<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ik.imagekit.io/invezz/uploads/2024/08/98238669_l_normal_none-scaled.jpg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ik.imagekit.io/invezz/uploads/2024/08/98238669_l_normal_none-scaled.jpg"/></p>
<p>特朗普媒体与科技（DJT）股价暴跌。股价跌至 17 美元，为自 1 月以来的最低点，较今年早些时候的最高点下跌近 80%。市值从 90 亿美元降至约 35 亿美元。</p>
<h2>锁定期限即将到期</h2>
<p>DJT 股价可能会在本月继续下跌，因为锁定期限即将到期。在此之后，公司的大股东唐纳德·特朗普将可以自由出售他的股份。</p>
<p>很可能特朗普会立即开始出售股份，因为他发现自己处于困境之中。他需要现金来资助竞选活动、支付法律费用和支付过去的罚款。</p>
<p>此外，特朗普还希望出售他的股份，因为过去几个月股价表现不佳。</p>
<p>更重要的是，他非常清楚 TruthSocial 的表现不佳，这解释了为什么他已经开始使用 X 和 Facebook 来吸引更广泛的受众。</p>
<p>在大多数情况下，股票往往会在锁定期限到期前急剧下跌，因为内部人士开始退出交易。</p>
<h2>特朗普媒体财务业绩</h2>
<p>DJT 股票的最近表现符合我几个月前的预测。在那篇文章中，我说，虽然 DWAC 是一只表现良好且非常成功的股票，但 DJT 将面临更多挑战。</p>
<p>作为一家空白支票公司，DWAC 的季度和年度文件相对模糊。这与特朗普媒体截然不同，特朗普媒体是一家运营公司，根据法律要求每个季度发布准确的文件。</p>
<p>最近的业绩显示公司正在挣扎。其季度收入为 836,000 美元，较去年同期的 1.1 百万美元有所下降。此外，半年收入降至 1.6 百万美元。</p>
<p>尽管特朗普媒体是一家相对新的公司，但这些数字意味着它尚未在用户和广告商中获得足够的关注。如果受到这两方的欢迎，其收入将会高得多。</p>
<p>特朗普媒体是一家烧钱机器，这在其目前的位置上是可以理解的。其净亏损超过 1630 万美元。作为发展的一部分，特朗普媒体推出了其 CDN 网络，并最近推出了其流媒体解决方案。</p>
<h2>步入破产之路？</h2>
<p>特朗普媒体面临着前所未有的挑战。首先，有迹象表明唐纳德·特朗普将不会在 11 月的大选中获胜。最近的民意调查显示，特朗普和卡玛拉·哈里斯在六个摇摆州中势均力敌。</p>
<p>DJT 股票受到交易者青睐的一个原因是，人们认为如果唐纳德·特朗普赢得选举，公司将会蓬勃发展。现在，如果他输掉选举，其平台的活动可能会减少。</p>
<p>其次，TruthSocial 仍然是科技行业的一小部分。SimilarWeb 的数据显示，其网站在 7 月仅有 1500 万访问者。相比之下，规模较小的右倾平台 Gab 拥有近 700 万用户，而 Reddit 拥有 35.6 亿用户。Reddit 现在的估值超过 96 亿美元。</p>
<p>第三，由于其资产负债表，特朗普媒体是一个潜在的稀释机器。公司上个季度以超过 3.43 亿美元的现金和短期投资结束。虽然这是一大笔钱，但预计公司将烧掉大部分资金，因为其没有带来任何实质性的收入。</p>
<p>特朗普媒体已经开始从投资者那里筹集资金。上周，它注册了 500 万股用于筹集资金支持其流媒体雄心。在此之前，它宣布筹集了 1.05 亿美元的认股权证。我相信这种稀释将会持续很长一段时间。</p>
<p>此外，有迹象表明特朗普最近推出的流媒体服务表现不佳。要成为流媒体领域的成功者，公司将需要花费大量资金吸引平台上的人才。</p>
<p>特朗普媒体可能申请破产的另一个重要原因是它永远不会吸引到大型广告商。在过去几年中，大型广告主已经避免在右倾平台如福克斯新闻、Rumble 和 TruthSocial 上播放广告。没有这些广告商，公司要成功将会很困难。</p>
<h2>DJT 股价分析</h2>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ik.imagekit.io/invezz/uploads/2024/09/DJT-stock.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ik.imagekit.io/invezz/uploads/2024/09/DJT-stock.png"/></p>
<p>日线图显示，特朗普媒体股价在过去几个月一直处于强烈的熊市趋势中。最近，股价跌破了 22.60 美元的关键支撑水平，为今年 4 月的最低水平。</p>
<p>特朗普媒体股票还形成了死亡交叉图表模式，即 200 日和 50 日移动平均线相交。因此，最易路径是向下，下一个即时关注水平为 14.52 美元，为去年 10 月的最低点。</p>
<p>未来，我相信 DJT 股票可能会在最终申请破产前成为一只便士股。然而，做空特朗普媒体股票的风险在于它拥有一支忠诚的粉丝群体，这意味着它可能会经历一些短期做空压力。</p>
<p>本文来源于 Invezz，特朗普媒体未来破产的可能性不容忽视。</p>

特朗普媒体科技集团

<p>特朗普媒体与科技（DJT）的股票今年已经暴跌近 80%，市值跌至约 15 亿美元。即将到来的解禁期可能导致大股东唐纳德·特朗普大举抛售股票，以获取资金用于竞选和法律费用。财务数据显示，公司出现了超过 4000 万美元的净亏损，其应用 TruthSocial 缺乏增长。分析师警告称，破产风险正在增加，主要是由于广告前景疲弱和用户参与度下降，再加上特朗普不确定的竞选机会</p>

<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ik.imagekit.io/invezz/uploads/2024/08/98238669_l_normal_none-scaled.jpg" alt="" original-src="https://ik.imagekit.io/invezz/uploads/2024/08/98238669_l_normal_none-scaled.jpg"/></p>
<p>Trump Media &amp; Technology (DJT) stock price has imploded. It has crashed to $17, its lowest point since January, and by almost 80% from its highest point earlier this year. Its market cap has dropped from over $9 billion to about $3.5 billion.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>特朗普媒体与科技（DJT）股价暴跌。股价跌至 17 美元，为自 1 月以来的最低点，较今年早些时候的最高点下跌近 80%。市值从 90 亿美元降至约 35 亿美元。</p>
</div><h2>Lockup expiry is coming</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>锁定期限即将到期</h2>
</div><p>The DJT stock price will likely continue falling this month as the lock-up expiry is set to expire. In the aftermath, Donald Trump, the majority owner of the company will be free to sell his stake.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>DJT 股价可能会在本月继续下跌，因为锁定期限即将到期。在此之后，公司的大股东唐纳德·特朗普将可以自由出售他的股份。</p>
</div><p>Odds are that Trump will start selling immediately because of the difficult situation he finds himself in. He needs liquid cash to fund his campaign, pay for legal fees, and pay for the past penalties.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>很可能特朗普会立即开始出售股份，因为他发现自己处于困境之中。他需要现金来资助竞选活动、支付法律费用和支付过去的罚款。</p>
