I expect MAS will tighten its monetary policy tomorrow. This should benefit stocks like the three big banks and consumer staples.
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Standard Chartered PLC, together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services in Asia, Africa, the Middle East, Europe, and the America...
Standard Chartered advanced 1.62% to HK$238.00, supported by recent fintech innovations and share buybacks, with an intraday high of HK$239.20. The morning session opened at HK$237 and climbed steadily; the afternoon retreated modestly but held around HK$238. The company has actively expanded its digital finance presence through co-launching a Hong Kong-based stablecoin and broadening Trust digital banking services, demonstrating proactive positioning amid fintech competition. Concurrent share buybacks underscore management's confidence in the company's value. Earnings provide support: Q2 operating revenue of HK$43.5 billion remained stable sequentially, while EPS of HK$5.91 grew 6.67% year-over-year, moderating from Q1's robust 31.64% but maintaining positive momentum. Valuations remain attractive with a PE of just 12.23x; the stock trades near its 52-week high of HK$240, having surged 24% year-to-date and trading well above its 60-day moving average.
Standard Chartered shares slipped 1.93% to HK$234.2 today, pressured by CEO Bill Winters' recent share sale of approximately £6.66 million and decelerating Q2 earnings growth. Q2 EPS of HK$5.9061 grew just 6.67% year-over-year, a sharp slowdown from Q1's 31.64% jump, while net profit of HK$13.39 billion declined 0.12% YoY, signaling softer earnings momentum. Trading weakness persisted throughout the day, with morning losses extending into the afternoon and the stock touching a daily low of HK$234 at 15:31. However, the stock has still gained 22.04% year-to-date and sits just 2.42% below its 52-week high of HK$240, with a reasonable PE of 12.04 and PB of 1.41. Recent positives including regulatory approval to distribute capital markets products at India's GIFT City, Trust Bank integration progress, and ongoing share buybacks provide some support, though near-term market concerns about earnings deceleration appear to outweigh these catalysts.
Standard Chartered closed at HKD 238.8, up approximately 2.1% from the previous close, supported by recent positive developments including service expansions from digital bank Trust Bank and Hong Kong stablecoin business initiatives. Morning trading advanced steadily to 236.6, with afternoon momentum extending to close at 238.8, marking the day's high. Intraday, the stock touched a low of 236.2 at 14:23 before rebounding sharply to the closing price at 15:54. On earnings, Q1 EPS growth of 31.64% year-over-year moderated to 6.67% in Q2, with revenue growth similarly decelerating from 9.41% to 2.54%, signaling a divergence in momentum. Currently trading just 0.5% below the 52-week high of 240, the stock sits near historic peaks; year-to-date gains of 24.44% position it well above the 60-day moving average of 217.4. However, Q2 net profit remained essentially flat year-over-year, a deceleration trend worth monitoring.
Standard Chartered declined 0.34% today, with morning weakness pushing the stock down roughly 1% to an intraday low of 231.0, before recovering in afternoon trade to close at 233.8. The intraday reversal likely reflects profit-taking after a recent rally, as year-to-date gains stand at +21.83% with the stock trading just 2.58% below its 52-week high of 240 set on July 30. Recent catalysts include today's announcement that the company is canceling its share buyback and CEO Bill Winters' sale of approximately GBP 665 million in shares in early August—both potentially signaling shifts in capital allocation strategy. Q2 earnings showed EPS of 5.9061 (up 6.67% YoY and +4.6% QoQ), though revenue growth moderated to just 2.54% YoY with net profit essentially flat sequentially. Valuation remains reasonable at 12.0x PE and 1.41x PB. While Citic Securities maintained a buy rating and the company secured approval to distribute capital markets products in India, the deceleration in revenue growth and management's reduced shareholding warrant continued observation.
Standard Chartered shares retreated 0.6% to HKD234.60 on profit-taking following yesterday's near 52-week peak of HKD237.40. Morning trading held relatively steady between HKD235-237, while afternoon pressure materialized from 14:35 BJ time onward, with prices dipping to the daily low of HKD234.40 against cautious turnover of 0.02%. Fundamentally, Q2 earnings underpin sentiment with EPS reaching HKD5.91, up 6.67% year-over-year, and operating revenue of HKD43.5 billion reflecting 2.54% growth despite net profit easing 0.12% annually; the stability versus Q1 shows earnings resilience. Year-to-date gains of 22.25% now position the stock just 2.25% below its 52-week high of HKD240 set on July 30th. JPMorgan Chase maintains an Overweight stance with a HKD295 target price, implying 26% upside from current levels. Recent developments including CEO Bill Winters' share disposals and the cancellation of stock buyback programs may weigh on near-term sentiment, yet valuations at P/E of 12.06x and P/B of 1.41x remain reasonable, suggesting the market has yet to fully price in growth optionality for this international banking franchise.
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I expect MAS will tighten its monetary policy tomorrow. This should benefit stocks like the three big banks and consumer staples.
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MAS is more on the side of "fighting inflation," but will do so in a very cautious manner, rather than turning fully hawkish.
In other words, it's less like "completely standing on the sidelines," and more like gently tapping the brakes first, then watching oil prices and the Middle East situation.
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There is no point in trading the energy spike as the events flip-flops constantly. Staying out of this sector and just invest in areas within my circle of competence, like banks, REITs, Etc.
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