<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/celsius.jpeg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="999" height="562" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/celsius.jpeg"/></p>
<p>Celsius Holdings（CELH）股价已从美国表现最佳公司之一下跌至最糟糕之一。CELH 股价从今年最高点下跌约 60％，跌至 2023 年 5 月以来的最低点，市值从 236 亿美元降至 89 亿美元，意味着持有者损失了超过 147 亿美元。</p>
<h2>Celsius Holdings 迅速增长</h2>
<p>Celsius 是领先的能量饮料制造商，已成为饮料行业增长最快的公司。其饮料在社交媒体上走红，使其年销售额从 2019 年的 7.51 亿美元增长到 2023 年的 13.8 亿美元。</p>
<p>在与全球第二大能量饮料公司百事可乐达成协议后，该增长加速。百事可乐向 Celsius 投资 5.5 亿美元，并获得了这些饮料的分销权。</p>
<p>这对 Celsius 和百事可乐都是双赢局面。Celsius 利用了百事可乐的广泛分销网络，而百事可乐则获得了一个增长速度与怡泉可乐与怪兽饮料达成协议后相似的饮料。该协议使怪兽饮料成为继红牛之后行业第二大公司。</p>
<h2>有关增长放缓的担忧</h2>
<p>随着有关公司增长放缓的担忧出现，CELH 股价下跌。最近数据显示，关于 Celsius Holdings 及其饮料的搜索兴趣在过去几个月急剧下降。</p>
<p>还有人担心尼尔森最近的数据显示增长正在减速。最新数据显示，公司市场份额增加了 15.2％。虽然这是一个良好的指标，但主要是因为其促销活动增加。</p>
<p>因此，周二对该公司将是重要的一天，因为它将发布其财务业绩。</p>
<p>在第一季度，公司表示其营收在第一季度增长了 37％，达到 3.557 亿美元，而毛利润增长了 605，达到 1.822 亿美元。尽管这种营收增长令人鼓舞，但远低于公司在 2023 年的水平。过去几个月，其利润也有所增加。毛利率上升了 740 个基点，达到 51.2％。</p>
<p>最重要的是，有迹象表明 Celsius Holdings 的国际业务正在加速增长，得益于与百事可乐的合作。第一季度，其国际营收增长了 43％，达到 1620 万美元。</p>
<p>该部门的营收来自加拿大、英国和澳大利亚。公司计划在今年晚些时候将业务扩展到澳大利亚、新西兰和法国。基于其在美国的增长，有机会成为这些国家的高增长公司。</p>
<p>平均估计认为，Celsius Holdings 的营收在第一季度增长了 20％，达到 3.93 亿美元。如果这个数字准确，将确认强劲增长时代的结束。然而，在过去，Celsius Holdings 设法超过分析师的预期。</p>
<p>对于第三季度，分析师预计其营收将达到 4.6 亿美元，比 2023 年同期增长 19％。此外，分析师预计全年营收将达到 16.5 亿美元，比 2023 年增长 25％。</p>
<p>Celsius Holdings 的每股收益将达到 24 美分，高于 2023 年同期的 17 美分。</p>
<h2>Celsius 估值指标</h2>
<p>持续的 Celsius Holdings 股价暴跌导致估值改善。公司市值降至 89 亿美元，对于一个有朝一日可以增加利润率的公司来说是合理的。</p>
<p>怪兽饮料的毛利率为 53.4％，净利润率为 22.8％，而 Celsius 分别为 49％和 18％。由于怪兽饮料比 Celsius 更成熟，这种估值差距是可以理解的。</p>
<p>当 Celsius 从不惜一切成本增长转向盈利时，其利润率将继续增长。怪兽饮料的 GAAP 市盈率为 32，前瞻倍数为 29，而 Celsius 分别为 46 和 40。</p>
<p>Celsius 可以证明这种估值是合理的，因为它的增长速度比怪兽饮料更快。此外，由于迄今为止在大多数国家尚不可获得，它拥有更大的可寻址市场。</p>
<h2>Celsius 股价分析</h2>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Celsius-stock-1024x569.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="1024" height="569" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Celsius-stock-1024x569.png"/></p>
<p>TradingView 提供的 CELH 图表</p>
<p>我预测了持续的 Celsius Holdings 股价抛售，指出其在 98.72 美元处形成的双顶图形以及最终跌破 67.40 美元颈线。在大多数情况下，双顶图形会导致更多下跌。</p>
<p>该股票还于 7 月 17 日形成了死亡交叉图案，即 200 天和 50 天指数移动平均线相交。这是金融市场中最悲观的图案之一。</p>
<p>积极的一面是，该股已被卖超，这意味着在周二发布业绩时可能会反弹。如果发生这种情况，CELH 股价可能会上涨至 50 美元的关键阻力位。</p>
<p>文章来源：Invezz</p>

Celsius控股

<p>Celsius 控股（CELH）股价从今年最高点下跌约 60%，引发了对公司增长的担忧。然而，该公司由于与百事可乐的交易而经历了快速增长。预计 Celsius 控股的营收将在第一季度增长 20%，但这可能表明增长放缓。公司的市值已降至 89 亿美元，但由于其更快的增长率和更大的可寻址市场，Celsius 可以证明其估值合理</p>

<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/celsius.jpeg" alt="" original-src="https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/celsius.jpeg"/></p>
<p>Celsius Holdings (CELH) stock price has moved from one of the best-performing companies in the United States to one of the worst. The CELH share price has plunged by about 60% from its highest point this year. It slumped to its lowest point since May 2023, moving its market cap from over $23.6 billion to $8.9 billion, meaning that holders have shed over $14.7 billion.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Celsius Holdings（CELH）股价已从美国表现最佳公司之一下跌至最糟糕之一。CELH 股价从今年最高点下跌约 60％，跌至 2023 年 5 月以来的最低点，市值从 236 亿美元降至 89 亿美元，意味着持有者损失了超过 147 亿美元。</p>
</div><h2>Celsius Holdings has grown rapidly</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>Celsius Holdings 迅速增长</h2>
</div><p>Celsius, a leading manufacturer of energy drinks, has become the fastest-growing company in the beverage industry. Its drinks have gone viral, helping its annual sales jump from over $75.1 million in 2019 to over $1.38 billion in 2023.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Celsius 是领先的能量饮料制造商，已成为饮料行业增长最快的公司。其饮料在社交媒体上走红，使其年销售额从 2019 年的 7.51 亿美元增长到 2023 年的 13.8 亿美元。</p>
