<p>丰田（纽约证券交易所：TM）股价即将形成一个危险的图表模式，可能会在未来几周内进一步下跌。股价已跌至 193 美元，是自 2024 年 1 月以来的最低点，比历史最高点低 255 美元，表明其处于深度熊市中。</p>
<h2>汽车行业正在发生变革</h2>
<p>随着传统公司受到中国等新兴快速增长公司的颠覆，汽车行业面临重大挑战。</p>
<p>像比亚迪（BYD）这样的中国公司已经从 ‘无名小卒’ 成长为全球最大的汽车制造商之一。2023 年，比亚迪的汽车销量超过了 300 万辆，超过了特斯拉。</p>
<p>因此，像丰田、通用汽车、福特和本田等传统公司正面临新的挑战。</p>
<p>许多公司强烈转向电动汽车，受到政府和气候活动家的推动。但在很大程度上，这些公司并未成功转型。</p>
<p>然而，丰田由于对内燃机和混合动力汽车的坚定支持表现不俗。这一表现可从丰田在 2023 年的交付量创下历史新高得以证明。</p>
<p>丰田在汽车行业保持着领先的市场份额，这解释了为什么其股价表现比其他传统汽车制造商更好。</p>
<p>该公司还在电池技术方面崭露头角。丰田正在研发固态电池，确保快速充电和更高的能量密度。它希望在 2026 年或 2027 年开始在其车辆中生产和装配这些电池。</p>
<p>因此，丰田的车辆将在单次充电中行驶更远的距离，解决了许多消费者担心续航里程的问题。预计丰田将成为内燃机、混合动力和全电动汽车领域的领导者。</p>
<h2>丰田的增长持续进行中</h2>
<p>丰田的业务长期以来一直保持稳定增长。由于疫情的影响，其年收入从 2019 年的 2570 亿美元下降到 2020 年的超过 2260 亿美元。此后，这一数字大幅增长，公司在 2023 年实现了 2750 亿美元的销售额。其年利润从 2019 年的 189 亿美元增长到上一个财政年度的 320 亿美元。</p>
<p>丰田的汽车收入在上一个财政年度增长了 22%，而其金融服务和其他业务部门分别增长了 24% 和 11.7%。相比之下，按估值计算是行业最大公司的特斯拉在过去几个季度的收入有所下降。</p>
<p>丰田的销售在所有地区都在增长，其日本销售增长了 195%，而北美、欧洲和亚洲业务均实现了两位数增长。</p>
<p>丰田股价的下一个重要催化剂将是本周四公布的 2025 年第一季度财报。这些数字将提供更多关于丰田今年业务表现的细节。</p>
<p>分析师们认为，受到其混合动力汽车需求增长的推动，丰田今年的业务仍然表现良好。然而，有迹象表明增长势头正在减弱。就在本周，该公司表示，由于中国和日本的原因，其全球产量在 6 月略微下降。此外，其 4 月至 6 月期间的全球销量下降了 2%。</p>
<p>最大的丰田竞争对手已经报告了疲软的业绩。福特股价从今年最高点下跌了超过 27%，因其销售势头令人失望。其收入为 448.1 亿美元，每股收益为 47 美分，因保修准备金而下降。</p>
<p>同样，通用汽车股价已跌至 44 美元，是自今年 5 月 31 日以来的最低点，比今年最高水平低 12%。尽管底特律制造商发布了强劲的业绩，其收入飙升至 479.7 亿美元，但股价仍然下跌。</p>
<p>也许表现最差的是斯泰利斯（Stellantis），这家玛莎拉蒂、Jeep 和克莱斯勒的母公司。其股价从今年最高点下跌了超过 40%，目前处于去年 7 月以来的最低点。</p>
<p>该公司的财务业绩疲软，导致多家分析师下调评级，包括德意志银行。雷诺也因增长缓慢而从 54 欧元跌至 44 欧元。</p>
<h2>丰田股价分析</h2>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/Toyota-stock-1.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="3574" height="1986" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/Toyota-stock-1.png"/></p>
<p>TM 图表由 TradingView 提供</p>
<p>与此同时，丰田股价也表现不佳。股价从 254 美元下跌至当前的 195 美元。在此过程中，股价略微跌破了关键支撑位 193 美元，即 6 月 17 日的最低点和双底图案的下侧。</p>
<p>最重要的是，股价即将形成死亡交叉，因为 200 日和 50 日移动平均线即将形成一个看跌的交叉。在大多数情况下，死亡交叉意味着资产将大幅下跌，因为熊市已占据主导地位。</p>
<p>丰田股票还略微超过了 50% 的斐波纳契回撤点。因此，股价可能会继续下跌，卖家将瞄准 176 美元的 61.8% 回撤点。另一种情况是股价反弹并重新测试 200 美元的阻力点。</p>
<p>本文来源于 Invezz，原文链接：Toyota stock price: death cross nears ahead of earnings</p>

丰田汽车

丰田(ADR)

