<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/new-zealand-2.jpg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/new-zealand-2.jpg"/></p>
<p>本周，NZD/USD 汇率将成为焦点，因为投资者关注即将到来的新西兰储备银行 (RBNZ) 利率决策。本月该货币对经历了强劲的牛市，从 0.5852 激增至接近 0.6150，为 3 月 14 日以来的最高点。</p>
<h2>RBNZ 利率决策即将到来</h2>
<p>上周，由于美国经济数据疲软导致美元指数 (DXY) 大幅下跌，NZD/USD 强劲上涨。数据显示，在高利率环境下，建筑许可证和新屋开工仍然承压。</p>
<p>额外数据显示，美国零售销售在 4 月停滞不前，而制造业和工业生产在 4 月有所回落。在同一个月，消费者通胀的整体和核心指标首次下降。</p>
<p>因此，美联储正处于滞涨时期，特征是高通胀和经济增长乏力。之前的报告显示，美国经济在第一季度仅增长了 1.6%。因此，银行可能决定在今年至少降息两次。</p>
<p>NZD/USD 汇率的下一个重要催化剂将是定于周三的即将到来的新西兰储备银行 (RBNZ) 利率决策。</p>
<p>此次会议恰逢新西兰的通胀水平仍然较高，而经济正在从深度衰退中复苏。最新数据显示，第一季度消费者价格指数 (CPI) 从上个季度的 4.7% 降至 4.0%。该指标在 2022 年曾达到 7.3% 的峰值。</p>
<p>另一份报告显示，经济在第四季度收缩了 0.3%，相比之前的 0.6% 的下降有所改善。因此，分析师预计银行将维持利率不变，并在第四季度暗示降息。</p>
<h2>NZD/USD 技术分析</h2>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/image-150-1024x570.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/image-150-1024x570.png"/></p>
<p>NZD/USD 图表来自 TradingView</p>
<p>日线图显示，NZD 对 USD 汇率在过去几周处于强劲的牛市中。它最近突破了 0.6080 的关键阻力位，这是 4 月 10 日的最高点。</p>
<p>该货币对已经翻转了 50 日和 100 日指数移动平均线 (EMA)，这是一个积极的信号。它还突破了 Woodie 支点的第一个阻力位。</p>
<p>相对强弱指数 (RSI) 和相对活力指数 (RVI) 都已跃升至数月来的最高水平。因此，该货币对可能会在 RBNZ 决策后重新测试 0.6157 的第一个 Woodie 支点，然后回落至 0.6080 的支撑位。这种表现被称为突破和回测模式。</p>
<p>NZD/USD 预测和 RBNZ 利率决策预览的文章首次出现在 Invezz 上。</p>

<p>NZD/USD 汇率受到即将到来的新西兰储备银行（RBNZ）利率决策的关注。该货币对已从 0.5852 上涨至接近 0.6150。疲弱的美国经济数据影响了美元。分析师预计 RBNZ 将维持利率不变，并可能在第四季度降息。技术分析表明可能会重新测试 0.6157，并回落至 0.6080</p>

<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/new-zealand-2.jpg" alt="" original-src="https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/new-zealand-2.jpg"/></p>
<p>The NZD/USD exchange rate will be in the spotlight this week as investors focus on the upcoming Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) interest rate decision. The pair has been in a strong bull run this month as it surged from 0.5852 to near 0.6150, its highest swing since March 14th.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>本周，NZD/USD 汇率将成为焦点，因为投资者关注即将到来的新西兰储备银行 (RBNZ) 利率决策。本月该货币对经历了强劲的牛市，从 0.5852 激增至接近 0.6150，为 3 月 14 日以来的最高点。</p>
</div><h2>RBNZ interest rate decision ahead</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>RBNZ 利率决策即将到来</h2>
</div><p>The NZD/USD surged hard last week after the weak US economic numbers led to a plunge of the US dollar index (DXY). Data revealed that the building permits and housing starts remained under pressure amid a high-interest rate environment.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>上周，由于美国经济数据疲软导致美元指数 (DXY) 大幅下跌，NZD/USD 强劲上涨。数据显示，在高利率环境下，建筑许可证和新屋开工仍然承压。</p>
</div><p>Additional data showed that the US retail sales stalled in April while manufacturing and industrial production retreated in April. In the same month, the headline and core consumer inflation dropped for the first time in months.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>额外数据显示，美国零售销售在 4 月停滞不前，而制造业和工业生产在 4 月有所回落。在同一个月，消费者通胀的整体和核心指标首次下降。</p>
</div><p>Therefore, the Fed finds itself in a period of stagflation, which is characterised by high inflation and weak economic growth. A previous report showed that the US economy expanded by just 1.6% in the first quarter. As such, the bank may decide to cut interest rates at least two times this year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>因此，美联储正处于滞涨时期，特征是高通胀和经济增长乏力。之前的报告显示，美国经济在第一季度仅增长了 1.6%。因此，银行可能决定在今年至少降息两次。</p>
