<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/20250924_1410_Alibaba-AI-Cloud-Integration_simple_compose_01k5xe0qa7f4krwjhqe33reyz9.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/20250924_1410_Alibaba-AI-Cloud-Integration_simple_compose_01k5xe0qa7f4krwjhqe33reyz9.png"/></p>
<p>阿里巴巴的股价在 2025 年从最高点下跌约 20% 后，仍处于熊市中。它在 12 月份跌至 146 美元的低点，然后在盘前反弹至 152 美元。本文进行了一项技术分析，指向反弹的可能性。</p>
<h2>阿里巴巴股价技术分析</h2>
<p>日线图显示，BABA 股价在过去几个月中回落，从 192 美元的高点下跌至当前的 152 美元。</p>
<p>它已经突破 200 日指数移动平均线（EMA），这在技术分析中是一个看涨的信号。</p>
<p>最重要的是，该股票形成了一个巨大的下跌楔形模式，由两条下降且收敛的趋势线构成。</p>
<p>这两条线现在接近它们的汇合点，这表明即将发生看涨突破。</p>
<p>与此同时，楔形模式是在该股票从 7 月份的 103 美元低点上涨至 10 月份的 192 美元高点后形成的。这表明它正在形成一个看涨的旗形模式，由一条垂直线和一个对称三角形构成。</p>
<p>因此，该股票在接下来的几周或几个月内可能会反弹，可能会达到 192 美元的心理关口，约比当前水平高出 25%。突破该价格将指向更多的涨幅，可能达到 200 美元的心理关口。</p>
<p>另一方面，若跌破 200 日 EMA 水平 140 美元，将使阿里巴巴的看涨预测失效，并指向近期更多的下行空间。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Alibaba-stock-1024x579.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Alibaba-stock-1024x579.png"/></p>
<p>阿里巴巴股票图表 | 来源：TradingView</p>
<h2>BABA 股票有众多催化剂</h2>
<p>阿里巴巴股价的上涨将受到人工智能（AI）行业持续繁荣的推动，这正在促进其云业务的发展。</p>
<p>最新的财报显示，其云智能集团的收入在第三季度增长了 34%，达到了 55.9 亿美元。这一增长也体现在其盈利能力上，EBITDA 增长了 35%，达到了 5.06 亿美元。</p>
<p>阿里巴巴继续在 AI 行业进行投资，推出了多个模型，包括 Qwen 和 Kimi，这些都是 OpenAI 的 ChatGPT 的良好替代品。</p>
<p>该公司的其他业务也表现相对良好，国际数字商务集团在第三季度增长了 10%，达到了 39.3 亿美元。其电子商务收入也增长了 9%。</p>
<p>华尔街分析师对该公司的业务在未来几年继续良好发展持乐观态度。平均估计是其 2025 年收入将达到 1.04 万亿日元，比 2024 年增长 4.7%。预计今年收入将达到 1.15 万亿日元，每股收益（EPS）将从 46.3 日元上升至 65.64 日元。</p>
<p>与同行相比，阿里巴巴的估值相对较低。它的前瞻市盈率为 20，远低于亚马逊的 32 和标准普尔 500 指数的平均水平 23。</p>
<p>因此，强劲的云业务、强劲的盈利、低廉的估值和技术面因素共同指向近期更多的上涨空间。</p>
<p>本文的标题为《阿里巴巴股价在 2026 年可能上涨 25% - 技术分析》，首次发布于 Invezz。</p>

<p>阿里巴巴的股价处于熊市，从 2025 年的高点下跌了约 20%。目前股价为 152 美元，技术分析显示有潜在反弹的可能，目标价为 192 美元，意味着上涨 25%。该股票形成了看涨的下跌楔形图形，并得到了其云业务强劲增长的支持，第三季度收入增长了 34%。分析师预测收入将持续增长，使阿里巴巴相比同行更具吸引力。如果股价跌破 140 美元，将会使这一看涨前景失效</p>

