<p>美国参议院竞选涉及 Cornyn 和 Paxton，预计将重塑下游选举动态。</p>
<p>, /PRNewswire/ -- 随着 2026 年 3 月初选周期的逐渐形成，德克萨斯州的新闻机构正准备迎接一个复杂的政治格局，特点是开放的初选、拥挤的全州竞选和日益加剧的共和党内部分歧。</p>
<p>早期的焦点已经集中在美国参议院竞选上，现任参议员 <strong>John Cornyn</strong> 面临来自共和党竞争者的压力，包括特朗普盟友、德克萨斯州检察长 <strong>Ken Paxton</strong>。这一竞选的下游影响预计将重塑多个全州竞选，包括检察长竞选本身。</p>
<p>随着新闻机构开始组建政治小组、预定分析师和制定初选报道，竞选策略师和政治顾问的价值变得至关重要。</p>
<p>Anthony Holm 对德克萨斯州政治有着 “内部运作” 的理解。Anthony 可以用简单的语言解释，为什么某些举动现在发生，拥挤的共和党初选如何改变竞选策略，以及记者应该在选民投票之前关注哪些信号。</p>
<p>Anthony Holm 是一位宪法保守派、审判律师、政治分析师和竞选策略师，曾与德克萨斯州检察长办公室及德克萨斯州州长办公室的高级官员密切合作，他表示，检察长竞选将作为基层保守派、体制内共和党人和州长办公室之间权力的早期测试。这场竞选的影响远超德克萨斯州。</p>
<p>在最近的分析中，Holm 概述了交叉投票、决选动态和竞选支出模式如何重塑德克萨斯州的结果，往往以选民并不完全理解的方式进行。</p>
<p>Holm 表示：“德克萨斯州的竞选结果更多是由过程决定，而非意识形态。谁在初选中投票、决选如何改变选民结构以及体制支持何时出现，往往比最响亮的信息更为重要。”</p>
<p>Holm 警告称，内部共和党分歧，特别是在州的开放初选结构上，可能会随着保守派活动家推动他们认为更能反映党内基础的改革而加剧。他指出，围绕初选规则的持续诉讼和立法压力，可能在选票投出之前就成为一个决定性的故事线。</p>
<p>他还指出，德克萨斯州州长 Greg Abbott 的影响力，他的支持、政治基础设施和战略性沉默可以显著影响全州竞选。</p>
<p>在德克萨斯州之外，Holm 定期分析对该州有直接影响的国家问题，包括移民政策、选举管理和影响边境州及能源生产地区的国家安全决策，重点关注治理、选举机制和体制权力。</p>
<p>Holm 可提供面对面采访、电话评论和虚拟讨论，并能为印刷、广播和数字媒体提供快速响应分析、背景简报或更长形式的对话。他定期参与聚焦德克萨斯州政治和选举动态的讨论小组和分析环节。</p>
<p><strong>新闻机构现在应该关注的原因</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>检察长竞选正在早期塑造捐赠者行为和活动家对齐情况</li>
<li>参议院竞选正在影响下游策略</li>
<li>开放初选和决选动态正成为核心选民问题</li>
<li>德克萨斯州继续发出更广泛的全国共和党趋势信号</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>媒体联系人：</strong> Anthony Holm</p>
<p>[email protected]</p>
<p>(512) 585-0002</p>
<p>来源：Politics with the Big Dogs</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://rt.prnewswire.com/rt.gif/query-RGF0ZUlkPTIwMjYwMTA1Jk5ld3NJdGVtSWQ9REE1NTU2MiZUcmFuc21pc3Npb25fSWQ9MjAyNjAxMDUwOTM3UFJfTkVXU19VU1BSX19fX19EQTU1NTYy?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://rt.prnewswire.com/rt.gif/query-RGF0ZUlkPTIwMjYwMTA1Jk5ld3NJdGVtSWQ9REE1NTU2MiZUcmFuc21pc3Npb25fSWQ9MjAyNjAxMDUwOTM3UFJfTkVXU19VU1BSX19fX19EQTU1NTYy"/></p>

<p>德克萨斯州检察长竞选正在成为 2026 年 3 月初选前的一场重要权力斗争。分析人士预测，现任参议员约翰·科宁与挑战者肯·帕克斯之间的参议院竞赛将重塑全州的动态，影响多个竞选。政治顾问安东尼·霍尔姆强调了理解选民行为和内部共和党分歧的重要性，特别是在开放初选方面。他警告说，随着保守派活动家寻求改革，这些分歧可能会加剧。这场竞选的影响超越德克萨斯州，反映了更广泛的全国性共和党趋势</p>

<p><em>U.S. Senate contest involving Cornyn and Paxton expected to reshape down-ballot dynamics.</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美国参议院竞选涉及 Cornyn 和 Paxton，预计将重塑下游选举动态。</p>
</div><p>, /PRNewswire/ -- With the March 2026 primary election cycle beginning to take shape, Texas newsrooms are bracing for a complex political landscape marked by open primaries, crowded statewide races and growing internal Republican divisions.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>, /PRNewswire/ -- 随着 2026 年 3 月初选周期的逐渐形成，德克萨斯州的新闻机构正准备迎接一个复杂的政治格局，特点是开放的初选、拥挤的全州竞选和日益加剧的共和党内部分歧。</p>
