<p>（更新于纽约早晨时间）</p>
<p>Warsh 被认为可能支持降低利率，缓解担忧</p>
<p>美元在美国生产者价格超出预期后上涨</p>
<p>比特币跌至 11 月 21 日以来的最低点</p>
<p>作者：Karen Brettell</p>
<p>纽约，1 月 30 日（路透社）- 在前美联储理事 Kevin Warsh 被选为下一任美联储主席后，美元在周五上涨，同时美国货币从本周早些时候的急剧抛售中恢复，分析师表示这次抛售在短期内过度。特朗普总统周五选择 Warsh 在杰罗姆·鲍威尔的领导任期于 5 月结束时接任美联储。Warsh 被认为可能支持降低利率，但不会像其他一些潜在提名者那样采取更激进的宽松政策。</p>
<p>Bannockburn Global Forex 的首席市场策略师 Marc Chandler 表示，周五美元的上涨部分是由于在公告前的市场布局。</p>
<p>“美元在短期动能上被严重超卖，” Chandler 说。同时 Warsh 只是 “一个人……即使我们在年底得到一两次降息，也没有共识认为利率会很快降低，就像 12 月的点阵图所暗示的那样。” 美联储在 12 月会议后发布的政策制定者预测显示，今年的中位数预期为降息 25 个基点。美联储在周三维持利率不变，正如广泛预期的那样，鲍威尔主席形容经济稳健，通胀和就业风险减小，这一前景可能意味着在进一步降低借贷成本之前需要较长时间的等待。</p>
<p>美联储基金期货交易者预计今年将降息 52 个基点，首个 25 个基点的降息可能在 6 月。</p>
<p>“我会说（Warsh 的任命）对美元是积极的。他是一位经验丰富的中央银行家，拥有之前的美联储经验，” 丹麦银行的分析师 Kirstine Kundby-Nielsen 说。</p>
<p>“如果我们得到一位更政治化或更鸽派的美联储主席，这将缓解一些紧张情绪。”</p>
<p>美元指数（=USD），衡量美元对包括日元和欧元在内的一篮子货币的表现，最后上涨 0.57%，至 96.73，欧元（EUR=）下跌 0.55%，至 1.1903 美元。在周五的数据公布后，美元也进一步上涨，数据显示美国生产者价格在 12 月超出预期上涨，企业似乎将进口关税带来的更高成本转嫁给消费者。同时，特朗普周四支持美国参议院共和党和民主党达成的支出协议，以避免政府停摆，尽管他承认仍可能发生停摆，而立法者继续谈判以限制移民执法人员的权限。地缘政治问题仍然受到关注。特朗普周四表示，他计划与伊朗进行对话，即使美国向中东派遣了另一艘军舰，五角大楼首席佩特·赫格塞斯表示军方将准备执行总统的任何决定。</p>
<p>日元（JPY=）对美元贬值 0.94%，至每美元 154.57。然而，美元仍有望在本周对日元下跌 0.73%。</p>
<p>在过去一周，日元经历了急剧反弹，因为日本政策制定者暗示可能与美国协调进行货币市场干预，以捍卫已跌至近 18 个月低点的货币。美国财政部在最新的汇率报告中没有呼吁日本银行继续加息，删除了六个月前发布的报告中的相关内容。</p>
<p>在加密货币方面，比特币（BTC=）下跌 1.19%，至 83,401 美元，早些时候达到 81,104 美元，为 11 月 21 日以来的最低点。（额外报道：Alun John；编辑：Chizu Nomiyama）</p>

<p>在凯文·沃什被任命为下一任美联储主席后，美元走强，预计将支持降低利率。美元指数上涨 0.57%，至 96.73，而欧元下跌 0.55%。美国生产者价格的增长超出预期，进一步推动了美元的上涨。尽管沃什的任命，分析师表示对于立即降息并没有达成共识。比特币跌至自 11 月 21 日以来的最低点，达到 81,104 美元。地缘政治紧张局势依然存在，特朗普在该地区的军事准备中讨论了伊朗问题</p>

