<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://images.pexels.com/photos/534216/pexels-photo-534216.jpeg/query-YXV0bz1jb21wcmVzcyZjcz10aW55c3JnYiZkcHI9MSZ3PTUwMA?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="500" height="274" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://images.pexels.com/photos/534216/pexels-photo-534216.jpeg/query-YXV0bz1jb21wcmVzcyZjcz10aW55c3JnYiZkcHI9MSZ3PTUwMA"/></p>
<p><em>图片来源：Pexels</em></p>
<h3><strong>关键要点</strong></h3>
<ul>
<li>假期期间的低交易量放大了 TMC Inc.的下跌，导致股价急剧下滑 10%，而没有新的运营催化剂。</li>
<li>NOAA 的深海采矿听证会和公众评论可能仍将是 TMC 股价波动的关键短期催化剂。</li>
<li>分析师对 TMC 的前景持温和乐观态度，但广泛的目标价格区间反映了监管和运营的不确定性。</li>
<li>高空头头寸、活跃的期权交易和金属市场风险可能使 TMC 面临突发的价格波动。</li>
</ul>
<p>TMC Inc.（TMC）是一家金属和关键矿产公司，其股票在 12 月 26 日星期五的假期低交易量中暴跌 10.5%。该股在当天以 6.82 美元收盘，期间在 6.61 美元和 7.68 美元之间波动，随后在延长交易中略微上涨至约 6.90 美元。交易量激增至 1150 万股，远高于年末交易的通常水平。</p>
<p>由于市场在周末关闭，投资者将关注周一的潜在催化剂，特别是围绕深海采矿的监管进展和分析师的指导。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://knockoutstocks.com/api/stocks/TMC/embed?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://knockoutstocks.com/api/stocks/TMC/embed"/></p>
<p><em>(点击图片放大)</em></p>
<p><em>图片来源：KnockoutStocks</em></p>
<h3><strong>假期交易加剧波动</strong></h3>
<p>星期五的抛售并不是由于单一的运营更新，而是反映了市场对流动性不足和季节性动态的敏感性。</p>
<p>分析师指出，低交易量时期往往会夸大波动，特别是在像 TMC 这样的高波动股票中。本周早些时候，TMC 在星期三以 7.62 美元收盘，投资者对深海采矿审查的进展反应积极，但到星期五这些涨幅被抹去。</p>
<p>“在叙述上上涨而在定位上下跌的两步过程对 TMC 来说并不罕见，” 一位市场策略师表示。投资者似乎将该股视为事件驱动的交易，而不是一种长期投资。</p>
<h3><strong>监管时间表受到关注</strong></h3>
<p>TMC 最具体的短期催化剂将是美国深海采矿的监管路径。NOAA 的公众评论期从 2025 年 12 月 23 日到 2026 年 2 月 23 日，虚拟听证会定于 2026 年 1 月 27 日至 28 日举行。</p>
<p>听证会的注册将在 1 月 21 日截止。这个时间表为投资者提供了一系列结构化的里程碑，可能根据结果和媒体报道引发看涨或看跌反应。</p>
<h3><strong>分析师看好前景，但风险依然存在</strong></h3>
<p>华尔街分析师对 TMC 保持谨慎乐观。MarketBeat 显示 12 个月的平均目标为 7.42 美元，意味着从近期水平大约有 8.75% 的上涨空间，而 TipRanks 列出的平均目标为 8.33 美元，将该股标记为 “强烈买入”。</p>
<p>然而，目标区间较宽，从 3.75 美元到 11 美元，突显了该股对监管批准、商品周期和融资条件的依赖。</p>
<p>投资者应注意，TMC 是一只 “路径依赖” 的股票：价格波动将紧密跟随许可证、技术执行和更广泛的宏观经济趋势的发展。</p>
<h3><strong>期权、空头和宏观驱动因素</strong></h3>
<p>TMC 的交易动态因显著的空头头寸、较高的看涨期权活动和其尚未盈利的状态而被放大。截至 12 月中旬，约 9.44% 的 TMC 流通股被卖空，覆盖所需天数为 2.9 天。</p>
<p>结合年末的仓位调整和宏观波动，这些因素使 TMC 成为一只容易出现突然涨跌的股票。</p>
<p>更广泛的金属市场提供了顺风和警示。铜价最近达到了历史高位，但经济学家警告称，2026 年中国可能出现需求疲软。TMC 与未来金属供应相关，而非当前生产，将继续处于这些风险的交汇点。</p>
<hr/>
<p><em>更多来自此作者的文章：</em></p>
<p>Rocket Lab 股票在星期五波动后下跌 8%，分析师关注年末动能</p>
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<p>比特币价格预测：BTC 在 90000 美元以下压缩以寻求突破</p>

<p>TMC Inc. 的股票在假期交易量稀薄的情况下下跌了 10.5%，收于 6.82 美元。分析师预计周一关于深海采矿的监管动态将成为关键催化剂。高空头头寸和金属市场风险导致了波动性。分析师认为有适度的上涨空间，价格目标范围在 3.75 美元到 11 美元之间，反映出监管和运营的不确定性</p>

<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://images.pexels.com/photos/534216/pexels-photo-534216.jpeg/query-YXV0bz1jb21wcmVzcyZjcz10aW55c3JnYiZkcHI9MSZ3PTUwMA" alt="" original-src="https://images.pexels.com/photos/534216/pexels-photo-534216.jpeg?auto=compress&amp;cs=tinysrgb&amp;dpr=1&amp;w=500"/></p>
<p><em>Image Source: Pexels</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>图片来源：Pexels</em></p>
</div><h3><strong>Key Takeaways</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>关键要点</strong></h3>
</div><ul>
<li>Holiday-thin trading magnified TMC Inc.’s drop, causing a sharp 10% decline without a new operational catalyst.</li>
<li>NOAA deep-sea mining hearings and public comments will likely remain key near-term catalysts for TMC's stock movement.</li>
