<p>要点：</p>
<ul>
<li>纳斯达克综合指数的牛市持续进行，我们不需要任何复杂的技术指标来告诉我们这一点！</li>
<li>上周我们深入分析了铜，本周我们将研究其基础金属的同类铝、铅、镍、锡和锌。</li>
<li>它们是否表明投资者对全球经济增长的信心正在增强？</li>
</ul>
<p>在今天的市场图表观察中，我们将涵盖以下技术分析：</p>
<ul>
<li>纳斯达克综合指数</li>
<li>铝 LME 官方现货</li>
<li>铅 LME 官方现货</li>
<li>镍 LME 官方现货</li>
<li>锡 LME 官方现货</li>
<li>锌 LME 官方现货</li>
</ul>
<p>纳斯达克综合指数</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-947f187713cfd31a5559fba25b3d5c8b-resized.jpeg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-947f187713cfd31a5559fba25b3d5c8b-resized.jpeg"/></p>
<p>纳斯达克综合指数图表（</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-947f187713cfd31a5559fba25b3d5c8b-resized.jpeg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-947f187713cfd31a5559fba25b3d5c8b-resized.jpeg"/></p>
<p>完整图像）</p>
<p>在昨天的更新中，我们提到周四和周五的两根 “并不理想但无须担忧” 的蜡烛。周一的蜡烛表明这一叙述是正确的。又一次创下历史新高，刚好在 22991.7 的新历史高点附近。</p>
<p>综合指数的出现并非偶然。自四月低点以来，需求与供应之间存在着普遍的不平衡——也就是普遍的过剩需求。</p>
<p>周一的温和需求蜡烛并没有带来任何变化……或许有一点犹豫，伴随着一小段向上的影线……但我在这里是斤斤计较。</p>
<p>综合指数的图表仍然是需求方控制的表现：</p>
<ul>
<li>趋势：
<ul>
<li>短期趋势 = 上升，已确立，陡峭，作为动态需求区 = 交易者买入回调 = 需求方控制 ✅</li>
<li>长期趋势 = 上升，已确立，陡峭，作为动态需求区 = 基金积累 = 需求方控制 ✅</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>价格走势：上升的高点和上升的低点 = 买入回调 = 需求方控制 ✅</li>
<li>蜡烛：需求方蜡烛占主导（即白色实体和/或向下的影线）= 买入回调，普遍的程序化买入订单 = 需求方控制 ✅</li>
</ul>
<p>= FRP。（全面风险头寸 = 我在美国股票投资中的个人可允许资本配置限额为 100%）。</p>
<p>关键水平：22058 是最近的需求点，如果需求方控制综合指数的价格，价格不应低于此；若收盘低于短期上升趋势带（目前为 22160-22435），将会取消短期上升趋势 = ⚠️</p>
<p>你可能会想，为什么我的技术分析如此无聊——日复一日——都是同样的事情……需求……呃……供应……呃……谁在控制……呃呃呃！！！</p>
<p>难道我不应该检查一下 RSI 或 MACD，看看综合指数是否 “超买”，或者布林带，或者进行甘氏或艾略特波浪分析？难道在这些指标中没有与综合指数趋势可持续性相关的关键信息吗？🤔</p>
<p>答：没有！需求与供应 = 价格是你需要知道的全部！💯😉</p>
<p>铝 LME 官方现货</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-ff96d81680cbf0354cca9e71a361a09a-resized.jpeg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-ff96d81680cbf0354cca9e71a361a09a-resized.jpeg"/></p>
<p>铝 LME 官方现货图表（</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-ff96d81680cbf0354cca9e71a361a09a-resized.jpeg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-ff96d81680cbf0354cca9e71a361a09a-resized.jpeg"/></p>
<p>完整图像）</p>
<p>上周我们分析了 LME 和 COMEX 铜的短期和长期上升趋势的改善。</p>
<p>今天，我想检查一下铜的基础金属同类铝、铅、镍、锡和锌的趋势。</p>
<p>铝的短期和长期上升趋势可以说比铜的更为确立，但铜超过其同类的地方在于，铜已经突破了其 12 个月交易区间的顶部。铝也不远了，正逐渐接近 2737 的 3 月 12 日主要供应点。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-bdd24b5e2c4bf78a148f1227af8dcb99-resized.jpeg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-bdd24b5e2c4bf78a148f1227af8dcb99-resized.jpeg"/></p>
<p>铝 LME 官方现货周线图</p>
<p>放大到周线图，我们可以看到这个供应水平是多么重要——在 2022 年 3 月 4 日 3851 的峰值之前几乎没有其他阻碍。铝的多头敢于梦想吗？</p>
<p>梦想不是我的风格，但我可以看到这里有一些非常强烈的需求方控制的迹象——而且这种需求方控制正在增长……</p>
<p>铅 LME 官方现货</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-5df2e6411ee540667dd69740ce880325-resized.jpeg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-5df2e6411ee540667dd69740ce880325-resized.jpeg"/></p>
<p>铅 LME 官方现货（点击这里查看完整图像）</p>
<p>从这张图表可以清楚地看出，基础金属并不是基础金属。当然，全球经济增长（或缺乏增长）这一总体主题在助力（或阻碍）它们的集体需求，但每种金属都有自己独特的额外需求和供应因素。</p>
<p>从铅的图表来看，目前的需求供应环境明显偏向于过剩供应，自 7 月以来长期趋势首次转为中性（与之前的下行趋势相比）。</p>
<p>短期趋势正在改善，刚刚转为上升，然而，自 8 月中旬以来的价格走势总体上是上升的高点和上升的低点。因此，短期内似乎有一些过剩需求逐渐渗入系统。</p>
<p>将长期和短期因素结合在一起，我们在这里大致处于中性……即，最多是平衡，仍需大量工作来建立自信的短期和长期上升趋势。</p>
<p>镍 LME 官方现货</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-6d5d40aee208fa33b26e3d6054045da4-resized.jpeg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-6d5d40aee208fa33b26e3d6054045da4-resized.jpeg"/></p>