</div><p>The early spotlight is already forming around the U.S. Senate race, where incumbent <strong>John Cornyn</strong> faces pressure from Republican contenders, including Trump ally Texas Attorney General <strong>Ken Paxton</strong>. The downstream impact of that contest is expected to reshape multiple statewide races, including the attorney general's race itself.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>早期的焦点已经集中在美国参议院竞选上，现任参议员 <strong>John Cornyn</strong> 面临来自共和党竞争者的压力，包括特朗普盟友、德克萨斯州检察长 <strong>Ken Paxton</strong>。这一竞选的下游影响预计将重塑多个全州竞选，包括检察长竞选本身。</p>
</div><p>As newsrooms begin assembling political panels, booking analysts and shaping primary coverage, the value of a campaign strategist and political consultant becomes critical.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>随着新闻机构开始组建政治小组、预定分析师和制定初选报道，竞选策略师和政治顾问的价值变得至关重要。</p>
</div><p>Anthony Holm brings an &#34;inside baseball&#34; understanding of Texas politics. Anthony can explain, in plain terms, why certain moves are happening now, how crowded Republican primaries change campaign strategy and what signals reporters should be watching long before voters weigh in.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Anthony Holm 对德克萨斯州政治有着 “内部运作” 的理解。Anthony 可以用简单的语言解释，为什么某些举动现在发生，拥挤的共和党初选如何改变竞选策略，以及记者应该在选民投票之前关注哪些信号。</p>
</div><p>Anthony Holm, a constitutional conservative, trial attorney, political analyst and campaign strategist with firsthand experience working alongside Ken Paxton, the Texas Attorney General's Office and senior officials in the Texas Governor's Office, says the attorney general race will serve as an early test of power between grassroots conservatives, institutional Republicans and the governor's office. The implications of this race extend far beyond Texas.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Anthony Holm 是一位宪法保守派、审判律师、政治分析师和竞选策略师，曾与德克萨斯州检察长办公室及德克萨斯州州长办公室的高级官员密切合作，他表示，检察长竞选将作为基层保守派、体制内共和党人和州长办公室之间权力的早期测试。这场竞选的影响远超德克萨斯州。</p>
</div><p>In recent analysis, Holm outlined how crossover voting, runoff dynamics and campaign spending patterns are reshaping outcomes in Texas, often in ways voters do not fully understand.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在最近的分析中，Holm 概述了交叉投票、决选动态和竞选支出模式如何重塑德克萨斯州的结果，往往以选民并不完全理解的方式进行。</p>
</div><p>&#34;Texas races are decided less by ideology than by process,&#34; Holm said. &#34;Who votes in the primary, how runoffs change the electorate and when institutional support shows up often matters more than the loudest messaging.&#34;</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Holm 表示：“德克萨斯州的竞选结果更多是由过程决定，而非意识形态。谁在初选中投票、决选如何改变选民结构以及体制支持何时出现，往往比最响亮的信息更为重要。”</p>
</div><p>Holm warns that internal Republican divisions, particularly over the state's open primary structure, are likely to intensify as conservative activists push for reforms they say better reflect the party's base. Ongoing litigation and legislative pressure surrounding primary rules, he notes, could become a defining storyline well before ballots are cast.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Holm 警告称，内部共和党分歧，特别是在州的开放初选结构上，可能会随着保守派活动家推动他们认为更能反映党内基础的改革而加剧。他指出，围绕初选规则的持续诉讼和立法压力，可能在选票投出之前就成为一个决定性的故事线。</p>
