<p>市场可能在等待最高法院关于关税的裁决，但预期会有利好消息。罗素 2000 指数（IWM）在净看涨技术指标回归时，明显突破了 12 月的高点。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjTbfEoxpebAdC8ncMl7EFt9IQcMD3sSheLuS1lIuEEZtt-vy36tiYuo4EXfXupKEosYKAZ62cIc0Vojei3Kw1FSX7KnlGWIpNqh-Mt2XMTuqIZQTxs0HtPmBg5LRTxrgaoabDktJBLozUITE7XAq_Da_DGVAH2Ox97mw9E0_wAw-2DcxJsAV-8/s1600/iwm_jan11.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjTbfEoxpebAdC8ncMl7EFt9IQcMD3sSheLuS1lIuEEZtt-vy36tiYuo4EXfXupKEosYKAZ62cIc0Vojei3Kw1FSX7KnlGWIpNqh-Mt2XMTuqIZQTxs0HtPmBg5LRTxrgaoabDktJBLozUITE7XAq_Da_DGVAH2Ox97mw9E0_wAw-2DcxJsAV-8/s1600/iwm_jan11.png"/></p>
<p>标准普尔指数成功测试了突破支撑位，技术指标依然净看涨。与 10 月份我预期的下行测量走势相比，现在需要将其转变为上行测量走势，目标为 7250 点。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi_CN0QsrhVQM5Xu0UoxAiMRGAmM5MxM_7pa5sRB6m0_2CiWl4BQUrCIW-tD7UIhw-M6fCrTzDD4NXJl1lma7111ttV7ZgQIqCl0_DmndB9YC-LaymOCxhVAmHAKOKqheQbCCxyRxtDZ0pR9qSBCYXRHKXl2AK_q3YCQ10BGiVZXAEZ2MqnDJ7m/s1600/spx_jan11.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi_CN0QsrhVQM5Xu0UoxAiMRGAmM5MxM_7pa5sRB6m0_2CiWl4BQUrCIW-tD7UIhw-M6fCrTzDD4NXJl1lma7111ttV7ZgQIqCl0_DmndB9YC-LaymOCxhVAmHAKOKqheQbCCxyRxtDZ0pR9qSBCYXRHKXl2AK_q3YCQ10BGiVZXAEZ2MqnDJ7m/s1600/spx_jan11.png"/></p>
<p>纳斯达克指数正在从一个看涨的对称三角形中上升，虽然仍需一段时间才能挑战 10 月份的高点。与罗素 2000 和标准普尔指数一样，技术指标也是净看涨的。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjFOSGeXZ9xWmeQn1qNHshzZ2HdQkBjrUlZw4EVVTKJ-2UBi2E4o4syqJJDTJL6svuoKz6meWtPTuZrhlQGDbM0P4qQ1fi5BqiYq3Tqf4VIeyKAXV1Aw7bo3yAPHL4QiENZiwKBU-W8FIiJz-c4uTeEl_875PxfeLUIowcONn1Mem5tdjg9utx6/s1600/compq_jan11.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjFOSGeXZ9xWmeQn1qNHshzZ2HdQkBjrUlZw4EVVTKJ-2UBi2E4o4syqJJDTJL6svuoKz6meWtPTuZrhlQGDbM0P4qQ1fi5BqiYq3Tqf4VIeyKAXV1Aw7bo3yAPHL4QiENZiwKBU-W8FIiJz-c4uTeEl_875PxfeLUIowcONn1Mem5tdjg9utx6/s1600/compq_jan11.png"/></p>
<p>比特币回落至 20 日和 50 日移动平均线的交汇处，准备再次挑战 94.6K。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgrfgwtieSdKEzv_sTv1WDvi007rjwJZ7doOG8gSEpyeYNB-VwvB0tBI-dQe1FiC-0TQA1sufbYSQ9tb8i9923pA7gw-72OBPAK5iiKV64th5Ag6ph7yK3aItk81__o3WdqMyb3aF3_s1yEtkblx34qTUttT_67y4079GTEynfy4QMF6CeG2L5V/s1600/btcusd_jan11.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgrfgwtieSdKEzv_sTv1WDvi007rjwJZ7doOG8gSEpyeYNB-VwvB0tBI-dQe1FiC-0TQA1sufbYSQ9tb8i9923pA7gw-72OBPAK5iiKV64th5Ag6ph7yK3aItk81__o3WdqMyb3aF3_s1yEtkblx34qTUttT_67y4079GTEynfy4QMF6CeG2L5V/s1600/btcusd_jan11.png"/></p>
<p>半导体指数表现良好。上周五，它成功测试了 7500 点，尽管技术指标虽然看涨，但在 CCI 上略有漂移。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgohBRCRU2FD0AQiHhManVFFiQRrj-uD0PXotZQdGBWicHJch0K2feD9CId5LKioirfrail4GCwcbJWTjv1gyGk4pRSqWRi1lZfuGglxGDzva_hqlrGfytCFbEIhKlyYgJ2RyUKf9gTh8yvTT6NMBJaqnoO3BpA712g3tCE9TSjzBsj0dm5mQYm/s1600/sox_jan11.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgohBRCRU2FD0AQiHhManVFFiQRrj-uD0PXotZQdGBWicHJch0K2feD9CId5LKioirfrail4GCwcbJWTjv1gyGk4pRSqWRi1lZfuGglxGDzva_hqlrGfytCFbEIhKlyYgJ2RyUKf9gTh8yvTT6NMBJaqnoO3BpA712g3tCE9TSjzBsj0dm5mQYm/s1600/sox_jan11.png"/></p>
<p>市场成功突破了 2025 年后期形成的整合区间。虽然这些新突破仍存在 “牛市陷阱” 的风险，但目前来看，牛市控制着这些指数。</p>
<hr/>
<p><em>更多来自此作者的文章：</em></p>
<p>半导体指数是否已达到顶峰？</p>
<p>2026 年是半满还是半空？</p>
<p>罗素 2000 和等权重标准普尔指数的突破仍然停滞，但并未被击败。</p>

