<p>Pudgy Penguins [PENGU] 在年初接近 $0.009，经历了一轮激进的突破阶段。</p>
<p>早期的买入压力将价格推高至 $0.013，投机性资金流入和参与度加速。成交量随着价格扩大，确认了投机信心而非长期积累。</p>
<p>然而，上涨动能迅速减弱。早期参与者开始锁定利润，后续买入减弱。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/PENGUUSDT_2026-01-19_11-02-48.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="1598" height="829" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/PENGUUSDT_2026-01-19_11-02-48.png"/></p>
<p>来源：TradingView</p>
<p>与此同时，杠杆交易者面临压力，因为整体市场情绪转向风险规避。</p>
<p>卖出量急剧扩大，显示出快速资金的分配，而非长期持有者的恐慌。这种不平衡迫使价格跌破 $0.011，触发了集中止损的执行。</p>
<p>一旦支撑失效，向下动能加速。买入量减少，而卖出压力加大。</p>
<p>市场普遍的风险厌恶进一步影响了情绪，迫使交易者采取防御性布局。</p>
<p>从技术上看，重大的红色成交量柱确认了分配，而非健康的回调。</p>
<p>与此同时，MACD 深入看跌区域，而 RSI 下滑至超卖状态。</p>
<p>这种一致性在较低时间框架上加强了向下动能。</p>
<p>恢复现在依赖于稳定，可能在 $0.010 附近，同时保持持续的资金流入。要重置看涨结构并恢复信心，需要果断收复 $0.011。</p>
<h2><strong>PENGU 的合作伙伴关系热潮消退，交易者轮换资金</strong></h2>
<p>PENGU 在一月初接近 $0.009，受到更广泛的 meme 币反弹和投机性资金流入的支持。</p>
<p>由于预期与曼彻斯特城的合作关系在 1 月 15 日达成，投资者对品牌曝光和未来采用的预期大幅上升。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Screenshot-2026-01-19-124044.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="653" height="639" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Screenshot-2026-01-19-124044.png"/></p>
<p>来源：X</p>
<p>该合作协议旨在逐步推进。</p>
<p>短期内，重点是 NFT 和商品的推出。然而，从长远来看，目标是文化整合和经常性收入，而不是立即的代币效用。</p>
<p>一旦这种长期视角变得清晰，动能在 $0.011–$0.012 区间停滞。交易者在获利了结时抛售消息，取代了投机性资金流入。</p>
<p>杠杆平仓和疲软的后续买入触发了 4–5% 的下跌，将损失扩大至大约 15% 从一月初的高点。</p>
<p>这一走势与更广泛的行业轮换一致，而非恐慌性抛售。</p>
<h2><strong>为什么 $0.010–$0.012 将决定 PENGU 的下一个趋势</strong></h2>
<p>看似 PENGU 的品牌胜利迅速变成了市场考验。在短期内，PENGU 面临着由流动性和情绪塑造的明确双向路径。</p>
<p>在看跌方面，未能守住 $0.010 支撑可能会引发另一波下跌，目标指向 $0.009-$0.0095。</p>
<p>该区域与之前的整合相符，反映出持续的 meme 币疲软、成交量稀薄和持续的风险规避布局。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/PENGUUSDT_2026-01-19_13-55-03.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" width="1598" height="829" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/PENGUUSDT_2026-01-19_13-55-03.png"/></p>
<p>来源：TradingView</p>
<p>相反，看涨恢复需要首先收复 $0.0115。持续突破 $0.012 将表明卖出压力的吸收，并使近期的抛售消息结构失效。</p>
<p>这种转变可能依赖于更广泛的 meme 币资金流入、上升的现货成交量和改善的情绪，而非孤立的消息。</p>
<p>在这些水平之一未果断突破之前，价格走势可能会保持区间波动和反应性，而非趋势驱动。</p>
<hr/>
<h2>最终思考</h2>
<ul>
<li><em>PENGU 在分配和抛售消息压力下下跌，而非恐慌。获利了结、杠杆平仓和动能减弱推动价格跌破 $0.011，伴随更广泛的 meme 币疲软。</em></li>
<li><em>$0.010–$0.012 区间现在定义了 PENGU 的方向。</em></li>
</ul>

<p>PENGU 的价格因获利了结和市场情绪转向风险规避而跌破了 0.011 美元。最初由于与曼彻斯特城的合作而受到支持，市场预期很高，但缺乏即时的代币实用性导致了抛售。现在价格在 0.010 美元和 0.012 美元之间震荡，如果无法维持在 0.010 美元，可能会导致进一步下跌。要实现反弹，需要重新夺回 0.0115 美元，并且需要更广泛的 memecoin 资金流入以形成看涨趋势</p>

<p>Pudgy Penguins [PENGU] opened the year near $0.009 following an aggressive breakout phase.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Pudgy Penguins [PENGU] 在年初接近 $0.009，经历了一轮激进的突破阶段。</p>
</div><p>Early buying pressure lifted the price toward $0.013 as speculative inflows and participation accelerated. Volume expanded alongside price, confirming speculative conviction rather than long-term accumulation.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>早期的买入压力将价格推高至 $0.013，投机性资金流入和参与度加速。成交量随着价格扩大，确认了投机信心而非长期积累。</p>
</div><p>However, upside momentum faded quickly. Early participants began locking in profits as follow-through buying weakened.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，上涨动能迅速减弱。早期参与者开始锁定利润，后续买入减弱。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/PENGUUSDT_2026-01-19_11-02-48.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/PENGUUSDT_2026-01-19_11-02-48.png"/></p>