<p>(Updated in New York morning time)</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>（更新于纽约早晨时间）</p>
</div><p>Warsh seen as likely to support lower rates, easing concerns</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Warsh 被认为可能支持降低利率，缓解担忧</p>
</div><p>Dollar gains after U.S. producer prices rise more than expected</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美元在美国生产者价格超出预期后上涨</p>
</div><p>Bitcoin lowest since November 21</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>比特币跌至 11 月 21 日以来的最低点</p>
</div><p>By Karen Brettell</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>作者：Karen Brettell</p>
</div><p>NEW YORK, Jan 30 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar gained on Friday after former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh was selected to be the next Fed Chair, and as the U.S. currency recovered from a sharp selloff earlier in the week that analysts say was overdone in the short-term. President Donald Trump on Friday chose Warsh to head the U.S. central bank when Jerome Powell’s leadership term ends in May. Warsh is seen as likely to support lower interest rates but would stop well short of the more aggressive easing associated with some of the other potential nominees.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>纽约，1 月 30 日（路透社）- 在前美联储理事 Kevin Warsh 被选为下一任美联储主席后，美元在周五上涨，同时美国货币从本周早些时候的急剧抛售中恢复，分析师表示这次抛售在短期内过度。特朗普总统周五选择 Warsh 在杰罗姆·鲍威尔的领导任期于 5 月结束时接任美联储。Warsh 被认为可能支持降低利率，但不会像其他一些潜在提名者那样采取更激进的宽松政策。</p>
</div><p>Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex, said that Friday’s move higher in the dollar is likely driven at least in part by positioning heading into the announcement.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Bannockburn Global Forex 的首席市场策略师 Marc Chandler 表示，周五美元的上涨部分是由于在公告前的市场布局。</p>
</div><p>“The dollar was terribly oversold on the short-term momentum,” Chandler said. Meanwhile Warsh is “only one person…there’s no consensus to have lower rates anytime soon, even if we get a late cut or two at the end of the year, like the December dot plot suggested.” Policymaker projections issued after the U.S. central bank’s December meeting showed a median expectation for a single quarter-percentage-point cut this year. The Fed on Wednesday held interest rates steady, as was widely expected, amid what Chair Jerome Powell described as a solid economy and diminished risks to both inflation and employment, an outlook that could signal a lengthy wait before any further reductions in borrowing costs.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“美元在短期动能上被严重超卖，” Chandler 说。同时 Warsh 只是 “一个人……即使我们在年底得到一两次降息，也没有共识认为利率会很快降低，就像 12 月的点阵图所暗示的那样。” 美联储在 12 月会议后发布的政策制定者预测显示，今年的中位数预期为降息 25 个基点。美联储在周三维持利率不变，正如广泛预期的那样，鲍威尔主席形容经济稳健，通胀和就业风险减小，这一前景可能意味着在进一步降低借贷成本之前需要较长时间的等待。</p>
</div><p>Fed funds futures traders are pricing in 52 basis points of rate cuts this year, with the first 25 basis point reduction likely in June.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美联储基金期货交易者预计今年将降息 52 个基点，首个 25 个基点的降息可能在 6 月。</p>
</div><p>“I would say it (Warsh’s appointment) is dollar positive. He’s an experienced central banker with previous Fed experience,” said Kirstine Kundby-Nielsen, an analyst at Danske Bank.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“我会说（Warsh 的任命）对美元是积极的。他是一位经验丰富的中央银行家，拥有之前的美联储经验，” 丹麦银行的分析师 Kirstine Kundby-Nielsen 说。</p>
</div><p>“It alleviates some of the nervousness should we have got a Fed chair who was more politicised or who was a lot more dovish.”</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>“如果我们得到一位更政治化或更鸽派的美联储主席，这将缓解一些紧张情绪。”</p>
</div><p>The dollar index (=USD) , which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, was last up 0.57% at 96.73, with the euro (EUR=) down 0.55% at $1.1903. The dollar also added to gains after data on Friday showed that U.S. producer prices increased more than expected in December, with businesses appearing to pass on higher costs from import tariffs. Meanwhile Trump on Thursday endorsed a spending deal negotiated by U.S. Senate Republicans and Democrats to avoid a government shutdown, although he acknowledged one could still occur, while lawmakers continued negotiating guardrails to rein in immigration agents. Geopolitical concerns remain in focus. Trump said on Thursday he planned to speak with Iran, even as the U.S. dispatched another warship to the Middle East and Pentagon chief Pete Hegseth said the military would be ready to carry out whatever the president decided.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美元指数（=USD），衡量美元对包括日元和欧元在内的一篮子货币的表现，最后上涨 0.57%，至 96.73，欧元（EUR=）下跌 0.55%，至 1.1903 美元。在周五的数据公布后，美元也进一步上涨，数据显示美国生产者价格在 12 月超出预期上涨，企业似乎将进口关税带来的更高成本转嫁给消费者。同时，特朗普周四支持美国参议院共和党和民主党达成的支出协议，以避免政府停摆，尽管他承认仍可能发生停摆，而立法者继续谈判以限制移民执法人员的权限。地缘政治问题仍然受到关注。特朗普周四表示，他计划与伊朗进行对话，即使美国向中东派遣了另一艘军舰，五角大楼首席佩特·赫格塞斯表示军方将准备执行总统的任何决定。</p>
</div><p>The Japanese yen (JPY=) weakened 0.94% against the greenback to 154.57 per dollar. The greenback remains on track for a 0.73% weekly loss against the Japanese currency, however.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日元（JPY=）对美元贬值 0.94%，至每美元 154.57。然而，美元仍有望在本周对日元下跌 0.73%。</p>
</div><p>The yen has undergone a sharp rally in the past week as Japanese policymakers hint at possible coordinated currency market intervention with the United States to defend the currency that had tumbled to near 18-month lows. The U.S. Treasury Department refrained from calling on the Bank of Japan to continue raising interest rates in its latest exchange-rate report to Congress, removing reference to do so in a previous report released six months ago.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在过去一周，日元经历了急剧反弹，因为日本政策制定者暗示可能与美国协调进行货币市场干预，以捍卫已跌至近 18 个月低点的货币。美国财政部在最新的汇率报告中没有呼吁日本银行继续加息，删除了六个月前发布的报告中的相关内容。</p>
</div><p>In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin (BTC=) fell 1.19% to $83,401 and earlier reached $81,104, the lowest since November 21. (Additional reporitng by Alun John; Editing by Chizu Nomiyama )</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在加密货币方面，比特币（BTC=）下跌 1.19%，至 83,401 美元，早些时候达到 81,104 美元，为 11 月 21 日以来的最低点。（额外报道：Alun John；编辑：Chizu Nomiyama）</p>
</div>

FOREX-US dollar gains as Warsh named next Fed Chair

- 美元因前美联储官员 Warsh 被提名为新联储主席而走强。  
- 受美国生产者价格上涨影响，美元指数上升 0.57%。  
- 比特币下跌 1.19%，为去年 11 月 21 日以来最低。

Reuters

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外汇市场——由于 Warsh 被任命为下一任美联储主席，美元走强