<p>丰田汽车股价正在形成一个危险的图表模式，跌至自 2024 年 1 月以来的最低点。汽车行业面临来自较小新兴公司的挑战，传统汽车制造商正在转向电动车。丰田汽车一直保持着领先的市场份额，并在电池技术方面处于领先地位。公司的销售额和利润一直在增长，但有减速的迹象。即将到来的 2025 年第一季度财报将提供更多见解。丰田汽车的股价也在下跌，接近死亡交叉点</p>

<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/toyota-stock.jpg" alt="" original-src="https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/toyota-stock.jpg"/></p>
<p>Toyota (NYSE: TM) stock price is about to form a dangerous chart pattern that could push it much lower in the coming weeks. It has dropped to $193, its lowest point since January 2024, and 255 below its all-time high, meaning that it is in a deep bear market.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>丰田（纽约证券交易所：TM）股价即将形成一个危险的图表模式，可能会在未来几周内进一步下跌。股价已跌至 193 美元，是自 2024 年 1 月以来的最低点，比历史最高点低 255 美元，表明其处于深度熊市中。</p>
</div><h2>Automotive industry is changing</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>汽车行业正在发生变革</h2>
</div><p>The automotive industry is seeing major challenges as traditional companies become disrupted by smaller and fast-growing upstarts, especially from China.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>随着传统公司受到中国等新兴快速增长公司的颠覆，汽车行业面临重大挑战。</p>
</div><p>A Chinese company like BYD has come from ‘nowhere’ to become one of the biggest auto manufacturers in the world. It shipped over 3 million vehicles in 2023 as it overtook Tesla.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>像比亚迪（BYD）这样的中国公司已经从 ‘无名小卒’ 成长为全球最大的汽车制造商之一。2023 年，比亚迪的汽车销量超过了 300 万辆，超过了特斯拉。</p>
</div><p>As a result, traditional companies like Toyota, General Motors, Ford, and Honda are in a new normal.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>因此，像丰田、通用汽车、福特和本田等传统公司正面临新的挑战。</p>
</div><p>Many of them pivoted strongly to the electric vehicles, motivated by governments and climate activists. To a large extent, these firms have not succeeded in their pivot.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>许多公司强烈转向电动汽车，受到政府和气候活动家的推动。但在很大程度上，这些公司并未成功转型。</p>
</div><p>Toyota, nonetheless, has done well because of its unwavering support for Internal Combustion Engine (ICE) and hybrid vehicles. This performance is evidenced by Toyota’s deliveries in 2023, which soared to a record high.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，丰田由于对内燃机和混合动力汽车的坚定支持表现不俗。这一表现可从丰田在 2023 年的交付量创下历史新高得以证明。</p>
</div><p>Toyota maintains a leading market share in the automotive industry, which explains why its stock has done better than other traditional automakers.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>丰田在汽车行业保持着领先的市场份额，这解释了为什么其股价表现比其他传统汽车制造商更好。</p>
</div><p>The company has also emerged as a leader in battery technologies. It is working on solid-state batteries that ensure fast charging and higher energy density. It hopes to start manufacturing and equipping these batteries in its vehicles either in 2026 or 2027.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>该公司还在电池技术方面崭露头角。丰田正在研发固态电池，确保快速充电和更高的能量密度。它希望在 2026 年或 2027 年开始在其车辆中生产和装配这些电池。</p>
</div><p>As a result, Toyota vehicles will travel for longer on a single charge, solving the range anxiety issue that many consumers have. Toyota is then expected to be a leader in ICE, hybrid, and fully electric vehicles.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>因此，丰田的车辆将在单次充电中行驶更远的距离，解决了许多消费者担心续航里程的问题。预计丰田将成为内燃机、混合动力和全电动汽车领域的领导者。</p>
</div><h2>Toyota growth is continuing</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>丰田的增长持续进行中</h2>
</div><p>Toyota’s business has been in a steady growth path for a long tme. Its annual revenue dropped from $257 billion in 2019 to over $226 billion in 2020 because of the pandemic. Since then, the numbers have grown substantially and the company attained sales of $275 billion in 2023. Its annual profits moved from $18.9 billion in 2019 to over $32 billion in the last financial year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>丰田的业务长期以来一直保持稳定增长。由于疫情的影响，其年收入从 2019 年的 2570 亿美元下降到 2020 年的超过 2260 亿美元。此后，这一数字大幅增长，公司在 2023 年实现了 2750 亿美元的销售额。其年利润从 2019 年的 189 亿美元增长到上一个财政年度的 320 亿美元。</p>
</div><p>Toyota’s automotive revenue rose by 22% in the last financial year while its financial services and the other segment grew by 24% and 11.7%, respectively. In contrast, Tesla, the biggest company in the industry by valuation, has seen its revenues soften in the past few quarters.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>丰田的汽车收入在上一个财政年度增长了 22%，而其金融服务和其他业务部门分别增长了 24% 和 11.7%。相比之下，按估值计算是行业最大公司的特斯拉在过去几个季度的收入有所下降。</p>
</div><p>Toyota’s sales are growing across all its regions, Its Japan sales rose by 195 while its North American, Europe, and Asia business rose by double-digits.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>丰田的销售在所有地区都在增长，其日本销售增长了 195%，而北美、欧洲和亚洲业务均实现了两位数增长。</p>