<p>镍 LME 官方现货（点击这里查看完整图像）</p>
<p>镍在过去近两年里一直处于一个确立的长期下行趋势中。但是，眯起眼睛并将页面放大到大约 200%，你会看到短期内正在发展出微小的上升趋势。</p>
<p>但是，称其为 “逐渐趋向均衡” 之外的任何东西都是过于宽容的。镍缺乏一个火花，它需要一个急剧且大幅的上涨来引发空头回补、投机性买入和长期持仓的建立。你我之间说，我不确定镍是否有这样的上涨！</p>
<p>锡 LME 官方现货</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-bbeb44c743ac5a3a9979172de18f2756-resized.jpeg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-bbeb44c743ac5a3a9979172de18f2756-resized.jpeg"/></p>
<p>锡 LME 官方现货图表（点击这里查看完整图像）</p>
<p>这才像样。短期和长期的上升趋势，以及镍所缺乏的 “急剧且大幅的上涨”。没有什么比资产价格上涨更能迅速推动资产价格上涨的了……而锡正迅速接近 4 月 2 日的主要供应点 38575。</p>
<p>其突破该上限的潜力与铝相似，2022 年 3 月 4 日的主要供应点 47325 是下一个明显的上行障碍（查看每周图表，未显示）。</p>
<p>锡的趋势和价格走势显示出强劲且改善的需求方控制，但 38575 的重大考验在等待着。密切关注那里的价格走势——浅幅回调和快速突破表明供应方阻力较小——而急剧回调则表明需要更多的工作来探测 40k 的区域。</p>
<p>锌 LME 官方现货</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-e553befb3524efb900dfd15e7a2488fe-resized.jpeg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-e553befb3524efb900dfd15e7a2488fe-resized.jpeg"/></p>
<p>锌 LME 官方现货图表（点击这里查看完整图像）</p>
<p>最后但绝对不是最不重要的是，锌也显示出一个成熟、一致且增强的短期趋势，支持以需求方为导向的价格走势（上涨的高点和上涨的低点），以及一个正在发展的长期上升趋势。</p>
<p>仍然有很多工作要做，以清除到 2024 年 10 月 24 日 3238 的潜在供应点。除此之外，每周图表（未显示）表明 3509 和 3678 可能是未来的供应压力点。</p>
<p>锌使得目前显示出稳固或至少增长的需求方控制的六种主要基础金属中有四种，这在我看来是一个积极信号——它们越多，基础宏观经济需求方驱动因素往往越好。</p>
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DIVCON 股息前锋 ETF - Reality Shares

<p>最新一期的 ChartWatch Markets 分析了基础金属的趋势，包括铝、铜、铅、镍、锡和锌，背景是纳斯达克综合指数的看涨市场。报告强调铝和铜的需求侧控制强劲，铝接近一个重要的供应点。铅显示出混合的供需环境，而镍则持续处于长期下行趋势。总体而言，分析表明投资者对全球经济增长的信心增强，不同金属的具体趋势各有不同</p>

<p>Key points:</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>要点：</p>
</div><ul>
<li>The Nasdaq Composite bull market keeps ticking on, and we don't need any fancy technical indicators to tell us that!</li>
<li>Last week we did a deep dive on copper, this week, we investigate its base metals stablemates aluminium, lead, nickel, tin, and zinc.</li>
<li>Do they signal that investors are growing more confident about global economic growth?</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>纳斯达克综合指数的牛市持续进行，我们不需要任何复杂的技术指标来告诉我们这一点！</li>
<li>上周我们深入分析了铜，本周我们将研究其基础金属的同类铝、铅、镍、锡和锌。</li>
<li>它们是否表明投资者对全球经济增长的信心正在增强？</li>
</ul>
</div><p>In today's edition of ChartWatch Markets, we'll be covering the technicals for:</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在今天的市场图表观察中，我们将涵盖以下技术分析：</p>
</div><ul>
<li>Nasdaq Composite</li>
<li>Aluminium LME Official Cash</li>
<li>Lead LME Official Cash</li>
<li>Nickel LME Official Cash</li>
<li>Tin LME Official Cash</li>
<li>Zinc LME Official Cash</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>纳斯达克综合指数</li>
<li>铝 LME 官方现货</li>
<li>铅 LME 官方现货</li>
<li>镍 LME 官方现货</li>
<li>锡 LME 官方现货</li>
<li>锌 LME 官方现货</li>
</ul>
</div><p>Nasdaq Composite Index</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>纳斯达克综合指数</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-947f187713cfd31a5559fba25b3d5c8b-resized.jpeg" alt="" original-src="https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-947f187713cfd31a5559fba25b3d5c8b-resized.jpeg"/></p>
