<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Fed-1.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Fed-1.png"/></p>
<p>美国美元指数（DXY）继续强劲下跌，达到四年来的最低水平，美元对大多数货币（如澳元和欧元）大幅贬值。</p>
<p>在即将公布的美联储利率决策之前，DXY 指数跌至 95.55 的低点，该决策将在周三晚些时候公布。</p>
<h2>美联储将维持利率不变</h2>
<p>随着交易者等待即将到来的美联储利率决策，美国美元指数继续强劲下跌。</p>
<p>路透社和彭博社调查的经济学家以及 Polymarket 和 Kalshi 的民调显示，银行将在此次会议上将利率维持在 3.5% 至 3.75% 之间。这将是特朗普政府对该银行及杰罗姆·鲍威尔发出大陪审团传票后的第一次货币政策会议。</p>
<p>最新的经济数据支持不降息的理由。例如，上周发布的一份报告显示，美国第三季度 GDP 增长了 4.4%。分析师预计即将发布的第四季度报告将显示经济扩张了 5%。</p>
<p>美国通胀并没有像经济学家预期的那样因唐纳德·特朗普的关税而飙升。上个月通胀率保持在 2.6% 左右，分析师认为，由于持续的油价和抵押贷款利率下跌，通胀的下行趋势将继续。</p>
<p>劳动力市场也开始稳定，失业率在 1 月份降至 4.4%，经济创造了超过 5 万个就业岗位。</p>
<p>因此，美联储政策制定者认为，目前的利率使他们能够很好地平衡就业和通胀的风险。在一份报告中，彭博社分析师表示：</p>
<blockquote>
<p>“市场普遍预计 FOMC 将在 1 月份的会议上维持利率不变，但此次会议仍可能成为一个重要的会议。暂停降息的决定将引发白宫的另一场风暴。”</p>
</blockquote>
<h2>唐纳德·特朗普支持美元贬值</h2>
<p>在会议委员会发布的一份报告显示，该国的会议委员会降至十年来的最低水平后，DXY 指数暴跌。</p>
<p>与此同时，唐纳德·特朗普表示他支持美元贬值。特朗普更倾向于较弱的美元，他认为这将促进美国出口。</p>
<p>特朗普采取了多项措施来削弱美元。他采取了不稳定的政策制定方式，对伊朗和俄罗斯等国实施了大规模关税，并对其他国家实施了广泛的关税，同时对美联储施加了更多压力。</p>
<p>此外，他还实施了赤字支出，他的领导使美国面临下周一再次政府关门的风险。</p>
<h2>美元指数技术分析</h2>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/US-dollar-index-1024x579.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/US-dollar-index-1024x579.png"/></p>
<p><em>DXY 指数图表 | 来源：</em> <em>TradingView</em></p>
<p>三天的时间框架图表显示，DXY 指数在周三继续强劲下跌，达到自 2022 年 2 月以来的最低水平。</p>
<p>它已跌破关键支撑位 96.25，这是去年 6 月和 9 月的最低水平。该指数已跌破 Murrey Math Lines 工具的交易区间底部。</p>
<p>它已跌破 50 日和 100 日指数移动平均线（EMA），而相对强弱指数（RSI）已降至超卖水平。</p>
<p>因此，该指数可能会继续下跌，因为卖家将目标锁定在 93.75 的关键支撑位，这是 Murrey Math Lines 工具的强支撑、枢轴和反转点。</p>
<p>DXY 指数：为什么美元正在自由下跌的文章首次出现在 Invezz 上。</p>

2 倍做空欧元 ETF - ProShares

德银美元指数 做空 - PowerShares

<p>美国美元指数（DXY）已跌至四年多以来的最低水平，达到 95.55，因其对欧元和澳大利亚元等主要货币贬值。这一下降发生在美联储即将做出利率决策之前，市场普遍预期将利率维持在 3.5% 至 3.75% 之间。经济指标显示第三季度 GDP 增长为 4.4%，通胀保持在约 2.6% 的稳定水平。前总统特朗普支持美元贬值以促进出口，而 DXY 的技术分析则暗示进一步下跌可能瞄准 93.75</p>

