<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://cdn.pixabay.com/photo/2013/11/11/22/26/bank-note-209104_960_720.jpg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://cdn.pixabay.com/photo/2013/11/11/22/26/bank-note-209104_960_720.jpg"/></p>
<p><em>图片来源：Pixabay</em></p>
<p>欧元/美元在本周第二天上涨超过 0.50%，尽管当天发布了强劲的美国经济数据，但美元却下滑。由于美国总统唐纳德·特朗普放弃对欧洲的关税威胁，风险偏好改善，支撑了这一共同货币。在撰写时，该货币对交易于 1.1743，反弹自日低 1.1670。</p>
<h2>欧元延续涨势，缓解的美欧贸易紧张局势超过强劲的美国数据，施压美元</h2>
<p>华尔街预计将在周四的交易中以涨幅结束，受益于 2025 年第三季度强劲的国内生产总值（GDP）数据。与此同时发布的就业数据和略微稳定的通胀数据消除了美联储在 1 月会议上降息的可能性。</p>
<p>来自 Prime Market Terminal 的数据表明，货币市场预计美联储将维持利率不变，概率为 95%。在年末，投资者预计将降息 42 个基点，低于 1 月 7 日预计的 60 个基点。</p>
<p>在欧洲，欧洲中央银行（ECB）公布了最新会议的货币政策纪要，成员们普遍同意对经济的评估，并认为潜在的通胀指标与中央银行 2% 的中期目标保持一致。</p>
<p>此外，欧盟成员计划解冻与美国的贸易协议并进行投票，彭博社透露。</p>
<h2>1 月 23 日经济日程</h2>
<p>欧盟经济日程将包括法国、德国和欧元区的 HCOB 快速 PMI。同时，欧洲央行行长克里斯蒂娜·拉加德将发表讲话。在美国，交易者将关注标普全球快速 PMI 和密歇根大学消费者信心的最终数据。</p>
<h2>每日市场动态：交易者忽视乐观的美国数据，推动欧元上涨</h2>
<ul>
<li>美国商务部报告称，美联储首选的通胀指标核心个人消费支出（PCE）在 10 月份同比上涨 2.7%，并在 11 月份略微加速至 2.8%，大致符合预期。</li>
<li>美国经济分析局显示，2025 年第三季度 GDP 同比增长 4.4%，超出 4.3% 的预期，并显著改善于第二季度的 3.8%。这一增长主要得益于出口强劲和库存拖累减小。</li>
<li>根据美国劳工部的数据，截至 1 月 17 日的一周初请失业金人数上升至 20 万，较修正后的 19.9 万有所增加，但仍远低于预期的 21.2 万。</li>
<li>欧洲央行上次会议纪要使用了鸽派语言，政策制定者承认增长仍然强劲，但面临可能影响市场情绪的地缘政治风险，导致市场风险厌恶。通胀被视为接近 2% 的目标。政策制定者重申政策并非预设路径，保持数据依赖的立场。</li>
<li>跟踪美元对六个主要货币表现的美元指数（DXY）下跌 0.50%，报 98.29。</li>
</ul>
<h2>技术展望：欧元/美元在短期内有望挑战 1.1800</h2>
<p>欧元/美元在 1.1576 反弹后略微转为中性偏上，接近 200 日简单移动平均线（SMA）1.1590，这加剧了共同货币突破 1.1600，朝着 1.1700 迈进。</p>
<p>相对强弱指数（RSI）显示多头正在积聚力量。因此，在短期内，他们占据上风。</p>
<p>为了实现看涨的延续，买家必须突破 12 月 24 日的高点 1.1807。一旦突破，下一目标将是 1.1850，随后是去年的周期高点 1.1918。为了实现看跌反转，欧元/美元必须跌破 1.1700，并清除关键支撑位，如 20 日、50 日和 100 日 SMA，分别为 1.11693、1.1663 和 1.1660。如果突破，多头的最后防线将是 200 日 SMA。</p>
<p><em>(点击图片放大)</em></p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.fxstreet.com/_next/image/query-cT05NSZ1cmw9aHR0cHM6Ly9lZGl0b3JpYWwuZnhzc3RhdGljLmNvbS9taXNjZWxhbmVvdXMvaW1hZ2UtMTc2OTExODc1MTcyMy0xNzY5MTE4NzUxNzIzLnBuZyZ3PTE1MzY?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.fxstreet.com/_next/image/query-cT05NSZ1cmw9aHR0cHM6Ly9lZGl0b3JpYWwuZnhzc3RhdGljLmNvbS9taXNjZWxhbmVvdXMvaW1hZ2UtMTc2OTExODc1MTcyMy0xNzY5MTE4NzUxNzIzLnBuZyZ3PTE1MzY"/></p>
<p>欧元/美元日线图</p>
<hr/>
<p><em>更多来自此作者的文章：</em></p>
<p>欧元/美元因特朗普放弃关税威胁而下滑，提振美元</p>
<p>黄金在特朗普软化对格林兰立场时坚守在 4770 美元附近</p>
<p>白银价格预测：XAG/USD 在接近历史高点时回落，动能减弱</p>