<p>Nasdaq Composite Index chart (</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>纳斯达克综合指数图表（</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-947f187713cfd31a5559fba25b3d5c8b-resized.jpeg" alt="" original-src="https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-947f187713cfd31a5559fba25b3d5c8b-resized.jpeg"/></p>
<p>for full size image)</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>完整图像）</p>
</div><p>In yesterday’s update, we noted those two “not ideal-but nothing to worry about” candles on Thursday and Friday. Monday’s candle suggests that narrative is about right. Another closing all-time high, just off a new all-time high of 22991.7.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在昨天的更新中，我们提到周四和周五的两根 “并不理想但无须担忧” 的蜡烛。周一的蜡烛表明这一叙述是正确的。又一次创下历史新高，刚好在 22991.7 的新历史高点附近。</p>
</div><p>The Comp isn’t here by accident. It’s here because there has been a pervasive imbalance between demand and supply since the April low – pervasive excess demand, that is.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>综合指数的出现并非偶然。自四月低点以来，需求与供应之间存在着普遍的不平衡——也就是普遍的过剩需求。</p>
</div><p>There has been zero change with the advent of Monday’s modest demand-side candle… a touch of indecision perhaps, with a small upward pointing shadow… but I'm splitting hairs here.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>周一的温和需求蜡烛并没有带来任何变化……或许有一点犹豫，伴随着一小段向上的影线……但我在这里是斤斤计较。</p>
</div><p>The Comp’s chart remains a picture of demand-side control:</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>综合指数的图表仍然是需求方控制的表现：</p>
</div><ul>
<li>Trends:
<ul>
<li>ST trend = Up, well-established, steepening, acting as zone of dynamic demand = traders buy the dip = demand-side control ✅</li>
<li>LT trend = Up, well-established, steepening, acting as zone of dynamic demand = funds’ accumulating = demand-side control ✅</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>Price action: Rising peaks &amp; rising troughs = buy the dip = demand-side control ✅</li>
<li>Candles: Predominance of demand-side candles (i.e. white bodied and or downward pointing shadows) = buy the dip, pervasive programmed buy orders = demand-side control ✅</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>趋势：
<ul>
<li>短期趋势 = 上升，已确立，陡峭，作为动态需求区 = 交易者买入回调 = 需求方控制 ✅</li>
<li>长期趋势 = 上升，已确立，陡峭，作为动态需求区 = 基金积累 = 需求方控制 ✅</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>价格走势：上升的高点和上升的低点 = 买入回调 = 需求方控制 ✅</li>
<li>蜡烛：需求方蜡烛占主导（即白色实体和/或向下的影线）= 买入回调，普遍的程序化买入订单 = 需求方控制 ✅</li>
</ul>
</div><p>= FRP. (Full Risk Position = My personal allowable capital allocation limit for my investments in US stocks is 100%).</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>= FRP。（全面风险头寸 = 我在美国股票投资中的个人可允许资本配置限额为 100%）。</p>
</div><p>Key levels: 22058 is the closest point of demand, the price should not close below here if the demand-side is in control of the Comp's price; a close below the short term uptrend ribbon (presently 22160-22435) will nullify the short term uptrend = ⚠️</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>关键水平：22058 是最近的需求点，如果需求方控制综合指数的价格，价格不应低于此；若收盘低于短期上升趋势带（目前为 22160-22435），将会取消短期上升趋势 = ⚠️</p>
</div><p>You might be wondering why my technical analysis so boring – day in day out – is the same thing over and again... demand... blah... supply... blah... who's in control... blah blah blah!!!</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>你可能会想，为什么我的技术分析如此无聊——日复一日——都是同样的事情……需求……呃……供应……呃……谁在控制……呃呃呃！！！</p>