</div><p>This growth accelerated after the company reached a deal with PepsiCo, the second-biggest energy drinks company in the world. Pepsi invested $550 million in Celsius and received the distribution rights for the drinks.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在与全球第二大能量饮料公司百事可乐达成协议后，该增长加速。百事可乐向 Celsius 投资 5.5 亿美元，并获得了这些饮料的分销权。</p>
</div><p>This is a win-win situation for Celsius and Pepsi. Celsius leveraged Pepsi’s wide distributions while Pepsi received a drink whose growth will mirrors Monster Beverage’s deal with Coca-Cola. That deal has turned Monster into the second-biggest company in the industry after Red Bull.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这对 Celsius 和百事可乐都是双赢局面。Celsius 利用了百事可乐的广泛分销网络，而百事可乐则获得了一个增长速度与怡泉可乐与怪兽饮料达成协议后相似的饮料。该协议使怪兽饮料成为继红牛之后行业第二大公司。</p>
</div><h2>Concerns that this growth is slowing</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>有关增长放缓的担忧</h2>
</div><p>The CELH stock price has tumbled as concerns emerged that the company’s growth was slowing. Recent data shows that search interest about Celsius Holdings and its drinks have dropped sharply in the past few months.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>随着有关公司增长放缓的担忧出现，CELH 股价下跌。最近数据显示，关于 Celsius Holdings 及其饮料的搜索兴趣在过去几个月急剧下降。</p>
</div><p>There are also concerns that the recent data by Nielsen showed that this growth is moderating. The most recent data showed that the company added its market share with a 15.2% increase. While this is a good metric, it was mostly because of its increased promotions.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>还有人担心尼尔森最近的数据显示增长正在减速。最新数据显示，公司市场份额增加了 15.2％。虽然这是一个良好的指标，但主要是因为其促销活动增加。</p>
</div><p>Therefore, Tuesday will be an important day for the company as it will publish its financial results.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>因此，周二对该公司将是重要的一天，因为它将发布其财务业绩。</p>
</div><p>In the first quarter, the company said that its revenue rose by 37% in Q1 to over $355.7 million while its gross profit jumped by 605 to over $182.2 million. While this revenue growth was encouraging, it was much lower than what the company used to make in 2023. Its profits have also risen in the past few months. Gross margins rose by 740 basis points to 51.2%.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在第一季度，公司表示其营收在第一季度增长了 37％，达到 3.557 亿美元，而毛利润增长了 605，达到 1.822 亿美元。尽管这种营收增长令人鼓舞，但远低于公司在 2023 年的水平。过去几个月，其利润也有所增加。毛利率上升了 740 个基点，达到 51.2％。</p>
</div><p>Most importantly, there are signs that Celsius Holding’s international business is picking up steam, helped by its partnership with Pepsi. Its international revenue rose by 43% in the first quarter to $16.2 million.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>最重要的是，有迹象表明 Celsius Holdings 的国际业务正在加速增长，得益于与百事可乐的合作。第一季度，其国际营收增长了 43％，达到 1620 万美元。</p>
</div><p>This division’s revenue came from Canada, UK, and Australia. It ends to expand its business to Australia, New Zealand, and France later this year. Based on its growth in the US, there are chances that it will become a highly growing company in these countries.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>该部门的营收来自加拿大、英国和澳大利亚。公司计划在今年晚些时候将业务扩展到澳大利亚、新西兰和法国。基于其在美国的增长，有机会成为这些国家的高增长公司。</p>
</div><p>The average estimate is that Celsius Holding’s revenue rose by 20% in the first quarter to $393 million. If this number is accurate, it will confirm that the era of strong growth is ending. In the past, however, Celsius Holdings has managed to beat analyst estimates.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>平均估计认为，Celsius Holdings 的营收在第一季度增长了 20％，达到 3.93 亿美元。如果这个数字准确，将确认强劲增长时代的结束。然而，在过去，Celsius Holdings 设法超过分析师的预期。</p>
