<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://images.unsplash.com/photo-1612178991541-b48cc8e92a4d/query-YXV0bz1mb3JtYXQmZml0PWNyb3AmaXhpZD1NWHd4TWpBM2ZEQjhNSHh3YUc5MGJ5MXdZV2RsZkh4OGZHVnVmREI4Zkh3PSZpeGxpYj1yYi0xLjIuMSZxPTgwJnc9MTAwMA?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="1000" height="667" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://images.unsplash.com/photo-1612178991541-b48cc8e92a4d/query-YXV0bz1mb3JtYXQmZml0PWNyb3AmaXhpZD1NWHd4TWpBM2ZEQjhNSHh3YUc5MGJ5MXdZV2RsZkh4OGZHVnVmREI4Zkh3PSZpeGxpYj1yYi0xLjIuMSZxPTgwJnc9MTAwMA"/></p>
<p><em>图片来源：Unsplash</em></p>
<p>Shopify (SHOP) 看起来将在下一个季度以强劲的势头进入，更重要的是，其最新的业绩表明这种强劲可能并非只是暂时的。该公司实现了 31% 的同比收入增长。此外，其在北美、欧洲和亚洲的总商品交易额（GMV）加速增长，欧洲的增长率在按固定汇率计算的基础上达到了 42%。因此，管理层现在预计下个季度收入将以中到高二十的速度增长，而毛利润预计将以低二十的速度上升。</p>
<p>综合来看，这些指标表明该业务受益于商户活动的韧性以及其长期产品投资的复合效应。</p>
<p>展望未来，Shopify 的财务状况似乎越来越有纪律性。该公司计划将运营费用保持在收入的 38%-39% 之间，同时预计自由现金流的利润率将维持在中到高十几的水平。因此，投资者可以期待该股票在公司平衡增长与盈利能力扩展时呈现出积极的交易偏向。</p>
<p>如果这些趋势持续下去，Shopify 可能会以更清晰的路径进入下一个季度，朝着持续的利润扩展、更强的流动性以及由持续执行而非投机热情支撑的估值迈进。</p>
<h3><strong>艾略特波浪展望：2025 年 8 月 Shopify 日线股票图</strong></h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/SHOP-D.jpg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="1912" height="909" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/SHOP-D.jpg"/></p>
<p><em>(点击图片放大)</em></p>
<p>在之前关于该股票的更新中，Shopify 延续了其反弹，形成了一个清晰的冲动结构。盈利缺口在 154.61 附近遇到阻力，我们将该水平标记为波（3）中的 ((3))。从那里开始，我们预计会看到更多的上涨。</p>
<p>波 4 和波 5 将展开，推动价格进入波 ((5)) 的 V。因此，这一上涨有可能完成波 (I) 的 V。之后，我们预计会出现新的修正。波 (I) 的 V 预计将在 166.30 以上结束。因此，我们避免了卖出，只专注于买入机会。</p>
<h3><strong>艾略特波浪展望：2025 年 12 月 Shopify 日线股票图</strong></h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/SHOP.jpg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="1912" height="909" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/SHOP.jpg"/></p>
<p><em>(点击图片放大)</em></p>
<p>此次更新显示，在完成波（4）后，股票价格在波 ((3)) 的波（5）中恢复了上涨，10 月份达到了 182.19 的高点。随后，价格经历了急剧的修正，下降了 25%，跌至 136.18 的低点。这一下降可能误导了许多交易者认为更高层次的回调已经开始。然而，事实并非如此，因为看涨趋势仍然可以延续。</p>
<p>在这个阶段，我们预计市场将建立一个冲动波，作为波 V 的 ((5))，以完成自 11 月以来开始的周期。这一走势可能达到 192.40-210.07 区间，我们预计在此处会看到强烈的卖压，至少足以触发修正反应。</p>
<p>尽管如此，市场条件仍然看涨，我们不能排除进一步上涨的可能性。因此，我们的策略保持不变：在价格达到下一个区间之前买入回调，然后从那里评估反应。</p>
<hr/>
<p><em>更多来自此作者的内容：</em></p>
<p>为什么交易者比以往任何时候都更关注 QS？</p>
<p>CADJPY 艾略特波浪：蓝色箱子买入设置解析</p>
<p>AUDJPY 艾略特波浪：在蓝色箱子中买入回调</p>

SHOP

<p>Shopify (SHOP) 报告了 31% 的年增长率，北美、欧洲和亚洲的 GMV 增长强劲。管理层预计下个季度收入将以中到高二十的速度增长。计划将运营费用控制在收入的 38%-39% 之间，自由现金流利润率在中到高十几的水平。尽管最近股价下跌了 25%，但看涨趋势预计将继续，潜在的价格目标在 192.40-210.07 区间。策略仍然是逢低买入</p>

