<p>十月对于特斯拉（Tesla）来说将是一个充满事件的月份。</p>
<p>10 月 2 日，特斯拉发布了其第三季度的生产和交付数据，这是该公司在发布季度收益报告之前的标准程序。仅几天后，它举行了备受期待的 “我们，机器人” 活动，展示了其在自动驾驶车辆和人形机器人方面取得的进展。</p>
<p>而在 10 月 23 日，特斯拉将发布其第三季度收益报告。</p>
<p>让我们探讨一些投资者在特斯拉季度报告即将发布之际应该考虑的重要主题，并评估现在是否是买入该股票的好时机。</p>
<h2>特斯拉即将发布的报告中有什么重要内容？</h2>
<p>作为特斯拉的股东，我将密切关注其第三季度报告中的以下内容：</p>
<ol>
<li>低成本车型的更新；</li>
</ol>
<ol>
<li>有关 Robotaxi 和自动驾驶的新闻；</li>
</ol>
<ol>
<li>与 Optimus 和特斯拉机器人愿景相关的任何内容。</li>
</ol>
<p>话虽如此，我实际上并不认为即将发布的报告和收益电话会有什么特别之处。很多这些消息已经被分享过了。</p>
<p>如果特斯拉管理层在 10 月 23 日提供的细节不多，或者与 10 月 10 日的 Robotaxi 活动期间分享的内容没有实质性不同，我会感到相当惊讶。因此，我并不指望会有任何惊喜——无论是积极的还是消极的。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://g.foolcdn.com/image//query-b3A9cmVzaXplJnVybD1odHRwczovL2cuZm9vbGNkbi5jb20vZWRpdG9yaWFsL2ltYWdlcy83OTQwNzUvdGVzbGEtZXYtZWxlY3RyaWMtdmVoaWNsZS1jaGFyZ2luZy1zdGF0aW9uLTEuanBnJnc9NzAw?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://g.foolcdn.com/image//query-b3A9cmVzaXplJnVybD1odHRwczovL2cuZm9vbGNkbi5jb20vZWRpdG9yaWFsL2ltYWdlcy83OTQwNzUvdGVzbGEtZXYtZWxlY3RyaWMtdmVoaWNsZS1jaGFyZ2luZy1zdGF0aW9uLTEuanBnJnc9NzAw"/></p>
<p>图片来源：Getty Images</p>
<h2>特斯拉收益报告后股价表现如何？</h2>
<p>下图展示了特斯拉股票在过去七个收益期间的价格走势。收益报告的日期由紫色圆圈标记，标有字母 “E”。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://media.ycharts.com/charts/820c887d8b3e14de821427a2b0a9c2d0.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://media.ycharts.com/charts/820c887d8b3e14de821427a2b0a9c2d0.png"/></p>
<p>数据来源：YCharts。</p>
<p>很明显，特斯拉股票往往在发布收益报告时经历剧烈波动。在几次情况下，股价在这些报告发布前大幅上涨，但很快在报告发布后下跌。</p>
<h2>当犹豫不决时，放大视角</h2>
<p>然而，退一步看，考虑特斯拉股票在不同时间段的回报。</p>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>指标</th>
<th>1 年</th>
<th>3 年</th>
<th>5 年</th>
<th>10 年</th>
<th>历史</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>特斯拉股价回报</td>
<td>(12.8%)</td>
<td>(18.9%)</td>
<td>1,230%</td>
<td>1,360%</td>
<td>13,660%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>数据来源：Ycharts。</p>
<p>显然，特斯拉股东在过去几年对股票的表现感到失望。宏观经济因素，如持续的通货膨胀和高利率环境，对公司的增长造成了影响。然而，经济正在显示出韧性：通货膨胀率已降至 3% 以下，美联储正在逐步缩减利率，劳动力市场仍然相当强劲。我认为这些因素应该对特斯拉短期内是有利的。</p>
<p>然而，从长期来看，有一点更加重要。特斯拉股票在长期内已经成为了一个真正的多倍增长股。</p>
<p>因此，问题仍然是：在特斯拉下一次收益报告之前，你应该买入特斯拉股票吗？在我看来，这并不重要。股票很可能会像以往的收益期间一样经历更大的波动，但更关键的是要记住，试图时机市场通常是一个失败的策略。</p>
<p>如果你相信特斯拉的人工智能愿景，并认为公司正在采取正确的举措保持在汽车行业的领先地位，那么无论在收益日历的哪个时间点，将该股票纳入你的投资组合都是值得的。</p>