<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/20250924_1410_Alibaba-AI-Cloud-Integration_simple_compose_01k5xe0qa7f4krwjhqe33reyz9.png" alt="" original-src="https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/20250924_1410_Alibaba-AI-Cloud-Integration_simple_compose_01k5xe0qa7f4krwjhqe33reyz9.png"/></p>
<p>Alibaba stock price has remained in a bear market after plunging by ~20% from its highest point in 2025. It dropped to a low of $146 in December and then rebounded to $152 in the pre-market. This article conducts a technical analysis pointing to a rebound.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>阿里巴巴的股价在 2025 年从最高点下跌约 20% 后，仍处于熊市中。它在 12 月份跌至 146 美元的低点，然后在盘前反弹至 152 美元。本文进行了一项技术分析，指向反弹的可能性。</p>
</div><h2>Alibaba stock price technical analysis</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>阿里巴巴股价技术分析</h2>
</div><p>The daily timeframe chart shows that the BABA stock price has retreated in the past few months, moving from a high of $192 to the current $152.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日线图显示，BABA 股价在过去几个月中回落，从 192 美元的高点下跌至当前的 152 美元。</p>
</div><p>It has moved above the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which is a bullish sign in technical analysis.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>它已经突破 200 日指数移动平均线（EMA），这在技术分析中是一个看涨的信号。</p>
</div><p>Most importantly, the stock has formed a giant falling wedge pattern, which is made up of two descending and converging trendlines.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>最重要的是，该股票形成了一个巨大的下跌楔形模式，由两条下降且收敛的趋势线构成。</p>
</div><p>The two lines are now nearing their confluence level, which is a sign that a bullish breakout is about to happen.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这两条线现在接近它们的汇合点，这表明即将发生看涨突破。</p>
</div><p>At the same time, the wedge pattern is forming after the stock pumped from a low of $103 in July to a high of $192 in October. That is a sign that it is forming a bullish pennant pattern, which is made up of a vertical line and a symmetrical triangle.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>与此同时，楔形模式是在该股票从 7 月份的 103 美元低点上涨至 10 月份的 192 美元高点后形成的。这表明它正在形成一个看涨的旗形模式，由一条垂直线和一个对称三角形构成。</p>
</div><p>Therefore, the stock will likely bounce back in true coming weeks or months, potentially to the psychological level at $192, which is ~25% above the current level. A move above that price will point to more gains, potentially to the psychological level at $200</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>因此，该股票在接下来的几周或几个月内可能会反弹，可能会达到 192 美元的心理关口，约比当前水平高出 25%。突破该价格将指向更多的涨幅，可能达到 200 美元的心理关口。</p>
</div><p>On the other hand, a drop below the 200-day EMA level at $140 will invalidate the bullish Alibaba forecast and point to more downside in the near term.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>另一方面，若跌破 200 日 EMA 水平 140 美元，将使阿里巴巴的看涨预测失效，并指向近期更多的下行空间。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Alibaba-stock-1024x579.png" alt="" original-src="https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Alibaba-stock-1024x579.png"/></p>
<p>Alibaba stock chart | Source: TradingView</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>阿里巴巴股票图表 | 来源：TradingView</p>
</div><h2>BABA stock has numerous catalysts</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>BABA 股票有众多催化剂</h2>
</div><p>Alibaba stock price rally will be driven by the ongoing boom in the artificial intelligence (AI) industry, which is boosting its cloud business.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>阿里巴巴股价的上涨将受到人工智能（AI）行业持续繁荣的推动，这正在促进其云业务的发展。</p>
</div><p>The most recent results showed that its Cloud Intelligence Group’s revenue rose by 34% in the third quarter to $5.59 billion. This growth also happened in terms of its profitability, whose EBITDA jumped by 35% to $506 million.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>最新的财报显示，其云智能集团的收入在第三季度增长了 34%，达到了 55.9 亿美元。这一增长也体现在其盈利能力上，EBITDA 增长了 35%，达到了 5.06 亿美元。</p>
</div><p>Alibaba has continued to invest in the AI industry, where it has launched several models, including Qwen and Kimi, which are good alternatives to OpenAI’s ChatGPT.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>阿里巴巴继续在 AI 行业进行投资，推出了多个模型，包括 Qwen 和 Kimi，这些都是 OpenAI 的 ChatGPT 的良好替代品。</p>
</div><p>The company’s other businesses are also doing relatively well, with the International Digital Commerce Group growing by 10% in the third quarter to $3.93 billion. Its e-commerce revenue also rose by 9%.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>该公司的其他业务也表现相对良好，国际数字商务集团在第三季度增长了 10%，达到了 39.3 亿美元。其电子商务收入也增长了 9%。</p>
</div><p>Wall Street analysts are optimistic that the company’s business will continue doing well in the coming years. The average estimate is that its 2025 revenue will be 1.04 trillion yen, up by 4.7% from 2024. This revenue is expected to then hit 1.15 trillion yen this year, with its earnings-per-share (EPS) rising to 65.64 yen from 46.3 yen.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>华尔街分析师对该公司的业务在未来几年继续良好发展持乐观态度。平均估计是其 2025 年收入将达到 1.04 万亿日元，比 2024 年增长 4.7%。预计今年收入将达到 1.15 万亿日元，每股收益（EPS）将从 46.3 日元上升至 65.64 日元。</p>
</div><p>Alibaba is also a relatively cheaper company compared to its peers. It has a forward PE ratio of 20, much lower than Amazon’s 32 and the S&amp;P 500 Index average of 23.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>与同行相比，阿里巴巴的估值相对较低。它的前瞻市盈率为 20，远低于亚马逊的 32 和标准普尔 500 指数的平均水平 23。</p>
</div><p>Therefore, a combination of strong cloud business, strong earnings, its cheap valuation, and technicals points to more upside in the near term.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>因此，强劲的云业务、强劲的盈利、低廉的估值和技术面因素共同指向近期更多的上涨空间。</p>
</div><p>The post Albaba stock price could spike 25% in 2026 - technical analysis appeared first on Invezz</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>本文的标题为《阿里巴巴股价在 2026 年可能上涨 25% - 技术分析》，首次发布于 Invezz。</p>
</div>

根据技术分析，阿里巴巴的股价可能在 2026 年上涨 25%