<p>总统 <strong>唐纳德·特朗普</strong> 从来不吝啬自己的言辞，但他最近对美联储主席 <strong>杰罗姆·鲍威尔</strong> 的攻击可能比在阳光下放置的牛奶还要变质。就在他称鲍威尔为 “傻瓜” 后不到一天，金融形势发生了剧烈变化——使得特朗普的要求显得尴尬。</p>
<p>在周四的白宫活动上，特朗普对鲍威尔发起了猛烈抨击，因美联储尽管通胀接近四年来的低点却没有降息而感到沮丧。几个月来，特朗普一直在积极推动降息，认为将利率降低两个百分点可以为政府每年节省 6000 亿美元的融资成本。</p>
<p>副总统 <strong>JD·范斯</strong> 也对鲍威尔施加了压力，在 6 月 12 日的 X 平台上称中央银行拒绝降息是 “货币失职”。</p>
<p>但鲍威尔始终谨慎，拒绝让步，因为消费者价格上涨的速度仍高于中央银行 2% 的目标。特朗普对此完全不以为然，坚称通胀已在控制之中，并表示美联储如果需要可以稍后再次加息。</p>
<p><strong>重新出现的通胀风险表明鲍威尔的谨慎是有道理的</strong></p>
<p>好吧，通胀上升的恐惧可能比特朗普预期的更快重新出现。在他发言后的几个小时内，全球原油价格上涨了多达 14%，这是由于以色列对伊朗核基础设施的大规模空袭，重新点燃了人们对通胀冲击的担忧。原油价格的突然飙升威胁到经济，推动企业和消费者的成本上升——这正是鲍威尔在抵制特朗普激进降息时所警告的情景。</p>
<p><strong>彼得·希夫</strong>，一位知名经济学家和金融评论员，在周四的 X 平台上对此情况发表了看法，强调了未来的通胀风险。</p>
<p>“自 5 月份的低点以来，油价上涨了 30%，” 希夫写道。“任何希望通过油价下跌来降低通胀或美联储降息的人都需要重新考虑他们的假设。在特朗普任内，油价和通胀都会高于拜登任内。降息只会助长这两种火焰。”</p>
<p><strong>特朗普会妥协还是会坚持？</strong></p>
<p>希夫的警告突显了特朗普目前面临的困境。他要求降息的论点基于通胀在控制之中的想法——但随着油价飙升，美联储的谨慎态度看起来越来越合理。中东的地缘政治动荡给特朗普的经济计划带来了麻烦，使得他对鲍威尔的 “傻瓜” 侮辱显得过于仓促。</p>
<p>在 2022 年 3 月，鲍威尔在美国参议院银行委员会作证时表示，每桶原油价格上涨 10 美元会使美国的整体通胀（CPI）大约上升 0.2 个百分点，并使经济增长回落 0.1 个百分点——这一警告在最新的油价飙升中显得愈发相关。</p>
<p>在 2021 年 9 月，达拉斯联邦储备银行研究了油价上涨的通胀效应。研究发现，如果原油价格在三个月内攀升至每桶 100 美元，短期内年通胀率可能增加多达 3 个百分点。</p>
<p>随着市场准备迎接进一步的波动，现在的问题是特朗普是否会调整他的立场——或者在通胀风险加剧的情况下，继续坚持降息的要求。</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>鲍威尔主席应该辞职吗？以下是 Benzinga 读者的看法</strong></li>
</ul>
<p><em>图片使用 Shutterstock 和美联储的照片创建。</em></p>

特朗普媒体科技集团

<p>特朗普总统批评美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔没有降息，称他为 “笨蛋”。然而，在特朗普的言论之后，由于地缘政治紧张局势，全球原油价格飙升了 14%，引发了对通货膨胀的担忧。经济学家警告称，油价上涨可能导致更高的通货膨胀，这与特朗普主张降息的论点相矛盾。这一局势给特朗普带来了困境，因为鲍威尔的谨慎态度在通货膨胀风险重新升高的背景下似乎是合理的。问题在于，特朗普是否会根据这些发展调整他对降息的立场</p>

