<p><em>全球贸易观察年展望：94% 的人预计 2026 年增长将与 2025 年持平或超过</em></p>
<p>, /PRNewswire/ -- 全球贸易前景看起来脆弱，但商业信心却并非如此。这是 DP World 新发布的_全球贸易观察_（GTO）2026 年年展望报告的核心发现，显示 94% 的受访者预计 2026 年贸易增长将与 2025 年持平或超过，尽管摩擦和波动加剧。</p>
<p>这些发现基于对 3500 名来自八个行业和 19 个国家的高级供应链和物流高管的调查，该调查在达沃斯世界经济论坛年会之前进行。</p>
<p>继续阅读</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/null?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/null"/></p>
<p>企业面临高度的政策不确定性</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/null?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/null"/></p>
<p>高管预计 2026 年贸易增长将加快</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/null?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/null"/></p>
<p>DP World 董事长 Sultan Ahmed bin Sulayem 在达沃斯</p>
<p>总的来说，54% 的人预计贸易增长将快于 2025 年，40% 的人预计将持平。尽管 53% 的人预期政策不确定性高或非常高，90% 的人预计贸易壁垒将上升或保持不变。只有 25% 的人预计对其业务产生负面影响，49% 的人预计没有影响，26% 的人甚至看到积极影响。</p>
<p>这种前线情绪与一些宏观预测形成对比，国际货币基金组织预测 2026 年贸易增长（按量计算）可能放缓至 2.3%，低于 2025 年估计的 3.6%。</p>
<p>当被问及 2026 年贸易增长潜力最大的地区时，高管们最常提到欧洲（22%）和中国（17%），其次是亚太地区（14%）和北美（13%）。</p>
<p><strong>DP World 集团董事长兼首席执行官 Sultan Ahmed bin Sulayem</strong> 表示：“全球贸易变得越来越复杂，而不是减少。我们的角色很明确：通过了解摩擦存在的地方，预测可能出现的地方，并投资于帮助客户更高效、可靠地运营的基础设施、能力和合作伙伴关系，保持贸易流动。”</p>
<p>GTO 年展望是与总部位于日内瓦的洞察机构 Horizon Group 共同开发的。<strong>Horizon Group 的管理合伙人 Margareta Drzeniek</strong> 表示：“我们看到的是信心与应急计划。高管们通过多样化供应商、重新评估路线和增加选择，将韧性嵌入战略，因为波动性现在已成为基线。那些处于最佳位置的人将是能够将这些韧性计划转化为可衡量绩效的人。”</p>
<p><em>公司在 2026 年采取的不同做法</em></p>
<p>调查显示，公司正在通过积极重新设计供应链和贸易路线来应对波动。这包括：</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>韧性作为战略：</strong> 供应商多样化（51%）、更高的库存（44%）和友岸外包（36%）被列为 2026 年计划的最常见战略转变。</li>
<li><strong>路线灵活性增加：</strong> 26% 的人打算使用新路线，23% 的人正在评估这些路线。决策受到成本节约（38%）、改善的连接性/内陆基础设施（36%）和更快的海关程序/清关时间（35%）的驱动。</li>
<li><strong>边境摩擦仍然是瓶颈：</strong> 60% 的人指出海关清关是延误和干扰的主要原因。高管们还优先投资于仓储和物流中心（39%）、道路网络（36%）和边境/海关处理基础设施（36%）。</li>
</ul>
<p>DP World 全球贸易观察（GTO）是一个以数据和洞察为基础的平台，旨在为决策者提供关于重塑全球贸易力量的可操作情报，基于对 3500 名来自八个行业和 19 个国家的供应链和物流高管的专有调查。研究于 2025 年 11 月与总部位于日内瓦的洞察机构 Horizon Group 进行。</p>
<p><strong>媒体咨询，请联系：</strong></p>
<p><strong>Adal Mirza</strong> 集团副总裁</p>
<p>[email protected]</p>
<p>+971 50 628 7856</p>
<p><strong>Hakam Kherallah</strong></p>
<p>集团高级经理</p>
<p>[email protected]</p>
<p>+971 50 552 2610</p>
<p><strong>关注 DP World：</strong> X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/DP_World</p>
<p>LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/dp-world</p>
<p><strong>关于 DP World</strong></p>
<p>DP World 正在重塑全球贸易的未来，以改善各地的生活。我们在六大洲运营，拥有超过 125,000 名员工，结合全球基础设施和本地专业知识，提供无缝的供应链解决方案。从港口和码头到海洋服务、物流和技术，我们利用创新创造更好的贸易方式，最大限度地减少从工厂到客户门口的干扰。</p>
<p><strong>我们让贸易流动</strong></p>
<p>照片 - https://mma.prnewswire.com/media/2865149/DP_World_1.jpg</p>
<p>照片 - https://mma.prnewswire.com/media/2865150/DP_World_2.jpg</p>
<p>照片 - https://mma.prnewswire.com/media/2865151/DP_World_3.jpg</p>
<p>来源 DP World</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://rt.prnewswire.com/rt.gif/query-RGF0ZUlkPTIwMjYwMTIwJk5ld3NJdGVtSWQ9TE42NTkyMiZUcmFuc21pc3Npb25fSWQ9MjAyNjAxMjAwNDM0UFJfTkVXU19VU1BSX19fX19MTjY1OTIy?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://rt.prnewswire.com/rt.gif/query-RGF0ZUlkPTIwMjYwMTIwJk5ld3NJdGVtSWQ9TE42NTkyMiZUcmFuc21pc3Npb25fSWQ9MjAyNjAxMjAwNDM0UFJfTkVXU19VU1BSX19fX19MTjY1OTIy"/></p>

DPCW