</div><p>He also points to the influence of Gov. Greg Abbott, whose endorsements, political infrastructure and strategic silence can significantly shape statewide contests.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>他还指出，德克萨斯州州长 Greg Abbott 的影响力，他的支持、政治基础设施和战略性沉默可以显著影响全州竞选。</p>
</div><p>Beyond Texas, Holm regularly analyzes national issues with direct implications for the state, including immigration policy, election administration and national security decisions that affect border states and energy-producing regions, with a focus on governance, election mechanics and institutional power.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在德克萨斯州之外，Holm 定期分析对该州有直接影响的国家问题，包括移民政策、选举管理和影响边境州及能源生产地区的国家安全决策，重点关注治理、选举机制和体制权力。</p>
</div><p>Holm is available for in-person interviews, phone commentary and virtual discussions, and can provide rapid-response analysis, background briefings or longer-form conversations for print, broadcast and digital outlets. He regularly participates in panel discussions and analytical segments focused on Texas politics and election dynamics.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Holm 可提供面对面采访、电话评论和虚拟讨论，并能为印刷、广播和数字媒体提供快速响应分析、背景简报或更长形式的对话。他定期参与聚焦德克萨斯州政治和选举动态的讨论小组和分析环节。</p>
</div><p><strong>Why newsrooms should be watching now</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>新闻机构现在应该关注的原因</strong></p>
</div><ul>
<li>The attorney general race is shaping donor behavior and activist alignment early</li>
<li>The Senate race is influencing down-ballot strategy</li>
<li>Open primaries and runoff dynamics are becoming central voter issues</li>
<li>Texas continues to signal broader national GOP trends</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>检察长竞选正在早期塑造捐赠者行为和活动家对齐情况</li>
<li>参议院竞选正在影响下游策略</li>
<li>开放初选和决选动态正成为核心选民问题</li>
<li>德克萨斯州继续发出更广泛的全国共和党趋势信号</li>
</ul>
</div><p><strong>Media Contact:</strong> Anthony Holm</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>媒体联系人：</strong> Anthony Holm</p>
</div><p>[email protected]</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>[email protected]</p>
</div><p>(512) 585-0002</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>(512) 585-0002</p>
</div><p>SOURCE Politics with the Big Dogs</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>来源：Politics with the Big Dogs</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://rt.prnewswire.com/rt.gif/query-RGF0ZUlkPTIwMjYwMTA1Jk5ld3NJdGVtSWQ9REE1NTU2MiZUcmFuc21pc3Npb25fSWQ9MjAyNjAxMDUwOTM3UFJfTkVXU19VU1BSX19fX19EQTU1NTYy" alt="" original-src="https://rt.prnewswire.com/rt.gif?NewsItemId=DA55562&amp;Transmission_Id=202601050937PR_NEWS_USPR_____DA55562&amp;DateId=20260105"/></p>

分析师称，德克萨斯州总检察长竞选表明早期的权力斗争