<p><strong>Palantir Technologies</strong>（PLTR -1.42%）的股票可能被一些人视为有点风险——这并不是因为公司在盈利方面表现不佳，而是因为该股票在三年内飙升了惊人的 1900%。这使得其交易时的估值相当高，这一点可能会影响其潜在收益，甚至可能导致股价下跌。</p>
<p>所以你可能会犹豫现在是否要投资 Palantir，但与此同时，你可能会轻松地开车去当地的杂货店，做一些更冒险的事情：买一张强力球彩票。花费几美元似乎对你来说不算什么，但如果你每个月这样做几次，累积起来就不小了。而结果通常是钱的损失。大约一半的美国人会购买彩票，但在大多数情况下，他们什么也赢不了，Motley Fool Money 的报告显示。至于投资，尽管股市的表现远远好于彩票，但只有 21% 的美国家庭直接拥有股票——<strong>标准普尔 500 指数</strong> 的平均年收益率长期以来达到了 10%。</p>
<p>考虑到这些彩票统计数据和股市的表现记录，我的预测是 Palantir 比强力球更安全。让我们更仔细地看看这只科技股如何为你提供更好的回报。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://g.foolcdn.com/image//query-b3A9cmVzaXplJnVybD1odHRwczovL2cuZm9vbGNkbi5jb20vZWRpdG9yaWFsL2ltYWdlcy84MzExMjgvZ2V0dHlpbWFnZXMtMTI5MDMyMzUxNy0xMjAweDgwMC01YjJkZjc5LmpwZyZ3PTcwMA?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://g.foolcdn.com/image//query-b3A9cmVzaXplJnVybD1odHRwczovL2cuZm9vbGNkbi5jb20vZWRpdG9yaWFsL2ltYWdlcy84MzExMjgvZ2V0dHlpbWFnZXMtMTI5MDMyMzUxNy0xMjAweDgwMC01YjJkZjc5LmpwZyZ3PTcwMA"/></p>
<p>图片来源：Getty Images。</p>
<h2>你不必投资成千上万</h2>
<p>首先，重要的是要注意，你不必投资数百或数千美元才能购买股票——相反，你可以选择购买部分股票，这样你就可以投资你想要的金额和/或你能承受的金额。或者，在 Palantir 的情况下，今天的交易价格略低于 160 美元，你可以选择购买一两股。你不必全力以赴，购买数百股才能从该股票的长期增长中受益。因此，你确实可以将你可能花在彩票上的几美元转而用于股票投资。</p>
<p>现在，让我们具体谈谈 Palantir。确实，这家软件公司根据前瞻性收益估计的交易价格超过 200 倍，这一指标看起来很贵。但重要的是要记住，这一估值指标考虑的是明年的潜在收益——而不是几年的收益。因此，在考虑像 Palantir 这样的高增长科技公司时，完全依赖估值是困难的。</p>
<p>当然，这种估值情况可能会阻止一些投资者购买该股票，这可能导致股票表现疲软，甚至在短期内下跌。但盈利表现通常是推动长期股票表现的关键，而在这方面，前景看起来光明。</p>
<h2>Palantir 的创纪录收入</h2>
<p>Palantir 一直在报告创纪录的收入，季度接季度地增长，因为美国政府和商业客户纷纷涌入其人工智能（AI）驱动的软件。该软件帮助这些客户汇总数据并充分利用这些数据。虽然这听起来可能很无聊，但实际上却带来了相当引人注目的结果——Palantir 的客户在效率上获得了提升，克服了挑战，并通过公司的平台取得了改变游戏规则的发现。</p>
<p>这在最近的财报中得到了体现。在最新的季度中，Palantir 报告了其美国政府和美国商业业务的两位数增长——在过去的几个季度中也是如此——并几乎全面提高了全年指导，从收入到调整后的营业收入。重要的是，公司在收入增长与盈利能力之间取得了良好的平衡，正如我们在其 40 法则得分 94% 中所看到的。通常，40% 或更高被视为优秀，因此在这里，Palantir 显然表现出色。</p>
<h2>你应该等着买 Palantir 吗？</h2>
<p>Palantir 的股票在某个时候可能会因估值担忧而回调，但只要 Palantir 继续实现盈利增长，我不认为这会成为长期趋势。现在你可能会问：我为什么不等到 Palantir 下跌时再买？答案是我们无法确定股票是否真的会下跌。它们可能会保持在当前水平，甚至在估值情况下继续上涨。</p>
<p>但好消息是，如果你打算进行长期投资——至少五年——短期波动不太可能对你的整体回报产生太大影响。这意味着现在购买 Palantir，即使在今天的估值下，仍然可能为你带来长期的收益。而我的预测是，这比玩强力球安全得多。</p>