<li>Analysts saw moderate upside for TMC, but wide price target ranges have reflected regulatory and operational uncertainties.</li>
<li>High short interest, active options, and metals market risks may make TMC prone to sudden, volatile price swings.</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>假期期间的低交易量放大了 TMC Inc.的下跌，导致股价急剧下滑 10%，而没有新的运营催化剂。</li>
<li>NOAA 的深海采矿听证会和公众评论可能仍将是 TMC 股价波动的关键短期催化剂。</li>
<li>分析师对 TMC 的前景持温和乐观态度，但广泛的目标价格区间反映了监管和运营的不确定性。</li>
<li>高空头头寸、活跃的期权交易和金属市场风险可能使 TMC 面临突发的价格波动。</li>
</ul>
</div><p>TMC Inc. (TMC), a metals and critical-minerals company, saw its shares tumble 10.5% on Friday, Dec. 26, in a holiday-thin trading session that amplified volatility. The stock ended the day at $6.82 after swinging between $6.61 and $7.68, before ticking slightly higher to around $6.90 in extended trading. Trading volume surged to 11.5 million shares, well above the usual levels for year-end sessions.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>TMC Inc.（TMC）是一家金属和关键矿产公司，其股票在 12 月 26 日星期五的假期低交易量中暴跌 10.5%。该股在当天以 6.82 美元收盘，期间在 6.61 美元和 7.68 美元之间波动，随后在延长交易中略微上涨至约 6.90 美元。交易量激增至 1150 万股，远高于年末交易的通常水平。</p>
</div><p>As markets have remained closed for the weekend, investors will be looking to Monday for potential catalysts, particularly regulatory developments surrounding deep-sea mining, and analyst guidance.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>由于市场在周末关闭，投资者将关注周一的潜在催化剂，特别是围绕深海采矿的监管进展和分析师的指导。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://knockoutstocks.com/api/stocks/TMC/embed" alt="" original-src="https://knockoutstocks.com/api/stocks/TMC/embed"/></p>
<p><em>(Click on image to enlarge)</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>(点击图片放大)</em></p>
</div><p><em>Image Source: KnockoutStocks</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>图片来源：KnockoutStocks</em></p>
</div><h3><strong>Holiday Trading Exacerbates Swings</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>假期交易加剧波动</strong></h3>
</div><p>Friday’s selloff did not stem from a single operational update. Rather, it reflected the market’s sensitivity to thin liquidity and seasonal dynamics.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>星期五的抛售并不是由于单一的运营更新，而是反映了市场对流动性不足和季节性动态的敏感性。</p>
</div><p>Analysts have noted that low-volume periods often exaggerate swings, particularly in high-volatility stocks like TMC. Earlier in the week, TMC closed at $7.62 on Wednesday as investors reacted to perceived progress on deep-sea mining reviews, only to see those gains erased by Friday’s retreat.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>分析师指出，低交易量时期往往会夸大波动，特别是在像 TMC 这样的高波动股票中。本周早些时候，TMC 在星期三以 7.62 美元收盘，投资者对深海采矿审查的进展反应积极，但到星期五这些涨幅被抹去。</p>
</div><p>“The two-step of pop on narrative and drop on positioning is not unusual for TMC,” said one market strategist. Investors seemingly treated the stock as an event-driven trade rather than a set-and-forget investment.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“在叙述上上涨而在定位上下跌的两步过程对 TMC 来说并不罕见，” 一位市场策略师表示。投资者似乎将该股视为事件驱动的交易，而不是一种长期投资。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Regulatory Timeline in Focus</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>监管时间表受到关注</strong></h3>
</div><p>The most concrete near-term catalyst for TMC will be the U.S. regulatory pathway for deep-sea mining. NOAA’s public comment period runs from Dec. 23, 2025, to Feb. 23, 2026, with virtual hearings scheduled for Jan. 27-28, 2026.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>TMC 最具体的短期催化剂将是美国深海采矿的监管路径。NOAA 的公众评论期从 2025 年 12 月 23 日到 2026 年 2 月 23 日，虚拟听证会定于 2026 年 1 月 27 日至 28 日举行。</p>
