<ul>
<li><em>莱特币钱包中盈利的比例已上升至自 2021 年以来的最高水平，受近期涨幅的推动</em></li>
<li><em>在较低时间框架上，出现了反向杯柄形态，可能会导致看跌反转</em></li>
</ul>
<p>莱特币（LTC）在过去一个月中上涨超过 50%，与整个山寨币市场的普遍上涨相呼应。然而，尽管出现了这一反弹，一些分析师实际上认为莱特币可能已经死去。</p>
<p>在一条 X 帖子中，知名分析师 Ali Martinez 指出，LTC 目前的交易价格与 2017 年时相同。此外，他认为它现在缺乏强劲的基本面来推动任何长期增长。</p>
<p>据他所说，尽管 LTC 可能会继续录得一些短期收益，但仍将被困在一个整合区间内。</p>
<h2>莱特币钱包盈利能力达到 2021 年高点</h2>
<p>尽管这种看跌前景，但莱特币近期的涨幅导致盈利钱包的数量激增，达到了自 2021 年以来的最高水平。事实上，来自 IntoTheBlock 的数据揭示，78% 的 LTC 持有者，即 633 万个地址，现在是盈利的。</p>
<p>相反，处于亏损状态的钱包比例在短短一个月内从 46% 降至 16%。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/ltc-iom.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/ltc-iom.png"/></p>
<p>来源：IntoTheBlock</p>
<p>钱包盈利能力的激增可能会增强市场信心，并导致对莱特币的看涨前景。</p>
<p>然而，一些早期买入的交易者和在反弹期间买入的交易者可能会开始获利了结，从而导致趋势减弱。</p>
<h2>高地址数量是积极指标吗？</h2>
<p>截至发稿时，莱特币的活跃地址数量为 364,000 个，超过大多数山寨币。例如，市值是其四倍的卡尔达诺（ADA）只有约 41,000 个活跃地址。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/addresses-1.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/addresses-1.png"/></p>
<p>（来源：IntoTheBlock）</p>
<p>相反，从长期来看，莱特币的地址数量一直在下降。特别是年初时，活跃地址数量超过一百万。</p>
<p>这表明莱特币的实用性在今年下降，这可能对价格产生负面影响。</p>
<h2>随着这些看跌信号的出现，莱特币价格分析</h2>
<p>截至发稿时，莱特币的交易价格为 123 美元，24 小时内上涨 1.57%。在其四小时图表上出现了反向杯柄形态，这可能意味着该山寨币即将进入下行趋势。</p>
<p>如果莱特币承受这种看跌压力并且价格反转，交易者应关注该形态的颈线位 100.65 美元。特别是因为跌破该水平可能会引发更多亏损。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/LTCUSDT_2024-12-14_11-44-29.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/LTCUSDT_2024-12-14_11-44-29.png"/></p>
<p>（来源：Tradingview）</p>
<p>Chaikin 资金流动指标（CMF）表明，由于其跌至零线，买入压力正在减弱。如果它转为负值，可能表明卖出活动激增，从而导致看跌趋势。</p>
<p>与此同时，移动平均收敛发散指标（MACD）的直方图条形显示出买入压力疲弱。然而，较低时间框架上的 MACD 线为正，表明动能仍然略显看涨。</p>
<h2>莱特币的未平仓合约下降</h2>
<p>最后，来自 Coinglass 的数据表明，莱特币的投机活动在本月早些时候达到多个月的峰值后有所下降，当时未平仓合约（OI）激增至 7.06 亿美元。</p>
<p>截至发稿时，莱特币的未平仓合约已降至 5.31 亿美元，表明一些交易者已平仓。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Litecoin-OI.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Litecoin-OI.png"/></p>
<p>（来源：Coinglass）</p>
<p>未平仓合约的下降可能意味着由于市场参与减少，交易者变得谨慎和犹豫，从而导致看跌情绪。</p>

