<p>新闻媒体对美国经济是否陷入衰退的讨论越来越多。这可能是一个可怕的想法；经济衰退通常意味着公司赚钱更加困难，这对消费者、公司和股票都是不利的。</p>
<p>不过，请记住，仅仅因为新闻媒体谈论经济衰退，并不意味着它即将到来。经济衰退是经济起伏的正常部分，但没有人能够预测它们何时会发生，以及可能有多严重。</p>
<p>担心经济衰退的投资者可以采取措施，通过关注那些历经经济困境成功航行的高质量企业股票来为任何潜在困难做好准备。</p>
<p>例如，这些工业股票是经济的核心贡献者，拥有多元化业务、健康的资产负债表和竞争优势，使它们能够在多次经济衰退中支付并增加股息。</p>
<p>考虑购买并持有这三只顶级股息股，无论发生什么，都可以对您的投资组合感到自信。</p>
<h2>1. 雪佛龙</h2>
<p>石油和天然气公司通常容易受到大宗商品价格的影响，在经济衰退期间价格可能下跌，从而损害利润。然而，雪佛龙（CVX 0.43%）已连续 37 年支付并提高股息。这包括 2008-2009 年的金融危机和疫情期间，石油价格曾短暂为负数。</p>
<p>雪佛龙的业务多元化；它探索石油和天然气储量，开采并将其精炼成产品进行销售。这有助于平衡；下跌的石油价格会损害其勘探业务，但会提高精炼业务的利润率。</p>
<p>今天的股息率为 4.4%，财务状况非常稳固。今年，雪佛龙将每股支付 6.52 美元的股息，而预计收入为 12 美元。这足够覆盖，需要利润大幅下滑才能威胁其可负担性。</p>
<p>资产负债表也是一个巨大的安全网。债务资产比接近十年来的最低水平，其 AA 信用评级在华尔街属于最高水平之一。</p>
<p>经济衰退是暂时的，但雪佛龙是世界能源供应的重要组成部分。它已经证明自己能够应对各种挑战，包括前所未有的负面大宗商品价格。投资者可以自信持有该股票并领取股息支票。</p>
<h2>2. 伊利诺伊机械</h2>
<p>多元化降低了投资风险，在实际业务中也同样有效。伊利诺伊机械（ITW 1.33%）通过在六十多年来连续提高股息而赢得了传奇的 “股息王” 地位，这一纪录至今仍在延续。</p>
<p>伊利诺伊机械是通过在许多行业中实现多元化，包括汽车、食品设备、测试和测量、电子、焊接、特种化学品、建筑产品等。因此，一些终端市场在其他市场困难时可以支撑业务。</p>
<p>因此，伊利诺伊机械很少经历巨大的营收波动；销售额在一年内从未下降超过 26%，这发生在疫情高峰期。</p>
<p>股息持续增长。该公司的股息增长纪录跨越了美国过去的八次经济衰退。伊利诺伊机械仍然处于良好状态，可以继续提高股息。该公司今年将支付每股 5.60 美元的股息，远低于分析师认为的 10.18 美元的盈利。该公司还拥有 A+ 的信用评级，处于投资级别之内。</p>
<p>该股票是一种稳健增长的投资，投资者可以依赖。分析师认为，伊利诺伊机械的盈利将在长期内以中高个位数增长，目前的股息率为 2.3%。投资者有望享受这种持续性，从而提升他们的投资组合价值。</p>
<h2>3. 通用配件</h2>
<p>大多数工业公司在经济衰退期间都面临困境，但通用配件公司（GPC 2.96%）是个例外。其营收从未在一年内下降超过 10%！</p>
<p>这使其成为一家传奇的股息股票，连续 68 年提高股息。通用配件是全球领先的汽车和工业零部件分销商。大多数消费者知道该公司是因其拥有数千家门店的 NAPA 汽车零部件零售品牌而闻名。</p>
<p>汽车始终需要维修和保养。在经济衰退期间，消费者更有可能保留旧车辆更长时间，这就是为什么该公司总是表现良好的原因。</p>
<p>通用配件几十年来稳步增长，尽管每年增加，但股息仍然安全。今年将支付 4 美元，远低于其预计 2024 年盈利的 9.37 美元。这种巨大的缓冲有助于确保股息的安全性，考虑到多年来稳定的营收表现。该公司还保持着投资级别的 BBB 信用评级。</p>
<p>如今，汽车的平均使用年限为 12 年，而 2000 年为 9 年。自疫情爆发以来，新车变得异常昂贵，促使车主将旧车保留更长时间。这对通用配件的长期前景是一个好兆头。投资者可以依赖它继续提供稳健增长。</p>

