<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/118529440-s.jpg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/118529440-s.jpg"/></p>
<p>穆迪的股价在过去几周反弹，反映出华尔街大多数公司的表现。MCO，沃伦·巴菲特的投资对象，涨至 488 美元，创下自 3 月 4 日以来的最高点，比今年的最低点高出 30%。本文探讨了穆迪的股票是否会继续上涨。</p>
<h2>穆迪的业务表现良好</h2>
<p>穆迪是金融服务行业最大的公司之一。它是一家顶级信用评级机构，与标普全球和惠誉评级竞争。</p>
<p>穆迪通过向债务证券的发行者收取费用来赚钱，这帮助贷款人确定这些公司和国家的信用 worthiness。它还通过对新债务发行的评级和监测费用获得收入。</p>
<p>该公司还有一个大型分析业务，提供订阅和软件许可。</p>
<p>穆迪常被视为一家全能型公司，在所有市场条件下都能盈利。其年度业绩显示，过去几年其收入持续增长，从 2020 年的 53 亿美元增至去年的 70.8 亿美元。</p>
<p>穆迪也是一家高利润率公司，净利润为 20.5 亿美元，净收入率为 29.15%。</p>
<p>最近的业绩显示，该公司的业务在第一季度继续表现良好。其收入增长 8%，达到 10.65 亿美元，创下新高。这部分收入主要来自企业融资集团，其次是结构性融资、公共融资、项目融资和基础设施融资。</p>
<p>分析师对穆迪的收入在第二季度达到 18.2 亿美元持乐观态度。他们还预计每股收益为 3.28 美元。对于全年，分析师预计其收入增长为 4.45%，达到 74 亿美元，而每股收益将从 12.47 美元增至 13.61 美元。</p>
<p>大多数分析师对穆迪的股票持看涨态度，平均目标价为 502 美元，高于当前的 488 美元。一些最看涨的分析师来自贝尔德、富国银行和巴克莱。</p>
<p>不过，风险在于穆迪并不是一家便宜的公司。数据显示，该公司的前瞻市盈率为 39，高于行业中位数的 11.46。其非 GAAP 市盈率为 35.9，同样高于行业中位数的 10.9。</p>
<p>穆迪的估值指标也高于标普全球，后者的前瞻市盈率为 37，非 GAAP 倍数为 30。</p>
<h2>穆迪股价分析</h2>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/moodys-stock-1024x570.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/moodys-stock-1024x570.png"/></p>
<p>MCO 股价图表 | 来源：TradingView</p>
<p>日线图显示，MCO 股价在 4 月跌至 377.75 美元，因关税忧虑持续。随后反弹，今天涨至 488 美元。</p>
<p>该股已突破 50 日和 100 日指数移动平均线（EMA），而相对强弱指数接近超买水平。</p>
<p>然而，风险在于穆迪的股价形成了一个上升楔形模式，这是一个常见的看跌信号。其两条线即将收敛，这可能导致看跌突破。</p>
<p>该股还形成了一个反向头肩形态，其肩部在 435 美元。因此，该股可能会下跌并重新测试 435 美元的支撑位，然后恢复上升趋势。</p>
<p>穆迪股价上涨，但图表显示可能回调的文章首次出现在 Invezz 上。</p>

穆迪

<p>穆迪的股价最近上涨至 488 美元，较今年最低点上涨了 30%。作为一家领先的信用评级机构，该公司在第一季度报告了强劲的财务表现，收入增加至 10.65 亿美元。分析师对未来的增长持乐观态度，预计全年收入将达到 74 亿美元。然而，由于图表中出现上升楔形模式，股价显示出潜在回调的迹象，可能会在回落至 435 美元后再度恢复上涨趋势</p>

