<p>要点：</p>
<ul>
<li>标普 500 指数连续第三天上涨，股市上涨</li>
<li>油价在乌克兰 - 俄罗斯和平协议迹象后稳定</li>
<li>英镑在英国预算发布前保持稳定</li>
</ul>
<p>作者：Gregor Stuart Hunter</p>
<p>周三，亚洲股市上涨，追随华尔街的涨势，因为低于预期的经济数据激发了市场对美联储下个月降息的预期。</p>
<p>MSCI 亚太地区（不包括日本）最广泛的股票指数上涨 1%，在美国股市结束前一交易日时小幅上涨。日本日经指数上涨 1.8%，而美国股指期货上涨 0.2%。</p>
<p>美国股市在本月早些时候的抛售后恢复了失地，标普 500 指数和纳斯达克综合指数在周二连续第三天上涨，此前数据显示零售销售增长低于预期，消费者信心减弱，进一步巩固了市场对美联储即将放宽政策的预期。</p>
<p>“主要股市普遍上涨，期货指向今天本地市场的良好开局，” 西太平洋银行的分析师在一份研究报告中写道。</p>
<p>“由于美国消费者信心下降和疲软的零售贸易数据，市场对美联储在 12 月再次降息的预期增强，情绪得到了提振，” 分析师表示。</p>
<p>根据 CME 集团的 FedWatch 工具，联邦基金期货定价显示美联储下次会议（12 月 10 日）降息 25 个基点的隐含概率为 80.7%，而一周前这一概率为 50%。</p>
<p>基准 10 年期国债收益率上升至 4.0037%，最后交易略高于美国收盘时的 4.002%，在周二首次跌破 4% 阈值后略有回升。</p>
<p>油价在周二下滑后企稳，乌克兰总统泽连斯基表示乌克兰准备推进美国支持的和平计划，这可能为解除西方对莫斯科能源贸易的制裁铺平道路，并为市场增加更多供应。</p>
<p>布伦特原油期货上涨 0.3%，至 62.68 美元，在周二跌至五周低点后企稳，而欧洲能源价格达到了 18 个月来的最低水平。</p>
<p>OPEC+ 将在周日召开会议，三位 OPEC+ 消息人士表示，可能会维持产量不变。</p>
<p>欧元当天几乎没有变化，报 1.1564 美元，过去一个月上涨 0.3%。</p>
<p>美元兑日元上涨 0.2%，至 156.33，而美元指数（追踪美元对其他主要贸易伙伴货币的汇率）保持在 99.833 不变。</p>
<p>英镑在英国政府预算发布前最后交易持平，报 1.3166 美元，此前连续四天上涨。财政部长瑞秋·里夫斯可能会宣布新的增税措施，以维持金融市场的信心，抵御对英国经济前景的预期下调。</p>
<p>新西兰元上涨 0.9%，至 0.5669 美元，此前新西兰储备银行将基准利率下调 25 个基点至 2.25%，并收回了之前的鸽派指引。</p>
<p>澳大利亚股市上涨 0.7%，澳元上涨 0.2%，因 10 月份消费者价格上涨速度快于预期，进一步强化了市场对央行放宽周期可能结束的预期。</p>
<p>现货黄金上涨 0.2%，报每盎司 4,131.78 美元，而比特币上涨 0.5%，至 87,438.53 美元。</p>

明晟

<p>亚洲股市在周三上涨，原因是美国经济数据低于预期，增加了市场对下个月美联储降息的预期。MSCI 亚太指数上涨了 1%，日本日经指数上涨了 1.8%，美国股指期货上涨了 0.2%。油价趋于稳定，新西兰元在降息后大幅上涨。市场期待英国预算公告，澳元因消费者价格上涨而走强</p>

