<p>作者：Nimesh Vora</p>
<p>印度卢比在周三有望在上一个交易日的缓解基础上继续上涨，此前特朗普总统对美元近期疲软的态度置之不理，加速了其下滑，并将其推至多年低点。</p>
<p>1 个月的不可交割远期合约显示，卢比将以 91.48-91.52 的区间开盘，相较于周二的 91.72 有所回落。</p>
<p>在经历了一段近乎持续的压力后，卢比在周二获得了缓解，美元走软减轻了近期对该货币的单边需求。</p>
<p>这足以让卢比上涨 0.2%，这一温和的涨幅在近期持续的卖压中显得尤为突出，交易员表示。</p>
<p>“这一波动并不是由新的卢比利好因素驱动的，而是激进的美元买入有所暂停，” 一家私人银行的高级外汇交易员表示。</p>
<p>“目前可以说这只是市场动态的小幅重置。美元/卢比的基本趋势仍然向上。”</p>
<p>美元跌至 4 年低点</p>
<p>在特朗普对美元近期疲软的担忧置之不理后，美元指数在周二跌至四年低点，卖压加剧。交易员将他关于美元 “很棒” 的言论视为加大看空头寸的信号。</p>
<p>尽管特朗普的评论并不算新，但恰逢美元在持续的美联储降息预期、关税不确定性和政策波动（包括对美联储独立性的威胁）下承压。</p>
<p>他的评论，加上对美元/日元潜在外汇干预的持续猜测，促使摩根士丹利在一份报告中表示美元指数延续了其抛售。</p>
<p>在上周下跌近 2% 后，美元指数本周又下跌了 1.5%。在同一时期，日元也以类似幅度反弹。</p>

印度 ETF - WisdomTree

INDH

<p>印度卢比预计将在特朗普总统淡化美元疲软的言论后走强，这导致美元跌至多年低点。卢比预计将在 91.48-91.52 之间开盘，较 91.72 略有回升。尽管上涨了 0.2%，交易员们警告这仅仅是激进买入美元的暂时停顿，整体趋势仍然偏向于美元走强。由于市场对美联储降息的预期以及持续的市场波动，美元指数已跌至四年低点</p>

<p>By Nimesh Vora</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>作者：Nimesh Vora</p>
</div><p>The Indian rupee on Wednesday is poised to build on the previous session's relief after President Donald Trump brushed off the dollar's recent weakness, accelerating its slide and pushing it to multi-year lows.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>印度卢比在周三有望在上一个交易日的缓解基础上继续上涨，此前特朗普总统对美元近期疲软的态度置之不理，加速了其下滑，并将其推至多年低点。</p>
</div><p>The 1-month non-deliverable forward indicated the rupee  will open in the 91.48-91.52 range versus the U.S. dollar, having settled at 91.72 on Tuesday.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>1 个月的不可交割远期合约显示，卢比将以 91.48-91.52 的区间开盘，相较于周二的 91.72 有所回落。</p>
</div><p>The rupee found relief on Tuesday after a prolonged spell of near-constant pressure, with a softer dollar tempering one-sided dollar demand that has weighed on the currency in recent weeks.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在经历了一段近乎持续的压力后，卢比在周二获得了缓解，美元走软减轻了近期对该货币的单边需求。</p>
</div><p>It was enough to allow a 0.2% rise in the currency, a modest move that stood out against the depth and persistence of recent selling pressure, traders said.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这足以让卢比上涨 0.2%，这一温和的涨幅在近期持续的卖压中显得尤为突出，交易员表示。</p>
</div><p>&#34;The move wasn't driven by fresh rupee positives, it was more of a pause in aggressive dollar buying,&#34; a senior FX dealer at a private bank said.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“这一波动并不是由新的卢比利好因素驱动的，而是激进的美元买入有所暂停，” 一家私人银行的高级外汇交易员表示。</p>
</div><p>&#34;For now, you would say this is just a small reset in market dynamics. The underlying trend (on dollar/rupee) remains higher.&#34;</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“目前可以说这只是市场动态的小幅重置。美元/卢比的基本趋势仍然向上。”</p>
</div><p>DOLLAR PLUMBS TO 4-YEAR LOW</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美元跌至 4 年低点</p>
</div><p>The dollar index  slid to a four-year low on Tuesday after Trump brushed aside concerns over its recent weakness, exacerbating selling pressure. Traders took his remarks that the dollar was “great” as a signal to press bearish positions.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在特朗普对美元近期疲软的担忧置之不理后，美元指数在周二跌至四年低点，卖压加剧。交易员将他关于美元 “很棒” 的言论视为加大看空头寸的信号。</p>
</div><p>While Trump's comments were not exactly new, they came at a time when the dollar has been under pressure amid expectations of continued Federal Reserve rate cuts, tariff uncertainty and policy volatility, including threats to Federal Reserve independence.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>尽管特朗普的评论并不算新，但恰逢美元在持续的美联储降息预期、关税不确定性和政策波动（包括对美联储独立性的威胁）下承压。</p>
</div><p>His comments, combined with ongoing speculation around a potential FX intervention in USD/JPY, has prompted the dollar index to extend its sell-off, Morgan Stanley said in a note.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>他的评论，加上对美元/日元潜在外汇干预的持续猜测，促使摩根士丹利在一份报告中表示美元指数延续了其抛售。</p>
</div><p>The dollar index , after falling nearly 2% last week, has already lost another 1.5% this week. The Japanese yen has rallied by a similar magnitude over the same period.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在上周下跌近 2% 后，美元指数本周又下跌了 1.5%。在同一时期，日元也以类似幅度反弹。</p>
</div>

在特朗普的言论震动美元之后，卢比预计将获得更多的喘息空间