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Invesco Dorsey Wright Consumer Staples Momentum ETF
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Morning Trend | Kroger Continues to Test Support, Is Bottom-Fishing Capital About to Make a Move?

Kroger (KR.US) has recently tested the core support line below multiple times, with funds showing signs of low absorption during the trading session and a moderate increase in trading volume. Many 'foodie-type' funds are lurking in the community, and short-term bulls are attempting to test the lower edge of the annual trading range, with uncertainty about whether a surge will follow. Yesterday afternoon, some major accounts increased their positions in the food retail sector, with community voices suggesting 'it's KR's turn for a reversal.' Technical analysts are paying attention to the good support around the 10-day and 20-day moving averages, as maintaining this level is crucial for the sector's rotation rhythm. If volume continues to increase today, a small rebound could ignite at any time; however, if there is another decrease in volume that breaks the support, the annual low may be at risk of being lost. The dynamics of large funds determine KR's rhythm, and it is advisable to enter and exit quickly before a breakout, keeping an eye on real-time intraday data and capital flow, while controlling positions to guard against risks when bottom-fishing for a rebound

Technical Forecast·
US
KR
-4.62%
Technical Forecast·
US
KR
-4.62%

Morning Trend | Performance Food Group hits a new low, is there a chance for a quick rebound after the intensified sector crisis?

Performance Food Group (PFGC.US) has recently seen its stock price weakly dip to a new low, with the sector overall underperforming and capital outflows intensifying, leading to generally low community sentiment. During yesterday's trading session, funds attempted multiple times to push the price up, but were suppressed by large short orders. However, the buying support at the bottom has not completely disappeared, and some traders believe that the decline has entered a "phase of extreme value after marginal crisis." Market data shows that after PFGC set a new low for the year yesterday, there was a concentrated attempt to rebound in the afternoon at lower levels, forming a "short-term V-shaped" mini-surge. The trading volume for the entire day significantly increased, indicating that the washout pressure has been established, and the number of funds buying on dips is gradually increasing. Quantitative trading and active T combinations are also frequently testing small wave rebounds, with voices in the community asking, "Is a desperate counter-trend short-term rally coming?" From a technical perspective, the continuous decline to new lows combined with increased volume in attempts to rebound often indicates that it is in the later stage of the bottoming process, with no dense chip pressure below, just waiting for the sector's capital to return and trigger a rebound. After the BOLL lower band was breached, a rapid pullback occurred. Historical statistics show that after each sustained oversell of PFGC, once there are signs of main force activity and sector rotation, there is often a quick rebound of 3-5% in the short term. However, the premise of "opportunity in crisis" is that funds are willing to take risks to ignite. If there is sustained volume and significant intraday movement today, the rebound window is likely to arrive early; conversely, if the volume shrinks again without new event catalysts, PFGC still faces the risk of repeated bottoming and even the potential for a delayed new low

Technical Forecast·
US
PFGC
+0.42%
Technical Forecast·
US
PFGC
+0.42%

Morning Trend | Phillip Morris experiences intraday fluctuations, is a short-term rebound opportunity approaching after a tug-of-war?

Philip Morris (PM.US) experienced unusual volatility during trading yesterday, quickly dipping in the morning before a large buy order surged in the afternoon, indicating a clear escalation in the divergence between the main players and short sellers. The community was flooded with discussions about "unusual movements of main players," and the short-term sentiment began to heat up, with some funds already positioning themselves in anticipation of a rebound. From the market and intraday perspective, after the rapid dip in PM's price yesterday, there were three consecutive waves of large orders, indicating that institutions were attempting to "strike at the critical point" and scoop up shares at lower levels. The total trading volume significantly increased compared to the previous trading day, but the closing price remained near the key support level, reflecting a tug-of-war between reluctant short sellers and probing bulls, resulting in a choppy market. Observing the intraday movements, the volume gradually increased during the rebound, and the price rise was well-coordinated, but the selling pressure above had not yet been fully released. The main players' control increased, with active trading gradually shifting towards the main buying side, and short-term "short squeeze" signals were ignited. Meanwhile, the community's FOMO sentiment was brewing, with speculative funds waiting for sudden policy news or sector linkage to activate higher volatility. From a technical perspective, after a short-term oversold condition and a volume-driven rebound, PM is expected to test the 10-day moving average and important resistance levels. If funds continue to flow in during today's trading, and the main players quickly cover short positions accompanied by amplified intraday movements, a true rebound climax may be on the horizon, with opportunities for the main players to significantly increase their positions. Conversely, if the volume shrinks or the rebound is hindered by resistance zones, caution is advised as there may be a "trap" for short-term buyers leading to further fluctuations or even declines. In terms of operational advice, it is advisable to take partial profits and reduce position risks during rapid short-term rallies, and if the volume does not support the rebound, consider reducing positions and observing the market

Technical Forecast·
US
PM
-2.06%
Technical Forecast·
US
PM
-2.06%

Morning Trend | Kroger reduces volume and grinds at the bottom, can the support line hold? Is a short-term buying opportunity coming?

Kroger (KR.US) has recently seen a continuous decline in stock price with reduced trading volume, and yesterday the intraday volatility narrowed to an extreme, indicating that the market has clearly entered a stalemate of "bull-bear tug-of-war + defensive funds holding firm." Discussions in the trading community are ongoing, with some bearish on the continuation while aggressive funds begin to position themselves for a bargain—after all, there have been small rebound opportunities following similar trends in the past. Looking closely at the order book, KR briefly broke below the previous low yesterday but quickly rebounded, closing above the short-term support line, with small funds frequently buying on dips during intraday trading. From the Top Level data, active selling has a slight edge, but the outflow of large orders is not significant, indicating that the main force has not yet panicked and sold off, while retail investors and some quantitative accounts continue to participate in T trading at key intraday points. Technically, the 5-day and 10-day moving averages are gradually converging, and the MACD is flat at a low level without turning positive, suggesting that there is currently no real momentum for a major upward wave in the short term. However, behind the reduced volume consolidation, market consensus is gradually brewing: on one hand, reduced volume represents less selling pressure, which could trigger a volume-driven rebound at any time; on the other hand, if large orders from unusual funds enter the market, the short-term bulls could easily "add fuel to the fire," directly pushing the stock price to break through the recent resistance range. There are no major negative news at the moment, and the fundamentals remain solid with a defensive premium in food retail, limiting the main downside potential. The community's FOMO sentiment is also gradually accumulating: once KR can regain key support with increased volume, it could open up a window for a "false drop turning into a bargain" rebound

Technical Forecast·
US
KR
-4.62%
Technical Forecast·
US
KR
-4.62%

Morning Trend | PFGC Large Order Pressure Released, Rebound Opportunity Emerges?

Performance Food Group (PFGC.US) has recently faced significant pressure from large orders, with the intraday resistance level being tested repeatedly. At the end of yesterday's trading session, there was a surge in active buy orders. Community traders stated, "The pressure is about to end, and we can focus on the rhythm of lifting." Technically, the key support is at the $74.5 level, and the MACD has entered a turning point between bullish and bearish. The intraday volatility has suddenly intensified. If the main capital's unusual movements can continue to increase, the short-term rebound window will fully open; otherwise, when sentiment is weak, it is easy to see a rise followed by a pullback. The defensive theme in the food circulation sector is heating up towards the end of the year. The subsequent trend of PFGC needs to focus on the overall linkage of sector funds, as large-scale capital will determine the rhythm

Technical Forecast·
US
PFGC
+0.42%
Technical Forecast·
US
PFGC
+0.42%
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