LTCN

<p>莱特币（LTC）在过去一个月中上涨超过 50%，目前 78% 的钱包处于盈利状态，这是自 2021 年以来的最高水平。然而，分析师警告，由于基本面疲弱以及最近出现的反向杯柄形态，可能会出现看跌反转。今年活跃地址显著减少，表明使用率降低。尽管短期内有所上涨，交易者可能会获利了结，导致可能的下行趋势。Chaikin 资金流动指标显示买入压力减弱，未平仓合约也有所下降，暗示市场情绪谨慎</p>

<ul>
<li><em>Percentage of Litecoin wallets in profit has risen to its highest level since 2021 after recent gains</em></li>
<li><em>A bearish reversal is likely after an inverse cup and handle pattern on the lower timeframe</em></li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li><em>莱特币钱包中盈利的比例已上升至自 2021 年以来的最高水平，受近期涨幅的推动</em></li>
<li><em>在较低时间框架上，出现了反向杯柄形态，可能会导致看跌反转</em></li>
</ul>
</div><p>Litecoin (LTC) has gained by more than 50% over the past month, mirroring the widespread gains across the altcoin market. However, despite this rally, some analysts actually believe that Litecoin may be dead.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>莱特币（LTC）在过去一个月中上涨超过 50%，与整个山寨币市场的普遍上涨相呼应。然而，尽管出现了这一反弹，一些分析师实际上认为莱特币可能已经死去。</p>
</div><p>In an X post, popular analyst Ali Martinez noted that LTC is now trading at the same price as back in 2017. Moreover, he argued that it now lacks strong fundamentals to drive any long-term growth.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在一条 X 帖子中，知名分析师 Ali Martinez 指出，LTC 目前的交易价格与 2017 年时相同。此外，他认为它现在缺乏强劲的基本面来推动任何长期增长。</p>
</div><p>According to him, while LTC might continue to register some short-term gains, it will still be stuck within a consolidation range.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>据他所说，尽管 LTC 可能会继续录得一些短期收益，但仍将被困在一个整合区间内。</p>
</div><h2>Litecoin wallet profitability hits 2021 highs</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>莱特币钱包盈利能力达到 2021 年高点</h2>
</div><p>Despite this bearish outlook, however, Litecoin’s recent gains led to a surge in the number of wallets that are in profit to its highest levels since 2021. In fact, data from IntoTheBlock revealed that 78% of LTC holders, equivalent to 6.33 million addresses, are now profitable.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>尽管这种看跌前景，但莱特币近期的涨幅导致盈利钱包的数量激增，达到了自 2021 年以来的最高水平。事实上，来自 IntoTheBlock 的数据揭示，78% 的 LTC 持有者，即 633 万个地址，现在是盈利的。</p>
</div><p>Conversely, the wallets that are in losses have dropped from 46% to 16% in just one month.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>相反，处于亏损状态的钱包比例在短短一个月内从 46% 降至 16%。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/ltc-iom.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/ltc-iom.png"/></p>
<p>Source: IntoTheBlock</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>来源：IntoTheBlock</p>
</div><p>A spike in wallet profitability could increase market confidence and lead to a bullish outlook for Litecoin.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>钱包盈利能力的激增可能会增强市场信心，并导致对莱特币的看涨前景。</p>
</div><p>However, some traders who bought early and those who bought during the rally might start to take profits, causing the trend to weaken.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，一些早期买入的交易者和在反弹期间买入的交易者可能会开始获利了结，从而导致趋势减弱。</p>
</div><h2>Is a high address count a positive indicator?</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>高地址数量是积极指标吗？</h2>
</div><p>The number of active addresses on Litecoin stood at 364,000 at press time – A higher count than for most altcoins. For instance, Cardano (ADA), an altcoin with a market capitalization that is four times higher, has around 41,000 active addresses.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>截至发稿时，莱特币的活跃地址数量为 364,000 个，超过大多数山寨币。例如，市值是其四倍的卡尔达诺（ADA）只有约 41,000 个活跃地址。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/addresses-1.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/addresses-1.png"/></p>