特斯拉

<p>特斯拉即将迎来一个重要的月份，将于 10 月 23 日发布第三季度财报，此前已发布生产数据和 “我们，机器人” 活动。投资者应关注关于低成本车辆、Robotaxi 和机器人技术的更新。历史数据显示，特斯拉股票在财报公布前后波动较大，过去几年表现参差不齐。尽管最近有些令人失望的情况，但宏观经济的改善可能有利于特斯拉。最终，市场的时机把握是有风险的；长期看好特斯拉愿景的投资者可能会考虑不考虑财报时机而购买</p>

<p>October is shaping up to be an eventful month for <strong>Tesla</strong>(TSLA -0.09%).</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>十月对于特斯拉（Tesla）来说将是一个充满事件的月份。</p>
</div><p>On Oct. 2, Tesla released its production and delivery stats for the third quarter -- standard procedure for the company prior to publishing its quarterly earnings. Just days later, it held its highly anticipated &#34;We, Robot&#34; event, during which it showed off the progress it has made on self-driving vehicles and humanoid robots.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>10 月 2 日，特斯拉发布了其第三季度的生产和交付数据，这是该公司在发布季度收益报告之前的标准程序。仅几天后，它举行了备受期待的 “我们，机器人” 活动，展示了其在自动驾驶车辆和人形机器人方面取得的进展。</p>
</div><p>And on Oct. 23, it will issue its third-quarter earnings report.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>而在 10 月 23 日，特斯拉将发布其第三季度收益报告。</p>
</div><p>Let's explore some important themes that investors should be thinking about as Tesla's quarterly report approaches, and assess if now is a good time to buy the stock.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>让我们探讨一些投资者在特斯拉季度报告即将发布之际应该考虑的重要主题，并评估现在是否是买入该股票的好时机。</p>
</div><h2>What's at stake in Tesla's upcoming report?</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>特斯拉即将发布的报告中有什么重要内容？</h2>
</div><p>As a shareholder of Tesla, I'm going to be on the lookout for the following things in its third-quarter report:</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>作为特斯拉的股东，我将密切关注其第三季度报告中的以下内容：</p>
</div><p>1. Updates on the lower-cost vehicle model;</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><ol>
<li>低成本车型的更新；</li>
</ol>
</div><p>2. News surrounding the Robotaxi and autonomous driving in general;</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><ol>
<li>有关 Robotaxi 和自动驾驶的新闻；</li>
</ol>
</div><p>3. Anything related to Optimus and Tesla's robotics vision.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><ol>
<li>与 Optimus 和特斯拉机器人愿景相关的任何内容。</li>
</ol>
</div><p>With all that said, I don't actually think the upcoming report and earnings call will be anything special. A lot of this news has already been shared.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>话虽如此，我实际上并不认为即将发布的报告和收益电话会有什么特别之处。很多这些消息已经被分享过了。</p>
</div><p>I would be quite surprised if Tesla's management provides much more detail or says anything materially different on Oct. 23 than what it shared during the Robotaxi event on Oct. 10. For this reason, I'm not holding my breath for any surprises -- positive or negative.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>如果特斯拉管理层在 10 月 23 日提供的细节不多，或者与 10 月 10 日的 Robotaxi 活动期间分享的内容没有实质性不同，我会感到相当惊讶。因此，我并不指望会有任何惊喜——无论是积极的还是消极的。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://g.foolcdn.com/image//query-b3A9cmVzaXplJnVybD1odHRwczovL2cuZm9vbGNkbi5jb20vZWRpdG9yaWFsL2ltYWdlcy83OTQwNzUvdGVzbGEtZXYtZWxlY3RyaWMtdmVoaWNsZS1jaGFyZ2luZy1zdGF0aW9uLTEuanBnJnc9NzAw" alt="" original-src="https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F794075%2Ftesla-ev-electric-vehicle-charging-station-1.jpg&amp;op=resize&amp;w=700"/></p>
<p>Image Source: Getty Images</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>图片来源：Getty Images</p>
</div><h2>How has Tesla stock performed following earnings reports?</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>特斯拉收益报告后股价表现如何？</h2>