<p>Key points:</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>要点：</p>
</div><ul>
<li>Stocks rise following third day of gains for S&amp;P 500</li>
<li>Oil stabilises after fall on signs of Ukraine-Russia peace deal</li>
<li>Sterling steady ahead of UK budget</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>标普 500 指数连续第三天上涨，股市上涨</li>
<li>油价在乌克兰 - 俄罗斯和平协议迹象后稳定</li>
<li>英镑在英国预算发布前保持稳定</li>
</ul>
</div><p>By Gregor Stuart Hunter</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>作者：Gregor Stuart Hunter</p>
</div><p>Asian stocks rose on Wednesday, chasing gains on Wall Street as weaker-than-expected economic data spurred expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at its policy meeting next month.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>周三，亚洲股市上涨，追随华尔街的涨势，因为低于预期的经济数据激发了市场对美联储下个月降息的预期。</p>
</div><p>MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) was up 1%, after U.S. stocks ended the previous session with mild gains. Japan's Nikkei stock index  tacked on 1.8%, while U.S. stock futures  edged up 0.2%.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>MSCI 亚太地区（不包括日本）最广泛的股票指数上涨 1%，在美国股市结束前一交易日时小幅上涨。日本日经指数上涨 1.8%，而美国股指期货上涨 0.2%。</p>
</div><p>U.S. stocks reclaimed lost ground after a selloff earlier this month, with the S&amp;P 500  and Nasdaq Composite  rising for a third consecutive day on Tuesday after data showed retail sales rose less than expected and consumer confidence weakened, firming up expectations that the Fed will ease policy soon.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美国股市在本月早些时候的抛售后恢复了失地，标普 500 指数和纳斯达克综合指数在周二连续第三天上涨，此前数据显示零售销售增长低于预期，消费者信心减弱，进一步巩固了市场对美联储即将放宽政策的预期。</p>
</div><p>&#34;There was a sea of green across major equity markets with futures pointing to a solid start to today's session in the local market,&#34; analysts from Westpac wrote in a research report.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“主要股市普遍上涨，期货指向今天本地市场的良好开局，” 西太平洋银行的分析师在一份研究报告中写道。</p>
</div><p>&#34;Sentiment received a boost amid increasing bets the U.S. Fed would cut again in December, following the decline in U.S. consumer confidence and soft retail trade numbers,&#34; the analysts said.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“由于美国消费者信心下降和疲软的零售贸易数据，市场对美联储在 12 月再次降息的预期增强，情绪得到了提振，” 分析师表示。</p>
</div><p>Fed funds futures are pricing an implied 80.7% probability of a 25-basis-point cut at the U.S. central bank's next meeting on December 10, compared to even odds a week ago, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>根据 CME 集团的 FedWatch 工具，联邦基金期货定价显示美联储下次会议（12 月 10 日）降息 25 个基点的隐含概率为 80.7%，而一周前这一概率为 50%。</p>
</div><p>The yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes  rose to 4.0037% and was last trading slightly higher than the U.S. close of 4.002% after briefly breaking below the 4% threshold on Tuesday for the first time this month.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>基准 10 年期国债收益率上升至 4.0037%，最后交易略高于美国收盘时的 4.002%，在周二首次跌破 4% 阈值后略有回升。</p>
</div><p>Oil prices steadied after sliding on Tuesday as President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said Ukraine was ready to advance a U.S.-backed peace plan, potentially paving the way for an unwinding of Western sanctions on Moscow's energy trade and adding more supply to the market.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>油价在周二下滑后企稳，乌克兰总统泽连斯基表示乌克兰准备推进美国支持的和平计划，这可能为解除西方对莫斯科能源贸易的制裁铺平道路，并为市场增加更多供应。</p>
</div><p>Brent crude futures  rose 0.3% to $62.68, stabilising after falling to a five-week low on Tuesday, while European energy prices (TRNLTTFMc1) reached the lowest in a year-and-a-half.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>布伦特原油期货上涨 0.3%，至 62.68 美元，在周二跌至五周低点后企稳，而欧洲能源价格达到了 18 个月来的最低水平。</p>
</div><p>OPEC+ is meeting on Sunday and is likely to leave output levels unchanged, three OPEC+ sources said.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>OPEC+ 将在周日召开会议，三位 OPEC+ 消息人士表示，可能会维持产量不变。</p>
</div><p>The European single currency  was little changed on the day at $1.1564, having gained 0.3% in the past month.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>欧元当天几乎没有变化，报 1.1564 美元，过去一个月上涨 0.3%。</p>
</div><p>The dollar rose 0.2% against the yen to 156.33 , while the dollar index , which tracks the greenback against a basket of currencies of other major trading partners, was unchanged at 99.833.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美元兑日元上涨 0.2%，至 156.33，而美元指数（追踪美元对其他主要贸易伙伴货币的汇率）保持在 99.833 不变。</p>
</div><p>Sterling was last trading flat at $1.3166 after four days of gains ahead of the UK government's budget, due later on Wednesday. Finance Minister Rachel Reeves will likely announce new tax increases in an attempt to maintain the confidence of financial markets against an expected downgrade of Britain's economic prospects.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>英镑在英国政府预算发布前最后交易持平，报 1.3166 美元，此前连续四天上涨。财政部长瑞秋·里夫斯可能会宣布新的增税措施，以维持金融市场的信心，抵御对英国经济前景的预期下调。</p>
</div><p>The New Zealand dollar  surged 0.9% to $0.5669 after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut benchmark interest rates by 25 basis points to 2.25% and reined in its earlier dovish guidance.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>新西兰元上涨 0.9%，至 0.5669 美元，此前新西兰储备银行将基准利率下调 25 个基点至 2.25%，并收回了之前的鸽派指引。</p>
</div><p>Australian shares  gained 0.7% and the Australian dollar  strengthened 0.2% after consumer prices rose at a faster-than-expected pace in October, reinforcing bets that the central bank's easing cycle could be over.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>澳大利亚股市上涨 0.7%，澳元上涨 0.2%，因 10 月份消费者价格上涨速度快于预期，进一步强化了市场对央行放宽周期可能结束的预期。</p>
</div><p>Spot gold  was trading up 0.2% at $4,131.78 per ounce, while bitcoin  rose 0.5% to $87,438.53.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>现货黄金上涨 0.2%，报每盎司 4,131.78 美元，而比特币上涨 0.5%，至 87,438.53 美元。</p>
</div>

由于疲弱的美国数据增加了对美联储降息的预期，亚洲股市上涨