<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/20250829_071716_z6Zf1.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="1152" height="720" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/20250829_071716_z6Zf1.png"/></p>
<p>周一，原油价格小幅上涨，因市场对美国政府重启的乐观情绪以及国内石油需求的激增。参议院投票后，市场对众议院和美国总统的批准充满期待。</p>
<p>然而，潜在的不确定性抑制了商品的上涨潜力。USO 原油价格仍处于区间震荡中，投资者关注 OPEC、IEA 和 EIA 的市场报告。</p>
<h2>美国政府协议提振原油价格</h2>
<p>布伦特原油价格在刚刚结束的一周中连续第二周下跌，因市场对未来几个月供应过剩的担忧加剧。然而，随着市场预期美国政府关门的结束，新的一周开始时价格有所回升。与此同时，作为基准的美国原油价格在撰写时交易于 60.15 美元的绿色区域。</p>
<p>周日晚上，参议院投票通过了一项法案，旨在重启政府。以 60 票对 40 票的投票结果支持该协议，其中包括八名温和派民主党的支持。</p>
<p>这一关键步骤支持了原油价格，因为市场预期暂停的政府支出将恢复，国内对能源及其他商品和服务的需求将改善。此外，改善的风险偏好将降低对避险资产的需求，从而影响石油和其他资产的走势。</p>
<p>然而，尽管 40 天的关门在 11 月中旬结束的可能性相当高，但程序远未结束。在参议院投票后，仍需获得众议院的批准，然后再交由特朗普总统签署。在潜在的不确定性下，原油价格在短期内可能仍将保持波动。</p>
<p>与此同时，美元走弱使得持有外币的买家购买原油的成本降低。值得注意的是，美国政府关门及随后的数据停滞使得金融市场在数周内处于盲目状态。虽然结束的消息有利于国债收益率，但美元仍面临卖压。</p>
<p>美元指数追踪美元相对于六种主要货币的价值，本周开局疲软，延续了近期的修正。它仍低于 100 美元的关键区域，因风险偏好的改善。</p>
<p>除了关于美国政府重启的最新消息外，投资者还在关注 OPEC、IEA 和 EIA 的市场报告。由于对未来几个月供应过剩的担忧，原油价格一直承受卖压。</p>
<h2>USO 原油价格技术分析</h2>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/crude-oil-price-1024x579.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="1024" height="579" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/crude-oil-price-1024x579.png"/></p>
<p>美国石油基金（USO）图表 | 来源：TradingView</p>
<p>美国石油基金（USO）在经历了连续两周的下跌后，本周开局表现良好。然而，由于对美国政府关门结束的不确定性，它仍然交易于中期 50 日 EMA 以下。在撰写时，它在短期 25 日 EMA 附近徘徊，价格为 71.64 美元。</p>
<p>尽管市场预计在接下来的交易中将高度波动，但 RSI 为 49 表明交易处于区间震荡中。这是因为投资者对结束超过一个月的关门努力保持谨慎。</p>
<p>更具体地说，71.26 美元至 72.77 美元的区间在短期内值得关注。如果进一步反弹，USO 原油价格可能在 73.70 美元处遇到阻力。相反，如果价格回落至 70.59 美元的支撑区间以下，则这一论点将失效。</p>
<p>原油价格分析：市场不确定性限制美国政府协议热潮的文章首发于 Invezz</p>

<p>原油价格因对美国政府重启的乐观情绪而上涨，推动了国内需求。然而，不确定性限制了潜在的涨幅。参议院投票结束停摆支持了价格，但众议院和总统的批准尚待确定。美元走弱使得石油对外国买家更便宜。投资者关注 OPEC、IEA 和 EIA 的报告，以应对供应过剩的担忧。USO ETF 交易价格低于 50 日指数移动平均线，阻力位在 73.70 美元，支撑位在 70.59 美元</p>

<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/20250829_071716_z6Zf1.png" alt="" original-src="https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/20250829_071716_z6Zf1.png"/></p>
<p>Crude oil price edged higher on Monday amid optimism over the reopening of the US government and the subsequent surge in domestic oil demand. After the Senate vote, the market is hopeful of approval from the House of Representatives and the US President.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>周一，原油价格小幅上涨，因市场对美国政府重启的乐观情绪以及国内石油需求的激增。参议院投票后，市场对众议院和美国总统的批准充满期待。</p>
</div><p>However, the underlying uncertainties have curbed the commodity’s upside potential. USO crude oil price remains range-bound as investors eye market reports from OPEC, IEA, and EIA.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，潜在的不确定性抑制了商品的上涨潜力。USO 原油价格仍处于区间震荡中，投资者关注 OPEC、IEA 和 EIA 的市场报告。</p>
</div><h2>US Government Deal Bolsters Crude Oil Price</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>美国政府协议提振原油价格</h2>
</div><p>Brent crude oil price recorded its second straight week of losses in the just-concluded week amid heightened concerns of a supply glut in coming months. However, it has started the new week on its front foot as the market anticipates the end of the US government shutdown. Similarly, the benchmark of US oil price was trading in the green at $60.15 as at the time of writing.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>布伦特原油价格在刚刚结束的一周中连续第二周下跌，因市场对未来几个月供应过剩的担忧加剧。然而，随着市场预期美国政府关门的结束，新的一周开始时价格有所回升。与此同时，作为基准的美国原油价格在撰写时交易于 60.15 美元的绿色区域。</p>
</div><p>On Sunday evening, the Senate voted to advance a bill that would see the reopening of the government. The 60-40 vote in favor of the deal included the support of eight moderate Democrats.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>周日晚上，参议院投票通过了一项法案，旨在重启政府。以 60 票对 40 票的投票结果支持该协议，其中包括八名温和派民主党的支持。</p>
</div><p>This crucial step has supported crude oil price as the market anticipates the return of the paused government spending and improved domestic demand for energy and other goods and services. Besides, an improved risk appetite is set to lower the demand for safe havens for a shift in oil and other assets.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这一关键步骤支持了原油价格，因为市场预期暂停的政府支出将恢复，国内对能源及其他商品和服务的需求将改善。此外，改善的风险偏好将降低对避险资产的需求，从而影响石油和其他资产的走势。</p>