<p>Source: TradingView</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>来源：TradingView</p>
</div><p>At the same time, leveraged traders faced pressure as broader market sentiment turned risk-off.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>与此同时，杠杆交易者面临压力，因为整体市场情绪转向风险规避。</p>
</div><p>Sell volume expanded sharply, signaling distribution by fast money rather than panic from longer-term holders. That imbalance forced the price below the $0.011 level, triggering clustered stop-loss executions.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>卖出量急剧扩大，显示出快速资金的分配，而非长期持有者的恐慌。这种不平衡迫使价格跌破 $0.011，触发了集中止损的执行。</p>
</div><p>Once that support failed, downside momentum accelerated. Buy volume thinned while sell pressure intensified.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>一旦支撑失效，向下动能加速。买入量减少，而卖出压力加大。</p>
</div><p>Market-wide risk aversion further weighed on sentiment, pushing traders into defensive positioning.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>市场普遍的风险厌恶进一步影响了情绪，迫使交易者采取防御性布局。</p>
</div><p>Technically, heavy red volume bars confirmed distribution rather than a healthy pullback.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>从技术上看，重大的红色成交量柱确认了分配，而非健康的回调。</p>
</div><p>Meanwhile, MACD extended deeper into bearish territory, while RSI slid into oversold conditions.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>与此同时，MACD 深入看跌区域，而 RSI 下滑至超卖状态。</p>
</div><p>That alignment reinforced downside momentum across the lower timeframes.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这种一致性在较低时间框架上加强了向下动能。</p>
</div><p>Recovery now depends on stabilization, potentially near $0.010, alongside sustained volume inflows. A decisive reclaim of $0.011 would be required to reset bullish structure and restore confidence.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>恢复现在依赖于稳定，可能在 $0.010 附近，同时保持持续的资金流入。要重置看涨结构并恢复信心，需要果断收复 $0.011。</p>
</div><h2><strong>PENGU’s partnership hype fades as traders rotate capital</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>PENGU 的合作伙伴关系热潮消退，交易者轮换资金</strong></h2>
</div><p>PENGU entered January near $0.009, supported by a broader memecoin rebound and speculative inflows.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>PENGU 在一月初接近 $0.009，受到更广泛的 meme 币反弹和投机性资金流入的支持。</p>
</div><p>Expectations rose much higher due to the anticipated partnership with Manchester City that happened on the 15th of January, as investors priced in brand exposure and future adoption.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>由于预期与曼彻斯特城的合作关系在 1 月 15 日达成，投资者对品牌曝光和未来采用的预期大幅上升。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Screenshot-2026-01-19-124044.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Screenshot-2026-01-19-124044.png"/></p>
<p>Source: X</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>来源：X</p>
</div><p>The partnership deal aimed to work gradually.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>该合作协议旨在逐步推进。</p>
</div><p>In the short term, it focused on NFT and merchandise launches. However, in the long term, it targeted cultural integration and recurring revenue, but not immediate token utility.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>短期内，重点是 NFT 和商品的推出。然而，从长远来看，目标是文化整合和经常性收入，而不是立即的代币效用。</p>
