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Key points of this article: 𝒪 Trading opportunities for various assets next week 𝒪 US stocks surged all the way and V-rebounded to previous highs, the trend has been reversed. 𝒪 Gold broke through key levels, presenting a rare clear long opportunity recently. HD original image: https://logicinvestmenthk.notion.site/V-240818-6115ac8f505e4a87aeb45a7a62212fe9?pvs=4◉ Hong Kong and Japan markets Hang Seng Index futures performed brilliantly this week, successfully forming an incomplete head-and-shoulders bottom pattern...

Key points of this article: 𝒪 US stocks still haven't formed a second bottom, don't prematurely bet on a rebound. 𝒪 Operations on various indices, commodities and forex. ◉ Compared to other markets, the Hang Seng Index showed strong resistance this week, even managing to recover above the 17,000 point level. However, the current trend remains more declines than gains, not yet time for bulls to enter. What needs to be observed next is where the next downward wave will fall. The worst scenario would be breaking below 16,450, continuing the downward trend. If it stabilizes near 16,450, it indicates the trend is turning into consolidation. If it can hold firmly above 17,000...

Key points of this article: 𝒪 This article is a monthly review of the market from a monthly chart perspective. 𝒪 When you feel confused about market trends, zoom out to a larger time frame. 𝒪 Using the monthly chart as a guide for daily trading can help you avoid many whipsaw trades. 𝒪 Price will tell you the truth earlier than data...

Key points of this article: 𝒪 U.S. stocks show signs of a trend reversal, wait until the bullish trend returns before buying. 𝒪 The Hang Seng Index's performance is disappointing, with few opportunities to go long. 𝒪 Cryptocurrencies regain strength this week. ◉ Hong Kong and Japan markets—facing resistance again and starting to pull back Hang Seng Index futures touched 18,000 before falling, barely holding the key support level at 17,400. The trend has shifted from bullish to a consolidating trend with expanding volatility, hovering around a critical support level. However, the bearish candles in this downtrend are large and consecutive, and there is no sign of bullish interest for now. As for the Nikkei, the decline is even more severe, with no signs of stabilization yet...

Key points of this article: 𝒪 If it is difficult to identify the trend in a small time frame, switch to a larger time frame to find a clear trend. 𝒪 If even the larger time frame is in a consolidation range, it means the asset is still not worth entering. 𝒪 Monthly charts show clear upward trends for Nasdaq, S&P 500, Nikkei, USD/JPY, and gold. Full article link: https://www.patreon.com/posts/107661698

Key points of this article: 𝒪 The US stock market is currently only experiencing a short-term pullback, and the trend remains strong. 𝒪 It is necessary to wait for the US stock market to fail to reach new highs again before confirming a short-term weakening pattern. HD image: https://logicinvestmenthk.notion.site/240624-4e63fe1d95f34f788fa2b9668705779f?pvs=4◉ Hong Kong and Japan markets—Head and shoulders bottom and consolidation range Last week, it was also mentioned that the Hang Seng Index would need a double bottom to be more favorable, and on Monday, there was a super bullish candle that first fell and then recovered to the support level...

Key points of this article: 𝒪 The breakout of a converging ascending triangle is a buying pattern that even beginners can recognize, with good odds, and is particularly useful in long-term rising markets like US stocks. ◉ The preferred technical pattern for beginners: Converging Ascending Triangle Breakout This is a trading strategy I've used consistently from my beginner days till now, and one that many mentors charge specifically to teach as a basic trading pattern. Since it doesn't require too much technical expertise, I'll explain it briefly. As the name suggests, the converging ascending triangle breakout occurs when the price tops remain at a horizontal line within a certain range, while the bottoms keep moving upward over time, eventually breaking through...

Key points of this article: 𝒪 Monthly chart trend review 𝒪 Once-in-a-lifetime entry opportunities at key monthly levels, with more trading opportunities than imagined High-definition chart: https://logicinvestmenthk.notion.site/240601-f1680dcd3025496aa6603c61c0974b3c?pvs=4◉ Investors are generally short-sighted Investor short-sightedness is a common cognitive bias. When using technical analysis, most retail investors focus on intraday charts, such as one-minute charts, hourly charts...

Key points of this article: 𝒪 One way to grow small capital into big money is to catch a huge trend formed by fundamentals or supply-demand imbalance and keep adding positions. 𝒪 Free DC group can help each other, observe niche products and catch mispricing. ◉ The method to profit with small capital is to trade small capital into tens of millions without full-time daily trading. The "simplest" way is to catch a trend driven by fundamentals and endure volatility while continuously adding positions. Recent examples include the Taiwan index futures, which have risen for half a year and repeatedly hit new highs, and those affected by reduced supply...

