<p>Toncoin 最近的上涨趋势持续，建立在自其 Coinbase 首次上市以来的一周稳定增长之上。</p>
<p>这一激增使 TON 的价格接近 $1.705 的重要阻力位，这一水平之前曾作为天花板，限制了之前的价格上涨。</p>
<p>尽管整体趋势看起来看涨，但接近这一水平引发了代币价格行动的一些短期波动。</p>
<h2>短期不平衡引发警惕</h2>
<p>在日线图上，TON 最近的看涨激增在 $1.57 附近造成了市场不平衡。如果当前动能减弱，这一水平可能会导致价格短期回调以填补缺口。</p>
<p>与此同时，随机相对强弱指数（Stochastic RSI）已进入超买区域，表明此次反弹可能需要暂停，才能进行下一次显著的价格变动。</p>
<p>随机相对强弱指数确认了短期回调至不平衡区的可能性。</p>
<p>然而，这种配置并不自动意味着疲软。相反，市场可能需要短期暂停或回调，以消化最近的上涨走势。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/TONUSD_2025-12-29_09-56-42_11zon.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="1519" height="978" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/TONUSD_2025-12-29_09-56-42_11zon.png"/></p>
<p>来源：TradingView</p>
<h2>看涨情绪在…中显而易见</h2>
<p>即使技术指标显示出一些短期警惕，衍生品指标仍然偏向买方。</p>
<p>Toncoin 的未平仓合约增加了 7.27%，达到 1.03 亿，表明更多机构交易者和投资者仍在通过开新仓位进行长期投资。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/TON-aggregated-open-interests_11zon.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="1448" height="625" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/TON-aggregated-open-interests_11zon.png"/></p>
<p>来源：Coinalyze</p>
<p>显著的是，当前价格下的多头头寸几乎是空头头寸的三倍。截至发稿时，代币的多空比为 2.976。</p>
<p>这种差异意味着交易者仍在押注进一步上涨，而不是立即下跌。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/TON-long-short-ratio_11zon.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="1440" height="658" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/TON-long-short-ratio_11zon.png"/></p>
<p>来源：Coinalyze</p>
<h2>价格能否突破阻力？</h2>
<p>从更广泛的角度来看，TON 的价格轨迹将取决于它在 $1.705 关键价格水平附近的反应。</p>
<p>如果能够果断突破这一供应区，可能会标志着市场结构的重大变化，潜在地为持续的上涨趋势铺平道路。</p>
<p>与此同时，现有不平衡附近的短期波动仍然是可能的。</p>
<p>尽管如此，只要多头投资者保持活跃，未平仓合约持续攀升，看涨动能似乎仍在保持。</p>
<hr/>
<h2>最后思考</h2>
<ul>
<li><em>TON 价格在经历一周稳定上涨后，正接近 $1.705 的主要供应区。</em></li>
<li><em>未平仓合约增加了 7.27%，当前价格下多头头寸超过空头。</em></li>
</ul>

COIN

<p>Toncoin 在其 Coinbase 首次亮相后经历了一周的增长，接近关键阻力位 $1.705。尽管整体趋势看涨，但短期内观察到波动性，可能会回调至 $1.57。尽管技术指标发出谨慎信号，但看涨情绪依然强烈，未平仓合约增加了 7.27%，表明多头头寸多于空头。若能果断突破 $1.705，可能会标志着市场的重大转变，而在现有不平衡附近的波动仍然是可能的</p>

