<p>路透社</p><ul><li>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔表示，关税阻碍了特朗普总统急需的降息。</li><li>美联储在更新其通胀和经济展望时仍处于观望状态。</li><li>市场预计今年将有两次降息，但一些人预测根本不会降息。</li></ul><p>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在周二有效地告诉特朗普总统，他在争取降息的斗争中是自己最大的敌人。</p><p>他特别提到了特朗普宣布和实施的关税，指责这些关税导致了降息活动的缺乏。</p><p>鲍威尔在欧洲央行小组讨论中表示：“当我们看到关税的规模时，我们就暂停了，实际上美国的所有通胀预测都因此大幅上升。”</p><p>控制通胀是美联储在决定是否调整利率时最终关注的重点。尽管最近的数据相当令人鼓舞，但中央银行仍将保持观望，直到关税对经济的影响变得更加清晰。在这种情况下，不确定性是敌人。</p><p>当被问及七月是否太早开始降息时，鲍威尔没有给出明确的答案，而是重申了他的观望立场。根据 CME FedWatch 工具，市场目前对 7 月 30 日会议降息的概率仅为 19%。</p><p>鲍威尔表示：“这将取决于数据。我们是逐次会议进行的。我不会将任何会议排除在外，也不会将其直接放在桌面上。”</p><p>美联储主席在降息上的不作为引起了特朗普的愤怒，而鲍威尔的最新言论无疑会进一步加剧这场持续的争执。</p><p>特朗普曾建议解雇鲍威尔，昨天总统还给鲍威尔发了一封手写的信，要求降息。特朗普还据报道考虑提前几个月任命鲍威尔的继任者，实际上削弱了美联储主席的权威。</p><p>然而，在美联储的观望信息中，鲍威尔确实提供了一些清晰的信息，表示大多数 FOMC 成员认为在今年剩余的四次美联储会议中某个时点开始降息是合适的。</p><p>市场预计今年剩余时间将有大约两次降息。一些策略师，如美国银行的高级美国经济学家阿迪提亚·巴哈夫，预测根本不会降息。</p>

特朗普媒体科技集团

<p>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔表示，特朗普总统施加的关税阻碍了潜在的降息，因为这些关税提高了通胀预期。美联储目前在利率调整方面处于观望状态，市场预计今年将有两次降息，尽管一些人预测不会有降息。鲍威尔强调，决策将取决于经济数据，尽管他承认降息的可能性，但并未承诺具体的时间表。特朗普对鲍威尔的不作为表示不满，导致了紧张局势，包括提出解雇鲍威尔的建议</p>

<p>Reuters</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>路透社</p>
</div><ul>
<li>Fed Chair Jerome Powell says tariffs have prevented the rate cuts President Trump badly wants.</li>
<li>The Fed remains in wait-and-see mode as it updates its inflation and economic outlook.</li>
<li>Markets anticipate two rate cuts this year, but some predict no cuts at all.</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔表示，关税阻碍了特朗普总统急需的降息。</li>
<li>美联储在更新其通胀和经济展望时仍处于观望状态。</li>
<li>市场预计今年将有两次降息，但一些人预测根本不会降息。</li>
</ul>
</div><p>Fed Chair Jerome Powell effectively told President Trump on Tuesday that he's his own worst enemy in his crusade for rate cuts.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在周二有效地告诉特朗普总统，他在争取降息的斗争中是自己最大的敌人。</p>
</div><p>He was speaking specifically about the tariffs Trump has announced and implemented, blaming them for the lack of rate-cut activity.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>他特别提到了特朗普宣布和实施的关税，指责这些关税导致了降息活动的缺乏。</p>
</div><p>&#34;We went on hold when we saw the size of the tariffs, and essentially all inflation forecasts for the United States went up materially as a consequence of the tariffs,&#34; Powell said at a European Central Bank panel.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>鲍威尔在欧洲央行小组讨论中表示：“当我们看到关税的规模时，我们就暂停了，实际上美国的所有通胀预测都因此大幅上升。”</p>
</div><p>Keeping inflation in check is ultimately what the Fed is focused on when deciding whether to adjust interest rates. And while recent data has been fairly encouraging, the central bank remains on hold until the impacts of tariffs on the economy become clearer. In this case, uncertainty is the enemy.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>控制通胀是美联储在决定是否调整利率时最终关注的重点。尽管最近的数据相当令人鼓舞，但中央银行仍将保持观望，直到关税对经济的影响变得更加清晰。在这种情况下，不确定性是敌人。</p>
</div><p>When asked if July was too soon to start cutting rates, Powell didn't offer a clear answer, instead reaffirming his wait-and-see position. Markets are currently pricing in just a 19% probability of a cut at the July 30 meeting, according to the CME FedWatch tool.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>当被问及七月是否太早开始降息时，鲍威尔没有给出明确的答案，而是重申了他的观望立场。根据 CME FedWatch 工具，市场目前对 7 月 30 日会议降息的概率仅为 19%。</p>
</div><p>&#34;It's going to depend on the data. We are going meeting by meeting,&#34; Powell said. &#34;I wouldn't take any meeting off the table or put it directly on the table.&#34;</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>鲍威尔表示：“这将取决于数据。我们是逐次会议进行的。我不会将任何会议排除在外，也不会将其直接放在桌面上。”</p>
</div><p>The Fed chair's inaction on cutting rates has drawn the ire of Trump, and Powell's latest comments will no doubt add more fuel to the running feud.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美联储主席在降息上的不作为引起了特朗普的愤怒，而鲍威尔的最新言论无疑会进一步加剧这场持续的争执。</p>
</div><p>Trump has suggested firing Powell, and yesterday the president sending Powell a handwritten note demanding rate cuts. Trump has also reportedly considered appointing Powell's successor months in advance, effectively undermining the Fed Chair's authority.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>特朗普曾建议解雇鲍威尔，昨天总统还给鲍威尔发了一封手写的信，要求降息。特朗普还据报道考虑提前几个月任命鲍威尔的继任者，实际上削弱了美联储主席的权威。</p>
</div><p>However, amid the Fed's wait-and-see messaging, Powell did offer a bit of clarity, saying that the majority of FOMC participants felt that it would be appropriate to begin cutting rates at some point during the remaining four Fed meetings this year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，在美联储的观望信息中，鲍威尔确实提供了一些清晰的信息，表示大多数 FOMC 成员认为在今年剩余的四次美联储会议中某个时点开始降息是合适的。</p>
</div><p>Markets are pricing in around two rate cuts for the rest of the year. Some strategists, such as Bank of America's Senior US Economist Aditya Bhave, are predicting no rate cuts at all.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>市场预计今年剩余时间将有大约两次降息。一些策略师，如美国银行的高级美国经济学家阿迪提亚·巴哈夫，预测根本不会降息。</p>
</div><p>Read the original article on Business Insider</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>阅读 Business Insider 上的原始文章</p>
</div>

Fed Chair Powell says he would've cut rates already if not for Trump's tariffs

- 美联储主席鲍威尔表示关税阻碍了特朗普希望的降息。  
- 美联储在等待经济和通胀前景的同时，市场预计今年将有两次降息。  
- 鲍威尔强调，降息将取决于经济数据，当前降息概率仅为 19%。

美联储主席鲍威尔称，如果不是由于特朗普的关税，他本来已经会降息了