</div><p>Additionally, Trump will want to sell his stake because of the stock’s performance in the past few months.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>此外，特朗普还希望出售他的股份，因为过去几个月股价表现不佳。</p>
</div><p>Most importantly, he knows very well that TruthSocial is not doing well, which explains why he has started to use X and Facebook to reach a wider audience.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>更重要的是，他非常清楚 TruthSocial 的表现不佳，这解释了为什么他已经开始使用 X 和 Facebook 来吸引更广泛的受众。</p>
</div><p>In most cases, stocks tend to drop sharply ahead of a lockup expiration as insiders start to exit their trades.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在大多数情况下，股票往往会在锁定期限到期前急剧下跌，因为内部人士开始退出交易。</p>
</div><h2>Trump Media financial results</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>特朗普媒体财务业绩</h2>
</div><p>The recent performance of the DJT stock is in line with what I predicted a few months ago <strong>.</strong> In that note, I said that while DWAC was a good and highly successful stock, DJT would face more challenges.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>DJT 股票的最近表现符合我几个月前的预测。在那篇文章中，我说，虽然 DWAC 是一只表现良好且非常成功的股票，但 DJT 将面临更多挑战。</p>
</div><p>As a blank check company, DWAC’s quarterly and annual documents were relatively vague. This is very different from Trump Media, which is an operating company that is required by law to publish accurate documents each quarter.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>作为一家空白支票公司，DWAC 的季度和年度文件相对模糊。这与特朗普媒体截然不同，特朗普媒体是一家运营公司，根据法律要求每个季度发布准确的文件。</p>
</div><p>The most recent results showed that the company was struggling. Its quarterly revenues came in at $836,000, a drop from the $1.1 million it made in the same period last year. Also, its half-year revenue dropped to $1.6 million.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>最近的业绩显示公司正在挣扎。其季度收入为 836,000 美元，较去年同期的 1.1 百万美元有所下降。此外，半年收入降至 1.6 百万美元。</p>
</div><p>While Trump Media is a fairly new company, these numbers mean that it has not gained traction among users and advertisers. Its revenue would have been much higher if was popular with the two parties.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>尽管特朗普媒体是一家相对新的公司，但这些数字意味着它尚未在用户和广告商中获得足够的关注。如果受到这两方的欢迎，其收入将会高得多。</p>
</div><p>Trump Media is a cash incinerator, which is understandable for a company in its position. Its net loss came in at over $16.3 million. As part of its development, Trump Media launched its CDN network and has recently unveiled its streaming solution.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>特朗普媒体是一家烧钱机器，这在其目前的位置上是可以理解的。其净亏损超过 1630 万美元。作为发展的一部分，特朗普媒体推出了其 CDN 网络，并最近推出了其流媒体解决方案。</p>
</div><h2>On a path towards bankruptcy?</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>步入破产之路？</h2>
</div><p>Trump Media faces numerous challenges ahead. First, there are signs that Donald Trump will not win the general election in November. Recent polls show that Trump and Kamala Harris are neck-and-neck in six swing states.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>特朗普媒体面临着前所未有的挑战。首先，有迹象表明唐纳德·特朗普将不会在 11 月的大选中获胜。最近的民意调查显示，特朗普和卡玛拉·哈里斯在六个摇摆州中势均力敌。</p>
</div><p>One reason why the DJT stock is popular with traders is the view that the company will thrive if Donald Trump wins the election. Now, if he loses, there is a chance that activity in its platform will dwindle.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>DJT 股票受到交易者青睐的一个原因是，人们认为如果唐纳德·特朗普赢得选举，公司将会蓬勃发展。现在，如果他输掉选举，其平台的活动可能会减少。</p>
