<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://talkmarkets.com/contributor/risto-ristov/user_content/ckimages/orig_colin-watts-8wrrj4xjeyg-unsplash.jpg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="640" height="427" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://talkmarkets.com/contributor/risto-ristov/user_content/ckimages/orig_colin-watts-8wrrj4xjeyg-unsplash.jpg"/></p>
<p><em>照片由 Colin Watts 提供，来源于 Unsplash</em></p>
<p>英镑/美元价格在积极区间内交易，短暂挑战 1.3400 附近的水平，市场对货币政策预期和经济数据的变化作出反应。尽管英国经济数据较弱，英镑仍然对美元保持强势，主要是由于市场对美联储在 2026 年降息的预期重新升温。</p>
<p>英镑保持韧性，市场普遍调整利率差异，偏向英镑而非疲软的美元。英镑/美元在 1.3430 附近创下多周高点，随后在周末前回落至 1.3360。然而，考虑到美联储与英格兰银行的利率差异，该货币对仍然受到支撑。</p>
<p>美联储降息及其在 2026 年进一步降息的鸽派信号使英镑突破关键水平。与此同时，周四的美国失业救济申请数据显示申请人数增加了 44,000，进一步加重了 “劳动力市场降温” 的叙述。然而，周五的英国 GDP 数据意外显示收缩 0.1%。疲软的数据加大了英格兰银行在 12 月会议上降息的可能性。然而，英镑短暂回落，但并未破坏上升趋势。</p>
<p>展望下周，英镑/美元将对英格兰银行的利率决定、货币政策委员会的投票分歧及其随附声明保持敏感。市场预计降息 25 个基点的概率为 90%。</p>
<p>来自美国的非农就业人数和美国通胀将是值得关注的关键事件，因为强劲的美国就业或高企的通胀数据可能会提振美元，给英镑/美元带来压力。与此同时，疲软的数据可能会抵消英格兰银行对英镑的降息压力。</p>
<h3><strong>下周主要发布的经济数据：</strong></h3>
<ul>
<li><strong>英国 PMI</strong></li>
<li><strong>英格兰银行利率决定及货币政策摘要</strong></li>
<li><strong>英国平均工资/失业数据</strong></li>
<li><strong>美国非农就业人数和失业率</strong></li>
<li><strong>美国零售销售和 PMI 数据</strong></li>
</ul>
<h3><strong>英镑/美元每周技术预测：在 1.3350 以上看涨</strong></h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.forexcrunch.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/1-22.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="1811" height="723" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.forexcrunch.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/1-22.png"/></p>
<p>英镑/美元日线图</p>
<p>英镑/美元日线图显示出强劲的上升趋势，受到 100 日和 200 日移动平均线在 1.3350 附近的汇聚支撑。同时，相对强弱指数（RSI）保持在 60.0 附近，暗示进一步上涨的空间。然而，十字星蜡烛图显示出轻微的卖压，归因于获利了结，这可能会阻碍进一步上涨，超出 1.3438 的周高点。突破该水平可能会积聚足够的力量测试 1.3470。</p>
<p>另一方面，100 日和 200 日移动平均线在 1.3350 附近形成的即时支撑，前方是接近 1.3280 的需求区，然后是 20 日和 50 日移动平均线的汇聚在 1.3200 附近。</p>
<hr/>
<p><em>更多来自此作者的文章：</em></p>
<p>欧元/美元预测：从 10 周高点回落，鸽派美联储限制损失</p>
<p>黄金展望：随着 FOMC 后收益率下降，牛市飙升至多周高点</p>
<p>澳元/美元展望：疲软的就业数据抵消 FOMC 主导的涨幅</p>

<p>GBP/USD 正在积极交易，受到市场对 2026 年美联储降息预期和英格兰银行利率决策的影响。尽管英国 GDP 数据疲软，英镑依然表现出韧性。即将到来的关键事件包括英格兰银行的利率决策以及美国的非农就业数据和消费者物价指数，这些都可能影响 GBP/USD。技术分析显示，1.3350 以上存在看涨趋势，潜在阻力位在 1.3438，支撑位在 1.3350</p>