</div><p>Shouldn’t I be checking the RSI or MACD to see if the Comp is “overbought”, or the Bollinger Bands, or performing a Gann or Elliott Wave analysis? Surely there’s a critical piece of information relating to the sustainability of the Comp’s trends in one of those indicators? 🤔</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>难道我不应该检查一下 RSI 或 MACD，看看综合指数是否 “超买”，或者布林带，或者进行甘氏或艾略特波浪分析？难道在这些指标中没有与综合指数趋势可持续性相关的关键信息吗？🤔</p>
</div><p>A: Nope, there isn't! D vs S = P is ALL you need to know! 💯😉</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>答：没有！需求与供应 = 价格是你需要知道的全部！💯😉</p>
</div><p>Aluminium LME Official Cash</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>铝 LME 官方现货</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-ff96d81680cbf0354cca9e71a361a09a-resized.jpeg" alt="" original-src="https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-ff96d81680cbf0354cca9e71a361a09a-resized.jpeg"/></p>
<p>Aluminium LME Official Cash chart (</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>铝 LME 官方现货图表（</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-ff96d81680cbf0354cca9e71a361a09a-resized.jpeg" alt="" original-src="https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-ff96d81680cbf0354cca9e71a361a09a-resized.jpeg"/></p>
<p>for full size image)</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>完整图像）</p>
</div><p>Last week we covered the improving short and long term uptrends in LME and COMEX copper.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>上周我们分析了 LME 和 COMEX 铜的短期和长期上升趋势的改善。</p>
</div><p>Today, I’d like to check up on the trends in copper’s base metals cousins, Aluminium, Lead, Nickel, Tin, and Zinc.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>今天，我想检查一下铜的基础金属同类铝、铅、镍、锡和锌的趋势。</p>
</div><p>Aluminium’s short and long term uptrends are arguably better established than copper’s, but where copper exceeds its stablemate, is in the fact that copper has broken through the top of its 12-month trading range. Aluminium isn’t far behind, nudging ever closer to the 12-Mar major point of supply at 2737.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>铝的短期和长期上升趋势可以说比铜的更为确立，但铜超过其同类的地方在于，铜已经突破了其 12 个月交易区间的顶部。铝也不远了，正逐渐接近 2737 的 3 月 12 日主要供应点。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-bdd24b5e2c4bf78a148f1227af8dcb99-resized.jpeg" alt="" original-src="https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-bdd24b5e2c4bf78a148f1227af8dcb99-resized.jpeg"/></p>
<p>Aluminium LME Official Cash weekly chart</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>铝 LME 官方现货周线图</p>
</div><p>Zoom out to the weekly chart, and we can see just how important that level of supply is – with little else in the way until the 4-Mar 2022 spike-peak of 3851. Dare aluminium bulls dream?</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>放大到周线图，我们可以看到这个供应水平是多么重要——在 2022 年 3 月 4 日 3851 的峰值之前几乎没有其他阻碍。铝的多头敢于梦想吗？</p>
</div><p>Dreaming isn't my gig, but I can see some very strong indications of demand-side control here – and growing demand-side control at that…</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>梦想不是我的风格，但我可以看到这里有一些非常强烈的需求方控制的迹象——而且这种需求方控制正在增长……</p>
