<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/http://s7d2.scene7.com/is/image/Caterpillar/CM20170922-51045-29547/query-JGNjLXMk?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="358" height="269" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/http://s7d2.scene7.com/is/image/Caterpillar/CM20170922-51045-29547/query-JGNjLXMk"/></p>
<p><em>图片来源：caterpillar.com</em></p>
<p>作为一个领先的工业股票，卡特彼勒（Caterpillar，股票代码：CAT）通常反映经济的基本强度，并预示长期市场定位。其价格行为往往引领更广泛的市场趋势，提供对结构性阶段的洞察，而非短期波动。从这个角度来看，$CAT 当前的走势表明稳定和领导力，支持 SPX 并非见顶，而是在为更高的长期走势形成一个持久的基础。</p>
<p>在我们的艾略特波浪理论框架内，卡特彼勒（$CAT）正在进入，或可能已经处于波浪 ((II)) 中。波浪 ((III)) 历史上以其强劲和垂直的价格行为而闻名，当市场参与者普遍在市场的一侧时，这种情况会发生。在这个阶段的回调通常被视为获利了结，而非真正的反转。在我们的系统中，最强的波浪 ((III)) 的上涨通常是在一系列小幅度的 1-2 形态之后开始的，这种结构我们称之为巢。</p>
<h3><strong>以下是艾略特波浪理论中的巢：</strong></h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Graphic-14-1-897x1024.jpg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="897" height="1024" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Graphic-14-1-897x1024.jpg"/></p>
<p>巢是一种复杂的排列，常常让交易者感到困惑。它可能看似完成了五波走势，导致许多人期待修正，而实际上它代表的是更高阶的布局，为市场的扩展做准备。卡特彼勒目前正处于大超级周期中的巢，并继续显示出强劲的上行动能。自 2025 年 4 月 7 日以来，股票呈垂直上涨，表明波浪 ((3)) 已经开始，或者在波浪 ((3)) 之前形成了波浪 (1) 中的另一个巢。在任何情况下，信息都是明确的：卡特彼勒依然非常看涨，目标区间在$800-$900。</p>
<h3><strong>卡特彼勒（CAT）的月度艾略特波浪图</strong></h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/CAT-Weekly20260107163412-1024x508.jpg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="1024" height="508" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/CAT-Weekly20260107163412-1024x508.jpg"/></p>
<p>下面的$SPX 图表显示了类似的巢结构，自 2026 年 4 月 7 日以来似乎正在结束波浪 (1)。与$CAT 的这种一致性支持了两者都在强大的波浪 ((3)) 中运作的观点。$10,000 是最低目标，但预测延伸至$12,000。许多交易者对这样的水平仍持怀疑态度，但我们始终强调巢的有效性及其含义。</p>
<h3><strong>标准普尔 500（SPX）的月度艾略特波浪图</strong></h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/SPX-Grand-Super-cycle-nest20260107163239-1024x508.jpg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="1024" height="508" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/SPX-Grand-Super-cycle-nest20260107163239-1024x508.jpg"/></p>
<p>另一张图表直接比较了$SPX 和$CAT，突显了这两个符号之间的强相关性。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/CAT-Weekly20260107163702-1024x508.jpg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="1024" height="508" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/CAT-Weekly20260107163702-1024x508.jpg"/></p>
<p>在 EWF，我们反复声明指数保持良好支撑，尽管普遍存在怀疑，波浪 ((3)) 中的巢是一个真实的可能性。在最近的一次研讨会上，您可以在这里找到，我们详细解释了这个四重巢结构。我们严格遵循我们的系统，故意避免市场噪音，并信任我们的方法论。虽然只有时间能确认结果，但卡特彼勒的价格行为继续强化我们的观点。它加强了$SPX 向 10,000 移动的可能性可能比许多人预期的要早得多。</p>
<hr/>
<p><em>更多来自此作者的文章：</em></p>
<p>罗素 2000 期货：锯齿形修正可能找到支撑以延续新高</p>
<p>标准普尔 500 E-Mini 维持看涨结构，关注进一步上行</p>
<p>罗宾汉（Robinhood，HOOD）：在新高之前能否跌破$100？</p>

卡特彼勒

<p>卡特彼勒 (CAT) 确认其在标准普尔 500 指数中的结构性嵌套，表明看涨前景，目标在 800 到 900 美元之间。该股票的价格行为表明稳定性和领导力，支持标准普尔 500 指数正在形成一个长期上涨的坚实基础的观点。分析师预计标准普尔 500 指数的最低目标为 10,000 点，尽管交易者持怀疑态度，但有可能扩展至 12,000 点。卡特彼勒与标准普尔 500 指数之间的相关性进一步强化了近期市场将发生重大变动的预期</p>

<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/http://s7d2.scene7.com/is/image/Caterpillar/CM20170922-51045-29547/query-JGNjLXMk" alt="" original-src="http://s7d2.scene7.com/is/image/Caterpillar/CM20170922-51045-29547?$cc-s$"/></p>