</div><p>The chart below illustrates the price action of Tesla stock across the past seven earnings periods. The dates of the earnings reports are denoted by the purple circles marked with the letter &#34;E&#34;.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>下图展示了特斯拉股票在过去七个收益期间的价格走势。收益报告的日期由紫色圆圈标记，标有字母 “E”。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://media.ycharts.com/charts/820c887d8b3e14de821427a2b0a9c2d0.png" alt="" original-src="https://media.ycharts.com/charts/820c887d8b3e14de821427a2b0a9c2d0.png"/></p>
<p>Data by YCharts.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>数据来源：YCharts。</p>
</div><p>It's obvious that Tesla stock tends to experience heightened volatility around the times of its earnings releases. On several occasions, shares surged significantly in advance of those reports, only to slump shortly after they arrived.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>很明显，特斯拉股票往往在发布收益报告时经历剧烈波动。在几次情况下，股价在这些报告发布前大幅上涨，但很快在报告发布后下跌。</p>
</div><h2>When in doubt, zoom out</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>当犹豫不决时，放大视角</h2>
</div><p>Take a step back, though, and consider the returns of Tesla stock over various time periods.</p>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Metric</th>
<th>1 Year</th>
<th>3 Years</th>
<th>5 Years</th>
<th>10 Years</th>
<th>All Time</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Tesla stock price return</td>
<td>(12.8%)</td>
<td>(18.9%)</td>
<td>1,230%</td>
<td>1,360%</td>
<td>13,660%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，退一步看，考虑特斯拉股票在不同时间段的回报。</p>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>指标</th>
<th>1 年</th>
<th>3 年</th>
<th>5 年</th>
<th>10 年</th>
<th>历史</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>特斯拉股价回报</td>
<td>(12.8%)</td>
<td>(18.9%)</td>
<td>1,230%</td>
<td>1,360%</td>
<td>13,660%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div><p>Data source: Ycharts.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>数据来源：Ycharts。</p>
</div><p>Clearly, Tesla shareholders have been disappointed by the stock's results over the last few years. Macroeconomic forces such as lingering inflation and a high interest rate environment took a toll on the company's growth. However, the economy is showing signs of resiliency: Inflation has cooled to below 3%, the Federal Reserve is tapering interest rates, and the labor market remains fairly strong. I think these factors should bode well for Tesla in the near term.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>显然，特斯拉股东在过去几年对股票的表现感到失望。宏观经济因素，如持续的通货膨胀和高利率环境，对公司的增长造成了影响。然而，经济正在显示出韧性：通货膨胀率已降至 3% 以下，美联储正在逐步缩减利率，劳动力市场仍然相当强劲。我认为这些因素应该对特斯拉短期内是有利的。</p>
</div><p>In the long run, however, there's something much more important to note. Tesla stock has been a bona fide multibagger over the long term.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，从长期来看，有一点更加重要。特斯拉股票在长期内已经成为了一个真正的多倍增长股。</p>
</div><p>So, the question remains: Should you buy Tesla stock before its next earnings report? In my opinion, it doesn't really matter. There's a good chance the stock will see greater volatility as it has in prior earnings periods, but the more crucial point to remember is that attempting to time the market is a usually a losing proposition.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>因此，问题仍然是：在特斯拉下一次收益报告之前，你应该买入特斯拉股票吗？在我看来，这并不重要。股票很可能会像以往的收益期间一样经历更大的波动，但更关键的是要记住，试图时机市场通常是一个失败的策略。</p>
</div><p>If you are a believer in Tesla's AI vision and feel the company is making the right moves to remain a leader in the auto industry, the stock could be worth adding to your portfolio, no matter where in the earnings calendar we are.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>如果你相信特斯拉的人工智能愿景，并认为公司正在采取正确的举措保持在汽车行业的领先地位，那么无论在收益日历的哪个时间点，将该股票纳入你的投资组合都是值得的。</p>
</div>

Should You Buy Tesla Stock Before Oct. 23? Here's What History Suggests

- 特斯拉将在 10 月 23 日发布第三季度财报，投资者需关注多个主题。  
- 近期，特斯拉发布了第三季度生产和交付数据，并举行了 “我们，机器人” 事件。  
- 尽管市场波动性加大，但长期来看，特斯拉股票仍具备增长潜力。

你是否应该在 10 月 23 日之前购买特斯拉股票？以下是历史的建议