雪佛龙

伊利诺伊机械

通用配件

<p>随着衰退担忧加剧，投资者可以转向三家可靠的股息股票：雪佛龙、伊利诺伊机械和通用配件。雪佛龙拥有强劲的 4.4% 股息收益率，即使在经济衰退期间也能保持稳定。伊利诺伊机械连续 60 多年提高股息，其多元化业务得到 A+ 的信用评级支持。通用配件以持续稳定的营收和令人瞩目的 68 年股息增长纪录脱颖而出。这些公司提供了财务韧性和可靠的股息，使它们成为不确定经济时期谨慎投资者的吸引选择</p>

<p>The news media is abuzz with increasing chatter about the U.S. economy and whether it's falling into a recession. That can be a scary thought; recessions usually mean companies have a harder time making money, which is bad for consumers, companies, and stocks.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>新闻媒体对美国经济是否陷入衰退的讨论越来越多。这可能是一个可怕的想法；经济衰退通常意味着公司赚钱更加困难，这对消费者、公司和股票都是不利的。</p>
</div><p>Remember, though, that just because the news media talks about a recession doesn't mean it's imminent. Recessions are a normal part of the economy's ups and downs, but nobody can predict when they will happen or exactly how severe they might be.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>不过，请记住，仅仅因为新闻媒体谈论经济衰退，并不意味着它即将到来。经济衰退是经济起伏的正常部分，但没有人能够预测它们何时会发生，以及可能有多严重。</p>
</div><p>Investors worried about a recession can take steps to prepare for any potential hardships by focusing on high-quality stocks of businesses with a history of successfully navigating economic rough waters.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>担心经济衰退的投资者可以采取措施，通过关注那些历经经济困境成功航行的高质量企业股票来为任何潜在困难做好准备。</p>
</div><p>For example, these industrial stocks are core contributors to the economy and have diverse businesses, healthy balance sheets, and competitive advantages that have allowed them to pay and increase their dividends through multiple recessions.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>例如，这些工业股票是经济的核心贡献者，拥有多元化业务、健康的资产负债表和竞争优势，使它们能够在多次经济衰退中支付并增加股息。</p>
</div><p>Consider buying and holding these three top dividend stocks to feel confident in your portfolio no matter what happens.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>考虑购买并持有这三只顶级股息股，无论发生什么，都可以对您的投资组合感到自信。</p>
</div><h2>1. Chevron</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>1. 雪佛龙</h2>
</div><p>Oil and gas companies are generally susceptible to commodity prices, which can fall during a recession and hurt profits. Yet <strong>Chevron</strong>(CVX 0.43%) has paid and raised its dividend for 37 consecutive years. That includes the financial crisis in 2008-2009 and the pandemic, during which oil prices went briefly negative for the first time.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>石油和天然气公司通常容易受到大宗商品价格的影响，在经济衰退期间价格可能下跌，从而损害利润。然而，雪佛龙（CVX 0.43%）已连续 37 年支付并提高股息。这包括 2008-2009 年的金融危机和疫情期间，石油价格曾短暂为负数。</p>
</div><p>Chevron's business is diverse; it explores for oil and gas deposits, extracts them, and refines them into products it sells. This helps balance things out; falling oil prices hurt its exploration business but boost profit margins in refining.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>雪佛龙的业务多元化；它探索石油和天然气储量，开采并将其精炼成产品进行销售。这有助于平衡；下跌的石油价格会损害其勘探业务，但会提高精炼业务的利润率。</p>
</div><p>The dividend yields 4.4% today and is financially rock-solid. This year, Chevron will pay out $6.52 per share in dividends while earning an estimated $12. That's plenty of coverage, requiring a substantial collapse in profits to threaten its affordability.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>今天的股息率为 4.4%，财务状况非常稳固。今年，雪佛龙将每股支付 6.52 美元的股息，而预计收入为 12 美元。这足够覆盖，需要利润大幅下滑才能威胁其可负担性。</p>
</div><p>The balance sheet is a tremendous safety net, too. The debt-to-equity ratio is near its lowest in a decade, and its AA credit rating is among the highest on Wall Street.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>资产负债表也是一个巨大的安全网。债务资产比接近十年来的最低水平，其 AA 信用评级在华尔街属于最高水平之一。</p>
</div><p>Recessions are temporary, but Chevron is a fixture in supplying the world's energy. It has proved it can handle challenges, including unprecedented negative commodity prices. Investors can confidently hold the stock and collect that dividend check.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>经济衰退是暂时的，但雪佛龙是世界能源供应的重要组成部分。它已经证明自己能够应对各种挑战，包括前所未有的负面大宗商品价格。投资者可以自信持有该股票并领取股息支票。</p>
</div><h2>2. Illinois Tool Works</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>2. 伊利诺伊机械</h2>