<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://images.unsplash.com/photo-1612178991541-b48cc8e92a4d/query-YXV0bz1mb3JtYXQmZml0PWNyb3AmaXhpZD1NWHd4TWpBM2ZEQjhNSHh3YUc5MGJ5MXdZV2RsZkh4OGZHVnVmREI4Zkh3PSZpeGxpYj1yYi0xLjIuMSZxPTgwJnc9MTAwMA" alt="" original-src="https://images.unsplash.com/photo-1612178991541-b48cc8e92a4d?ixlib=rb-1.2.1&amp;ixid=MXwxMjA3fDB8MHxwaG90by1wYWdlfHx8fGVufDB8fHw%3D&amp;auto=format&amp;fit=crop&amp;w=1000&amp;q=80"/></p>
<p><em>Image Source: Unsplash</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>图片来源：Unsplash</em></p>
</div><p>Shopify (SHOP) looks set to enter the next quarter with solid momentum, and more importantly, its latest results suggest that this strength may not be merely temporary. The company delivered 31% year‑over‑year revenue growth. Also, it saw GMV accelerate across North America, Europe, and Asia, with Europe alone growing 42% on a constant‑currency basis. As a result, management now expects revenue to expand at a mid‑to‑high‑twenties pace next quarter, while gross profit should rise at a low‑twenties rate.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Shopify (SHOP) 看起来将在下一个季度以强劲的势头进入，更重要的是，其最新的业绩表明这种强劲可能并非只是暂时的。该公司实现了 31% 的同比收入增长。此外，其在北美、欧洲和亚洲的总商品交易额（GMV）加速增长，欧洲的增长率在按固定汇率计算的基础上达到了 42%。因此，管理层现在预计下个季度收入将以中到高二十的速度增长，而毛利润预计将以低二十的速度上升。</p>
</div><p>Taken together, these indicators point to a business benefiting from both resilient merchant activity and the compounding effects of its long‑term product investments.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>综合来看，这些指标表明该业务受益于商户活动的韧性以及其长期产品投资的复合效应。</p>
</div><p>Looking ahead, Shopify’s financial posture appears increasingly disciplined. The company plans to keep operating expenses at 38%-39% of revenue, and at the same time, it anticipates maintaining free cash flow margins in the mid‑to‑high teens. Consequently, investors can expect the stock to trade with a constructive bias as the company balances growth with expanding profitability.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>展望未来，Shopify 的财务状况似乎越来越有纪律性。该公司计划将运营费用保持在收入的 38%-39% 之间，同时预计自由现金流的利润率将维持在中到高十几的水平。因此，投资者可以期待该股票在公司平衡增长与盈利能力扩展时呈现出积极的交易偏向。</p>
</div><p>If these trends continue, Shopify could enter the next quarters with a clearer path toward sustained margin expansion, stronger liquidity, and a valuation supported by consistent execution rather than speculative enthusiasm.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>如果这些趋势持续下去，Shopify 可能会以更清晰的路径进入下一个季度，朝着持续的利润扩展、更强的流动性以及由持续执行而非投机热情支撑的估值迈进。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Elliott Wave Outlook: Shopify Daily Stock Chart for August 2025</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>艾略特波浪展望：2025 年 8 月 Shopify 日线股票图</strong></h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/SHOP-D.jpg" alt="" original-src="https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/SHOP-D.jpg"/></p>
<p><em>(Click on image to enlarge)</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>(点击图片放大)</em></p>
</div><p>In the previous update about the stock, Shopify had extended its rally. It formed a clean impulsive structure. The earnings gap hit resistance near the 154.61 mark, and we labeled that level as wave (3) of ((3)). From there, we expected to see more upside.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在之前关于该股票的更新中，Shopify 延续了其反弹，形成了一个清晰的冲动结构。盈利缺口在 154.61 附近遇到阻力，我们将该水平标记为波（3）中的 ((3))。从那里开始，我们预计会看到更多的上涨。</p>
</div><p>Waves 4s and 5s were set to unfold, pushing price into wave ((5)) of V. As a result, that advance had the potential to complete wave V of (I). After that, we anticipated a new correction. Wave V of (I) was projected to finish above the 166.30 level. Therefore, we avoided selling. We focused only on buying opportunities.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>波 4 和波 5 将展开，推动价格进入波 ((5)) 的 V。因此，这一上涨有可能完成波 (I) 的 V。之后，我们预计会出现新的修正。波 (I) 的 V 预计将在 166.30 以上结束。因此，我们避免了卖出，只专注于买入机会。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Elliott Wave Outlook: Shopify Daily Stock Chart for December 2025</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>艾略特波浪展望：2025 年 12 月 Shopify 日线股票图</strong></h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/SHOP.jpg" alt="" original-src="https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/SHOP.jpg"/></p>
<p><em>(Click on image to enlarge)</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>(点击图片放大)</em></p>
</div><p>This update shows that after completing wave (4), the stock's price resumed its advance in wave (5) of ((3)), reaching a high of 182.19 in October. Then, it faced a sharp correction, dropping 25% to the 136.18 low. This decline may have misled many traders into thinking a higher‑degree pullback had begun. However, that is not the case, because the bullish trend can still extend.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>此次更新显示，在完成波（4）后，股票价格在波 ((3)) 的波（5）中恢复了上涨，10 月份达到了 182.19 的高点。随后，价格经历了急剧的修正，下降了 25%，跌至 136.18 的低点。这一下降可能误导了许多交易者认为更高层次的回调已经开始。然而，事实并非如此，因为看涨趋势仍然可以延续。</p>
</div><p>At this stage, we expect the market to build an impulse as wave ((5)) of V to complete the cycle that started in November. This move could reach the 192.40-210.07 zone, where we anticipate seeing strong selling pressure, at least enough to trigger a corrective reaction.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在这个阶段，我们预计市场将建立一个冲动波，作为波 V 的 ((5))，以完成自 11 月以来开始的周期。这一走势可能达到 192.40-210.07 区间，我们预计在此处会看到强烈的卖压，至少足以触发修正反应。</p>
</div><p>Even so, market conditions remain bullish, and we cannot rule out the possibility of further upside. Therefore, our strategy stays the same: buy the dips until the price reaches the next zone, and then evaluate the reaction from there.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>尽管如此，市场条件仍然看涨，我们不能排除进一步上涨的可能性。因此，我们的策略保持不变：在价格达到下一个区间之前买入回调，然后从那里评估反应。</p>
</div><hr/>
<div class="lb-trans"><hr/>
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</div>

25% 的下跌震动了交易员，但 Shopify 仍然显示出上涨的趋势