<p>根据来自 CoinMarketCap 上超过 60,000 名参与者的数据，Aster DEX 下跌超过 5%，尽管社区情绪仍然乐观，超过 75%。</p>
<p>截至发稿时，这种山寨币已重新夺回 1 美元的价格水平，但在横盘市场中交易。</p>
<p>围绕去中心化交易所的炒作已经减退，与更广泛的加密市场相一致。</p>
<p>有趣的是，尽管链上存在基本挑战因素，历史模式的对齐似乎仍在发挥作用。</p>
<h2><strong>ASTER 的 30% 反弹会在 12 月来临吗？</strong></h2>
<p>在经历了一次将价格推至 1.40 美元的反弹后，4 小时图表在修正后的一周内处于区间内。价格波动不定表明该山寨币正在持续积累。</p>
<p>这与该山寨币的平衡交易量（OBV）在 11 月第一周的类似走势相呼应。</p>
<p>这次 Aster [ASTER] 目标是 1.50 美元区间，就像 OBV 在 11 月 14 日横盘并突破时一样。</p>
<p>然而，价格需要突破下降趋势线，就像之前突破横盘走势一样。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/ASTERUSDT_2025-11-29_14-59-08.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/ASTERUSDT_2025-11-29_14-59-08.png"/></p>
<p>来源：TradingView</p>
<p>值得注意的是，MACD 显示出看涨的迹象，微弱地呈现绿色。</p>
<p>信号线仍然在下方，柱状图较小，表明买家刚刚开始进入市场，但尚未完全控制价格。</p>
<p>尽管有 30% 以上收益的可能性，但链上活动的下降和解锁带来的潜在卖压可能使这种结果变得困难。</p>
<h2><strong>活动疲软但优于 Hyperliquid</strong></h2>
<p>根据 CoinMarketCap 数据，日交易量上涨了 10%，这一表现优于 Hyperliquid [HYPE]。ASTER 的交易量为 54.67 亿美元，而 HYPE 为 46.05 亿美元。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/G64geEhX0AAIyMN.jpeg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/G64geEhX0AAIyMN.jpeg"/></p>
<p>来源：X</p>
<p>尽管 Aster 的推出时间晚于 HYPE，但这显示出其相对于同行的实力。</p>
<p>但尽管如此，其他链上指标却在下降。DEX 和永续合约的交易量低于 9 月至 11 月初的记录。</p>
<p>此外，手续费受到重大影响，全天骤降至约 118 万美元。总锁仓价值（TVL）几乎下降了 50%，从 24.8 亿美元降至 13.2 亿美元。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot-2025-11-29-142249.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot-2025-11-29-142249.png"/></p>
<p>来源：DefiLlama</p>
<p>所有这些因素本质上都是看跌的，但在市场转变时可能会突然改变。这些可能会阻碍潜在的 30% 反弹，但这并不是唯一的障碍。</p>
<h2><strong>即将到来的卖压</strong></h2>
<p>加密市场可能会在 12 月面临来自大规模代币解锁的再次卖压。ASTER 和 Sui Network [SUI] 以超过 8600 万美元的最大解锁量领先。</p>
<p>约 3.89% 的 ASTER 市值将被解锁，数量相当于 7841 万个代币。尽管如此，仍有超过 55% 的代币被锁定，7% 的代币尚未分配解锁时间。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot-2025-11-29-143222.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot-2025-11-29-143222.png"/></p>
<p>来源：Tokenomist</p>
<p>此次解锁可能会由于供应驱动的卖压而阻碍预期的反弹。</p>
<hr/>
<h2><strong>最终思考</strong></h2>
<ul>
<li><em>ASTER 价格走势的技术前景暗示可能出现 30% 的反弹。</em></li>
<li><em>链上活动和即将到来的解锁是看跌的，阻碍了这一潜力。</em></li>
</ul>

<p>ASTER DEX 显示出在 12 月份有 30% 的上涨潜力，尽管当前存在链上活动下降和即将解锁代币等看跌因素。该山寨币的价格走势表明正在积累，历史模式暗示可能会出现突破。然而，代币解锁带来的卖压和疲弱的链上指标可能会阻碍上涨。ASTER 的交易量超过了 Hyperliquid，但去中心化交易所和永续合约的交易量正在下降。技术前景暗示可能会出现上涨，但看跌因素依然存在</p>