Key points of this article: 𝒪 This week, many views were shared in the DC group, and the market did not show any significant turning points. 𝒪 A large number of trading instruments have risen to resistance levels this week, but no clear resistance patterns have formed yet, making it unsuitable to go long or short. 𝒪 The next fastest trading opportunity will likely be in U.S. Treasuries. ◉Asian Markets—Hang Seng Index continues its upward trend, Nikkei consolidates higher. The Hang Seng Index continued to rise this week, maintaining our view of being bullish but not entering long positions. After the downtrend from March to April, the Nikkei Index has been steadily accumulating buying pressure and has now formed an ascending triangle. We are currently observing two potential buying opportunities...

Key points of this article: 𝒪 The reason why naive investors always buy at the peak is due to poor information flow and noticing the market trend too late. 𝒪 Solutions: 1. Regularly monitor trends across all markets to stay alert 2. Wait for overheated sectors to correct before entering, confirming it's a long-term trend 𝒪 If you find this article helpful, feel free to like, share, and leave your comments! ◉ Why naive investors are always one step behind—information lag One of the biggest gaps between naive investors and funds is their ability to gather information. Even without insider information, simply analyzing industry data and planning ahead...

Key points of this article: 𝒪 Performance of various assets last month 𝒪 Trading opportunities this month For high-definition images, please visit: https://logicinvestmenthk.notion.site/240506-8ac14b4ce99c4c31b98ec91beac06ad6?pvs=4 ◉ Asian markets—Hang Seng Index surged sharply, Nikkei retreated from highs Hang Seng Index futures rose nearly 1,149 points in April, a gain of 6.93%, making it the most sharply rising product among those we monitor. The monthly chart shows...

Key points of this article: 𝒪 Is there still momentum for Hong Kong stocks to break through higher? 𝒪 US stocks show signs of having bottomed out ◉ Asian markets—Hang Seng Index V-shaped rebound surges to new highs, Nikkei clearly consolidates within a range Hang Seng Index futures were very strong this week, rising from 16,200 all the way to 17,780 with almost no pullback. Last week, we mentioned looking for long positions around 16,160, but we didn't expect the trend to be so fierce. At one point, we even considered betting on a major consolidation range at 17,200. Fortunately, the pattern we needed for entry didn't materialize, allowing us to avoid this real breakout. Now that the breakout has occurred and the trend has strengthened...

Key points of this article: 𝒪 Current holdings 𝒪 How to use the simplest yet effective technical analysis to identify the major downtrend in U.S. stocks Full illustrated reading: https://logicinvestmenthk.notion.site/240422-348b13313bae479799b46bcee21cc3b1?pvs=4 ◉ Asian markets—Hang Seng Index fortunately holds above 16,200, Nikkei breaks support level and explores lower The Hang Seng Index consolidated after an initial drop this week, not fully following U.S. stock trends. The good news is...

Key points of this article: 𝒪 The USD/JPY breakthrough we've been mentioning earlier, along with the previously held oil ETF, have brought substantial returns to members. 𝒪 Bitcoin's weekend crash provides significant implications for U.S. stocks. 𝒪 Reasons why I'm still hesitant to heavily invest in U.S. stocks. ◉ Asian markets—The Hang Seng Index hit a peak then plunged sharply, while the Nikkei fell to support levels. This week, the Hang Seng Index touched the 17250 resistance level before triggering massive selling pressure, dropping to near the 16770 support level established in early April within just two days. Although this is a long zone, the bears are in full force, so it's not advisable to go long immediately. Wait for a new round of price fluctuations...

Key points of this article: 𝒪 Asset performance in March alone 𝒪 Continued high commodity prices put selling pressure on U.S. stocks ◉ Asian markets—The Hang Seng Index was almost flat, while the Nikkei maintained its gains. Hang Seng Index futures rose only 118 points in March, an increase of less than 1%. I maintained a consolidation view throughout March and repeatedly mentioned in market reviews that the Hang Seng Index is not the most worthwhile asset to trade. From a monthly perspective, the Hang Seng Index remains in a long-term downtrend since January 2023, with no recent positive news to support it. Even though the current level seems undervalued, technically, there is still a possibility of a pullback to 15,000 points...

Key points of this article: 𝒪 We will continue to hold crude oil which has hit new highs again 𝒪 US stocks hovering at high levels, is it another opportunity to short? ◉ Asian markets—The Hang Seng Index continues to fluctuate, while the Nikkei successfully overcomes the bears. As mentioned in the past two weeks, the Hang Seng Index has been stuck in a range-bound state, making it unsuitable for both long and short positions. This week's movement once again confirms this view. As seen in the chart, the Hang Seng Index is surrounded by key levels both above and below, with no clear stronger side. Unless it's for intraday trading, there's no need to consider it. After the Nikkei Index V-rebounded and broke through the highs, it easily stabilized above the resistance level. Although the long opportunity here isn't great, the trend is relatively strong, making it worth adding to the watchlist...