</div><p>For the third quarter, analysts expect that its revenue will be $460 million, a 19% increase from the same quarter in 2023. Also, for the year, analysts expect that its revenue will be $1.65 billion, a 25% increase from 2023.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>对于第三季度，分析师预计其营收将达到 4.6 亿美元，比 2023 年同期增长 19％。此外，分析师预计全年营收将达到 16.5 亿美元，比 2023 年增长 25％。</p>
</div><p>Celsius Holding’s earnings per share will come in at 24 cents, higher than the 17 cents it made in the same period in 2023.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Celsius Holdings 的每股收益将达到 24 美分，高于 2023 年同期的 17 美分。</p>
</div><h2>Celsius valuation metrics</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>Celsius 估值指标</h2>
</div><p>The ongoing Celsius Holdings stock crash has led to an improved valuation. The company’s market cap has dropped to $8.9 billion, which is reasonable for a company that has room to grow its margins.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>持续的 Celsius Holdings 股价暴跌导致估值改善。公司市值降至 89 亿美元，对于一个有朝一日可以增加利润率的公司来说是合理的。</p>
</div><p>Monster Beverage has a gross profit margin of 53.4% and a net income margin of 22.8% while Celsius has 49% and 18%, respectively. This valuation gap is understandable since Monster is a more mature company than Celsius.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>怪兽饮料的毛利率为 53.4％，净利润率为 22.8％，而 Celsius 分别为 49％和 18％。由于怪兽饮料比 Celsius 更成熟，这种估值差距是可以理解的。</p>
</div><p>Celsius will continue growing its margins when it moves from growth at all costs to profitability. Monster has a GAAP PE ratio of 32 and a forward multiple of 29 while Celsius has 46 and 40, respectively.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>当 Celsius 从不惜一切成本增长转向盈利时，其利润率将继续增长。怪兽饮料的 GAAP 市盈率为 32，前瞻倍数为 29，而 Celsius 分别为 46 和 40。</p>
</div><p>Celsius can justify this valuation since it is growing at a faster rate than Monster. It also has a bigger addressable market since it is not available in most countries so far.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Celsius 可以证明这种估值是合理的，因为它的增长速度比怪兽饮料更快。此外，由于迄今为止在大多数国家尚不可获得，它拥有更大的可寻址市场。</p>
</div><h2>Celsius stock price analysis</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>Celsius 股价分析</h2>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Celsius-stock-1024x569.png" alt="" original-src="https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Celsius-stock-1024x569.png"/></p>
<p>CELH chart by TradingView</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>TradingView 提供的 CELH 图表</p>
</div><p>I predicted the ongoing Celsius Holdings share price sell-off, citing its double-top chart pattern at $98.72 and the eventual drop below its neckline at $67.40. In most cases, a double-top pattern leads to more downside.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>我预测了持续的 Celsius Holdings 股价抛售，指出其在 98.72 美元处形成的双顶图形以及最终跌破 67.40 美元颈线。在大多数情况下，双顶图形会导致更多下跌。</p>
</div><p>The stock also formed a death cross pattern on July 17th as the 200-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) crossed each other. This is one of the most bearish patterns in the financial market.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>该股票还于 7 月 17 日形成了死亡交叉图案，即 200 天和 50 天指数移动平均线相交。这是金融市场中最悲观的图案之一。</p>
</div><p>On the positive side, the stock has gotten oversold, meaning that it could bounce back when it releases its results on Tuesday. If this happens, the CELH share price will likely rise to the key resistance at $50.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>积极的一面是，该股已被卖超，这意味着在周二发布业绩时可能会反弹。如果发生这种情况，CELH 股价可能会上涨至 50 美元的关键阻力位。</p>
</div><p>The post Celsius (CELH) gets oversold ahead of earnings: buy or sell? appeared first on Invezz</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>文章来源：Invezz</p>
</div>

Celsius 控股（CELH）在财报发布前被超卖：应买入还是卖出？