<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/08/1648207905623-63b4c900-9481-47ef-a9d3-90a938d987a1.jpg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="500" height="332" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/08/1648207905623-63b4c900-9481-47ef-a9d3-90a938d987a1.jpg"/></p>
<p>新西兰元，通常被称为奇异果，本周备受关注，因为交易者关注该国的关键事件。NZD/USD 货币对在周五的交易价格为 0.6097，略低于本周的高点 0.6150。</p>
<h2>新西兰储备银行与关键经济数据</h2>
<p>在新西兰储备银行（RBNZ）周三采取鹰派暂停政策后，NZD/USD 货币对成为焦点。它将利率维持在 5.50% 不变，并警告如果通胀保持在高位，将准备加息。行长还暗示利率将维持在较高水平更长时间。</p>
<p>该货币对还对强于预期的零售销售数据作出了反应。根据统计局的数据，第一季度零售销售增长了 0.5%，超出中位数预期的 0.3% 下降。销售量在前一季度下降了 1.9%。</p>
<p>核心零售销售也恢复了 0.4%，超出中位数预期的 0.0%。它在第四季度下降了 1.6%，这表明经济表现相对良好。</p>
<p>周五发布的另一份报告证实了这一观点。根据统计局的数据，新西兰的出口从 3 月的 63.8 亿美元上升到 4 月的 64.2 亿美元。进口从 59 亿美元上升到 63 亿美元，导致贸易顺差为 9100 万美元。</p>
<p>NZD/USD 货币对还对周五发布的鹰派美联储会议纪要作出了反应。这些会议纪要显示，大多数官员对国内通胀状况表示担忧。</p>
<p>因此，其中一些成员在会议上考虑加息。因此，尽管美联储不会加息，但大多数分析师认为，由于通胀仍高于 2% 的目标，利率将维持在较高水平更长时间。</p>
<h2>NZD/USD 技术分析</h2>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/image-196-1024x570.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="1024" height="570" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/image-196-1024x570.png"/></p>
<p>NZD/USD 图表来自 TradingView</p>
<p>日线图显示，NZD 对 USD 的汇率在过去几周有所上升。从 0.5850 的低点上升至超过 0.6100，并在 3 月 15 日的最高点附近徘徊。</p>
<p>50 日和 25 日指数移动平均线（EMA）形成了看涨交叉，这是一个受欢迎的信号。它还形成了看涨的旗形图案，这是一个常见的积极信号。MACD 指标已上升至中性点以上。</p>
<p>因此，该货币对的前景看涨，初始关注的水平为 0.6150，即本周的最高点。突破该水平将指向更多的涨幅，关键关注水平为 0.6215（3 月 8 日高点）。</p>
<p>关于新西兰经济数据强劲的 NZD/USD 预测首次出现在 Invezz 上。</p>

<p>NZD/USD 货币对本周受到关注，原因是新西兰发生了重要事件。新西兰储备银行维持利率在 5.50% 不变，但暗示如果通胀持续，将考虑未来加息。强劲的零售销售和出口数据也支持了新西兰元。技术分析表明，NZD/USD 的前景看涨，潜在涨幅在 0.6150 以上</p>

