<div id="readability-page-1">Key Takeaways Inflation is forecast to cool but remain above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, raising uncertainty about whether the U.S. can truly achieve a “soft landing.” Economic growth may start strong in early 2026 but could slow later in the year as tariffs rise and immigration tightens, even as the risk of a full recession appears limited. In...</div>

<p>通货膨胀预计将下降，但仍将高于美联储 2% 的目标，这给美国经济的潜在 “软着陆” 带来了不确定性。经济增长可能在 2026 年初强劲开始，但由于关税上升和更严格的移民政策，年内可能会减速，尽管全面衰退的可能性仍然较低</p>

我们在 2026 年是会迎来 ‘软着陆’ 还是经济衰退？