<p>DP World 全球贸易观察年度展望报告显示，94% 的贸易领袖预计 2026 年的增长将与 2025 年持平或超过尽管贸易壁垒上升和政策不确定性。该调查在 3500 名供应链高管中进行，结果显示 54% 的人预计贸易增长将加快，而 40% 的人则预计保持不变。高管们通过多元化供应商和重新设计供应链来适应波动。欧洲和中国是增长的关键地区，重点是改善物流和海关流程以提高贸易效率</p>

<p><em>Global Trade Observatory Annual Outlook: 94% expect 2026 growth to match or exceed 2025 despite tariffs, costs and policy uncertainty</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>全球贸易观察年展望：94% 的人预计 2026 年增长将与 2025 年持平或超过</em></p>
</div><p>, /PRNewswire/ -- The global trade outlook looks fragile. Business confidence does not. That's the core finding of DP World's new <em>Global Trade Observatory</em> (GTO) Annual Outlook Report 2026, showing 94% of respondents expect 2026 trade growth to match or exceed the pace of 2025, despite rising frictions and volatility.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>, /PRNewswire/ -- 全球贸易前景看起来脆弱，但商业信心却并非如此。这是 DP World 新发布的_全球贸易观察_（GTO）2026 年年展望报告的核心发现，显示 94% 的受访者预计 2026 年贸易增长将与 2025 年持平或超过，尽管摩擦和波动加剧。</p>
</div><p>The findings are based on a survey of 3,500 senior supply chain and logistics executives across eight industries and 19 countries, conducted ahead of the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting in Davos.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这些发现基于对 3500 名来自八个行业和 19 个国家的高级供应链和物流高管的调查，该调查在达沃斯世界经济论坛年会之前进行。</p>
</div><p>Continue Reading</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>继续阅读</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/null" alt="" original-src="https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/null"/></p>
<p>BUSINESSES FACE HIGH LEVELS OF POLICY UNCERTAINTY</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>企业面临高度的政策不确定性</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/null" alt="" original-src="https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/null"/></p>
<p>EXECUTIVES EXPECT FASTER TRADE GROWTH IN 2026</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>高管预计 2026 年贸易增长将加快</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/null" alt="" original-src="https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/null"/></p>
<p>DP World Chairman Sultan Ahmed bin Sulayem at Davos</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>DP World 董事长 Sultan Ahmed bin Sulayem 在达沃斯</p>
</div><p>In total, 54% expect trade growth to be faster than 2025 and 40% expect it to be equal. This is despite 53% anticipating high or very high policy uncertainty, 90% expecting trade barriers to rise or remain unchanged. Only 25% expect a negative impact on their business, with 49% expecting no effect and 26% even seeing a positive impact.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>总的来说，54% 的人预计贸易增长将快于 2025 年，40% 的人预计将持平。尽管 53% 的人预期政策不确定性高或非常高，90% 的人预计贸易壁垒将上升或保持不变。只有 25% 的人预计对其业务产生负面影响，49% 的人预计没有影响，26% 的人甚至看到积极影响。</p>
</div><p>This frontline sentiment contrasts with some macro projections, with the IMF forecasting trade growth (by volume) could slow to 2.3% in 2026, down from an estimated 3.6% in 2025.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这种前线情绪与一些宏观预测形成对比，国际货币基金组织预测 2026 年贸易增长（按量计算）可能放缓至 2.3%，低于 2025 年估计的 3.6%。</p>
</div><p>Asked where trade growth potential is greatest in 2026, executives most frequently pointed to Europe (22%) and China (17%), followed by Asia Pacific (14%) and North America (13%).</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>当被问及 2026 年贸易增长潜力最大的地区时，高管们最常提到欧洲（22%）和中国（17%），其次是亚太地区（14%）和北美（13%）。</p>