</div><p>Once that long-horizon approach became clear, momentum stalled near the $0.011–$0.012 range. Traders sold the news as profit-taking replaced speculative inflows.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>一旦这种长期视角变得清晰，动能在 $0.011–$0.012 区间停滞。交易者在获利了结时抛售消息，取代了投机性资金流入。</p>
</div><p>Leverage unwinds and weak follow-through triggered a 4–5% decline, extending losses to roughly 15% from early-January highs.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>杠杆平仓和疲软的后续买入触发了 4–5% 的下跌，将损失扩大至大约 15% 从一月初的高点。</p>
</div><p>The move aligned with broader sector rotation rather than panic selling.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这一走势与更广泛的行业轮换一致，而非恐慌性抛售。</p>
</div><h2><strong>Why $0.010–$0.012 will decide PENGU’s next trend</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>为什么 $0.010–$0.012 将决定 PENGU 的下一个趋势</strong></h2>
</div><p>What looked like a branding win for PENGU quickly turned into a market test. In the near term, PENGU faces a clear two-sided path shaped by liquidity and sentiment.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>看似 PENGU 的品牌胜利迅速变成了市场考验。在短期内，PENGU 面临着由流动性和情绪塑造的明确双向路径。</p>
</div><p>On the bearish side, failure to hold the $0.010 support could invite another leg lower toward $0.009-$0.0095.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在看跌方面，未能守住 $0.010 支撑可能会引发另一波下跌，目标指向 $0.009-$0.0095。</p>
</div><p>This zone aligns with prior consolidation and reflects continued memecoin weakness, thin volume, and persistent risk-off positioning.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>该区域与之前的整合相符，反映出持续的 meme 币疲软、成交量稀薄和持续的风险规避布局。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/PENGUUSDT_2026-01-19_13-55-03.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/PENGUUSDT_2026-01-19_13-55-03.png"/></p>
<p>Source: TradingView</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>来源：TradingView</p>
</div><p>Conversely, a bullish recovery requires reclaiming $0.0115 first. A sustained move above $0.012 would signal absorption of sell pressure and invalidate the recent sell-the-news structure.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>相反，看涨恢复需要首先收复 $0.0115。持续突破 $0.012 将表明卖出压力的吸收，并使近期的抛售消息结构失效。</p>
</div><p>That shift would likely depend on broader memecoin inflows, rising spot volumes, and improved sentiment rather than isolated news.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这种转变可能依赖于更广泛的 meme 币资金流入、上升的现货成交量和改善的情绪，而非孤立的消息。</p>
</div><p>Until one of these levels breaks decisively, price action is likely to remain range-bound and reactive rather than trend-driven.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在这些水平之一未果断突破之前，价格走势可能会保持区间波动和反应性，而非趋势驱动。</p>
</div><hr/>
<div class="lb-trans"><hr/>
</div><h2>Final Thoughts</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>最终思考</h2>
</div><ul>
<li><em>PENGU sold off on distribution and sell-the-news pressure, not panic. Profit-taking, leverage unwinds, and fading momentum drove the break below $0.011 amid broader memecoin weakness.</em></li>
<li><em>The $0.010–$0.012 range now defines PENGU’s direction.</em></li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li><em>PENGU 在分配和抛售消息压力下下跌，而非恐慌。获利了结、杠杆平仓和动能减弱推动价格跌破 $0.011，伴随更广泛的 meme 币疲软。</em></li>
<li><em>$0.010–$0.012 区间现在定义了 PENGU 的方向。</em></li>
</ul>
</div>

PENGU 跌破 0.011 美元——与曼城的合作是否是一个陷阱？