2 倍做空欧元 ETF - ProShares

德银美元指数 做空 - PowerShares

2 倍做多欧元 ETF - ProShares

欧元 做多 - CurrencyShares

<p>EUR/USD 已上涨至 1.1740 以上，因特朗普总统决定放弃对欧洲的关税威胁，美元走弱，汇率上涨超过 0.50%。该货币对在触及日低 1.1670 后，目前交易于 1.1743。强劲的美国 GDP 增长和就业数据降低了市场对美联储降息的预期。欧洲央行最近的会议纪要显示出鸽派立场，通胀仍接近 2% 的目标。美元指数下跌 0.50%，至 98.29，而技术指标显示 EUR/USD 可能在短期内挑战 1.1800</p>

<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://cdn.pixabay.com/photo/2013/11/11/22/26/bank-note-209104_960_720.jpg" alt="" original-src="https://cdn.pixabay.com/photo/2013/11/11/22/26/bank-note-209104_960_720.jpg"/></p>
<p><em>Image Source: Pixabay</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>图片来源：Pixabay</em></p>
</div><p>EUR/USD climbs for the second day in the week up by over 0.50% as the Dollar slides despite solid US economic data was released in the day. An improvement in risk appetite sponsored by US President Donald Trump dropping tariffs threats on Europe, underpins the shared currency. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 1.1743 after bouncing off daily lows of 1.1670.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>欧元/美元在本周第二天上涨超过 0.50%，尽管当天发布了强劲的美国经济数据，但美元却下滑。由于美国总统唐纳德·特朗普放弃对欧洲的关税威胁，风险偏好改善，支撑了这一共同货币。在撰写时，该货币对交易于 1.1743，反弹自日低 1.1670。</p>
</div><h2>Euro extends gains as easing US–Europe trade tensions outweigh strong US data and pressure the Dollar</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>欧元延续涨势，缓解的美欧贸易紧张局势超过强劲的美国数据，施压美元</h2>
</div><p>Wall Street is poised to end Thursday’s session with gains bolstered by strong Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures in the third quarter of 2025. Jobs data released at the same time and a slightly steady inflation print erased the chances of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve at the January meeting.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>华尔街预计将在周四的交易中以涨幅结束，受益于 2025 年第三季度强劲的国内生产总值（GDP）数据。与此同时发布的就业数据和略微稳定的通胀数据消除了美联储在 1 月会议上降息的可能性。</p>
</div><p>Data from Prime Market Terminal indicates that money markets expect the Fed to hold rates unchanged, with odds standing at 95%. Towards the year’s end, investors expect 42 basis points of rate cuts, below the 60 expected on January 7.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>来自 Prime Market Terminal 的数据表明，货币市场预计美联储将维持利率不变，概率为 95%。在年末，投资者预计将降息 42 个基点，低于 1 月 7 日预计的 60 个基点。</p>
</div><p>In Europe, the European Central Bank (ECB) unveiled its latest meeting monetary policy minutes in which members broadly agreed with the assessment on the economy and that underlying inflation indicators remain consistent with the central bank’s 2% medium-term goal.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在欧洲，欧洲中央银行（ECB）公布了最新会议的货币政策纪要，成员们普遍同意对经济的评估，并认为潜在的通胀指标与中央银行 2% 的中期目标保持一致。</p>
</div><p>Also, members of the European Union plan to unfreeze the trade dieal with the US and vote on ratification, revealed Bloomberg.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>此外，欧盟成员计划解冻与美国的贸易协议并进行投票，彭博社透露。</p>
</div><h2>Economic schedule for January 23</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>1 月 23 日经济日程</h2>
</div><p>The EU economic docket will feature HCOB Flash PMIs for France, Germany and the bloc. Also, the ECB President Christine Lagarde will cross the wires. In the US, traders focus will be on S&amp;P Global Flash PMIs and the final print of the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>欧盟经济日程将包括法国、德国和欧元区的 HCOB 快速 PMI。同时，欧洲央行行长克里斯蒂娜·拉加德将发表讲话。在美国，交易者将关注标普全球快速 PMI 和密歇根大学消费者信心的最终数据。</p>
</div><h2>Daily digest market movers: Traders ignore upbeat US data, drive Euro higher</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>每日市场动态：交易者忽视乐观的美国数据，推动欧元上涨</h2>
</div><ul>
<li>The US Department of Commerce reported that the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), rose 2.7% YoY in October and accelerated slightly to 2.8% in November, broadly in line with expectations.</li>
<li>The US Bureau of Economic Analysis showed that Q3 2025 GDP grew 4.4% YoY, topping forecasts of 4.3% and improving markedly from Q2’s 3.8% pace. The expansion was driven by stronger exports and a smaller drag from inventories.</li>