</div><p>Second, TruthSocial is still a small part of the tech industry. Data by SimilarWeb shows that its website had just 15 million visitors in July. In contrast, Gab, a smaller right-leaning platform had almost 7 million users while Reddit had 3.56 billion. Reddit is now valued at over $9.6 billion.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>其次，TruthSocial 仍然是科技行业的一小部分。SimilarWeb 的数据显示，其网站在 7 月仅有 1500 万访问者。相比之下，规模较小的右倾平台 Gab 拥有近 700 万用户，而 Reddit 拥有 35.6 亿用户。Reddit 现在的估值超过 96 亿美元。</p>
</div><p>Third, Trump Media is a potential dilution machine because of its balance sheet. The company ended the last quarter with over $343 million in cash and short-term investments. While this is a lot of money, the company is expected to burn most of it because it is not bringing in any meaningful revenues.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>第三，由于其资产负债表，特朗普媒体是一个潜在的稀释机器。公司上个季度以超过 3.43 亿美元的现金和短期投资结束。虽然这是一大笔钱，但预计公司将烧掉大部分资金，因为其没有带来任何实质性的收入。</p>
</div><p>Trump Media has already started raising cash from investors. Last week, it registered 5 million shares for sale to fund its streaming ambitions. Before that, it announced $105 million raised in warrants. I believe that this dilution will continue for a long time.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>特朗普媒体已经开始从投资者那里筹集资金。上周，它注册了 500 万股用于筹集资金支持其流媒体雄心。在此之前，它宣布筹集了 1.05 亿美元的认股权证。我相信这种稀释将会持续很长一段时间。</p>
</div><p>Additionally, there are signs that Trump’s recently launched streaming service is not doing well. To become a successful player in streaming, the company will need to spend a lot of money to attract talent in its platform.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>此外，有迹象表明特朗普最近推出的流媒体服务表现不佳。要成为流媒体领域的成功者，公司将需要花费大量资金吸引平台上的人才。</p>
</div><p>The other important reason why Trump Media may file for bankruptcy is that it will never attract large advertisers. In the last few years, large spenders have avoided airing their ads in right-leaning platforms like Fox News, Rumble, and TruthSocial. Without these advertisers, it will be difficult for the company to succeed.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>特朗普媒体可能申请破产的另一个重要原因是它永远不会吸引到大型广告商。在过去几年中，大型广告主已经避免在右倾平台如福克斯新闻、Rumble 和 TruthSocial 上播放广告。没有这些广告商，公司要成功将会很困难。</p>
</div><h2>DJT stock price analysis</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>DJT 股价分析</h2>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ik.imagekit.io/invezz/uploads/2024/09/DJT-stock.png" alt="" original-src="https://ik.imagekit.io/invezz/uploads/2024/09/DJT-stock.png"/></p>
<p>The daily chart reveals that the Trump Media stock price has been in a strong bearish trend in the past few months. Most recently, the shares crashed below the key support level at $22.60, its lowest level in April this year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日线图显示，特朗普媒体股价在过去几个月一直处于强烈的熊市趋势中。最近，股价跌破了 22.60 美元的关键支撑水平，为今年 4 月的最低水平。</p>
</div><p>Trump Media shares have also formed a death cross chart pattern as the 200-day and 50-day moving averages crossed each other. Therefore, the path of the least resistance is downwards, with the next immediate level to watch being at $14.52, its lowest point in October last year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>特朗普媒体股票还形成了死亡交叉图表模式，即 200 日和 50 日移动平均线相交。因此，最易路径是向下，下一个即时关注水平为 14.52 美元，为去年 10 月的最低点。</p>
</div><p>In the future, I believe that DJT may become a penny stock before eventually filing for bankruptcy. However, the risk for shorting Trump Media stock is that it has a highly dedicated fanbase, meaning that it will likely have some short-term short squeezes.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>未来，我相信 DJT 股票可能会在最终申请破产前成为一只便士股。然而，做空特朗普媒体股票的风险在于它拥有一支忠诚的粉丝群体，这意味着它可能会经历一些短期做空压力。</p>
</div><p>The post DJT stock: Trump Media future bankruptcy can’t be ruled out appeared first on Invezz</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>本文来源于 Invezz，特朗普媒体未来破产的可能性不容忽视。</p>
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DJT 股票：Trump Media 未来破产的可能性不能排除