<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://talkmarkets.com/contributor/risto-ristov/user_content/ckimages/orig_colin-watts-8wrrj4xjeyg-unsplash.jpg" alt="" original-src="https://talkmarkets.com/contributor/risto-ristov/user_content/ckimages/orig_colin-watts-8wrrj4xjeyg-unsplash.jpg"/></p>
<p><em>Photo by Colin Watts on Unsplash</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>照片由 Colin Watts 提供，来源于 Unsplash</em></p>
</div><p>The GBP/USD price traded in a positive zone, briefly challenging the levels around 1.3400 as markets reacted to shifting monetary policy expectations and economic data. The British pound remains bid against the US dollar, despite softer UK economic data, mainly due to renewed expectations of rate cuts by the Fed in 2026.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>英镑/美元价格在积极区间内交易，短暂挑战 1.3400 附近的水平，市场对货币政策预期和经济数据的变化作出反应。尽管英国经济数据较弱，英镑仍然对美元保持强势，主要是由于市场对美联储在 2026 年降息的预期重新升温。</p>
</div><p>Sterling remained resilient as the markets broadly positioned rate differentials, favoring the GBP over a subdued USD. The GBP/USD marked multi-week highs near 1.3430 before correcting lower to 1.3360 by the end of the week. However, the pair stays underpinned amid the Fed-BoE rate differential.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>英镑保持韧性，市场普遍调整利率差异，偏向英镑而非疲软的美元。英镑/美元在 1.3430 附近创下多周高点，随后在周末前回落至 1.3360。然而，考虑到美联储与英格兰银行的利率差异，该货币对仍然受到支撑。</p>
</div><p>The Fed rate cut and dovish signals to cut rates further into 2026 gave the pound a decisive push above key levels. Meanwhile, Thursday’s US Jobless Claims figures reflected an increase of 44k claims, adding more weight to the “labor market cooling” narrative. However, the UK GDP data on Friday surprisingly showed a contraction of 0.1%. The weak print intensified the odds of a BoE rate cut in the December meeting. However, the pound briefly dipped without sabotaging the uptrend.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美联储降息及其在 2026 年进一步降息的鸽派信号使英镑突破关键水平。与此同时，周四的美国失业救济申请数据显示申请人数增加了 44,000，进一步加重了 “劳动力市场降温” 的叙述。然而，周五的英国 GDP 数据意外显示收缩 0.1%。疲软的数据加大了英格兰银行在 12 月会议上降息的可能性。然而，英镑短暂回落，但并未破坏上升趋势。</p>
</div><p>Moving ahead to the next week, the GBP/USD will remain sensitive to the Bank of England’s interest rate decision, the MPC vote split, and its accompanying statement. The markets are pricing in a 90% probability of a 25 bps rate cut.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>展望下周，英镑/美元将对英格兰银行的利率决定、货币政策委员会的投票分歧及其随附声明保持敏感。市场预计降息 25 个基点的概率为 90%。</p>
</div><p>From the US, NFP and US inflation will be key events to watch, as strong US jobs or elevated inflation figures could boost the US dollar, weighing on the GBP/USD. Meanwhile, softer data could offset the BoE’s rate cut pressure on the pound.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>来自美国的非农就业人数和美国通胀将是值得关注的关键事件，因为强劲的美国就业或高企的通胀数据可能会提振美元，给英镑/美元带来压力。与此同时，疲软的数据可能会抵消英格兰银行对英镑的降息压力。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Major Releases to Watch Next Week:</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>下周主要发布的经济数据：</strong></h3>
</div><ul>
<li><strong>UK PMIs</strong></li>
<li><strong>BoE Interest Rate Decision &amp; Monetary Policy Summary</strong></li>
<li><strong>UK Average Earnings / Unemployment data</strong></li>
<li><strong>US Nonfarm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate</strong></li>
<li><strong>US Retail Sales and PMI data</strong></li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li><strong>英国 PMI</strong></li>
<li><strong>英格兰银行利率决定及货币政策摘要</strong></li>
<li><strong>英国平均工资/失业数据</strong></li>
<li><strong>美国非农就业人数和失业率</strong></li>
<li><strong>美国零售销售和 PMI 数据</strong></li>
</ul>
</div><h3><strong>GBP/USD Weekly Technical Forecast: Bullish Above 1.3350</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>英镑/美元每周技术预测：在 1.3350 以上看涨</strong></h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.forexcrunch.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/1-22.png" alt="" original-src="https://www.forexcrunch.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/1-22.png"/></p>
<p>GBP/USD daily chart</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>英镑/美元日线图</p>
</div><p>The GBP/USD daily chart shows a strong uptrend, supported by the confluence of 100- and 200-day MAs around 1.3350. Meanwhile, the RSI remains near the 60.0 level, suggesting further room for an upside. However, a doji candle presents a mild selling pressure, attributed to profit-taking, which could resist further upside beyond the weekly highs of 1.3438. A clear breakout of this level could gather enough strength to test 1.3470.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>英镑/美元日线图显示出强劲的上升趋势，受到 100 日和 200 日移动平均线在 1.3350 附近的汇聚支撑。同时，相对强弱指数（RSI）保持在 60.0 附近，暗示进一步上涨的空间。然而，十字星蜡烛图显示出轻微的卖压，归因于获利了结，这可能会阻碍进一步上涨，超出 1.3438 的周高点。突破该水平可能会积聚足够的力量测试 1.3470。</p>
</div><p>On the flip side, immediate support emerges at 100- and 200-day MAs near 1.3350 ahead of a demand zone near 1.3280, and then the 20- and 50-day MAs confluence near 1.3200.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>另一方面，100 日和 200 日移动平均线在 1.3350 附近形成的即时支撑，前方是接近 1.3280 的需求区，然后是 20 日和 50 日移动平均线的汇聚在 1.3200 附近。</p>
</div><hr/>
<div class="lb-trans"><hr/>
</div><p><em>More By This Author:</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>更多来自此作者的文章：</em></p>
</div><p>EUR/USD Forecast: Pullback From 10-Week Top, Dovish Fed Limits Losses</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>欧元/美元预测：从 10 周高点回落，鸽派美联储限制损失</p>
</div><p>Gold Outlook: Bulls Soar To Multi-Week Highs As Yields Drop After FOMC</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>黄金展望：随着 FOMC 后收益率下降，牛市飙升至多周高点</p>
</div><p>AUD/USD Outlook: Downbeat Jobs Data Offset FOMC-Led Gains</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>澳元/美元展望：疲软的就业数据抵消 FOMC 主导的涨幅</p>
</div>

英镑/美元每周预测：在英国央行、美国非农就业数据和消费者价格指数公布前，买家保持谨慎