<p><em>Image Source: caterpillar.com</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>图片来源：caterpillar.com</em></p>
</div><p>As a bellwether industrial stock, Caterpillar (CAT) often reflects the underlying strength of the economy and signals long-term market positioning. Its price behavior tends to lead broader market trends, offering insight into structural phases rather than short-term fluctuations. Viewed through this lens, $CAT’s current action suggests stability and leadership, supporting the idea that the SPX is not topping but instead forming a durable base for a higher long-term move.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>作为一个领先的工业股票，卡特彼勒（Caterpillar，股票代码：CAT）通常反映经济的基本强度，并预示长期市场定位。其价格行为往往引领更广泛的市场趋势，提供对结构性阶段的洞察，而非短期波动。从这个角度来看，$CAT 当前的走势表明稳定和领导力，支持 SPX 并非见顶，而是在为更高的长期走势形成一个持久的基础。</p>
</div><p>Within our Elliott Wave Theory framework, Caterpillar ($CAT) is entering, or may already be within wave ((II)). Wave ((III)) is historically recognized for its strength and vertical price action, occurring when market participants broadly align on one side of the market. Pullbacks in this phase are often regarded as profit-taking rather than genuine reversals. In our system, the most powerful wave ((III)) advances frequently begin after a sequence of smaller-degree 1–2 formations, a structure we call a nest.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在我们的艾略特波浪理论框架内，卡特彼勒（$CAT）正在进入，或可能已经处于波浪 ((II)) 中。波浪 ((III)) 历史上以其强劲和垂直的价格行为而闻名，当市场参与者普遍在市场的一侧时，这种情况会发生。在这个阶段的回调通常被视为获利了结，而非真正的反转。在我们的系统中，最强的波浪 ((III)) 的上涨通常是在一系列小幅度的 1-2 形态之后开始的，这种结构我们称之为巢。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Here is a nest in the Elliott Wave Theory:</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>以下是艾略特波浪理论中的巢：</strong></h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Graphic-14-1-897x1024.jpg" alt="" original-src="https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Graphic-14-1-897x1024.jpg"/></p>
<p>A nest is a complex arrangement that often confuses traders. It can appear to complete a five-wave move, leading many to expect a correction, when in fact it represents higher-degree setups preparing the market for extension. Caterpillar is currently nesting within the Grand Super Cycle and continues to show strong upside momentum. Since 04.07.2025, the stock has moved vertically, suggesting either that wave ((3)) is already underway or that another nest in wave (1) is forming ahead of wave ((3)). In either case, the message is clear: Caterpillar remains very bullish, with upside targets in the $800–$900 region.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>巢是一种复杂的排列，常常让交易者感到困惑。它可能看似完成了五波走势，导致许多人期待修正，而实际上它代表的是更高阶的布局，为市场的扩展做准备。卡特彼勒目前正处于大超级周期中的巢，并继续显示出强劲的上行动能。自 2025 年 4 月 7 日以来，股票呈垂直上涨，表明波浪 ((3)) 已经开始，或者在波浪 ((3)) 之前形成了波浪 (1) 中的另一个巢。在任何情况下，信息都是明确的：卡特彼勒依然非常看涨，目标区间在$800-$900。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Monthly Elliott Wave Chart of Caterpillar (CAT)</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>卡特彼勒（CAT）的月度艾略特波浪图</strong></h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/CAT-Weekly20260107163412-1024x508.jpg" alt="" original-src="https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/CAT-Weekly20260107163412-1024x508.jpg"/></p>