</div><p>The next important catalyst for the Toyota stock price will be its Q1’25 earnings scheduled for Thursday this week. These numbers will provide more details about Toyota’s business performance this year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>丰田股价的下一个重要催化剂将是本周四公布的 2025 年第一季度财报。这些数字将提供更多关于丰田今年业务表现的细节。</p>
</div><p>Analysts believe that its business continued doing well this year, helped by the growing demand of its hybrid vehicles. However, there are signs that the momentum is easing. Just this week, the company said that its global output dropped slightly in June because of China and Japan. Also, its global sales dropped by 2% in April-June period.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>分析师们认为，受到其混合动力汽车需求增长的推动，丰田今年的业务仍然表现良好。然而，有迹象表明增长势头正在减弱。就在本周，该公司表示，由于中国和日本的原因，其全球产量在 6 月略微下降。此外，其 4 月至 6 月期间的全球销量下降了 2%。</p>
</div><p>The biggest Toyota competitors have reported weak results. Ford stock price dived by over 27% from its highest point this year as its sales momentum disappointed. Its revenue came in at $44.81 billion while its earnings per share came in at 47 cents because of warranty reserves.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>最大的丰田竞争对手已经报告了疲软的业绩。福特股价从今年最高点下跌了超过 27%，因其销售势头令人失望。其收入为 448.1 亿美元，每股收益为 47 美分，因保修准备金而下降。</p>
</div><p>Similarly, General Motors stock price has dropped to $44, its lowest point since May 31st and by 12% from its highest level this year. This decline happened even after the Detroit manufacturer published strong results, with its revenue soaring to $47.97 billion.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>同样，通用汽车股价已跌至 44 美元，是自今年 5 月 31 日以来的最低点，比今年最高水平低 12%。尽管底特律制造商发布了强劲的业绩，其收入飙升至 479.7 亿美元，但股价仍然下跌。</p>
</div><p>Perhaps, the worst-performer has been Stellantis, the parent company of Maserati, Jeep, and Chrysler. Its stock has crshed by over 40% from its highest point this year and is hovering at its lowest point since July last year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>也许表现最差的是斯泰利斯（Stellantis），这家玛莎拉蒂、Jeep 和克莱斯勒的母公司。其股价从今年最高点下跌了超过 40%，目前处于去年 7 月以来的最低点。</p>
</div><p>The company’s financial results were weak, leading to multiple analyst downgrades, including from Deutsche Bank. Renault has also tumbled from 54 euros to 44 euros amid slow growth.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>该公司的财务业绩疲软，导致多家分析师下调评级，包括德意志银行。雷诺也因增长缓慢而从 54 欧元跌至 44 欧元。</p>
</div><h2>Toyota stock price analysis</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>丰田股价分析</h2>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/Toyota-stock-1.png" alt="" original-src="https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/Toyota-stock-1.png"/></p>
<p>TM chart by TradingView</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>TM 图表由 TradingView 提供</p>
</div><p>Meanwhile, the Toyota share price is not doing well too. It has plunged from over $254 to the current $195. Along the way, the stock has moved slightly below the key support at $193, its lowest swing on June 17th and the lower side of the double-bottom pattern.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>与此同时，丰田股价也表现不佳。股价从 254 美元下跌至当前的 195 美元。在此过程中，股价略微跌破了关键支撑位 193 美元，即 6 月 17 日的最低点和双底图案的下侧。</p>
</div><p>Most importantly, the stock is about to form a death cross as the 200-day and 50-day moving averages approach a bearish crossover. In most cases, a death cross leads to a big drop in an asset since it means that bears have prevailed.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>最重要的是，股价即将形成死亡交叉，因为 200 日和 50 日移动平均线即将形成一个看跌的交叉。在大多数情况下，死亡交叉意味着资产将大幅下跌，因为熊市已占据主导地位。</p>
</div><p>Toyota stock has also moved slightly abovethe 50% Fibonacci Retracement point. Therefore, the shares will likely continue falling as sellers target the 61.8% retracement point at $176. The alternative scenario is where the stock bounces back and retests the resistance point at $200.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>丰田股票还略微超过了 50% 的斐波纳契回撤点。因此，股价可能会继续下跌，卖家将瞄准 176 美元的 61.8% 回撤点。另一种情况是股价反弹并重新测试 200 美元的阻力点。</p>
</div><p>The post Toyota stock price: death cross nears ahead of earnings appeared first on Invezz</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>本文来源于 Invezz，原文链接：Toyota stock price: death cross nears ahead of earnings</p>
</div>

Toyota stock price: death cross nears ahead of earnings

- 丰田（NYSE: TM）股价即将形成危险的图表模式，可能在未来几周内进一步下跌。
- 汽车行业正面临重大挑战，传统公司受到中国等新兴公司的颠覆，如比亚迪已成为全球最大汽车制造商之一。
- 丰田一直支持内燃机和混合动力车辆，交付量创纪录高，市场份额领先，且在电池技术方面处于领先地位。

丰田股票价格：在财报发布前，死亡交叉即将出现