<p>(Source: IntoTheBlock)</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>（来源：IntoTheBlock）</p>
</div><p>On the contrary, a look at the long-term picture revealed that Litecoin’s address count has been on a downward trajectory. Especially since at the start of the year, the active addresses stood at more than one million.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>相反，从长期来看，莱特币的地址数量一直在下降。特别是年初时，活跃地址数量超过一百万。</p>
</div><p>This suggested that Litecoin’s utility has dropped this year, which could have a negative impact on the price.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这表明莱特币的实用性在今年下降，这可能对价格产生负面影响。</p>
</div><h2>Litecoin price analysis as THESE bearish signs emerge</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>随着这些看跌信号的出现，莱特币价格分析</h2>
</div><p>Litecoin, at press time, was trading at $123 after gains of 1.57% in 24 hours. This altcoin could be on the verge of a downtrend after an inverse cup and handle pattern appeared on its four-hour chart.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>截至发稿时，莱特币的交易价格为 123 美元，24 小时内上涨 1.57%。在其四小时图表上出现了反向杯柄形态，这可能意味着该山寨币即将进入下行趋势。</p>
</div><p>If Litecoin succumbs to this bearish pressure and the price reverses itself, traders should watch out for the neckline of this pattern at $100.65. Especially since a drop below could trigger more losses.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>如果莱特币承受这种看跌压力并且价格反转，交易者应关注该形态的颈线位 100.65 美元。特别是因为跌破该水平可能会引发更多亏损。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/LTCUSDT_2024-12-14_11-44-29.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/LTCUSDT_2024-12-14_11-44-29.png"/></p>
<p>(Source: Tradingview)</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>（来源：Tradingview）</p>
</div><p>The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) implied that buying pressure has been weakening due to its drop to the zero line. If it flips negative, it could indicate a surge in selling activity that could lead to bearish trends.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Chaikin 资金流动指标（CMF）表明，由于其跌至零线，买入压力正在减弱。如果它转为负值，可能表明卖出活动激增，从而导致看跌趋势。</p>
</div><p>At the same time, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence’s (MACD) histogram bars pointed to weak buying pressure. However, the MACD line on the lower timeframe was positive – A sign that momentum was still slightly bullish.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>与此同时，移动平均收敛发散指标（MACD）的直方图条形显示出买入压力疲弱。然而，较低时间框架上的 MACD 线为正，表明动能仍然略显看涨。</p>
</div><h2>Litecoin’s Open Interest drops</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>莱特币的未平仓合约下降</h2>
</div><p>Finally, data from Coinglass indicated that speculative activity around Litecoin has dropped after hitting a multi-month peak earlier this month when the OI surged to $706M.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>最后，来自 Coinglass 的数据表明，莱特币的投机活动在本月早些时候达到多个月的峰值后有所下降，当时未平仓合约（OI）激增至 7.06 亿美元。</p>
</div><p>At press time, Litecoin’s OI had dropped to $531M – A sign that some traders had closed their positions.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>截至发稿时，莱特币的未平仓合约已降至 5.31 亿美元，表明一些交易者已平仓。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Litecoin-OI.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Litecoin-OI.png"/></p>
<p>(Source: Coinglass)</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>（来源：Coinglass）</p>
</div><p>A drop in OI could mean bearish sentiment due to reduced market participation as traders become cautious and indecisive.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>未平仓合约的下降可能意味着由于市场参与减少，交易者变得谨慎和犹豫，从而导致看跌情绪。</p>
</div>

Is Litecoin ‘dead?’ 50% hike in 30 days may not be enough because…

莱特币 ‘死’ 了吗？30 天内上涨 50% 可能还不足以挽救，因为