<p>The $SPX chart below shows a similar nest structure, which appears to be ending wave (1) since 04.07.2026. This alignment with $CAT supports the view that both are operating within a powerful wave ((3)). The $10,000 level is the minimum target, but projections extend toward $12,000. Many traders remain skeptical of such levels, yet we have consistently emphasized the validity of the nest and its implications.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>下面的$SPX 图表显示了类似的巢结构，自 2026 年 4 月 7 日以来似乎正在结束波浪 (1)。与$CAT 的这种一致性支持了两者都在强大的波浪 ((3)) 中运作的观点。$10,000 是最低目标，但预测延伸至$12,000。许多交易者对这样的水平仍持怀疑态度，但我们始终强调巢的有效性及其含义。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Monthly Elliott Wave Chart of S&amp;P 500 (SPX)</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>标准普尔 500（SPX）的月度艾略特波浪图</strong></h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/SPX-Grand-Super-cycle-nest20260107163239-1024x508.jpg" alt="" original-src="https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/SPX-Grand-Super-cycle-nest20260107163239-1024x508.jpg"/></p>
<p>Another chart compares $SPX and $CAT directly, highlighting the strong correlation between the two symbols.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>另一张图表直接比较了$SPX 和$CAT，突显了这两个符号之间的强相关性。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/CAT-Weekly20260107163702-1024x508.jpg" alt="" original-src="https://elliottwave-forecast.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/CAT-Weekly20260107163702-1024x508.jpg"/></p>
<p>At EWF, we have repeatedly stated that indices remain well supported and that a nest into wave ((3)) is a real possibility despite widespread doubt. In a recent seminar, available here, we explain this quadruple nest structure in detail. We follow our system with discipline, deliberately avoiding market noise, and trust our methodology. While only time will confirm the outcome, Caterpillar’s price action continues to reinforce our view. It strengthens he case that a move in the $SPX toward 10,000 could occur much sooner than many expect.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在 EWF，我们反复声明指数保持良好支撑，尽管普遍存在怀疑，波浪 ((3)) 中的巢是一个真实的可能性。在最近的一次研讨会上，您可以在这里找到，我们详细解释了这个四重巢结构。我们严格遵循我们的系统，故意避免市场噪音，并信任我们的方法论。虽然只有时间能确认结果，但卡特彼勒的价格行为继续强化我们的观点。它加强了$SPX 向 10,000 移动的可能性可能比许多人预期的要早得多。</p>
</div><hr/>
<div class="lb-trans"><hr/>
</div><p><em>More By This Author:</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>更多来自此作者的文章：</em></p>
</div><p>Russell 2000 Futures: Zigzag Correction Likely To Find Support For Extension To New Highs</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>罗素 2000 期货：锯齿形修正可能找到支撑以延续新高</p>
</div><p>S&amp;P 500 E‑Mini Maintains Bullish Structure, Eyeing Further Upside</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>标准普尔 500 E-Mini 维持看涨结构，关注进一步上行</p>
</div><p>Robinhood (HOOD): Can It Dip Below $100 Before New Highs?</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>罗宾汉（Robinhood，HOOD）：在新高之前能否跌破$100？</p>
</div>

卡特彼勒确认在标普 500 指数中存在结构性嵌套，目标定为 10,000 点