GBTC

半导体 3 倍做多 - Direxion

<p>罗素 2000 指数突破了 12 月的高点，显示出看涨动能，而标准普尔指数确认了突破支撑。展望的变化暗示目标为 7250 点。纳斯达克指数也显示出看涨迹象，尽管仍有更多的上涨空间。比特币有望挑战 94,600 美元，半导体指数成功测试了 7,500 点。尽管存在 “牛市陷阱” 的潜在风险，但当前市场情绪在这些指数中依然看涨</p>

<p>Markets may be awaiting the ruling from the Supreme Court on tariffs, but expectation is for something favorable. The Russell 2000 (IWM) made a clear break of its December swing high on a return in net bullish technicals.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>市场可能在等待最高法院关于关税的裁决，但预期会有利好消息。罗素 2000 指数（IWM）在净看涨技术指标回归时，明显突破了 12 月的高点。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjTbfEoxpebAdC8ncMl7EFt9IQcMD3sSheLuS1lIuEEZtt-vy36tiYuo4EXfXupKEosYKAZ62cIc0Vojei3Kw1FSX7KnlGWIpNqh-Mt2XMTuqIZQTxs0HtPmBg5LRTxrgaoabDktJBLozUITE7XAq_Da_DGVAH2Ox97mw9E0_wAw-2DcxJsAV-8/s1600/iwm_jan11.png" alt="" original-src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjTbfEoxpebAdC8ncMl7EFt9IQcMD3sSheLuS1lIuEEZtt-vy36tiYuo4EXfXupKEosYKAZ62cIc0Vojei3Kw1FSX7KnlGWIpNqh-Mt2XMTuqIZQTxs0HtPmBg5LRTxrgaoabDktJBLozUITE7XAq_Da_DGVAH2Ox97mw9E0_wAw-2DcxJsAV-8/s1600/iwm_jan11.png"/></p>
<p>The S&amp;P managed a successful test of breakout support as technicals remained net bullish. Whereas, in October I was looking for a measured move lower, now, need to flip this to a measured move higher for a target of 7,250s.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>标准普尔指数成功测试了突破支撑位，技术指标依然净看涨。与 10 月份我预期的下行测量走势相比，现在需要将其转变为上行测量走势，目标为 7250 点。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi_CN0QsrhVQM5Xu0UoxAiMRGAmM5MxM_7pa5sRB6m0_2CiWl4BQUrCIW-tD7UIhw-M6fCrTzDD4NXJl1lma7111ttV7ZgQIqCl0_DmndB9YC-LaymOCxhVAmHAKOKqheQbCCxyRxtDZ0pR9qSBCYXRHKXl2AK_q3YCQ10BGiVZXAEZ2MqnDJ7m/s1600/spx_jan11.png" alt="" original-src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi_CN0QsrhVQM5Xu0UoxAiMRGAmM5MxM_7pa5sRB6m0_2CiWl4BQUrCIW-tD7UIhw-M6fCrTzDD4NXJl1lma7111ttV7ZgQIqCl0_DmndB9YC-LaymOCxhVAmHAKOKqheQbCCxyRxtDZ0pR9qSBCYXRHKXl2AK_q3YCQ10BGiVZXAEZ2MqnDJ7m/s1600/spx_jan11.png"/></p>
<p>The Nasdaq is working from a bullish symmetrical triangle that has broken higher, although still has a way to go before it can challenge the October high. As with the Russell 2000 and S&amp;P, technicals are net bullish.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>纳斯达克指数正在从一个看涨的对称三角形中上升，虽然仍需一段时间才能挑战 10 月份的高点。与罗素 2000 和标准普尔指数一样，技术指标也是净看涨的。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjFOSGeXZ9xWmeQn1qNHshzZ2HdQkBjrUlZw4EVVTKJ-2UBi2E4o4syqJJDTJL6svuoKz6meWtPTuZrhlQGDbM0P4qQ1fi5BqiYq3Tqf4VIeyKAXV1Aw7bo3yAPHL4QiENZiwKBU-W8FIiJz-c4uTeEl_875PxfeLUIowcONn1Mem5tdjg9utx6/s1600/compq_jan11.png" alt="" original-src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjFOSGeXZ9xWmeQn1qNHshzZ2HdQkBjrUlZw4EVVTKJ-2UBi2E4o4syqJJDTJL6svuoKz6meWtPTuZrhlQGDbM0P4qQ1fi5BqiYq3Tqf4VIeyKAXV1Aw7bo3yAPHL4QiENZiwKBU-W8FIiJz-c4uTeEl_875PxfeLUIowcONn1Mem5tdjg9utx6/s1600/compq_jan11.png"/></p>