PLTR

<p>尽管 Palantir Technologies (PLTR) 的估值较高，并且在三年内增长了 1900%，但它被认为是比购买强力球彩票更安全的投资。只有 21% 的美国家庭拥有股票，历史上股市的表现优于彩票。Palantir 凭借其人工智能驱动的软件实现了创纪录的收入增长，显示出强劲的长期潜力。虽然估值问题可能导致短期波动，但长期投资可能带来积极回报，使 Palantir 成为比彩票赌博更明智的选择</p>

<p><strong>Palantir Technologies</strong>(PLTR -1.42%) stock may be considered a bit risky by some -- not because of any underperformance by the company from an earnings perspective, but rather the idea that the stock has soared a mind-boggling 1,900% over three years. And that's left it trading at a hefty valuation, a point that could weigh on its potential for gains and even drive the stock lower.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>Palantir Technologies</strong>（PLTR -1.42%）的股票可能被一些人视为有点风险——这并不是因为公司在盈利方面表现不佳，而是因为该股票在三年内飙升了惊人的 1900%。这使得其交易时的估值相当高，这一点可能会影响其潜在收益，甚至可能导致股价下跌。</p>
</div><p>So you may hesitate to get in on Palantir right now, but at the same time, you might easily drive to your local grocery store and do something much riskier: pick up a Powerball ticket. Spending only a few dollars may not seem like a big deal to you, but if you do this even a couple of times a month, it could add up. And the result generally will be money lost. About half of Americans buy lottery tickets, but on most occasions, they win nothing, a Motley Fool Money report shows. As for investing, only 21% of U.S. families directly own stock even though the stock market has delivered much better results than the lottery -- the <strong>S&amp;P 500</strong> has recorded an average annual gain of 10% over time.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>所以你可能会犹豫现在是否要投资 Palantir，但与此同时，你可能会轻松地开车去当地的杂货店，做一些更冒险的事情：买一张强力球彩票。花费几美元似乎对你来说不算什么，但如果你每个月这样做几次，累积起来就不小了。而结果通常是钱的损失。大约一半的美国人会购买彩票，但在大多数情况下，他们什么也赢不了，Motley Fool Money 的报告显示。至于投资，尽管股市的表现远远好于彩票，但只有 21% 的美国家庭直接拥有股票——<strong>标准普尔 500 指数</strong> 的平均年收益率长期以来达到了 10%。</p>
</div><p>Considering these lottery statistics and the stock market track record, my prediction is Palantir is a safer bet than Powerball. Let's take a closer look at how this tech stock might offer you a better return.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>考虑到这些彩票统计数据和股市的表现记录，我的预测是 Palantir 比强力球更安全。让我们更仔细地看看这只科技股如何为你提供更好的回报。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://g.foolcdn.com/image//query-b3A9cmVzaXplJnVybD1odHRwczovL2cuZm9vbGNkbi5jb20vZWRpdG9yaWFsL2ltYWdlcy84MzExMjgvZ2V0dHlpbWFnZXMtMTI5MDMyMzUxNy0xMjAweDgwMC01YjJkZjc5LmpwZyZ3PTcwMA" alt="" original-src="https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F831128%2Fgettyimages-1290323517-1200x800-5b2df79.jpg&amp;op=resize&amp;w=700"/></p>
<p>Image source: Getty Images.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>图片来源：Getty Images。</p>
</div><h2>You don't have to invest thousands</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>你不必投资成千上万</h2>
</div><p>First, it's important to note that you don't have to invest hundreds or thousands of dollars to get in on a stock -- instead, you can opt for fractional shares, offering you the opportunity to invest the amount you want and/or the amount you can afford. Or, in the case of Palantir, which trades for just under $160 today, you might choose to buy one or two shares. You don't have to go all in and purchase hundreds of shares of a company in order to benefit from that stock's progress over time. So, you truly can allocate the few dollars you might spend on the lottery to a stock investment instead.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>首先，重要的是要注意，你不必投资数百或数千美元才能购买股票——相反，你可以选择购买部分股票，这样你就可以投资你想要的金额和/或你能承受的金额。或者，在 Palantir 的情况下，今天的交易价格略低于 160 美元，你可以选择购买一两股。你不必全力以赴，购买数百股才能从该股票的长期增长中受益。因此，你确实可以将你可能花在彩票上的几美元转而用于股票投资。</p>
