<p>Toncoin [TON] 在过去一个月面临 $1.70 区域的阻力。许多山寨币在一月第一周的看涨势头受到比特币 [BTC] 当时突破 $90k 的拉动。</p>
<p>尽管比特币成功重新夺回 $94.5k 作为支撑，但 Toncoin 在过去一周并未表现出太多的看涨势头，过去一周下跌了 1.29%。</p>
<p>在最近的一份 AMBCrypto 报告中，强调了 $1.70 区域的重要性。报告总结称，突破这一水平的看涨突破可能会引发短期反弹。</p>
<p>链上指标显示 90 天 MVRV 比率出现显著上升。随着持有者获利了结，进一步的价格上涨可能会受到限制。</p>
<p>未平仓合约也有所激增，但平均币龄保持横盘。这反映出网络范围内缺乏积累，导致市场信心不足。</p>
<h2>对 TON 持有者的价格图表揭示了什么</h2>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Toncoin-1-week-Chart.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Toncoin-1-week-Chart.png"/></p>
<p>来源：TradingView 上的 TON/USDT</p>
<p>周线趋势明显看跌，正如 DMI 和价格走势所示。在这个时间框架内，牛市的关键点在于 $3.75，超过当前市场价格的两倍。</p>
<p>突破这一水平将标志着长期看涨趋势的开始。</p>
<p>过去两个月 OBV 并未创出新低，这略显鼓舞。周线图显示的显著供应区在 $2.3-$2.4 和 $2.8 水平。</p>
<h2>交易者的行动呼吁：做多并记得获利了结</h2>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Toncoin-1-day-Chart-1.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Toncoin-1-day-Chart-1.png"/></p>
<p>来源：TradingView 上的 TON/USDT</p>
<p>短期看涨势头是交易者可以利用的机会。OBV 和日成交量柱状图显示出在十二月最后一周的买入热潮。</p>
<p>$1.70 的不平衡和局部供应区已被转变为支撑。</p>
<p>波段交易者可以利用这一转变来买入 TON。他们需要谨慎，并记得在 $2.16 和 $2.37 处获利了结，跌破 $1.56 则视为失效。</p>
<hr/>
<h2>最后思考</h2>
<ul>
<li><em>Toncoin 的链上指标显示网络范围内的积累尚未开始。</em></li>
<li><em>在接下来的几周内，反弹至 $2.0 和 $2.37 似乎是可能的，波段交易者必须准备在此过程中获利了结。</em></li>
</ul>
<p><strong>免责声明：所提供的信息不构成财务、投资、交易或其他类型的建议，仅代表作者的观点。</strong></p>

<p>Toncoin (TON) 在 $1.70 遇到了阻力，过去一周下跌了 1.29%。尽管比特币上涨，Toncoin 的看涨动能仍然有限。突破 $1.70 可能会导致短期反弹，但获利了结可能会限制进一步的涨幅。链上指标显示网络整体缺乏积累，周趋势依然看跌。建议交易者考虑在 $2.16 和 $2.37 处做多，同时在价格跌破 $1.56 时保持谨慎。未来几周内，反弹至 $2.0 和 $2.37 是有可能的</p>