本篇文章重點：𝒪美股再度破頂，還適合做多嗎？𝒪日經為甚麼比恒指好做？𝒪 原油做多部位的處理◉亞洲市場—恒指多淡皆不宜，日經看實大關鍵位上周提到恒指做多做淡都有道理，本周四五就來轉過山車，先殺上 16900 點受壓再回落到 16500 點。圖中可見恒指有兩個大支持位 16150 / 16500 (藍線)，以及一個大阻力位 16900 (橙線)。上方形成頭肩頂利淡，同時下方形成頭肩底利多...

「每一個交易日的早上，數以千萬計的投資者像隻辛勤的蜜蜂般打開自己的交易平台，看著秒秒鐘幾百萬上落的數字，開展他們的投資部署並投入市場。然而在這些投資者裡，絕大部份人都不太清楚自己想看甚麼、想買賣甚麼、想做甚麼。」◉動能策略的觀察方法強勢動能策略是散戶常用的盈利策略之一。而追蹤動能，就需要觀察並找出相對強弱的股票，並投注在強大的行業和大市趨勢之上。即使你無法事前預知哪些能夠跑出...

本篇文章重點：𝒪美港指數再度提供一次入場做多的空間𝒪最近數周一直看多原油的原因◉亞洲市場—港股升穿後回調、日經下跌變整固恒指周二突破 2 月底所建立的阻力 16830 點，但其後連續三日回調，現今微微跌穿了前阻力。此處無論是做多還是做空都有道理：做多：現在回落到 16580 點附近，是 3 月整固的頂部，可賭阻力轉支持做空：升穿 16830 點後迅速跌回區間之內，可賭維持區間...

本篇文章重點：𝒪仍然保持強勢的資產𝒪個別失速的資產𝒪NVDA 如何部署◉亞洲市場—港股堅守 16200 點、日經調頭跌穿恒指期貨本周在 16200 至 16600 附近徘徊，隱約走出了一個頭肩底的形態。但即使在肩部 16200 點買入，止損需要 200 點、阻力就在 400 點後，回報率僅 1:2，不太吸引。如果它能夠再跌多一點再整固，我倒會考慮賭之前的上升三角形的有效性。日經表現令人失望...

這篇文章，寫給已有一定經驗的投資者。本文分享的幾個投資理念，建立了我的交易策略系統。這些思路，對於仍然在思考、掙扎的交易者來說，能為你省去很多試錯成本。 𝒪建立正回報的交易策略交易的奧秘，說白了就是找出正回報，並跑贏市場的交易策略。基於此條件下，風險愈低愈好。如果將交易視為一道方程式，那麼正回報策略就是最開始的那個基數，心態和資金管理都只是乘數。基數是零的話，再良好的心態、再龐大的資金...

本篇文章重點：𝒪全球資產的 2 月趨勢𝒪長線趨勢能夠作為短線操作的指引𝒪不少資產已走出趨勢，長線沒有買入點。𝒪比特幣、美元/日元、黃金正準備突破歷史高位，屬於不可錯過的大好機會 ◉亞洲市場—港股仍未扭轉頹勢，日經繼續破頂二月恒指期貨漲 927 點，僅收回至一月大陰燭的一半。儘管已從低位升超過 2000 點，但在長線角度，現在仍然是大跌小漲的格局。另外...

本篇文章重点：𝒪恒指突破后的操作策略𝒪哪个指数更好做多𝒪热度减退的资产往往有最好的入场点◉亚洲市场—港日市场强势突破恒指以上升三角形突破 16460 点日线阻力位，整体趋势往上。只要再度回调至 16460 点并站稳，将会是吸引的买入点。唯一隐忧是，下次阻力位在 17250 点，风险回报比不算优秀。日经指数同样强势，而且上方无阻力，趋势涨幅也足够平稳，是个更好的趋势跟踪机会...

本篇文章重點：𝒪對恒指再度挑戰 16400 點的看法𝒪我認為 AI 股已變成巨大泡沫的原因𝒪本周較優質的入場機會◉亞洲市場—港股未有明顯趨勢、日股保持強勢本周港股，恒指再度在 15560 前支持位附近反彈，一舉來到了前阻力 16400 點。驟眼觀察，網民對港股短期前景普遍樂觀，認為已經觸底，但我卻有不同看法。第一，目前恒指仍然無法明確地擊穿 16400 附近的阻力帶，而上一次的回調也跌至前支持位...