</div><p>Now, let's talk about Palantir specifically. It's true that this software company, trading for more than 200 times forward earnings estimates, looks expensive according to this metric. But it's important to remember that this valuation measure considers next year's potential earnings -- not earnings a few years down the road. That's why it's difficult to completely rely on valuation when looking at a high growth tech player like Palantir.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>现在，让我们具体谈谈 Palantir。确实，这家软件公司根据前瞻性收益估计的交易价格超过 200 倍，这一指标看起来很贵。但重要的是要记住，这一估值指标考虑的是明年的潜在收益——而不是几年的收益。因此，在考虑像 Palantir 这样的高增长科技公司时，完全依赖估值是困难的。</p>
</div><p>Of course, this valuation situation may stop some investors from buying the shares, and this could lead to sluggishness in stock performance or even declines in the near term. But earnings performance is what generally drives long-term stock performance, and here, things look bright.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>当然，这种估值情况可能会阻止一些投资者购买该股票，这可能导致股票表现疲软，甚至在短期内下跌。但盈利表现通常是推动长期股票表现的关键，而在这方面，前景看起来光明。</p>
</div><h2>Palantir's record revenue</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>Palantir 的创纪录收入</h2>
</div><p>Palantir has been reporting record revenue quarter after quarter as both the U.S. government and commercial customers pile into its artificial intelligence (AI) powered software. The software helps these customers aggregate data and make the best possible use of it. While this might sound boring, it actually is delivering pretty compelling results -- Palantir's customers are gaining in efficiency, conquering challenges, and making game-changing discoveries thanks to the company's platforms.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Palantir 一直在报告创纪录的收入，季度接季度地增长，因为美国政府和商业客户纷纷涌入其人工智能（AI）驱动的软件。该软件帮助这些客户汇总数据并充分利用这些数据。虽然这听起来可能很无聊，但实际上却带来了相当引人注目的结果——Palantir 的客户在效率上获得了提升，克服了挑战，并通过公司的平台取得了改变游戏规则的发现。</p>
</div><p>And this has been reflected in recent earnings reports. In the latest quarter, Palantir reported double-digit growth in its U.S. government and U.S. commercial businesses -- as it has in past quarters too -- and lifted full-year guidance nearly across the board, from revenue to adjusted operating income. Importantly, the company is expertly balancing revenue growth with profitability as we can see in its Rule of 40 score of 94%. Generally 40% or better is seen as excellent, so here, Palantir clearly is excelling.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这在最近的财报中得到了体现。在最新的季度中，Palantir 报告了其美国政府和美国商业业务的两位数增长——在过去的几个季度中也是如此——并几乎全面提高了全年指导，从收入到调整后的营业收入。重要的是，公司在收入增长与盈利能力之间取得了良好的平衡，正如我们在其 40 法则得分 94% 中所看到的。通常，40% 或更高被视为优秀，因此在这里，Palantir 显然表现出色。</p>
</div><h2>Should you wait to buy Palantir?</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>你应该等着买 Palantir 吗？</h2>
</div><p>It's possible that Palantir shares will pull back at some point amid valuation concerns, but I wouldn't expect this to become a long-term movement as long as Palantir keeps delivering earnings growth. Now you might ask: Why shouldn't I just wait and buy Palantir when it falls? The answer here is we don't know for sure whether the shares actually will decline. They might remain at the current level or even head higher in spite of the valuation situation.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Palantir 的股票在某个时候可能会因估值担忧而回调，但只要 Palantir 继续实现盈利增长，我不认为这会成为长期趋势。现在你可能会问：我为什么不等到 Palantir 下跌时再买？答案是我们无法确定股票是否真的会下跌。它们可能会保持在当前水平，甚至在估值情况下继续上涨。</p>
</div><p>But, the good news is, if you aim to invest for the long term -- at least five years -- near-term fluctuations aren't likely to impact your overall returns by very much. This means that buying Palantir now, even at today's valuation, still may set you up for a win over time. And my prediction is it's a lot safer than playing Powerball.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>但好消息是，如果你打算进行长期投资——至少五年——短期波动不太可能对你的整体回报产生太大影响。这意味着现在购买 Palantir，即使在今天的估值下，仍然可能为你带来长期的收益。而我的预测是，这比玩强力球安全得多。</p>
</div>

Prediction: Palantir Stock Could Be a Safer Bet Than Powerball

- Palantir Technologies 股票在过去三年上涨了 1,900%，但估值较高。  
- 公司持续报告创纪录的收入，尤其在美国政府和商业客户中。  
- 长期投资 Palantir 可能比购买彩票更安全，尽管短期内可能面临波动。

预测：Palantir 股票可能比 Powerball 更为稳妥