</div><p>Lead LME Official Cash</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>铅 LME 官方现货</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-5df2e6411ee540667dd69740ce880325-resized.jpeg" alt="" original-src="https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-5df2e6411ee540667dd69740ce880325-resized.jpeg"/></p>
<p>Lead LME Official Cash (click here for full size image)</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>铅 LME 官方现货（点击这里查看完整图像）</p>
</div><p>It’s clear from this chart that base metals ain’t base metals. Certainly, there’s the overarching theme of global economic growth (or lack-thereof) assisting (or hindering) their collective demand, but each has its own unique set of additional specific demand and supply factors.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>从这张图表可以清楚地看出，基础金属并不是基础金属。当然，全球经济增长（或缺乏增长）这一总体主题在助力（或阻碍）它们的集体需求，但每种金属都有自己独特的额外需求和供应因素。</p>
</div><p>With the lead chart, it's clear that the demand-supply environment is presently skewed towards excess-supply with the long term trend blipping into neutral for the first time since July (versus a previous downtrend).</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>从铅的图表来看，目前的需求供应环境明显偏向于过剩供应，自 7 月以来长期趋势首次转为中性（与之前的下行趋势相比）。</p>
</div><p>The short term trend is improving and has just flipped to up, however, and the price action since mid-August is generally rising peaks and rising troughs. So, there appears to be some excess demand creeping into the system in the short term.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>短期趋势正在改善，刚刚转为上升，然而，自 8 月中旬以来的价格走势总体上是上升的高点和上升的低点。因此，短期内似乎有一些过剩需求逐渐渗入系统。</p>
</div><p>Putting long and short term factors together, we’re roughly neutral here… i.e., equilibrium at best with plenty of work to do to establish confident short and long term uptrends.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>将长期和短期因素结合在一起，我们在这里大致处于中性……即，最多是平衡，仍需大量工作来建立自信的短期和长期上升趋势。</p>
</div><p>Nickel LME Official Cash</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>镍 LME 官方现货</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-6d5d40aee208fa33b26e3d6054045da4-resized.jpeg" alt="" original-src="https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-6d5d40aee208fa33b26e3d6054045da4-resized.jpeg"/></p>
<p>Nickel LME Official Cash (click here for full size image)</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>镍 LME 官方现货（点击这里查看完整图像）</p>
</div><p>Nickel has been in a well-established long term downtrend for the better part of 2-years now. But, squint and zoom the page to roughly 200%, and you’ll see the tiniest of short term uptrends developing.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>镍在过去近两年里一直处于一个确立的长期下行趋势中。但是，眯起眼睛并将页面放大到大约 200%，你会看到短期内正在发展出微小的上升趋势。</p>
</div><p>But, to call this anything more than “moving gradually towards equilibrium” would be generous. Nickel is lacking a spark, it requires a sharp and large move up to instigate short covering, speculative buying, and long term position building. Between you and me… I’m not sure nickel has a move like that in it!</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>但是，称其为 “逐渐趋向均衡” 之外的任何东西都是过于宽容的。镍缺乏一个火花，它需要一个急剧且大幅的上涨来引发空头回补、投机性买入和长期持仓的建立。你我之间说，我不确定镍是否有这样的上涨！</p>
</div><p>Tin LME Official Cash</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>锡 LME 官方现货</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-bbeb44c743ac5a3a9979172de18f2756-resized.jpeg" alt="" original-src="https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-bbeb44c743ac5a3a9979172de18f2756-resized.jpeg"/></p>