</div><p>However, while the probability of the 40-day shutdown ending by mid-November is significantly high, the procedure is far from over. After the Senate vote, it will require approval from the House of Representatives before being handed over to President Trump for signing. With the underlying uncertainties, crude oil price will likely remain volatile in the short term.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，尽管 40 天的关门在 11 月中旬结束的可能性相当高，但程序远未结束。在参议院投票后，仍需获得众议院的批准，然后再交由特朗普总统签署。在潜在的不确定性下，原油价格在短期内可能仍将保持波动。</p>
</div><p>At the same time, a weaker US dollar has made crude oil less expensive for buyers holding foreign currencies. Notably, the US government shutdown and subsequent data blackout has forced financal markets to fly blind for weeks. While news of an end in sight have favored Treasury yields, the US dollar remains under selling pressure.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>与此同时，美元走弱使得持有外币的买家购买原油的成本降低。值得注意的是，美国政府关门及随后的数据停滞使得金融市场在数周内处于盲目状态。虽然结束的消息有利于国债收益率，但美元仍面临卖压。</p>
</div><p>The dollar index, which tracks the value of the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, started the week on a soft note, extending the recent correction. It remains below the crucial zone of $100 amid the improved risk appetite.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美元指数追踪美元相对于六种主要货币的价值，本周开局疲软，延续了近期的修正。它仍低于 100 美元的关键区域，因风险偏好的改善。</p>
</div><p>In addition to the updates on reopening the US government, investors are also eyeing market reports from OPEC, IEA, and EIA. Crude oil price has been under selling pressure amid concerns over a supply glut in the coming months.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>除了关于美国政府重启的最新消息外，投资者还在关注 OPEC、IEA 和 EIA 的市场报告。由于对未来几个月供应过剩的担忧，原油价格一直承受卖压。</p>
</div><h2>USO Crude oil Price Technical Analysis</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>USO 原油价格技术分析</h2>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/crude-oil-price-1024x579.png" alt="" original-src="https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/crude-oil-price-1024x579.png"/></p>
<p>USO ETF chart | Source: TradingView</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美国石油基金（USO）图表 | 来源：TradingView</p>
</div><p>The United States Oil Fund (USO) started the week on its front foot after two consecutive weeks of losses. However, it continues to trade below the medium-term 50-day EMA amid uncertainties over the ending of the US government shutdown. At the time of writing, it was hovering along the short-term 25-day EMA at $71.64.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美国石油基金（USO）在经历了连续两周的下跌后，本周开局表现良好。然而，由于对美国政府关门结束的不确定性，它仍然交易于中期 50 日 EMA 以下。在撰写时，它在短期 25 日 EMA 附近徘徊，价格为 71.64 美元。</p>
</div><p>While the market is expected to be highly volatile in the ensuing sessions, an RSI of 49 points to range-bound trading. This is as investors remain cautious of the ongoing efforts to end the over one-month shutdown.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>尽管市场预计在接下来的交易中将高度波动，但 RSI 为 49 表明交易处于区间震荡中。这是因为投资者对结束超过一个月的关门努力保持谨慎。</p>
</div><p>More specifically, the range between $71.26 and $72.77 will be worth watching in the near term. With further rebounding, USO crude oil price may find resistance at $73.70. On the flip side, this thesis will be invalidated by a pullback past the support zone of $70.59.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>更具体地说，71.26 美元至 72.77 美元的区间在短期内值得关注。如果进一步反弹，USO 原油价格可能在 73.70 美元处遇到阻力。相反，如果价格回落至 70.59 美元的支撑区间以下，则这一论点将失效。</p>
</div><p>The post Crude oil price analysis: Market uncertainties cap US government deal craze appeared first on Invezz</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>原油价格分析：市场不确定性限制美国政府协议热潮的文章首发于 Invezz</p>
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原油价格分析：市场的不确定性限制了美国政府的交易热潮