considerable uncertainty about future outcomes, and it is recommended to wait for a better entry opportunity."

$Micron Tech(MU.US) The core contradiction for Micron is: its fundamentals are at their strongest in history, but after the stock price has risen nearly 700% in a year, all good news has already been fully priced in. Any slight disturbance—whether it's an antitrust lawsuit, expansion of production in Korea, or concerns about end-demand—could trigger a sharp correction.

$SpaceX(SPCX.US) The wild swings of SPCX are essentially an emotional drama directed by a combination of extremely low float, extremely high attention, and huge valuation divergence. The drop from 225 to 154 isn't due to deteriorating fundamentals; it's that the story is over, and the money should leave. Inclusion in the Nasdaq 100 in July might bring a short-term rebound, but the August lock-up period is the real test.

$Micron Tech(MU.US) Micron has completely refuted the skepticism about the 'AI storage cycle peak' with a historic earnings report. However, after a more than 700% surge in a year, chasing highs at the current level requires courage, and one must also be wary of short-term profit-taking pressure as 'good news is exhausted'.

$Tesla(TSLA.US) The current situation of Tesla can be summarized in one sentence: buying at 389 times PE is betting on the long-term story of "2030 EPS of $7.50", but the automotive business is losing momentum, and the AI story will take years to generate cash flow.

$Micron Tech(MU.US) The fundamental story for Micron is real. HBM is sold out, DRAM prices are rising, and AI demand remains strong. However, after an 820% surge in a year, all optimistic expectations have already been priced in. The earnings report itself will likely beat expectations, but beating expectations doesn't guarantee a stock price increase. What the market needs is a significant earnings beat + continued upward revisions to next year's guidance. If any part falls short of being impressive, it could trigger profit-taking.

$Intel(INTC.US) The story of Intel's triumphant return is being validated by the market, but after the stock price has risen 500% over the past year, a lot of the positive news has already been priced in. The current price of $133.99 is not a cheap entry point, but rather a point of speculation for those who believe the story can continue.

$SpaceX(SPCX.US) SPCX is currently in the "squeezing out bubbles" phase after the IPO frenzy has subsided. The basic factors haven't collapsed, but the valuation is simply too expensive. Coupled with multiple pressures such as debt dilution, the approaching lock-up period, and an extremely small float, it's difficult to see a trend reversal in the short term.

$Tesla(TSLA.US) Tesla is currently in an awkward period where the 'old story has ended, but the new story has not yet fully materialized'.

The most certain direction right now is still storage. Many people now talk about bubbles as soon as they open their mouths and about a crash as soon as they close them. But the problem is, this wave of AI might have just started the feast, and the dishes haven't even been served yet. Are you already afraid the chef will run away? The market has only just begun. Are you already afraid it will crash? Then isn't it normal that you won't get to eat three dishes?

The U.S. stock market is closed today, but major events are piling up, with a huge amount of information 📰

🔹 Apple × Intel: Trump officially announced a chip-making partnership. Intel surged over 10% to a new high, but internal sources revealed "no consensus yet."

🔹 Chip stocks soar: The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index skyrocketed 6.42%, hitting a record high for the second time this week.

🔹 Nvidia's rollercoaster ride: It rose nearly 4% at the open, then plunged 8%. Jensen Huang sold another 120,000 shares.

🔹 SpaceX continues to cool: It closed lower for the second consecutive day, giving back a large portion of its post-IPO gains.

🔹 Triple witching day arrives: Over $5.1 trillion in options expire, the largest scale in history.

🔹 Waller's Fed debut: A 130-word shortest-ever statement, establishing five major reform working groups. Market interprets it as hawkish.

$SpaceX(SPCX.US) The short-term trend of SPCX depends on the tug-of-war between "index inclusion expectations" and "hawkish interest rates + valuation bubbles". There may still be a pulse-like rally before its inclusion in the Nasdaq 100 on July 7th, but the current price has already far exceeded the reasonable valuation range of all Wall Street analysts—this is not a "cheap" entry point, but a game point of "betting on whether sentiment can continue". Position management decides everything.

$Micron Tech(MU.US) Micron's fundamental story in the AI era is real, and the logic of the DRAM supercycle hasn't broken yet. However, after an 830% surge in a year, all optimistic expectations have already been priced in. The current price level is not a "cheap" entry point, but a holding point for "believing the story can continue." Whether you can hold it depends on how heavy your position is and how much volatility you can withstand.

Act 1: NVIDIA crowned with $3.34 trillion market cap, surpassing Microsoft and Apple to become world's No. 1. From a graphics card maker to an AI overlord, this is probably one of the most dramatic comebacks in tech history. Act 2: SpaceX cools off. After its IPO, it once soared nearly 50%, with its market cap approaching $3 trillion, but today it plunged over 10%. The market has switched from chasing frenzy to profit-taking mode. Act 3: Geopolitical risks recede. The US-Iran peace agreement is officially signed, the Strait of Hormuz reopens, and Brent crude has given back about 80% of its gains since the conflict. Act 4: A new test emerges. Wash's Fed debut 130...

$SpaceX(SPCX.US) surged 50% in a row a few days ago, which indeed pushed sentiment to the extreme. Moreover, this Tuesday, SPCX just opened options trading, with 1.7 million contracts dumped in a single day, pushing the proportion of bearish puts up to 44%. Some smart institutions are obviously using options to lock in profits and conduct delta-neutral hedging at high levels, so a pullback is inevitable. However, Nasdaq100 is about to forcibly include SPCX, which has been heavily weighted, into the index within the next few days. This wave of passive fund siphoning effect will pound out an unbreakable iron bottom around $165-170. Hold the core positions tight.