<p>Tin LME Official Cash chart (click here for full size image)</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>锡 LME 官方现货图表（点击这里查看完整图像）</p>
</div><p>That’s more like it. Short and long term uptrends, and the “sharp and large move up” that nickel is lacking. Nothing makes an asset’s price rise faster than an asset’s price rising… and tin is closing in fast on the 2-Apr major point of supply at 38575.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这才像样。短期和长期的上升趋势，以及镍所缺乏的 “急剧且大幅的上涨”。没有什么比资产价格上涨更能迅速推动资产价格上涨的了……而锡正迅速接近 4 月 2 日的主要供应点 38575。</p>
</div><p>Its upside past that cap is similarly substantial as aluminium’s, with the 4-Mar 2022 major point of supply at 47325 the next obvious clear upside barrier (check weekly chart, not shown).</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>其突破该上限的潜力与铝相似，2022 年 3 月 4 日的主要供应点 47325 是下一个明显的上行障碍（查看每周图表，未显示）。</p>
</div><p>Tin’s trends and price action smack of strong and improving demand-side control, but the big test of 38575 awaits. Watch the price action there closely – a shallow pullback and a quick break indicates little supply-side resistance – versus a sharp pullback indicates more work to be done to probe into the 40k’s.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>锡的趋势和价格走势显示出强劲且改善的需求方控制，但 38575 的重大考验在等待着。密切关注那里的价格走势——浅幅回调和快速突破表明供应方阻力较小——而急剧回调则表明需要更多的工作来探测 40k 的区域。</p>
</div><p>Zinc LME Official Cash</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>锌 LME 官方现货</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-e553befb3524efb900dfd15e7a2488fe-resized.jpeg" alt="" original-src="https://s3.tradingview.com/news/image/marketindex:9bc0cab8a094b-e553befb3524efb900dfd15e7a2488fe-resized.jpeg"/></p>
<p>Zinc LME Official Cash chart (click here for full size image)</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>锌 LME 官方现货图表（点击这里查看完整图像）</p>
</div><p>Last but certainly not least, zinc is also showing a well-established, consistent, and strengthening short term trend, supporting demand-side oriented price action (rising peaks and rising troughs), and a developing long term uptrend.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>最后但绝对不是最不重要的是，锌也显示出一个成熟、一致且增强的短期趋势，支持以需求方为导向的价格走势（上涨的高点和上涨的低点），以及一个正在发展的长期上升趋势。</p>
</div><p>There’s still plenty of work to do to clear potential points of supply through to the 24-Oct 2024 peak of 3238. Beyond that, the weekly chart (not shown) suggests that 3509 and then 3678 could be future supply pressure points.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>仍然有很多工作要做，以清除到 2024 年 10 月 24 日 3238 的潜在供应点。除此之外，每周图表（未显示）表明 3509 和 3678 可能是未来的供应压力点。</p>
</div><p>Zinc makes it 4 out of the 6 major base metals that are presently showing signs of solid-or-at-least-growing demand-side control, which in my experience is a positive – the more of them that line up, the better those underlying macroeconomic demand-side drivers tend to be.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>锌使得目前显示出稳固或至少增长的需求方控制的六种主要基础金属中有四种，这在我看来是一个积极信号——它们越多，基础宏观经济需求方驱动因素往往越好。</p>
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<div class="lb-trans"><p>ChartWatch *LIVE* 网络研讨会</p>
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