</div><p>Registration for the hearings closes on Jan. 21. The timeline has provided investors with a structured set of milestones that could trigger both bullish and bearish reactions depending on outcomes and media coverage.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>听证会的注册将在 1 月 21 日截止。这个时间表为投资者提供了一系列结构化的里程碑，可能根据结果和媒体报道引发看涨或看跌反应。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Analysts See Upside, But Risks Remain</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>分析师看好前景，但风险依然存在</strong></h3>
</div><p>Wall Street analysts have remained cautiously optimistic on TMC. MarketBeat showed a 12-month average target of $7.42, implying roughly 8.75% upside from recent levels, while TipRanks listed an average target of $8.33, labeling the stock a “Strong Buy.”</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>华尔街分析师对 TMC 保持谨慎乐观。MarketBeat 显示 12 个月的平均目标为 7.42 美元，意味着从近期水平大约有 8.75% 的上涨空间，而 TipRanks 列出的平均目标为 8.33 美元，将该股标记为 “强烈买入”。</p>
</div><p>However, target ranges have been wide, from $3.75 to $11, highlighting the stock’s dependence on regulatory approvals, commodity cycles, and financing conditions.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，目标区间较宽，从 3.75 美元到 11 美元，突显了该股对监管批准、商品周期和融资条件的依赖。</p>
</div><p>Investors should be reminded that TMC is a “path-dependent” stock: price swings will closely follow developments in permits, technology execution, and broader macroeconomic trends.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>投资者应注意，TMC 是一只 “路径依赖” 的股票：价格波动将紧密跟随许可证、技术执行和更广泛的宏观经济趋势的发展。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Options, Shorts, and Macro Drivers</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>期权、空头和宏观驱动因素</strong></h3>
</div><p>TMC’s trading dynamics have been amplified by significant short interest, elevated call activity, and its pre-revenue status. As of mid-December, about 9.44% of TMC’s float was sold short, leaving 2.9 days to cover.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>TMC 的交易动态因显著的空头头寸、较高的看涨期权活动和其尚未盈利的状态而被放大。截至 12 月中旬，约 9.44% 的 TMC 流通股被卖空，覆盖所需天数为 2.9 天。</p>
</div><p>Combined with year-end positioning and macro volatility, these factors have made TMC a stock prone to sudden gaps up or down.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>结合年末的仓位调整和宏观波动，这些因素使 TMC 成为一只容易出现突然涨跌的股票。</p>
</div><p>The broader metals market has provided both tailwinds and caution. Copper prices recently reached record levels, yet economists have warned of potential demand weakness in China in 2026. TMC, tied to future metal supply rather than current production, will continue to sit at the intersection of these risks.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>更广泛的金属市场提供了顺风和警示。铜价最近达到了历史高位，但经济学家警告称，2026 年中国可能出现需求疲软。TMC 与未来金属供应相关，而非当前生产，将继续处于这些风险的交汇点。</p>
</div><hr/>
<div class="lb-trans"><hr/>
</div><p><em>More By This Author:</em></p>
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</div><p>Solana Price Prediction: SOL Targets $190 Bounce From Support</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Solana 价格预测：SOL 目标从支撑位反弹至 190 美元</p>
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<div class="lb-trans"><p>比特币价格预测：BTC 在 90000 美元以下压缩以寻求突破</p>
</div>

TMC 股票在假期交易清淡的情况下下跌 10%，分析师关注周一的市场动向