<p>Bitcoin has eased back to converged 20-day and 50-day MAs and is well placed to mount a new challenge of 94.6K.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>比特币回落至 20 日和 50 日移动平均线的交汇处，准备再次挑战 94.6K。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgrfgwtieSdKEzv_sTv1WDvi007rjwJZ7doOG8gSEpyeYNB-VwvB0tBI-dQe1FiC-0TQA1sufbYSQ9tb8i9923pA7gw-72OBPAK5iiKV64th5Ag6ph7yK3aItk81__o3WdqMyb3aF3_s1yEtkblx34qTUttT_67y4079GTEynfy4QMF6CeG2L5V/s1600/btcusd_jan11.png" alt="" original-src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgrfgwtieSdKEzv_sTv1WDvi007rjwJZ7doOG8gSEpyeYNB-VwvB0tBI-dQe1FiC-0TQA1sufbYSQ9tb8i9923pA7gw-72OBPAK5iiKV64th5Ag6ph7yK3aItk81__o3WdqMyb3aF3_s1yEtkblx34qTUttT_67y4079GTEynfy4QMF6CeG2L5V/s1600/btcusd_jan11.png"/></p>
<p>Also performing well is the Semiconductor Index. On Friday, it managed a successful test of 7,500, although technicals = while bullish - are seen a little drift in the CCI.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>半导体指数表现良好。上周五，它成功测试了 7500 点，尽管技术指标虽然看涨，但在 CCI 上略有漂移。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgohBRCRU2FD0AQiHhManVFFiQRrj-uD0PXotZQdGBWicHJch0K2feD9CId5LKioirfrail4GCwcbJWTjv1gyGk4pRSqWRi1lZfuGglxGDzva_hqlrGfytCFbEIhKlyYgJ2RyUKf9gTh8yvTT6NMBJaqnoO3BpA712g3tCE9TSjzBsj0dm5mQYm/s1600/sox_jan11.png" alt="" original-src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgohBRCRU2FD0AQiHhManVFFiQRrj-uD0PXotZQdGBWicHJch0K2feD9CId5LKioirfrail4GCwcbJWTjv1gyGk4pRSqWRi1lZfuGglxGDzva_hqlrGfytCFbEIhKlyYgJ2RyUKf9gTh8yvTT6NMBJaqnoO3BpA712g3tCE9TSjzBsj0dm5mQYm/s1600/sox_jan11.png"/></p>
<p>Markets have done well to clear the consolidates shaped during the latter part of 2025. There are still risks for 'bull traps' from these new breakouts, but for now, bulls have control of these indices.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>市场成功突破了 2025 年后期形成的整合区间。虽然这些新突破仍存在 “牛市陷阱” 的风险，但目前来看，牛市控制着这些指数。</p>
</div><hr/>
<div class="lb-trans"><hr/>
</div><p><em>More By This Author:</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>更多来自此作者的文章：</em></p>
</div><p>Has The Semiconductor Index Peaked?</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>半导体指数是否已达到顶峰？</p>
</div><p>Glass Half Full Or Half Empty Into 2026?</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>2026 年是半满还是半空？</p>
</div><p>Breakouts In Russell 2000 And Equal Weight S&amp;P Remain Stalled, But Not Defeated</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>罗素 2000 和等权重标准普尔指数的突破仍然停滞，但并未被击败。</p>
</div>

罗素 2000 指数出现新的突破，并在标准普尔 500 指数中得到确认