<ul>
<li>美元在初步反弹后回落，因为温和的 CPI 数据引发了降息的猜测，使得美元/日元波动不定。</li>
<li>尽管短期内存在噪音和日本银行的风险，但由于持续的利率差，回调被视为买入机会。</li>
</ul>
<p><em>(点击图片放大)</em></p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.dailyforex.com/files/usdjpy-dec1925-chris.webp?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="1285" height="719" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.dailyforex.com/files/usdjpy-dec1925-chris.webp"/></p>
<p>美元在周四的交易时段最初上涨，但很快回吐了涨幅，主要是因为美国的 CPI 数据低于预期。因此，人们开始关注美联储是否可能更快地降息。</p>
<p>鉴于这种情况，市场仍然非常嘈杂，这确实使得我们继续看到很多波动是有一定道理的，但这对这个货币对来说并不新鲜。此外，您还必须记住，周五我们将迎来日本银行的利率决策，因此这个货币对可能会立即反转。</p>
<h3><strong>关键水平、政策风险和交易偏好</strong></h3>
<p>鉴于这种情况，这一情况受到密切关注，目前的回调被视为买入机会。50 日 EMA 接近 4.12 水平并且在上升，应该会提供一些支撑。上方的¥158 水平是一个潜在的目标。</p>
<p>市场是否会在年底之前达到这一水平是一个完全不同的问题，但预计最终会达到。利率差将在可预见的未来继续偏向美国，而美国的通胀和增长预计将保持在中央银行的最佳水平之上。因此，美联储在降息周期中可能需要保持一定的谨慎。</p>
<p>这似乎还不是一个主要的转折点，至少目前还不是。因此，没有真正的理由相信日元会显著升值。在日本银行的声明或新闻发布会后，这个货币对可能会出现回调，但这应该被视为一个潜在的机会。</p>
<hr/>
<p><em>更多来自此作者的内容：</em></p>
<p>AUD/USD 预测：避免触及上限</p>
<p>USD/JPY 预测：美元上涨，50 日 EMA 支撑看涨趋势</p>
<p>BTC/USD 预测：在$80K 支撑位保持整合，$95K 阻力位逼近</p>

<p>美元/日元货币对仍然波动不定，因美国 CPI 数据疲软引发降息猜测，吸引买家在回调时入场。尽管存在噪音和日本银行的风险，利率差异仍然有利于美元。50 日指数移动平均线在 4.12 附近提供支撑，目标为¥158。美联储谨慎的降息策略和持续的美国通胀支撑美元，而日本银行公告后的潜在回调被视为买入机会</p>

<ul>
<li>The US dollar reversed after an initial rally as softer CPI data fueled rate-cut speculation, keeping USD/JPY volatile.</li>
<li>Despite near-term noise and Bank of Japan risk, pullbacks are viewed as buying opportunities amid a persistent rate differential.</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>美元在初步反弹后回落，因为温和的 CPI 数据引发了降息的猜测，使得美元/日元波动不定。</li>
<li>尽管短期内存在噪音和日本银行的风险，但由于持续的利率差，回调被视为买入机会。</li>
</ul>
</div><p><em>(Click on image to enlarge)</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>(点击图片放大)</em></p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.dailyforex.com/files/usdjpy-dec1925-chris.webp" alt="" original-src="https://www.dailyforex.com/files/usdjpy-dec1925-chris.webp"/></p>
<p>The US dollar initially rallied during the trading session on Thursday, but gave back gains rather quickly, mainly due to the CPI numbers coming out with a lower-than-anticipated number in the United States. Therefore, people are starting to focus on the idea of whether or not the Federal Reserve may have to cut rates more quickly.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美元在周四的交易时段最初上涨，但很快回吐了涨幅，主要是因为美国的 CPI 数据低于预期。因此，人们开始关注美联储是否可能更快地降息。</p>
</div><p>With that being the case, the market remains very noisy, and it does make a certain amount of sense that we continue to see a lot of volatility, but that’s nothing new for this pair. Furthermore, you also have to keep in mind that on Friday, we get the interest rate decision coming out of the Bank of Japan, so this is a pair that could get turned around right away.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>鉴于这种情况，市场仍然非常嘈杂，这确实使得我们继续看到很多波动是有一定道理的，但这对这个货币对来说并不新鲜。此外，您还必须记住，周五我们将迎来日本银行的利率决策，因此这个货币对可能会立即反转。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Key Levels, Policy Risk, and Trade Bias</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>关键水平、政策风险和交易偏好</strong></h3>
</div><p>With that being the case, this is watched very closely, and pullbacks are being viewed at this point in time as buying opportunities. The 50-day EMA is near the 4.12 level and rising, and it should offer a little bit of support. The ¥158 level above is where a potential target is being watched.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>鉴于这种情况，这一情况受到密切关注，目前的回调被视为买入机会。50 日 EMA 接近 4.12 水平并且在上升，应该会提供一些支撑。上方的¥158 水平是一个潜在的目标。</p>
</div><p>Whether or not the market gets there between now and the end of the year is a completely different question, but it is expected eventually. The interest rate differential will continue to favor the Americans for the foreseeable future, and inflation and growth in the United States are expected to remain above the optimal level for the central bank. Therefore, the Federal Reserve will likely have to be a little cautious with its rate-cutting cycle.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>市场是否会在年底之前达到这一水平是一个完全不同的问题，但预计最终会达到。利率差将在可预见的未来继续偏向美国，而美国的通胀和增长预计将保持在中央银行的最佳水平之上。因此，美联储在降息周期中可能需要保持一定的谨慎。</p>
</div><p>This does not appear to be a major inflection point, at least not yet. As a result, there is no real reason to believe that the Japanese yen is going to appreciate significantly. There may be the potential for a pullback in this pair after the Bank of Japan statement or press conference, but that should be looked at as a potential opportunity.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这似乎还不是一个主要的转折点，至少目前还不是。因此，没有真正的理由相信日元会显著升值。在日本银行的声明或新闻发布会后，这个货币对可能会出现回调，但这应该被视为一个潜在的机会。</p>
</div><hr/>
<div class="lb-trans"><hr/>
</div><p><em>More By This Author:</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>更多来自此作者的内容：</em></p>
</div><p>AUD/USD Forecast: Shy Away From Ceiling</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>AUD/USD 预测：避免触及上限</p>
</div><p>USD/JPY Forecast: Dollar Rises As 50-Day EMA Supports Bullish Trend</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>USD/JPY 预测：美元上涨，50 日 EMA 支撑看涨趋势</p>
</div><p>BTC/USD Forecast: Consolidates As $80K Support Holds and $95K Resistance Looms</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>BTC/USD 预测：在$80K 支撑位保持整合，$95K 阻力位逼近</p>
</div>

美元兑日元的预测：回调仍然吸引买家