</div><p><strong>Sultan Ahmed bin Sulayem, Group Chairman and CEO of DP World</strong>, said: &#34;Global trade is becoming increasingly complex, not less so. Our role is clear: to keep trade moving by understanding where friction exists, anticipating where it may emerge next, and investing in the infrastructure, capabilities and partnerships that help our customers operate more efficiently and reliably.&#34;</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>DP World 集团董事长兼首席执行官 Sultan Ahmed bin Sulayem</strong> 表示：“全球贸易变得越来越复杂，而不是减少。我们的角色很明确：通过了解摩擦存在的地方，预测可能出现的地方，并投资于帮助客户更高效、可靠地运营的基础设施、能力和合作伙伴关系，保持贸易流动。”</p>
</div><p>The GTO Annual Outlook was developed with Geneva-based insights agency, Horizon Group. <strong>Margareta Drzeniek, Managing Partner, Horizon Group</strong>, said: &#34;What we're seeing is confidence with contingency plans. Executives are embedding resilience into strategy by diversifying suppliers, reassessing routes and adding options, because volatility is now the baseline. Those best positioned will be the ones who can turn those resilience plans into measurable performance.&#34;</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>GTO 年展望是与总部位于日内瓦的洞察机构 Horizon Group 共同开发的。<strong>Horizon Group 的管理合伙人 Margareta Drzeniek</strong> 表示：“我们看到的是信心与应急计划。高管们通过多样化供应商、重新评估路线和增加选择，将韧性嵌入战略，因为波动性现在已成为基线。那些处于最佳位置的人将是能够将这些韧性计划转化为可衡量绩效的人。”</p>
</div><p><em>What companies are doing differently in 2026</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>公司在 2026 年采取的不同做法</em></p>
</div><p>The survey indicates companies are responding to volatility by actively redesigning supply chains and trade routes. This includes:</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>调查显示，公司正在通过积极重新设计供应链和贸易路线来应对波动。这包括：</p>
</div><ul>
<li><strong>Resilience as strategy:</strong> Supplier diversification (51%), higher inventories (44%), and friend-shoring (36%) are cited among the most common strategic shifts planned for 2026.</li>
<li><strong>Route agility increases:</strong> 26% intend to use new routes, while 23% are evaluating them. Decisions are driven by cost savings (38%), improved connectivity/inland infrastructure (36%), and faster customs procedures/clearance times (35%).</li>
<li><strong>Border friction remains a choke point:</strong> 60% cite customs clearance as a leading cause of delays and disruption. Executives also prioritise investment in warehousing and logistics hubs (39%), road networks (36%), and border/customs processing infrastructure (36%).</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li><strong>韧性作为战略：</strong> 供应商多样化（51%）、更高的库存（44%）和友岸外包（36%）被列为 2026 年计划的最常见战略转变。</li>
<li><strong>路线灵活性增加：</strong> 26% 的人打算使用新路线，23% 的人正在评估这些路线。决策受到成本节约（38%）、改善的连接性/内陆基础设施（36%）和更快的海关程序/清关时间（35%）的驱动。</li>
<li><strong>边境摩擦仍然是瓶颈：</strong> 60% 的人指出海关清关是延误和干扰的主要原因。高管们还优先投资于仓储和物流中心（39%）、道路网络（36%）和边境/海关处理基础设施（36%）。</li>
</ul>