<li>Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending January 17 edged up to 200K from a revised 199K, but still came in well below expectations of 212K, according to data from the US Department of Labor.</li>
<li>The ECB last meeting minutes struck a dovish language with policymakers acknowledging that growth remains resilient but exposed to geopolitical risks that could weigh on sentiment, tilting markets risk averse. Inflation is seen anchored near the 2% goal. Policymakers reiterated that policy is not on a preset path, maintaining their data-dependent stance.</li>
<li>The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the American currency's performance versus six peers, dives 0.50% down at 98.29.</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>美国商务部报告称，美联储首选的通胀指标核心个人消费支出（PCE）在 10 月份同比上涨 2.7%，并在 11 月份略微加速至 2.8%，大致符合预期。</li>
<li>美国经济分析局显示，2025 年第三季度 GDP 同比增长 4.4%，超出 4.3% 的预期，并显著改善于第二季度的 3.8%。这一增长主要得益于出口强劲和库存拖累减小。</li>
<li>根据美国劳工部的数据，截至 1 月 17 日的一周初请失业金人数上升至 20 万，较修正后的 19.9 万有所增加，但仍远低于预期的 21.2 万。</li>
<li>欧洲央行上次会议纪要使用了鸽派语言，政策制定者承认增长仍然强劲，但面临可能影响市场情绪的地缘政治风险，导致市场风险厌恶。通胀被视为接近 2% 的目标。政策制定者重申政策并非预设路径，保持数据依赖的立场。</li>
<li>跟踪美元对六个主要货币表现的美元指数（DXY）下跌 0.50%，报 98.29。</li>
</ul>
</div><h2>Technical outlook: EUR/USD poised to challenge 1.1800 in the near-term</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>技术展望：欧元/美元在短期内有望挑战 1.1800</h2>
</div><p>The EUR/USD has turned slightly neutral to upward biased after bouncing of 1.1576, near the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) At 1.1590, which exacerbated the shared currency advance past 1.1600, on its way towards 1.1700.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>欧元/美元在 1.1576 反弹后略微转为中性偏上，接近 200 日简单移动平均线（SMA）1.1590，这加剧了共同货币突破 1.1600，朝着 1.1700 迈进。</p>
</div><p>The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows that bulls are gathering steam. Hence, in the short-term, they have the upper hand.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>相对强弱指数（RSI）显示多头正在积聚力量。因此，在短期内，他们占据上风。</p>
</div><p>For a bullish continuation, buyers must clear the December 24 peak at 1.1807. Once surpassed, the next stop would be 1.1850, followed by last year’s cycle high at 1.1918. For a bearish reversal, the EUR/USD must tumble below 1.1700, and clear key support levels like the 20-, 50- and 100-day SMAs, each at 1.11693, 1.1663 and 1.1660 respectively. If surpassed, bulls’ last line of defense would be the 200-day SMA.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>为了实现看涨的延续，买家必须突破 12 月 24 日的高点 1.1807。一旦突破，下一目标将是 1.1850，随后是去年的周期高点 1.1918。为了实现看跌反转，欧元/美元必须跌破 1.1700，并清除关键支撑位，如 20 日、50 日和 100 日 SMA，分别为 1.11693、1.1663 和 1.1660。如果突破，多头的最后防线将是 200 日 SMA。</p>
</div><p><em>(Click on image to enlarge)</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>(点击图片放大)</em></p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.fxstreet.com/_next/image/query-cT05NSZ1cmw9aHR0cHM6Ly9lZGl0b3JpYWwuZnhzc3RhdGljLmNvbS9taXNjZWxhbmVvdXMvaW1hZ2UtMTc2OTExODc1MTcyMy0xNzY5MTE4NzUxNzIzLnBuZyZ3PTE1MzY" alt="" original-src="https://www.fxstreet.com/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Feditorial.fxsstatic.com%2Fmiscelaneous%2Fimage-1769118751723-1769118751723.png&amp;w=1536&amp;q=95"/></p>
<p>EUR/USD Daily Chart</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>欧元/美元日线图</p>
</div><hr/>
<div class="lb-trans"><hr/>
</div><p><em>More By This Author:</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>更多来自此作者的文章：</em></p>
</div><p>EUR/USD Slips As Trump Drops Tariff Threats, Lifts The U.S. Dollar</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>欧元/美元因特朗普放弃关税威胁而下滑，提振美元</p>
</div><p>Gold Holds Firm Near $4,770 As Trump Softens Greenland Stance</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>黄金在特朗普软化对格林兰立场时坚守在 4770 美元附近</p>
</div><p>Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD Retreats As Momentum Fades Near ATH</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>白银价格预测：XAG/USD 在接近历史高点时回落，动能减弱</p>
</div>

由于特朗普放弃关税威胁，欧元/美元上涨至 1.1740 以上，美元走软