<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/20260105_1153_Indian-Bond-Market-Woes_simple_compose_01ke6d5cdmfnbbeefj9dmm1yfk.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="1536" height="1024" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/20260105_1153_Indian-Bond-Market-Woes_simple_compose_01ke6d5cdmfnbbeefj9dmm1yfk.png"/></p>
<p>今年，Sensex 和 Nifty 50 指数持续下跌，达到了自 11 月 11 日以来的最低水平。Nifty 50 指数连续六天下跌，最低跌至 ₹25,560，比今年的最高点下降了 3%。同样，Sensex 也跌至 ₹83,220，远低于去年的最高点 ₹86,150。</p>
<h2>Nifty 50 和 Sensex 指数将对美国最高法院关于关税的裁决做出反应</h2>
<p>蓝筹股 Nifty 50 和 Sensex 指数将对即将公布的美国最高法院（SCOTUS）关于唐纳德·特朗普对所有国家征收关税的裁决做出反应。</p>
<p>该法院将裁定这些关税是否合法，大多数分析师预计裁决将对特朗普不利。支持特朗普的裁决的几率已降至 28%。</p>
<p>理论上，印度将是此类裁决的最大受益者，因为美国维持了 50% 的关税。而上周，特朗普威胁要对来自该国的所有商品征收 500% 的关税。</p>
<p>然而，反弹的缓解将是短暂的，因为特朗普还有其他手段可以对付该国并实现相同的目标。挑战在于这些措施有一定的限制，并且过程相当漫长。</p>
<h2>关键的印度企业财报</h2>
<p>Nifty 50 和 Sensex 指数的另一个关键催化剂是即将公布的企业财报。去年表现不佳的一些顶级咨询公司将发布其业绩。</p>
<p>塔塔咨询服务公司（Tata Consultancy Services），继安永之后的第二大 IT 咨询公司，将在周一率先发布财报。市值超过 460 亿美元的 HCL Tech 也将在周一发布其业绩。</p>
<p>Infosys 和 Wipro 将分别在周三和周五发布财报。这些数据将提供有关 IT 咨询行业是否恢复增长的信息。</p>
<p>与此同时，财报将显示唐纳德·特朗普去年将 H1-B 签证费用提高至 100,000 美元的决定的影响。这些公司，尤其是 TCS 和 Infosys，将受到这些变化的最大影响。</p>
<p>更多印度公司，如 Jio Financial Services、Reliance Industries、Tech Mahindra、ICICI、HDFC 和 Yes Bank，将在本周发布其业绩。</p>
<p>这些财报恰逢美国财报季的开始，最大的银行将发布其业绩。</p>
<h2>印度宏观数据及其对印度储备银行的影响</h2>
<p>与此同时，印度股票将对即将公布的宏观数据做出反应，这将影响印度储备银行（RBI）。首个关键数据是即将发布的通胀报告，将在周一晚些时候公布。</p>
<p>经济学家预计数据显示，11 月的消费者价格指数（CPI）将从 0.71% 上升至 1.50%。这样的增长意味着 RBI 可能会放缓降息步伐。最近，RBI 将基准利率从 5.50% 下调至 5.25%，因为通胀有所回落。</p>
<h2>Nifty 50 指数形成了风险模式</h2>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Nifty-50-Index-1024x579.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="1024" height="579" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Nifty-50-Index-1024x579.png"/></p>
<p><em>Nifty 50 指数图表 | 来源：TradingView</em></p>
<p>日线图显示，Nifty 50 指数形成了一个高度看跌的模式。在 ₹26,370 形成了双顶模式，颈线位于 ₹25,700，这是 12 月的最低水平。</p>
<p>该指数已跌破 50 日指数移动平均线（EMA）。此外，相对强弱指数（RSI）和 MACD 指标也指向进一步下跌。</p>
<p>它已跌破穆雷数学线的强支撑反转水平。因此，该指数的最可能前景将是看跌，下一目标位将是 ₹25,000。</p>
<p>本文的标题为《本周值得关注的关键 Sensex 和 Nifty 50 新闻》，首发于 Invezz。</p>

印孚瑟斯技术

<p>孟买证券交易所指数（Sensex）和国家证券交易所 50 指数（Nifty 50）已跌至自去年 11 月以来的最低水平，Nifty 50 下跌至₹25,560，较今年峰值下跌 3%。这些指数将对即将发布的美国最高法院关于关税的裁决作出反应，该裁决可能对印度有利。本周，主要公司如 TCS 和 Infosys 的关键财报预计将公布，同时还有可能影响印度储备银行（RBI）利率决策的宏观经济数据。Nifty 50 已形成看跌形态，暗示可能进一步下跌至₹25,000</p>

<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/20260105_1153_Indian-Bond-Market-Woes_simple_compose_01ke6d5cdmfnbbeefj9dmm1yfk.png" alt="" original-src="https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/20260105_1153_Indian-Bond-Market-Woes_simple_compose_01ke6d5cdmfnbbeefj9dmm1yfk.png"/></p>
<p>The Sensex and Nifty 50 indices continued their downward spiral this year, reaching their lowest levels since November 11. The Nifty 50 Index dropped for six consecutive days, reaching a low of ₹25,560, down by 3% from its highest point this year. Similarly, the Sensex dropped to ₹83,220, also much lower than last year’s high of ₹86,150.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>今年，Sensex 和 Nifty 50 指数持续下跌，达到了自 11 月 11 日以来的最低水平。Nifty 50 指数连续六天下跌，最低跌至 ₹25,560，比今年的最高点下降了 3%。同样，Sensex 也跌至 ₹83,220，远低于去年的最高点 ₹86,150。</p>