<p>President <strong>Donald Trump</strong> has never been one to hold back, but his latest jab at Federal Reserve Chair <strong>Jerome Powell</strong> might be aging worse than milk left out in the sun. Less than a day after calling Powell a &#34;numbskull&#34; for refusing to slash interest rates, the financial landscape has shifted dramatically—putting Trump's demand in an awkward position.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>总统 <strong>唐纳德·特朗普</strong> 从来不吝啬自己的言辞，但他最近对美联储主席 <strong>杰罗姆·鲍威尔</strong> 的攻击可能比在阳光下放置的牛奶还要变质。就在他称鲍威尔为 “傻瓜” 后不到一天，金融形势发生了剧烈变化——使得特朗普的要求显得尴尬。</p>
</div><p>At a White House event on Thursday, Trump unleashed a tirade against Powell, frustrated that the Fed hadn't cut rates despite inflation remaining near a four-year low. For months, Trump has been pushing aggressively for lower rates, arguing that cutting them by two percentage points could save the government $600 billion a year in financing costs.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在周四的白宫活动上，特朗普对鲍威尔发起了猛烈抨击，因美联储尽管通胀接近四年来的低点却没有降息而感到沮丧。几个月来，特朗普一直在积极推动降息，认为将利率降低两个百分点可以为政府每年节省 6000 亿美元的融资成本。</p>
</div><p>Vice President <strong>JD Vance</strong> also turned up the heat on Powell, calling the central bank's refusal to cut rates &#34;monetary malpractice&#34; in a June 12 post on X.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>副总统 <strong>JD·范斯</strong> 也对鲍威尔施加了压力，在 6 月 12 日的 X 平台上称中央银行拒绝降息是 “货币失职”。</p>
</div><p>But Powell, ever cautious, has refused to budge as the rate of consumer-price increases is still above the central bank’s 2% target. Trump has dismissed those concerns outright, insisting that inflation was under control and that the Fed could simply hike rates again later if needed.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>但鲍威尔始终谨慎，拒绝让步，因为消费者价格上涨的速度仍高于中央银行 2% 的目标。特朗普对此完全不以为然，坚称通胀已在控制之中，并表示美联储如果需要可以稍后再次加息。</p>
</div><p><strong>Renewed Inflation Risk Suggests Powell’s Caution Is Justified</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>重新出现的通胀风险表明鲍威尔的谨慎是有道理的</strong></p>
</div><p>Well, the fear of higher inflation may have resurfaced faster than Trump anticipated. Within hours of his remarks, global crude prices surged as much as 14%, following Israel's large-scale airstrikes on Iran's nuclear infrastructure, reigniting fears of an inflationary shock. The sudden spike in crude prices threatens to ripple through the economy, pushing up costs for businesses and consumers alike—precisely the kind of scenario Powell had warned about when resisting Trump's aggressive push for rate cuts.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>好吧，通胀上升的恐惧可能比特朗普预期的更快重新出现。在他发言后的几个小时内，全球原油价格上涨了多达 14%，这是由于以色列对伊朗核基础设施的大规模空袭，重新点燃了人们对通胀冲击的担忧。原油价格的突然飙升威胁到经济，推动企业和消费者的成本上升——这正是鲍威尔在抵制特朗普激进降息时所警告的情景。</p>
</div><p><strong>Peter Schiff</strong>, a well-known economist and financial commentator, weighed in on the situation in an X post on Thursday, highlighting the inflationary risks ahead.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>彼得·希夫</strong>，一位知名经济学家和金融评论员，在周四的 X 平台上对此情况发表了看法，强调了未来的通胀风险。</p>
</div><p>&#34;Since the May low, the oil price is up 30%,&#34; Schiff wrote. &#34;Anyone hoping for lower inflation or Fed rate cuts based on falling oil prices needs to rethink their assumptions. Both oil prices and inflation will be higher under Trump than they were under Biden. Rate cuts will just fuel both fires.&#34;</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“自 5 月份的低点以来，油价上涨了 30%，” 希夫写道。“任何希望通过油价下跌来降低通胀或美联储降息的人都需要重新考虑他们的假设。在特朗普任内，油价和通胀都会高于拜登任内。降息只会助长这两种火焰。”</p>
</div><p><strong>Will Trump Blink Or Double Down?</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>特朗普会妥协还是会坚持？</strong></p>
</div><p>Schiff's warning underscores the dilemma now facing Trump. His argument for slashing rates hinged on the idea that inflation was under control—but with oil prices surging, the Fed's cautious approach looks increasingly justified. The geopolitical turmoil in the Middle East has thrown a wrench into Trump's economic playbook, making his &#34;numbskull&#34; insult to Powell seem premature at best.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>希夫的警告突显了特朗普目前面临的困境。他要求降息的论点基于通胀在控制之中的想法——但随着油价飙升，美联储的谨慎态度看起来越来越合理。中东的地缘政治动荡给特朗普的经济计划带来了麻烦，使得他对鲍威尔的 “傻瓜” 侮辱显得过于仓促。</p>
</div><p>In March 2022, Powell testified before the U.S. Senate Banking Committee that every $10 per barrel increase in crude oil prices raises U.S. headline inflation (CPI) by approximately 0.2 percentage points and sets back economic growth by 0.1 percentage points—a warning that feels increasingly relevant amid the latest oil price surge.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在 2022 年 3 月，鲍威尔在美国参议院银行委员会作证时表示，每桶原油价格上涨 10 美元会使美国的整体通胀（CPI）大约上升 0.2 个百分点，并使经济增长回落 0.1 个百分点——这一警告在最新的油价飙升中显得愈发相关。</p>
</div><p>In a September 2021 study, the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas examined the inflationary effects of rising oil prices. The research found that if crude prices climbed to $100 per barrel for three months, the annual inflation rate could increase by up to 3 percentage points in the short term.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在 2021 年 9 月，达拉斯联邦储备银行研究了油价上涨的通胀效应。研究发现，如果原油价格在三个月内攀升至每桶 100 美元，短期内年通胀率可能增加多达 3 个百分点。</p>
</div><p>As markets brace for further volatility, the question now is whether Trump will adjust his stance—or double down on his demand for rate cuts, even as inflation risks mount.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>随着市场准备迎接进一步的波动，现在的问题是特朗普是否会调整他的立场——或者在通胀风险加剧的情况下，继续坚持降息的要求。</p>
</div><ul>
<li><strong>Should Fed Chair Powell Resign? Here’s What Benzinga Readers Said</strong></li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li><strong>鲍威尔主席应该辞职吗？以下是 Benzinga 读者的看法</strong></li>
</ul>
</div><p><em>Image created using photos from Shutterstock and Fed.</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>图片使用 Shutterstock 和美联储的照片创建。</em></p>
</div>

Trump's 'Numbskull' Insult Comes Back To Bite—In Record Time

- 特朗普批评美联储主席鲍威尔未降息，称其为 “傻瓜”。
- 全球原油价格因中东局势上涨，通胀风险加剧，鲍威尔的谨慎态度得到验证。
- 经济学家警告，油价上涨将推动通胀，特朗普的降息主张面临挑战。

特朗普的 ‘笨蛋’ 侮辱迅速反噬——创下历史纪录的时间