<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/118529440-s.jpg" alt="" original-src="https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/118529440-s.jpg"/></p>
<p>Moody’s stock price has bounced back in the past few weeks, mirroring the performance of most companies in Wall Street. MCO, which counts Warren Buffett as an investor, jumped to a high of $488, its highest point since March 4, and 30% above its lowest point this year. This article explores whether Moody’s shares will keep rising.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>穆迪的股价在过去几周反弹，反映出华尔街大多数公司的表现。MCO，沃伦·巴菲特的投资对象，涨至 488 美元，创下自 3 月 4 日以来的最高点，比今年的最低点高出 30%。本文探讨了穆迪的股票是否会继续上涨。</p>
</div><h2>Moody’s business is doing well</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>穆迪的业务表现良好</h2>
</div><p>Moody’s is one of the biggest companies in the financial services industry. It is a top credit rating agency, where it competes with S&amp;P Global and Fitch Ratings.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>穆迪是金融服务行业最大的公司之一。它是一家顶级信用评级机构，与标普全球和惠誉评级竞争。</p>
</div><p>Moody’s makes money by charging fees to issuers of debt securities, which help lenders to determine the creditworthiness of these companies and countries. It also earns fees for rating new debt isssuances and surveillance fees.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>穆迪通过向债务证券的发行者收取费用来赚钱，这帮助贷款人确定这些公司和国家的信用 worthiness。它还通过对新债务发行的评级和监测费用获得收入。</p>
</div><p>The company also has a large analytics business in which it offers subscriptions and software licensing.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>该公司还有一个大型分析业务，提供订阅和软件许可。</p>
</div><p>Moody’s is often seen as an all-weather company that makes money in all market conditions. It annual results shows that its revenue has been growing in the past few years, moving from $5.3 billion in 2020 to $7.08 billion last year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>穆迪常被视为一家全能型公司，在所有市场条件下都能盈利。其年度业绩显示，过去几年其收入持续增长，从 2020 年的 53 亿美元增至去年的 70.8 亿美元。</p>
</div><p>Moody’s is also a high-margin company as it generated a net profit of $2.05 billion, giving it a net income margin of 29.15%.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>穆迪也是一家高利润率公司，净利润为 20.5 亿美元，净收入率为 29.15%。</p>
</div><p>The most recent results showed that the company’s business continued doing well in the first quarter. Its revenue rose by 8% to $1.065 billion, a record figure. Most of this revenue came from the Corporate Finance Group followed by Structured Finance, and Publi, Project, and Infrastructire Finance.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>最近的业绩显示，该公司的业务在第一季度继续表现良好。其收入增长 8%，达到 10.65 亿美元，创下新高。这部分收入主要来自企业融资集团，其次是结构性融资、公共融资、项目融资和基础设施融资。</p>
</div><p>Analysts are optimistic that Moody’s revenue will come in at $1.82 billion in the second quarter. They also expect that its earnings per share will be $3.28. For the year, analysts expect that its revenue growth will be 4.45% to $7.4 billion, while the earnings per share will move from $12.47 to $13.61.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>分析师对穆迪的收入在第二季度达到 18.2 亿美元持乐观态度。他们还预计每股收益为 3.28 美元。对于全年，分析师预计其收入增长为 4.45%，达到 74 亿美元，而每股收益将从 12.47 美元增至 13.61 美元。</p>
</div><p>Most analysts have a bullish outlook for the Moody’s stock, with the average target being at $502, up from the current $488. Some of the most bullish analysts are from Baird, Wells Fargo, and Barclays.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>大多数分析师对穆迪的股票持看涨态度，平均目标价为 502 美元，高于当前的 488 美元。一些最看涨的分析师来自贝尔德、富国银行和巴克莱。</p>
</div><p>Still, the risk is that Moody’s is not a cheap company. Data shows that the company has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 39, up from the sector median of 11.46. Its non-GAAP P/E ratio is 35.9, also higher than the sector median of 10.9.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>不过，风险在于穆迪并不是一家便宜的公司。数据显示，该公司的前瞻市盈率为 39，高于行业中位数的 11.46。其非 GAAP 市盈率为 35.9，同样高于行业中位数的 10.9。</p>
</div><p>Moody’s valuation metrics are also higher than those of S&amp;P Global, which has a forward P/E ratio of 37 and a non-GAAP multiple of 30.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>穆迪的估值指标也高于标普全球，后者的前瞻市盈率为 37，非 GAAP 倍数为 30。</p>
</div><h2>Moody’s stock price analysis</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>穆迪股价分析</h2>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/moodys-stock-1024x570.png" alt="" original-src="https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/moodys-stock-1024x570.png"/></p>
<p>MCO stock price chart | Source: TradingView</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>MCO 股价图表 | 来源：TradingView</p>
</div><p>The daily chart shows that the MCO stock price bottomed at $377.75 in April as the tariff jitters continued. It has then rebounded and moved to $488 today.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日线图显示，MCO 股价在 4 月跌至 377.75 美元，因关税忧虑持续。随后反弹，今天涨至 488 美元。</p>
</div><p>The stock has moved above the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), while the Relative Strength Index is nearing the overbought level.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>该股已突破 50 日和 100 日指数移动平均线（EMA），而相对强弱指数接近超买水平。</p>
</div><p>The risk, however, is that the Moody’s stock price has formed a rising wedge pattern, a popular bearish sign. Its two lines are about to converge, which may lead to a bearish breakdown.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，风险在于穆迪的股价形成了一个上升楔形模式，这是一个常见的看跌信号。其两条线即将收敛，这可能导致看跌突破。</p>
</div><p>The stock is also forming an inverse head and shoulders pattern whose shoulders are at $435. Therefore, the stock will likely drop and retest the support at $435, and then resume the upward trend.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>该股还形成了一个反向头肩形态，其肩部在 435 美元。因此，该股可能会下跌并重新测试 435 美元的支撑位，然后恢复上升趋势。</p>
</div><p>The post Moody’s stock price is rising, but chart points to a pullback appeared first on Invezz</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>穆迪股价上涨，但图表显示可能回调的文章首次出现在 Invezz 上。</p>
</div>

穆迪的股价正在上涨，但图表指向可能的回调