</div><h2>Nifty 50 and Sensex indices to react to the SCOTUS ruling on tariffs</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>Nifty 50 和 Sensex 指数将对美国最高法院关于关税的裁决做出反应</h2>
</div><p>The blue-chip Nifty 50 and Sensex indices will react to the upcoming Supreme Court of the United States (SCOTUS) decision on Donald Trump’s tariffs against all countries.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>蓝筹股 Nifty 50 和 Sensex 指数将对即将公布的美国最高法院（SCOTUS）关于唐纳德·特朗普对所有国家征收关税的裁决做出反应。</p>
</div><p>This court will rule on whether these tariffs are legal or not, with most analysts expecting it to rule against Trump. Odds of the bank ruling in favor of Trump have dropped to 28%.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>该法院将裁定这些关税是否合法，大多数分析师预计裁决将对特朗普不利。支持特朗普的裁决的几率已降至 28%。</p>
</div><p>In theory, India would be the biggest beneficiary of such a ruling, as the US has maintained a 50% tariff. And last week, Trump threatened to impose a 500% levy on all goods from the country.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>理论上，印度将是此类裁决的最大受益者，因为美国维持了 50% 的关税。而上周，特朗普威胁要对来自该国的所有商品征收 500% 的关税。</p>
</div><p>However, the relief rally would be short-lived as Trump has other tools to use against the country and achieve the same goal. The challenge is that such measures have some limits and are significantly lengthy.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，反弹的缓解将是短暂的，因为特朗普还有其他手段可以对付该国并实现相同的目标。挑战在于这些措施有一定的限制，并且过程相当漫长。</p>
</div><h2>Key Indian corporate earnings</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>关键的印度企业财报</h2>
</div><p>The other key catalyst for the Nifty 50 and Sensex Index is the upcoming corporate earnings from the country. Top consulting companies, which were some of the laggards last year, will publish their results.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Nifty 50 和 Sensex 指数的另一个关键催化剂是即将公布的企业财报。去年表现不佳的一些顶级咨询公司将发布其业绩。</p>
</div><p>Tata Consultancy Services, the second-biggest IT consulting company after Accenture, will be the first one to release its earnings on Monday. HCL Tech, a company valued at over $46 billion, will also release its numbers on Monday.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>塔塔咨询服务公司（Tata Consultancy Services），继安永之后的第二大 IT 咨询公司，将在周一率先发布财报。市值超过 460 亿美元的 HCL Tech 也将在周一发布其业绩。</p>
</div><p>Infosys and Wipro will release their numbers on Wednesday and Friday, respectively. These numbers will provide information on whether the IT consulting industry returned to growth.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Infosys 和 Wipro 将分别在周三和周五发布财报。这些数据将提供有关 IT 咨询行业是否恢复增长的信息。</p>
</div><p>At the same time, the results will show the impact of Donald Trump’s decision to increase the cost of H1-B visa to $100,000 last year. These companies, especially TCS and Infosys will be the most affected by these changes.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>与此同时，财报将显示唐纳德·特朗普去年将 H1-B 签证费用提高至 100,000 美元的决定的影响。这些公司，尤其是 TCS 和 Infosys，将受到这些变化的最大影响。</p>