<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Fed-1.png" alt="" original-src="https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/Fed-1.png"/></p>
<p>The US Dollar Index (DXY) continued its strong downward trend, reaching its lowest level in over four years as the greenback crashed against most currencies, such as the Australian dollar and the euro.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美国美元指数（DXY）继续强劲下跌，达到四年来的最低水平，美元对大多数货币（如澳元和欧元）大幅贬值。</p>
</div><p>The DXY Index tumbled to a low of 95.55 ahead of the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision, which will come out later on Wednesday.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在即将公布的美联储利率决策之前，DXY 指数跌至 95.55 的低点，该决策将在周三晚些时候公布。</p>
</div><h2>Federal Reserve to hold interest rates steady</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>美联储将维持利率不变</h2>
</div><p>The US Dollar Index continued its strong downward trend as traders waited for the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>随着交易者等待即将到来的美联储利率决策，美国美元指数继续强劲下跌。</p>
</div><p>Economists polled by Reuters and Bloomberg and polls on Polymarket and Kalshi shows that the bank will leave interest rates between 3.5% and 3.75% in this meeting. It will be the first monetary policy meeting after the Trump administration filed grand jury subpoenas against the bank and Jerome Powell.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>路透社和彭博社调查的经济学家以及 Polymarket 和 Kalshi 的民调显示，银行将在此次会议上将利率维持在 3.5% 至 3.75% 之间。这将是特朗普政府对该银行及杰罗姆·鲍威尔发出大陪审团传票后的第一次货币政策会议。</p>
</div><p>The most recent economic numbers support the case for not cutting interest rates. For example, a report released last week showed that the US GDP grew by 4.4% in the third quarter. Analysts expect the upcoming fourth-quarter report to show that the economy expanded by 5%.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>最新的经济数据支持不降息的理由。例如，上周发布的一份报告显示，美国第三季度 GDP 增长了 4.4%。分析师预计即将发布的第四季度报告将显示经济扩张了 5%。</p>
</div><p>US inflation has not surged because of Donald Trump’s tariffs as economists were expecting. It remained around the 2.6% level last month, and analysts believe that the downtrend will continue because of the ongoing gas prices and mortgage rates.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美国通胀并没有像经济学家预期的那样因唐纳德·特朗普的关税而飙升。上个月通胀率保持在 2.6% 左右，分析师认为，由于持续的油价和抵押贷款利率下跌，通胀的下行趋势将继续。</p>
</div><p>The labor market has started to stabilize as well, with the unemployment rate falling to 4.4% in January as the economy created over 50k jobs.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>劳动力市场也开始稳定，失业率在 1 月份降至 4.4%，经济创造了超过 5 万个就业岗位。</p>
</div><p>Therefore, Fed policymakers argue that the current rates leave them well-positioned to balance risks to employment and inflation. In a note, a Bloomberg analyst said:</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>因此，美联储政策制定者认为，目前的利率使他们能够很好地平衡就业和通胀的风险。在一份报告中，彭博社分析师表示：</p>
</div><blockquote>
<p>“The FOMC is widely expected to hold rates steady at the January meeting, but the gathering could still go down as a consequential one. A decision to pause rate cuts will provoke another firestorm from a White House.”</p>
</blockquote>
<div class="lb-trans"><blockquote>
<p>“市场普遍预计 FOMC 将在 1 月份的会议上维持利率不变，但此次会议仍可能成为一个重要的会议。暂停降息的决定将引发白宫的另一场风暴。”</p>
</blockquote>
</div><h2>Donald Trump supports a weaker US dollar</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>唐纳德·特朗普支持美元贬值</h2>
</div><p>The DXY Index plunged after a report released by the Conference Board said that the country’s conference board dropped to the lowest level in a decade.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在会议委员会发布的一份报告显示，该国的会议委员会降至十年来的最低水平后，DXY 指数暴跌。</p>
</div><p>Meanwhile, Donald Trump said that he supports a weaker US dollar. Trump prefers a weaker dollar, which he expects will boost US exports.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>与此同时，唐纳德·特朗普表示他支持美元贬值。特朗普更倾向于较弱的美元，他认为这将促进美国出口。</p>
</div><p>Trump has taken several measures to weaken the US dollar. He has embraced an erratic policy-making approach, implemented sweeping tariffs on countries like Iran and Russia, implemented sweeping tariffs across other countries, and put more pressure on the Federal Reserve.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>特朗普采取了多项措施来削弱美元。他采取了不稳定的政策制定方式，对伊朗和俄罗斯等国实施了大规模关税，并对其他国家实施了广泛的关税，同时对美联储施加了更多压力。</p>
</div><p>Additionally, he has implemented deficit spending, and his leadership is putting the US at risk of another government shutdown on Monday next week.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>此外，他还实施了赤字支出，他的领导使美国面临下周一再次政府关门的风险。</p>
</div><h2>US Dollar Index technical analysis</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>美元指数技术分析</h2>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/US-dollar-index-1024x579.png" alt="" original-src="https://invezz.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/01/US-dollar-index-1024x579.png"/></p>
<p><em>DXY Index chart | Source:</em> <em>TradingView</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>DXY 指数图表 | 来源：</em> <em>TradingView</em></p>
</div><p>The three-day timeframe chart shows that the DXY Index continued its strong downward trend on Wednesday, reaching its lowest level since February 2022.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>三天的时间框架图表显示，DXY 指数在周三继续强劲下跌，达到自 2022 年 2 月以来的最低水平。</p>
</div><p>It has moved below the key support level at $96.25, its lowest level in June and September last year. The index has moved below the bottom of the trading range of the Murrey Math Lines tool.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>它已跌破关键支撑位 96.25，这是去年 6 月和 9 月的最低水平。该指数已跌破 Murrey Math Lines 工具的交易区间底部。</p>
</div><p>It has moved below the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved to the oversold level.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>它已跌破 50 日和 100 日指数移动平均线（EMA），而相对强弱指数（RSI）已降至超卖水平。</p>
</div><p>Therefore, the index will likely continue falling as sellers target the key support level at $93.75, the Strong, Pivot, and reverse of the Murrey Math Lines tool.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>因此，该指数可能会继续下跌，因为卖家将目标锁定在 93.75 的关键支撑位，这是 Murrey Math Lines 工具的强支撑、枢轴和反转点。</p>
</div><p>The post DXY Index: Here’s why the US dollar is in a freefall appeared first on Invezz</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>DXY 指数：为什么美元正在自由下跌的文章首次出现在 Invezz 上。</p>
</div>

DXY 指数：为什么美元正在急剧下跌