<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/08/1648207905623-63b4c900-9481-47ef-a9d3-90a938d987a1.jpg" alt="" original-src="https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/08/1648207905623-63b4c900-9481-47ef-a9d3-90a938d987a1.jpg"/></p>
<p>The New Zealand dollar, popularly known as the kiwi, was in the spotlight this week as traders watched key events in the country. The NZD/USD pair was trading at 0.6097 on Friday, a few points below this week’s high of 0.6150.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>新西兰元，通常被称为奇异果，本周备受关注，因为交易者关注该国的关键事件。NZD/USD 货币对在周五的交易价格为 0.6097，略低于本周的高点 0.6150。</p>
</div><h2>RBNZ and key economic data</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>新西兰储备银行与关键经济数据</h2>
</div><p>The NZD/USD pair was on the spotlight after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) delivered a hawkish pause on Wednesday. It left interest rates unchanged at 5.50% and warned that it was prepared to hike rates if inflation remained at an elevated level. The governor also hinted that rates will stay higher for longer.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在新西兰储备银行（RBNZ）周三采取鹰派暂停政策后，NZD/USD 货币对成为焦点。它将利率维持在 5.50% 不变，并警告如果通胀保持在高位，将准备加息。行长还暗示利率将维持在较高水平更长时间。</p>
</div><p>The pair also reacted to the stronger-than-expected retail sales numbers. According to the statistics agency, retail sales rose by 0.5% in the first quarter, beating the median estimate of a 0.3% decline. The volume of sales had dropped by 1.9% in the previous quarter.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>该货币对还对强于预期的零售销售数据作出了反应。根据统计局的数据，第一季度零售销售增长了 0.5%，超出中位数预期的 0.3% 下降。销售量在前一季度下降了 1.9%。</p>
</div><p>The core retail sales also recovered by 0.4%, beating the median estimate of 0.0%. It had dropped by 1.6% in Q4, signaling that the economy is doing relatively well.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>核心零售销售也恢复了 0.4%，超出中位数预期的 0.0%。它在第四季度下降了 1.6%，这表明经济表现相对良好。</p>
</div><p>Another report released on Friday confirmed this view. According to the statistics agency, New Zealand’s exports rose from $6.38 billion in March to $6.42 billion in April. Imports rose from $5.9 billion to $6.3 billion leading to a trade surplus of $91 million.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>周五发布的另一份报告证实了这一观点。根据统计局的数据，新西兰的出口从 3 月的 63.8 亿美元上升到 4 月的 64.2 亿美元。进口从 59 亿美元上升到 63 亿美元，导致贸易顺差为 9100 万美元。</p>
</div><p>The NZD/USD pair also reacted to the hawkish Federal Reserve minutes published on Friday. These minutes revealed that most officials were concerned about the state of inflation in the country.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>NZD/USD 货币对还对周五发布的鹰派美联储会议纪要作出了反应。这些会议纪要显示，大多数官员对国内通胀状况表示担忧。</p>
</div><p>As a result, some of these members considered hiking interest rates in that meeting. Therefore, while the Fed will not hike rates, most analysts believe that they will remain higher for longer since inflation remains above the 2% target.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>因此，其中一些成员在会议上考虑加息。因此，尽管美联储不会加息，但大多数分析师认为，由于通胀仍高于 2% 的目标，利率将维持在较高水平更长时间。</p>
</div><h2>NZD/USD technical analysis</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>NZD/USD 技术分析</h2>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/image-196-1024x570.png" alt="" original-src="https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/image-196-1024x570.png"/></p>
<p>NZD/USD chart by TradingView</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>NZD/USD 图表来自 TradingView</p>
</div><p>The daily chart shows that the NZD to USD exchange rate has drifted upwards in the past few weeks. It has risen from a low of 0.5850 to over 0.6100 and is hovering near its highest swing on March 15th.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日线图显示，NZD 对 USD 的汇率在过去几周有所上升。从 0.5850 的低点上升至超过 0.6100，并在 3 月 15 日的最高点附近徘徊。</p>
</div><p>The 50-day and 25-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) have formed a bullish crossover, which is a popular sign. It has also formed a bullish pennant pattern, a popular positive sign. The MACD indicator has moved above the neutral point.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>50 日和 25 日指数移动平均线（EMA）形成了看涨交叉，这是一个受欢迎的信号。它还形成了看涨的旗形图案，这是一个常见的积极信号。MACD 指标已上升至中性点以上。</p>
</div><p>Therefore, the pair’s outlook is bullish, with the initial level to watch being 0.6150, its highest point this week. A break above that level will point to more gains, with the key level to watch being at 0.6215 (March 8 high).</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>因此，该货币对的前景看涨，初始关注的水平为 0.6150，即本周的最高点。突破该水平将指向更多的涨幅，关键关注水平为 0.6215（3 月 8 日高点）。</p>
</div><p>The post NZD/USD forecast amid strong New Zealand economic data appeared first on Invezz</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>关于新西兰经济数据强劲的 NZD/USD 预测首次出现在 Invezz 上。</p>
</div>

在新西兰经济数据强劲的背景下，NZD/USD 的预测