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US Core CPI Meets Expectations, Overall CPI Below Expectations in January

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The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield has surpassed 5.17%, the highest since 2007, while the 10-year yield reached 4.67% due to ongoing inflation concerns. This trend has led to increased bond yields in Europe, the UK, and Japan. Markets are now anticipating a potential Fed rate hike by late 2026 as inflation expectations remain elevated.

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US long-term yields hit highest levels since 2007

US stocks closed mixed with the Dow up 0.32% while the S&P and Nasdaq fell. Trump paused a planned attack on Iran, responding to requests from Middle Eastern leaders, which caused market volatility. Oil prices fluctuated significantly, and US yields were also volatile. The EURUSD reached session highs, while GBPUSD rebounded after early losses. Overall, geopolitical tensions influenced market movements.

- US stocks closed mixed, with the Dow rising while the S&P and Nasdaq fell.  
- Key events included a jury ruling against Elon Musk and a report of false claims regarding US oil sanctions.  
- Amid geopolitical developments, Iran's nuclear freeze proposal and Trump's cancellation of a planned attack on Iran affected market volatility, including fluctuations in crude oil prices and US yields.

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investingLive Americas FX news wrap 18 May: Trump pauses Iran attack, markets whip

Oil prices and bond yields surged following Trump's rejection of Iran's peace plan, raising concerns about long-term inflation. Meanwhile, G7 finance chiefs convene in Paris to discuss debt, inflation, and energy security amid escalating geopolitical tensions. The US is considering military options as indirect negotiations with Iran persist without progress.

Oil and bond yields jump as US rejects Iran offer

China and Japan led a significant selloff in U.S. Treasuries in March due to rising oil prices and weakening Asian currencies. The U.S.-Iran conflict and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz heightened inflation concerns, resulting in global bond yields reaching multi-decade highs. Upcoming April data will indicate whether central banks will continue selling Treasuries to stabilize currencies amid ongoing energy market challenges.

China and Japan lead record US Treasury selloff amid Gulf crisis

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Investor concerns over rising inflation have led to a sell-off in the global bond market, pushing U.S. long-term Treasury yields to their highest levels in nearly three years. The 30-year U.S. Treasury bond yield rose to 5.16%, while the 10-year and 2-year yields reached 4.63% and 4.10%, respectively. In Japan, the 30-year government bond yield surged to 4.2%. BNP Paribas' Guneet Dhingra advises clients to focus on a trading range of 5.25% to 5.5% for the 30-year U.S. Treasury bond.

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Global Bond Market Faces Sell-Off Amid Inflation Concerns

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Global bond markets are experiencing significant losses as inflation fears rise due to escalating energy prices linked to the ongoing Middle East conflict. U.S. Treasury yields have surged, with the 10-year yield reaching 4.6310%, the highest since February 2025. Analysts warn of potential economic fallout and increased interest rate expectations from central banks, with a more than 50% chance of a Federal Reserve rate hike by December. The selloff has also impacted European and Japanese bonds, with yields hitting record highs.

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Global bond rout deepens as inflation fears mount

U.S. Treasurys are in a "danger zone" as surging long-term yields raise fears that sticky inflation could begin spilling over into equities, strategists said.

US Treasurys are now firmly in the 'danger zone,' strategists say

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Treasury yields edged lower in overnight trade as oil prices eased, but overall remained at elevated levels.

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US Treasury yields decline as investors await Middle East resolution

The 10-year Treasury yield has reached 4.62%, projected to approach 4.75%, the highest since February 2025, driven by persistent inflation. Analysts predict no rate cuts, with a potential July hike to address rising inflation and wage pressures. This increase in U.S. yields is affecting global bond markets, raising borrowing costs and impacting stocks, particularly in rate-sensitive sectors.

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Treasury yields climb as inflation fears fuel Fed hike bets

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Morgan Stanley warns of a potential 'meaningful correction' in the stock market due to a bond selloff, with the S&P 500 down 1% since its recent high. The 10-year Treasury yield has reached 4.58%, the highest since February 2025. Analysts expect equity prices to correct if rates continue to rise, influenced by the U.S.-Iran war and rising oil prices. Despite this, Morgan Stanley maintains a bullish long-term outlook, raising its 12-month S&P 500 target to 8,300.

- The S&P 500 has decreased by 1% since reaching a new record high, influenced by rising bond yields, with the 10-year Treasury yield at 4.58%.  
- Analysts from Morgan Stanley warn that if rates continue to rise, a significant correction in equity prices might occur, particularly due to the U.S.-Iran war's impact on oil and inflation risks.  
- Despite short-term concerns, Morgan Stanley maintains a bullish long-term outlook, raising its 12-month price target for the S&P 500 to 8,300 and its 2026 year-end price target to 8,000.

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Stock Market Faces 'Meaningful Correction' Risk from Bond Selloff, Warns Morgan Stanley

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