</div><p>The DP World Global Trade Observatory (GTO) is a data- and insights-led platform designed to provide decision-makers with actionable intelligence on the forces reshaping global trade, grounded in research including a proprietary survey of 3,500 supply chain and logistics executives across eight industries and 19 countries. Research was conducted in November 2025 with Geneva-based insights agency Horizon Group.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>DP World 全球贸易观察（GTO）是一个以数据和洞察为基础的平台，旨在为决策者提供关于重塑全球贸易力量的可操作情报，基于对 3500 名来自八个行业和 19 个国家的供应链和物流高管的专有调查。研究于 2025 年 11 月与总部位于日内瓦的洞察机构 Horizon Group 进行。</p>
</div><p><strong>For media enquiries, please contact:</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>媒体咨询，请联系：</strong></p>
</div><p><strong>Adal Mirza</strong> Group Vice President</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>Adal Mirza</strong> 集团副总裁</p>
</div><p>[email protected]</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>[email protected]</p>
</div><p>+971 50 628 7856</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>+971 50 628 7856</p>
</div><p><strong>Hakam Kherallah</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>Hakam Kherallah</strong></p>
</div><p>Group Senior Manager</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>集团高级经理</p>
</div><p>[email protected]</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>[email protected]</p>
</div><p>+971 50 552 2610</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>+971 50 552 2610</p>
</div><p><strong>Follow DP World on:</strong> X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/DP_World</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>关注 DP World：</strong> X (Twitter): https://twitter.com/DP_World</p>
</div><p>LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/dp-world</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/dp-world</p>
</div><p><strong>About DP World</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>关于 DP World</strong></p>
</div><p>DP World is reshaping the future of global trade to improve lives everywhere. Operating across six continents with a team of over 125,000 employees, we combine global infrastructure and local expertise to deliver seamless supply chain solutions. From Ports and Terminals to Marine Services, Logistics and Technology, we leverage innovation to create better ways to trade, minimizing disruptions from the factory floor to the customer's door.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>DP World 正在重塑全球贸易的未来，以改善各地的生活。我们在六大洲运营，拥有超过 125,000 名员工，结合全球基础设施和本地专业知识，提供无缝的供应链解决方案。从港口和码头到海洋服务、物流和技术，我们利用创新创造更好的贸易方式，最大限度地减少从工厂到客户门口的干扰。</p>
</div><p><strong>WE MAKE TRADE FLOW</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>我们让贸易流动</strong></p>
</div><p>Photo - https://mma.prnewswire.com/media/2865149/DP_World_1.jpg</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>照片 - https://mma.prnewswire.com/media/2865149/DP_World_1.jpg</p>
</div><p>Photo - https://mma.prnewswire.com/media/2865150/DP_World_2.jpg</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>照片 - https://mma.prnewswire.com/media/2865150/DP_World_2.jpg</p>
</div><p>Photo - https://mma.prnewswire.com/media/2865151/DP_World_3.jpg</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>照片 - https://mma.prnewswire.com/media/2865151/DP_World_3.jpg</p>
</div><p>SOURCE DP World</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>来源 DP World</p>
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DP WORLD 调查：尽管障碍增加，贸易领袖对 2026 年仍持乐观态度