</div><p>The next important catalyst for the NZD/USD exchange rate will be the upcoming Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) interest rate decision scheduled for Wednesday.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>NZD/USD 汇率的下一个重要催化剂将是定于周三的即将到来的新西兰储备银行 (RBNZ) 利率决策。</p>
</div><p>This meeting will come at a time when New Zealand’s inflation remains at an elevated level while the economy is emerging from a deep dive. The most recent data showed that the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) dropped to 4.0% in Q1, down from 4.7% in the previous quarter. It had peaked at 7.3% in 2022.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>此次会议恰逢新西兰的通胀水平仍然较高，而经济正在从深度衰退中复苏。最新数据显示，第一季度消费者价格指数 (CPI) 从上个季度的 4.7% 降至 4.0%。该指标在 2022 年曾达到 7.3% 的峰值。</p>
</div><p>A separate report showed that the economy contracted by 0.3% in Q4, a slight improvement from the previous decline of 0,6%. Therefore, analysts expect that the bank will leave interest rates unchanged and point to a rate cut in the fourth quarter.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>另一份报告显示，经济在第四季度收缩了 0.3%，相比之前的 0.6% 的下降有所改善。因此，分析师预计银行将维持利率不变，并在第四季度暗示降息。</p>
</div><h2>NZD/USD technical analysis</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>NZD/USD 技术分析</h2>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/image-150-1024x570.png" alt="" original-src="https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/image-150-1024x570.png"/></p>
<p>NZD/USD chart by TradingView</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>NZD/USD 图表来自 TradingView</p>
</div><p>The daily chart shows that the NZD to USD exchange rate has been in a strong bull run in the past few weeks. It recently crossed the crucial resistance level at 0.6080, its highest swing on April 10th.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日线图显示，NZD 对 USD 汇率在过去几周处于强劲的牛市中。它最近突破了 0.6080 的关键阻力位，这是 4 月 10 日的最高点。</p>
</div><p>The pair has flipped the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), a positive sign. It has also soared above the first resistance of the Woodie pivot point.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>该货币对已经翻转了 50 日和 100 日指数移动平均线 (EMA)，这是一个积极的信号。它还突破了 Woodie 支点的第一个阻力位。</p>
</div><p>The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Relative Vigor Index (RVI) have all jumped to their highest levels in months. Therefore, the pair will likely retest the first Woodie pivot point at 0.6157 and then retreat to the support at 0.6080 after the RBNZ decision. This performance is known as a break and retest pattern.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>相对强弱指数 (RSI) 和相对活力指数 (RVI) 都已跃升至数月来的最高水平。因此，该货币对可能会在 RBNZ 决策后重新测试 0.6157 的第一个 Woodie 支点，然后回落至 0.6080 的支撑位。这种表现被称为突破和回测模式。</p>
</div><p>The post NZD/USD forecast and RBNZ interest rate decision preview appeared first on Invezz</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>NZD/USD 预测和 RBNZ 利率决策预览的文章首次出现在 Invezz 上。</p>
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纽元兑美元的预测及新西兰储备银行利率决策的前瞻