<p>Toncoin [TON] faced resistance at the $1.70 region over the past month. The bullish momentum many altcoins saw in the first week of January was inspired by Bitcoin’s [BTC] rally beyond $90k at that time.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Toncoin [TON] 在过去一个月面临 $1.70 区域的阻力。许多山寨币在一月第一周的看涨势头受到比特币 [BTC] 当时突破 $90k 的拉动。</p>
</div><p>While Bitcoin has managed to reclaim $94.5k as support, Toncoin has not exhibited much bullish momentum over the past week, having shed 1.29% over the past week.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>尽管比特币成功重新夺回 $94.5k 作为支撑，但 Toncoin 在过去一周并未表现出太多的看涨势头，过去一周下跌了 1.29%。</p>
</div><p>In a recent AMBCrypto report, the importance of the $1.70 area was highlighted. A bullish breakout past this level could see a short-term rally ensue, the report concluded.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在最近的一份 AMBCrypto 报告中，强调了 $1.70 区域的重要性。报告总结称，突破这一水平的看涨突破可能会引发短期反弹。</p>
</div><p>The on-chain metrics revealed a sizeable uptick in the 90-day MVRV ratio. Further price gains could be capped as holders take profits.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>链上指标显示 90 天 MVRV 比率出现显著上升。随着持有者获利了结，进一步的价格上涨可能会受到限制。</p>
</div><p>Open Interest had also surged, but the mean coin age was moving sideways. This was a reflection of a lack of network-wide accumulation, which translated to a lack of market conviction.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>未平仓合约也有所激增，但平均币龄保持横盘。这反映出网络范围内缺乏积累，导致市场信心不足。</p>
</div><h2>What the price charts reveal for TON holders</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>对 TON 持有者的价格图表揭示了什么</h2>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Toncoin-1-week-Chart.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Toncoin-1-week-Chart.png"/></p>
<p>Source: TON/USDT on TradingView</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>来源：TradingView 上的 TON/USDT</p>
</div><p>The weekly trend was firmly bearish, as the DMI and the price action showed. The swing point for the bulls to beat on this timeframe was at $3.75, more than double the current market price.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>周线趋势明显看跌，正如 DMI 和价格走势所示。在这个时间框架内，牛市的关键点在于 $3.75，超过当前市场价格的两倍。</p>
</div><p>A move beyond this level will signal a bullish long-term trend.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>突破这一水平将标志着长期看涨趋势的开始。</p>
</div><p>The OBV has not made new lows over the past two months, which was a slight encouragement. The $2.3-$2.4 and the $2.8 levels were the notable supply zones the weekly chart revealed.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>过去两个月 OBV 并未创出新低，这略显鼓舞。周线图显示的显著供应区在 $2.3-$2.4 和 $2.8 水平。</p>
</div><h2>Traders’ call to action: Go long and don’t forget to take profits</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>交易者的行动呼吁：做多并记得获利了结</h2>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Toncoin-1-day-Chart-1.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Toncoin-1-day-Chart-1.png"/></p>
<p>Source: TON/USDT on TradingView</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>来源：TradingView 上的 TON/USDT</p>
</div><p>The short-term bullish momentum was something traders could capitalize on. The OBV and the daily volume bars indicated a flurry of buying from the final week of December.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>短期看涨势头是交易者可以利用的机会。OBV 和日成交量柱状图显示出在十二月最后一周的买入热潮。</p>
</div><p>The imbalance and local supply zone at $1.70 has been flipped to support.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>$1.70 的不平衡和局部供应区已被转变为支撑。</p>
</div><p>Swing traders can use this flip to buy TON. They need to be cautious and remember to take profits at $2.16 and $2.37, with a drop below $1.56 being invalidation.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>波段交易者可以利用这一转变来买入 TON。他们需要谨慎，并记得在 $2.16 和 $2.37 处获利了结，跌破 $1.56 则视为失效。</p>
</div><hr/>
<div class="lb-trans"><hr/>
</div><h2>Final Thoughts</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>最后思考</h2>
</div><ul>
<li><em>Toncoin’s on-chain metrics showed network-wide accumulation was not underway.</em></li>
<li><em>A rally to $2.0 and $2.37 appeared possible in the coming weeks, and swing traders must be ready to take profits during the move.</em></li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li><em>Toncoin 的链上指标显示网络范围内的积累尚未开始。</em></li>
<li><em>在接下来的几周内，反弹至 $2.0 和 $2.37 似乎是可能的，波段交易者必须准备在此过程中获利了结。</em></li>
</ul>
</div><p><strong>Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>免责声明：所提供的信息不构成财务、投资、交易或其他类型的建议，仅代表作者的观点。</strong></p>
</div>

Toncoin：获利回吐压力如何可能限制 TON 的上涨