<p>Toncoin’srecent upward trajectory has continued, building on a week of consistent growth since its Coinbase debut.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Toncoin 最近的上涨趋势持续，建立在自其 Coinbase 首次上市以来的一周稳定增长之上。</p>
</div><p>The surge has brought TON’s price close to a significant resistance point at $1.705, a level that has previously acted as a ceiling and limited previous price increases.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这一激增使 TON 的价格接近 $1.705 的重要阻力位，这一水平之前曾作为天花板，限制了之前的价格上涨。</p>
</div><p>Though the overall trend appears bullish, the approach to this level has sparked some short-term volatility in the token’s price action.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>尽管整体趋势看起来看涨，但接近这一水平引发了代币价格行动的一些短期波动。</p>
</div><h2>Short-term imbalance raises caution</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>短期不平衡引发警惕</h2>
</div><p>On the daily chart, TON’s recent bullish surge has created a market imbalance around $1.57.This level might draw down the price for a short-term correction to fill the gap if the current momentum wanes.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在日线图上，TON 最近的看涨激增在 $1.57 附近造成了市场不平衡。如果当前动能减弱，这一水平可能会导致价格短期回调以填补缺口。</p>
</div><p>Simultaneously, the Stochastic RSI has entered overbought territory, indicating the rally could require a pause before the next significant price movement.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>与此同时，随机相对强弱指数（Stochastic RSI）已进入超买区域，表明此次反弹可能需要暂停，才能进行下一次显著的价格变动。</p>
</div><p>The stochastic RSI affirms the likelihood of a short-term correction to the imbalance zone.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>随机相对强弱指数确认了短期回调至不平衡区的可能性。</p>
</div><p>However, this configuration does not automatically imply weakness. Instead, the market might be due for a short-term pause or dip as it processes the recent upward movement.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，这种配置并不自动意味着疲软。相反，市场可能需要短期暂停或回调，以消化最近的上涨走势。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/TONUSD_2025-12-29_09-56-42_11zon.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/TONUSD_2025-12-29_09-56-42_11zon.png"/></p>
<p>Source: TradingView</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>来源：TradingView</p>
</div><h2>Bullish sentiment is evident in…</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>看涨情绪在…中显而易见</h2>
</div><p>Even with some short-term caution from the technical indicators, the derivatives indicators still favor buyers.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>即使技术指标显示出一些短期警惕，衍生品指标仍然偏向买方。</p>
</div><p>Toncoin’s Open Interest has risen by 7.27% to 103 million, indicating more institutional traders and investors are still playing the long game by opening new positions.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Toncoin 的未平仓合约增加了 7.27%，达到 1.03 亿，表明更多机构交易者和投资者仍在通过开新仓位进行长期投资。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/TON-aggregated-open-interests_11zon.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/TON-aggregated-open-interests_11zon.png"/></p>
<p>Source: Coinalyze</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>来源：Coinalyze</p>
</div><p>Significantly, long positions at the current price now outnumber short positions by almost three times. At press time, the token’s Long/Short Ratio stood at 2.976.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>显著的是，当前价格下的多头头寸几乎是空头头寸的三倍。截至发稿时，代币的多空比为 2.976。</p>
</div><p>This disparity implies that traders are still betting on further gains, not an immediate downturn.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这种差异意味着交易者仍在押注进一步上涨，而不是立即下跌。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/TON-long-short-ratio_11zon.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/TON-long-short-ratio_11zon.png"/></p>
<p>Source: Coinalyze</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>来源：Coinalyze</p>
</div><h2>Can price break through resistance?</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>价格能否突破阻力？</h2>
</div><p>Looking at the broader picture, TON’s price trajectory will depend on how it reacts around the $1.705 key price level.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>从更广泛的角度来看，TON 的价格轨迹将取决于它在 $1.705 关键价格水平附近的反应。</p>
</div><p>A decisive move above this supply zone could signal a significant change in the market’s structure, potentially paving the way for a prolonged upward trend.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>如果能够果断突破这一供应区，可能会标志着市场结构的重大变化，潜在地为持续的上涨趋势铺平道路。</p>
</div><p>In the meantime, short-term fluctuations near existing imbalances are still a possibility.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>与此同时，现有不平衡附近的短期波动仍然是可能的。</p>
</div><p>Nevertheless, the bullish momentum seems to be holding, as long as long-position investors remain active and open interest keeps climbing.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>尽管如此，只要多头投资者保持活跃，未平仓合约持续攀升，看涨动能似乎仍在保持。</p>
</div><hr/>
<div class="lb-trans"><hr/>
</div><h2>Final Thoughts</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>最后思考</h2>
</div><ul>
<li><em>TON prices are approaching a major supply zone at $1.705 after a week of steady gains.</em></li>
<li><em>Open interest is up 7.27%, with long positions outpacing shorts at the current price.</em></li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li><em>TON 价格在经历一周稳定上涨后，正接近 $1.705 的主要供应区。</em></li>
<li><em>未平仓合约增加了 7.27%，当前价格下多头头寸超过空头。</em></li>
</ul>
</div>

Can Toncoin break above $1.705 and extend its rally? Examining…

- Toncoin 近日持续上涨，接近 $1.705 的关键阻力位。  
- 短期内存在技术指标提示的谨慎，可能出现价格修正。  
- 多头情绪依然强劲，开盘兴趣上升 7.27%，多头仓位明显高于空头。

Toncoin 能否突破 1.705 美元并继续上涨？正在分析…