<p><strong>苹果</strong>(AAPL -0.57%) 最近在科技股中表现不佳。不仅落后于其他大型科技股，还落后于市场的整体涨幅，今年以来基本持平。</p>
<p>但不要太快放弃苹果。过去几十年中，它曾有过几次滞后多年后再次繁荣的时刻。而且有充分的理由相信它能够再次东山再起。这就是其中之一。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://g.foolcdn.com/image//query-b3A9cmVzaXplJnVybD1odHRwczovL2cuZm9vbGNkbi5jb20vZWRpdG9yaWFsL2ltYWdlcy84MzQ4NDIvcGVyc29uLWxvb2tpbmctYXQtYS1zbWFydHBob25lLWFuZC1hLXRhYmxldC5qcGcmdz03MDA?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="700" height="465" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://g.foolcdn.com/image//query-b3A9cmVzaXplJnVybD1odHRwczovL2cuZm9vbGNkbi5jb20vZWRpdG9yaWFsL2ltYWdlcy84MzQ4NDIvcGVyc29uLWxvb2tpbmctYXQtYS1zbWFydHBob25lLWFuZC1hLXRhYmxldC5qcGcmdz03MDA"/></p>
<p>图片来源：Getty Images。</p>
<h2>用户最爱</h2>
<p>苹果最受欢迎的产品是 iPhone，约占苹果总销售额的一半。客户在新产品发布时会持续升级，即使是那些持有多年的人，最终也会因为某种原因需要更换新手机。</p>
<p>如今几乎所有美国成年人都拥有智能手机——根据皮尤研究中心的数据，比例高达 91%。苹果占美国智能手机市场的超过一半，这是一道巨大的护城河，难以被超越，无论今天的科技如何变化。如果科技在变化，苹果通常是引领者。</p>
<p>最近，用户和投资者对苹果的人工智能（AI）计划——苹果智能的进展感到失望，或者更准确地说，是没有进展。但在接下来的五年中，它很可能会迎来自己的突破，加上 iPhone 在质量和易用性上的优势，应该能让客户紧密围绕这个品牌。2025 财年第三季度（截至 6 月 28 日），iPhone 销售同比增长 13%，这表明尽管其规模和市场份额庞大，iPhone 仍能产生高销售额。随着 AI 竞争的加速，期待苹果智能进一步推动 iPhone 销售，并让苹果实现健康的复苏。</p>

苹果

2 倍做多 AAPL ETF - GraniteShares

苹果每日 1 倍做空 ETF - Direxion

苹果每日 2 倍做多 ETF - Direxion

AAPX

AAPY

APLY

<p>苹果在科技行业表现不佳，落后于其他主要股票和整体市场。然而，其强劲的 iPhone 销售占其总收入的约一半，以及在人工智能项目中可能取得的突破，暗示未来五年有望复苏。尽管近期表现令人失望，但 iPhone 的质量和用户忠诚度可能推动未来的增长，尤其是在人工智能发展不断推进的情况下</p>

<p><strong>Apple</strong>(AAPL -0.57%) has been a laggard in tech lately. Not only is it trailing the other large tech stocks, it's trailing the market's gains, roughly flat year to date.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>苹果</strong>(AAPL -0.57%) 最近在科技股中表现不佳。不仅落后于其他大型科技股，还落后于市场的整体涨幅，今年以来基本持平。</p>
</div><p>But don't give up on Apple so fast. It's had several moments over the past few decades where it lagged for years before booming again. And there are good reasons to be confident it can make another comeback. Here's one of them.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>但不要太快放弃苹果。过去几十年中，它曾有过几次滞后多年后再次繁荣的时刻。而且有充分的理由相信它能够再次东山再起。这就是其中之一。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://g.foolcdn.com/image//query-b3A9cmVzaXplJnVybD1odHRwczovL2cuZm9vbGNkbi5jb20vZWRpdG9yaWFsL2ltYWdlcy84MzQ4NDIvcGVyc29uLWxvb2tpbmctYXQtYS1zbWFydHBob25lLWFuZC1hLXRhYmxldC5qcGcmdz03MDA" alt="" original-src="https://g.foolcdn.com/image/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fg.foolcdn.com%2Feditorial%2Fimages%2F834842%2Fperson-looking-at-a-smartphone-and-a-tablet.jpg&amp;op=resize&amp;w=700"/></p>
<p>Image source: Getty Images.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>图片来源：Getty Images。</p>
</div><h2>The user favorite</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>用户最爱</h2>
</div><p>Apple's most popular product is the iPhone, and it accounts for around half of Apple's total sales. Customers consistently upgrade when there are new launches, and even people who hold on for years eventually need to get a new phone for one reason or another.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>苹果最受欢迎的产品是 iPhone，约占苹果总销售额的一半。客户在新产品发布时会持续升级，即使是那些持有多年的人，最终也会因为某种原因需要更换新手机。</p>
</div><p>Nearly all U.S. adults own a smartphone today -- 91% according to Pew research. Apple accounts for more than half of U.S. smartphones, which is a massive moat that's not easily overcome, no matter how much technology today is changing. If it is changing, Apple is usually leading.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>如今几乎所有美国成年人都拥有智能手机——根据皮尤研究中心的数据，比例高达 91%。苹果占美国智能手机市场的超过一半，这是一道巨大的护城河，难以被超越，无论今天的科技如何变化。如果科技在变化，苹果通常是引领者。</p>
</div><p>Recently, users and investors alike have been disappointed in how Apple's artificial intelligence (AI) initiative, Apple Intelligence, is coming along, or more accurately not coming along. But over the next five years, it's likely to have its own breakthrough, and coupled with the iPhone's advantages of quality and ease of use, it should keep customers close to the brand. iPhone sales increased 13% year over year in the 2025 fiscal third quarter (ended June 28), demonstrating that despite its size and market share, the iPhone can still generate high sales. As the AI race speeds up, look for Apple Intelligence to boost iPhone sales further and for Apple to make a healthy comeback.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>最近，用户和投资者对苹果的人工智能（AI）计划——苹果智能的进展感到失望，或者更准确地说，是没有进展。但在接下来的五年中，它很可能会迎来自己的突破，加上 iPhone 在质量和易用性上的优势，应该能让客户紧密围绕这个品牌。2025 财年第三季度（截至 6 月 28 日），iPhone 销售同比增长 13%，这表明尽管其规模和市场份额庞大，iPhone 仍能产生高销售额。随着 AI 竞争的加速，期待苹果智能进一步推动 iPhone 销售，并让苹果实现健康的复苏。</p>
</div>

Prediction: Apple Will Stage a Major Comeback in the Next 5 Years. Here's 1 Reason Why.

- 苹果公司在科技领域近期表现不佳，年初至今基本持平。  
- 尽管面临挑战，iPhone 销售在 2025 财年第三季度同比增长 13%。  
- 预计未来五年，苹果的人工智能突破将进一步推动 iPhone 销售。  

预测：苹果将在未来五年内实现重大反弹。以下是其中一个原因