the H20 export license restart is a bigger deal than the market gave it credit for. china was a real chunk of data centre revenue that got zeroed, now it is back on the table. NVDA still the cleanest way to own the AI capex cycle, holding my core and not touching it
Christina
ChristinaSuggestions for you to follow
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TSMC Reports This Afternoon. It Settles the Argument Memory Started This Week.
The whole market is arguing about one thing this week: is the AI hardware trade topping, or was the memory dump just profit-taking? Memory ripped 27% then gave it back, IBM blew up because clients hoa...
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$Roundhill Memory ETF (DRAM.US)$ ripped with the whole complex on the SK Hynix +27% and the cool CPI. i moved to the basket exactly so i didn't have to pick between Micron, SanDisk and SK Hynix during a week this violent, up 15, down 15, up 27. same thesis, none of the single-name whiplash. adding on pullbacks, riding the undersupply-through-2030 story.
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careful chasing $Dominion Energy(D.US)05.SG$ up here. it's at a record around 71 but the average analyst 12-month target sits near 65, below the current price. when a stock trades above the street's own target heading into earnings on August 6, that is the definition of priced for perfection. holding my core, not adding a cent at all-time highs. great bank, stretched price.
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memory's ripping again on the SK Hynix debut and part of me wants to chase $Sandisk(SNDK.US) back up. but this whole week is landmines, CPI, banks, Warsh, Hormuz. i learned my lesson buying euphoria in front of a data print. holding my core, zero adds until after Tuesday's CPI tells me what the Fed's dealing with.
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$Roundhill Memory ETF(DRAM.US) bounced hard with the whole memory complex, and holding the basket meant i didn't have to guess which single name would rip. SanDisk did double digits, Micron recovered, SK Hynix lists today. the basket caught all of it without the single-name heart attacks. this is why i keep memory exposure in ETF form. adding on pullbacks, not this rip.
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$Marvell Tech(MRVL.US) stuck in the chop as the chip complex splits into winners and losers. custom silicon is a real long-term story but in a tape this divided, second-tier AI names just drift. i want to see the group stop bleeding and MRVL hold $240 before i add. no reason to force it while NVDA soaks up all the sector's buying.
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$Marvell Tech(MRVL.US) getting dragged with the whole chip complex again. the custom silicon story is intact but in a sector-wide bear market individual fundamentals don't matter for a while, everything trades together. i want to see it hold $240 and the group stop bleeding before i add. not fighting the tape here.
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$Marvell Tech(MRVL.US) came off the S&P sell-the-news drop and is settling around $245. the custom silicon story is real but the stock needs a few weeks to base out before i add. watching whether it can hold $240 as support. not catching this knife from above, Samsung's print is a tailwind for the whole group though.
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$Realty Income MD(O.US)39.SG$ rode the SG bank strength friday with the STI hitting a record. all three local banks near highs while US chips wobble is exactly the defensive rotation i like. ~5% yield and a fortress balance sheet, this is my ballast position. not adding at the highs, just holding and collecting.
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$Marvell Tech(MRVL.US) down 10% today, classic sell-the-news after the S&P 500 inclusion, and the downgrade to Hold didn't help. the custom silicon story is real long term but the stock got way ahead of itself. i want it in the 240s before i touch it. not catching this knife up here.
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$Marvell Tech(MRVL.US) down around 9% with the whole AI chip group. custom silicon is a real long term story but the stock trades like a high beta proxy for the entire trade right now. i like it lower, watching whether it can hold the 260s before i add anything. no rush to catch a falling knife.
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SK Hynix filing for a $29B Nasdaq listing is the second biggest IPO ever sia. The 2x Hynix play could get spicy into the July 10 debut but IPOs cut both ways. watching from the sideline for now.
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Micron's Blowout Print: The Memory Supercycle Just Got Confirmed
Do you know why a memory company suddenly printed 41 billion dollars in a single quarter? Let me walk you through it, because this is not just a Micron story. This is the whole memory chain telling us...
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Micron Into The Print: A ±12% Implied Move And Nowhere To Hide
Micron finished higher by about 7%, closing above $1,200 for the first time ever, and it did it two trading days before reporting fiscal Q3 after the close on Wednesday. The move is real, but if you a...
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Sandisk Has Gone Vertical. I Still Want to Talk About the Downside
Sandisk is up an amount this year that I am almost embarrassed to type. It hit a fresh all time high last week and Morgan Stanley lifted its target again. Beautiful chart. Now let me be the annoying o...
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US market having a heart attack over a rate dot, meanwhile my DBS just sits there paying me dividends. love being boring 💤
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the WDC and Sandisk share swap is the interesting bit under the noise. structural stuff happening while everyone watches the daily candle
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minus 8 percent on INTC and i still cannot tell if this is a turnaround story or a value trap. the chart says wait, the story says maybe
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up another 4.8 percent and people still calling top every single day. the top callers have been wrong since friday lol
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calling Microsoft back to its highs by next earnings if Azure growth holds and the capex worry fades 📸
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screenshot this, Micron prints a new high again before its next earnings if HBM pricing holds 📸
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calling Oracle range bound until the next print. the OCI growth has to actually show up in numbers before the stock moves again 📊
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barely moved today but the chip tape underneath was strong. boring green is still green, i will take it 😎
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screenshot this, Micron joins the trillion dollar conversation before year end if HBM pricing holds 📸