肖总财经

Last night, Meta released a major piece of news, planning to rent out its idle AI computing power to the public, building its own AI cloud business. As soon as the news broke, Meta's stock price surged, while hardware stocks collectively pulled back. I immediately wrote a simple post for members, saying that if it were me, I would opportunistically and in batches bottom-fish for equipment, storage, etc., based on the initial judgment that the market is being overly emotional. 1. The market's logic for selling off hardware is: if Meta is starting to rent out computing power, it indicates an oversupply of computing power, meaning future spending on hardware like GPU, HBM, SSD will be reduced...

$Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ.US) $SPDR S&P 500(SPY.US) 1. After analyzing in the previous post that gold was likely to fall in the short term after the war, I also suggested in the group to avoid precious metals for the short term. Then, in the evening, I cleared the agq positions that were betting on a rebound, and last night, I took profits on almost all gold, silver, and copper positions in US stocks. I also bought some near-month puts on QQQ and SPY as an insurance strategy for this war, although I bought them a bit late, and the total allocation is less than 2%...

As shown in the figure, pay attention to the timing: In mid-winter, the stock market suddenly showed signs of adjustment. I assessed the situation and decisively reduced my position to avoid the downturn. By the end of winter, I went all-in again, just as the stock index soared, breaking through like a hot knife through butter. This operation may seem ordinary, but the difficulties involved, especially the fluctuations in gold, silver, and copper, and the precision required, are hard to understand unless you've experienced it yourself. The fine balance and decisive actions are only comprehensible to those who have mastered the art of stock trading. The essence of investment lies not in chasing gains or cutting losses, but in timing and strategy; not in short-term profits, but in the rhythm of advance and retreat. Reducing positions in October was not out of fear...