<p>Aster DEX was down by over 5% even as community sentiment was bullish at over 75%, per data garnered from more than 60K participants on CoinMarketCap.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>根据来自 CoinMarketCap 上超过 60,000 名参与者的数据，Aster DEX 下跌超过 5%，尽管社区情绪仍然乐观，超过 75%。</p>
</div><p>The altcoin had reclaimed the $1 price level at press time, but was trading in a sideways market.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>截至发稿时，这种山寨币已重新夺回 1 美元的价格水平，但在横盘市场中交易。</p>
</div><p>The hype around the decentralized exchange had faded, aligning with the broader crypto market.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>围绕去中心化交易所的炒作已经减退，与更广泛的加密市场相一致。</p>
</div><p>Interestingly, historical pattern alignment seemed to be in play, despite the fundamentally challenging factors in the chain.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>有趣的是，尽管链上存在基本挑战因素，历史模式的对齐似乎仍在发挥作用。</p>
</div><h2><strong>Is ASTER’s 30% rally coming in December?</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>ASTER 的 30% 反弹会在 12 月来临吗？</strong></h2>
</div><p>The 4-hour chart was in a range over a week after the correction that resulted from the rally that took the price to $1.40. The choppy price action was an indication of the ongoing accumulation of the altcoin.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在经历了一次将价格推至 1.40 美元的反弹后，4 小时图表在修正后的一周内处于区间内。价格波动不定表明该山寨币正在持续积累。</p>
</div><p>This follows the altcoin’s On Balance Volume (OBV) replicating similar movement as in the first week of November.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这与该山寨币的平衡交易量（OBV）在 11 月第一周的类似走势相呼应。</p>
</div><p>Aster [ASTER] was eyeing the $1.50 zone this time around, just like when OBV moved sideways and broke out on the 14th of November.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这次 Aster [ASTER] 目标是 1.50 美元区间，就像 OBV 在 11 月 14 日横盘并突破时一样。</p>
</div><p>However, price needed to breach the descending trendline the same way it broke the sideways movement earlier on.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，价格需要突破下降趋势线，就像之前突破横盘走势一样。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/ASTERUSDT_2025-11-29_14-59-08.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/ASTERUSDT_2025-11-29_14-59-08.png"/></p>
<p>Source: TradingView</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>来源：TradingView</p>
</div><p>Notably, there were prints of bullish action as seen in the MACD, which was faintly green.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>值得注意的是，MACD 显示出看涨的迹象，微弱地呈现绿色。</p>
</div><p>The signal lines were still below, and bars were small, indicating that buyers were just making their way but were yet to gain full control of price.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>信号线仍然在下方，柱状图较小，表明买家刚刚开始进入市场，但尚未完全控制价格。</p>
</div><p>While there was a chance of this 30%+ gain, the declining on-chain activity and potential sell pressure from the unlock could make such an outcome difficult.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>尽管有 30% 以上收益的可能性，但链上活动的下降和解锁带来的潜在卖压可能使这种结果变得困难。</p>
</div><h2><strong>Weak activity but better than Hyperliquid</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>活动疲软但优于 Hyperliquid</strong></h2>
</div><p>The daily trading volume was up by 10% as per CoinMarketCap data, with this outperformance extending against Hyperliquid [HYPE]. ASTER had a volume of $5.467 billion against HYPE’s $4.605 billion.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>根据 CoinMarketCap 数据，日交易量上涨了 10%，这一表现优于 Hyperliquid [HYPE]。ASTER 的交易量为 54.67 亿美元，而 HYPE 为 46.05 亿美元。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/G64geEhX0AAIyMN.jpeg" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/G64geEhX0AAIyMN.jpeg"/></p>
<p>Source: X</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>来源：X</p>
</div><p>This was a show of strength against its peer, even though it launched way after HYPE.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>尽管 Aster 的推出时间晚于 HYPE，但这显示出其相对于同行的实力。</p>
</div><p>But despite this, other chain metrics were down. The DEX and perp volumes were declining, below their September to early November records.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>但尽管如此，其他链上指标却在下降。DEX 和永续合约的交易量低于 9 月至 11 月初的记录。</p>
</div><p>Additionally, the fees experienced significant impact, plummeting to approximately $1.18 million throughout the day. The Total Value Locked (TVL) fell by almost 50%, down from $2.48 billion to $1.32 billion.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>此外，手续费受到重大影响，全天骤降至约 118 万美元。总锁仓价值（TVL）几乎下降了 50%，从 24.8 亿美元降至 13.2 亿美元。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot-2025-11-29-142249.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot-2025-11-29-142249.png"/></p>
<p>Source: DefiLlama</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>来源：DefiLlama</p>
</div><p>All these factors were bearish in nature but could change abruptly when markets shift. These could derail this potential 30% rally, but those were not the only hurdles.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>所有这些因素本质上都是看跌的，但在市场转变时可能会突然改变。这些可能会阻碍潜在的 30% 反弹，但这并不是唯一的障碍。</p>
</div><h2><strong>Upcoming sell pressure</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>即将到来的卖压</strong></h2>
</div><p>The crypto markets could experience yet another sell pressure from massive token unlocks in December. ASTER and Sui Network [SUI] were leading with the largest unlocks of more than $86 million.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>加密市场可能会在 12 月面临来自大规模代币解锁的再次卖压。ASTER 和 Sui Network [SUI] 以超过 8600 万美元的最大解锁量领先。</p>
</div><p>About 3.89% of ASTER market cap would be unlocked, and the amount was equivalent to 78.41 million tokens. Still, more than 55% were locked, with 7% yet to be assigned a period for unlocking.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>约 3.89% 的 ASTER 市值将被解锁，数量相当于 7841 万个代币。尽管如此，仍有超过 55% 的代币被锁定，7% 的代币尚未分配解锁时间。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot-2025-11-29-143222.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/Screenshot-2025-11-29-143222.png"/></p>
<p>Source: Tokenomist</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>来源：Tokenomist</p>
</div><p>This unlock could potentially hinder the anticipated rally due to increased supply-driven sell pressure.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>此次解锁可能会由于供应驱动的卖压而阻碍预期的反弹。</p>
</div><hr/>
<div class="lb-trans"><hr/>
</div><h2><strong>Final Thoughts</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>最终思考</strong></h2>
</div><ul>
<li><em>The technical outlook of ASTER price action suggests a potential 30% rally.</em></li>
<li><em>Chain activity and the upcoming unlock were bearish, hindering this potential.</em></li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li><em>ASTER 价格走势的技术前景暗示可能出现 30% 的反弹。</em></li>
<li><em>链上活动和即将到来的解锁是看跌的，阻碍了这一潜力。</em></li>
</ul>
</div>

ASTER 能否在 12 月上涨 30%？数据揭示了什么