</div><p>More Indian companies like Jio Financial Services, Reliance Industries, Tech Mahindra, ICICI, HDFC, and Yes Bank will release their numbers this week.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>更多印度公司，如 Jio Financial Services、Reliance Industries、Tech Mahindra、ICICI、HDFC 和 Yes Bank，将在本周发布其业绩。</p>
</div><p>These results come on the same week that the US earnings season kicks off, with the biggest banks publishing their numbers.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这些财报恰逢美国财报季的开始，最大的银行将发布其业绩。</p>
</div><h2>India macro data and impact on the RBI</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>印度宏观数据及其对印度储备银行的影响</h2>
</div><p>Meanwhile, Indian stocks will react to the upcoming macro data from India, which will have an impact on the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). The first key data to watch will be the upcoming inflation report, which will be released later on Monday.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>与此同时，印度股票将对即将公布的宏观数据做出反应，这将影响印度储备银行（RBI）。首个关键数据是即将发布的通胀报告，将在周一晚些时候公布。</p>
</div><p>Economists expect the data to show that the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose from 0.71% in November to 1.50% in December. Such an increase means that the RBI may slow down its interest rate cuts. It recently slashed the benchmark rate from 5.50% to 5.25% as inflation retreated.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>经济学家预计数据显示，11 月的消费者价格指数（CPI）将从 0.71% 上升至 1.50%。这样的增长意味着 RBI 可能会放缓降息步伐。最近，RBI 将基准利率从 5.50% 下调至 5.25%，因为通胀有所回落。</p>
</div><h2>Nifty 50 Index has formed a risky pattern</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>Nifty 50 指数形成了风险模式</h2>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Nifty-50-Index-1024x579.png" alt="" original-src="https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Nifty-50-Index-1024x579.png"/></p>
<p><em>Nifty 50 Index chart | Source: TradingView</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>Nifty 50 指数图表 | 来源：TradingView</em></p>
</div><p>The daily chart shows that the Nifty 50 Index has formed a highly bearish pattern. It formed a double-top pattern at ₹26,370 and a neckline at ₹25,700, its lowest level in December.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日线图显示，Nifty 50 指数形成了一个高度看跌的模式。在 ₹26,370 形成了双顶模式，颈线位于 ₹25,700，这是 12 月的最低水平。</p>
</div><p>The index has moved below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the MACD have pointed to more downside.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>该指数已跌破 50 日指数移动平均线（EMA）。此外，相对强弱指数（RSI）和 MACD 指标也指向进一步下跌。</p>
</div><p>It has moved below the strong pivot reverse level of the Murrey Math Line. Therefore, the most likely outlook for the index will be bearish, with the next target to watch being at ₹25,000.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>它已跌破穆雷数学线的强支撑反转水平。因此，该指数的最可能前景将是看跌，下一目标位将是 ₹25,000。</p>
</div><p>The post Here are the Key Sensex and Nifty 50 news to watch this week appeared first on Invezz</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>本文的标题为《本周值得关注的关键 Sensex 和 Nifty 50 新闻》，首发于 Invezz。</p>
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以下是本周需要关注的关键 Sensex 和 Nifty 50 动态