</div><p>Diversification reduces investment risks, and it works similarly in actual businesses. <strong>Illinois Tool Works</strong>(ITW 1.33%) has earned legendary Dividend King status by raising its dividend for over six decades, a streak still going today.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>多元化降低了投资风险，在实际业务中也同样有效。伊利诺伊机械（ITW 1.33%）通过在六十多年来连续提高股息而赢得了传奇的 “股息王” 地位，这一纪录至今仍在延续。</p>
</div><p>How? Illinois Tool Works diversifies itself across many industries, including automotive, food equipment, testing and measurement, electronics, welding, specialty chemicals, construction products, and more. So, some end markets can carry the water when others struggle.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>伊利诺伊机械是通过在许多行业中实现多元化，包括汽车、食品设备、测试和测量、电子、焊接、特种化学品、建筑产品等。因此，一些终端市场在其他市场困难时可以支撑业务。</p>
</div><p>As a result, Illinois Tool Works rarely experiences enormous swings in revenue; sales haven't declined more than 26% in a year, which came during the pandemic peak.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>因此，伊利诺伊机械很少经历巨大的营收波动；销售额在一年内从未下降超过 26%，这发生在疫情高峰期。</p>
</div><p>And the dividend marches higher. The company's dividend growth streak spans America's past eight recessions. Illinois Tool Works is still in great shape to continue raising that payout. The company will pay $5.60 per share in dividends this year, which is nowhere near the $10.18 analysts believe it will earn. And the company has an A+ credit rating, comfortably within investment grade.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>股息持续增长。该公司的股息增长纪录跨越了美国过去的八次经济衰退。伊利诺伊机械仍然处于良好状态，可以继续提高股息。该公司今年将支付每股 5.60 美元的股息，远低于分析师认为的 10.18 美元的盈利。该公司还拥有 A+ 的信用评级，处于投资级别之内。</p>
</div><p>The stock is a slow and steady grower investors can depend on. Analysts believe Illinois Tool Works will raise earnings by the mid to high single digits over the long term, and the dividend currently yields 2.3%. Investors are poised to enjoy consistency that will lift their portfolios over time.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>该股票是一种稳健增长的投资，投资者可以依赖。分析师认为，伊利诺伊机械的盈利将在长期内以中高个位数增长，目前的股息率为 2.3%。投资者有望享受这种持续性，从而提升他们的投资组合价值。</p>
</div><h2>3. Genuine Parts</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>3. 通用配件</h2>
</div><p>Most industrial companies struggle during recessions, but <strong>Genuine Parts Company</strong>(GPC 2.96%) is an exception. Its revenue has never dropped more than 10% in a year!</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>大多数工业公司在经济衰退期间都面临困境，但通用配件公司（GPC 2.96%）是个例外。其营收从未在一年内下降超过 10%！</p>
</div><p>That makes it a legendary dividend stock, having raised its payout for 68 consecutive years. Genuine Parts is a leading worldwide distributor of replacement automotive and industrial parts. Most consumers know the company for its NAPA Auto Parts retail brand, which has thousands of stores.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这使其成为一家传奇的股息股票，连续 68 年提高股息。通用配件是全球领先的汽车和工业零部件分销商。大多数消费者知道该公司是因其拥有数千家门店的 NAPA 汽车零部件零售品牌而闻名。</p>
</div><p>Vehicles always need repairs and maintenance. And consumers are more likely to hold on to their old vehicles longer during recessions, which is why the company always does well.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>汽车始终需要维修和保养。在经济衰退期间，消费者更有可能保留旧车辆更长时间，这就是为什么该公司总是表现良好的原因。</p>
</div><p>Genuine Parts has steadily grown for decades, keeping the dividend safe despite annual increases. It will pay $4 this year, less than half its estimated 2024 earnings of $9.37. That massive cushion helps ensure the dividend's safety, given how stable revenue has proved over the years. The company also maintains an investment-grade BBB credit rating.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>通用配件几十年来稳步增长，尽管每年增加，但股息仍然安全。今年将支付 4 美元，远低于其预计 2024 年盈利的 9.37 美元。这种巨大的缓冲有助于确保股息的安全性，考虑到多年来稳定的营收表现。该公司还保持着投资级别的 BBB 信用评级。</p>
</div><p>Today, vehicles last an average of 12 years, up from nine in 2000. Since the pandemic, new vehicles have become incredibly costly, motivating car owners to hold on to old vehicles longer. This bodes well for Genuine Parts' long-term prospects. Investors can count on it to continue delivering slow and steady growth.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>如今，汽车的平均使用年限为 12 年，而 2000 年为 9 年。自疫情爆发以来，新车变得异常昂贵，促使车主将旧车保留更长时间。这对通用配件的长期前景是一个好兆头。投资者可以依赖它继续提供稳健增长。</p>
</div>

担心经济衰退？购买这三只顶级股息股票，让自己安心