<p>门罗币 [XMR] 在一月份经历了一次抛物线式的上涨，就在它创下 798 美元的新历史高点时，比特币 [BTC] 的上涨动能耗尽。随后的比特币抛售导致门罗币在短短 22 天内大幅回调 63.7%。</p>
<p>社交媒体上对这款隐私币的关注非常显著，但 AMBCrypto 指出这表明了 “明显的群众 FOMO”，并强调了现货交易量泡沫图所显示的过热警报。</p>
<p>这些警告在几天后伴随着急剧的回调。未能捍卫长期趋势线支撑意味着门罗币可能会下探至 266 美元。2 月 6 日星期五，门罗币最低跌至 276 美元。</p>
<h2><strong>门罗币空头重新夺回关键回撤水平</strong></h2>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Monero-1-day-Chart-1.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Monero-1-day-Chart-1.png"/></p>
<p>来源：TradingView 上的 XMR/USDT</p>
<p>A/D 指标在过去三周内创下多个月来的新低，突显了卖压的深度。急剧的回调和高交易量解释了 A/D 指标的走势，并显示恢复在短期内极不可能。</p>
<p>20 日和 50 日移动平均线在经历了 4 个月的上涨趋势后形成了看跌交叉。DMI 也发出了强烈的下行趋势信号。</p>
<p>仅从最近的回调来看，这些情况非常明显。多头最后的希望在于 352 美元，这是从 230 美元到 799 美元的上涨中的 78.6% 斐波那契回撤水平。</p>
<p>几周前曾作为支撑的水平现在已转变为坚固的供应区。卖压如此强烈，以至于 352 美元的重新测试未能产生任何有意义的反应。</p>
<h2><strong>交易者应该期待什么？</strong></h2>
<p>交易者和投资者应准备好下行趋势将继续。</p>
<p>门罗币可能会在某些价格水平上停滞，并在比特币 [BTC] 和主要山寨币在其长期下行趋势中出现价格反弹时形成区间。</p>
<h2><strong>XMR 面临看跌重新测试区</strong></h2>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Monero-Liquidation-Heatmap-1.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Monero-Liquidation-Heatmap-1.png"/></p>
<p>来源：CoinGlass</p>
<p>这轮上涨显然已经结束。比特币的反弹可能会推动门罗币上涨。清算热图显示，390-420 美元和 500 美元的水平是下一个值得关注的磁性区域。重新测试这些区域可能会导致另一次看跌走势。</p>
<hr/>
<h2>最后思考</h2>
<ul>
<li><em>门罗币经历了抛物线式的上涨和随后的顶峰，并在短短三周内回调了 63%.</em></li>
<li><em>摆动交易者和投资者在此处买入需要特别的勇气，但他们的投资组合可能不会因此而感激他们。抓住刀锋可能令人兴奋，但也可能是无谓的风险。</em></li>
</ul>
<p><strong>免责声明：所提供的信息不构成财务、投资、交易或其他类型的建议，仅代表作者的观点。</strong></p>

RIOT

COIN

<p>Monero (XMR) 在经历了一波高达 $798 的抛物线式反弹后，出现了 63.7% 的显著回调。此次下跌是由于比特币的抛售引发的，导致关键支撑位失守，形成了看跌趋势。A/D 指标显示出强烈的卖压，表明恢复的可能性不大。交易者应为持续的下行趋势做好准备，潜在的回测区域在 $390-$420 和 $500。市场情绪表明应保持谨慎，因为现在买入对波段交易者和投资者来说可能存在风险</p>

<p>Monero [XMR] had a parabolic rally in January, and just as it set a new all-time high at $798, Bitcoin [BTC] ran out of bullish momentum. The subsequent BTC sell-off led to a steep XMR correction of 63.7% in just 22 days.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>门罗币 [XMR] 在一月份经历了一次抛物线式的上涨，就在它创下 798 美元的新历史高点时，比特币 [BTC] 的上涨动能耗尽。随后的比特币抛售导致门罗币在短短 22 天内大幅回调 63.7%。</p>
</div><p>The social media engagement on the privacy coin was remarkable, but AMBCrypto pointed out that this was a sign of “obvious crowd FOMO” and highlighted overheating alarms that the spot volume bubble map showed.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>社交媒体上对这款隐私币的关注非常显著，但 AMBCrypto 指出这表明了 “明显的群众 FOMO”，并强调了现货交易量泡沫图所显示的过热警报。</p>
</div><p>These warnings were followed by a steep correction just days later. The failure to defend the long-term trendline support meant that XMR was likely headed to $266 next. On Friday, the 6th of February, XMR reached a low of $276.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这些警告在几天后伴随着急剧的回调。未能捍卫长期趋势线支撑意味着门罗币可能会下探至 266 美元。2 月 6 日星期五，门罗币最低跌至 276 美元。</p>
</div><h2><strong>Monero bears reclaim key retracement levels</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>门罗币空头重新夺回关键回撤水平</strong></h2>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Monero-1-day-Chart-1.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Monero-1-day-Chart-1.png"/></p>
<p>Source: XMR/USDT on TradingView</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>来源：TradingView 上的 XMR/USDT</p>
</div><p>The A/D indicator made new multi-month lows to underline the depth of the selling pressure in the past three weeks. The steep correction and high volume explained the A/D indicator’s movement and showed that recovery was highly unlikely anytime soon.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>A/D 指标在过去三周内创下多个月来的新低，突显了卖压的深度。急剧的回调和高交易量解释了 A/D 指标的走势，并显示恢复在短期内极不可能。</p>
</div><p>The 20 and 50-day moving averages formed a bearish crossover after 4 months of a bullish trend. The DMI also signaled a strong downtrend in progress.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>20 日和 50 日移动平均线在经历了 4 个月的上涨趋势后形成了看跌交叉。DMI 也发出了强烈的下行趋势信号。</p>
</div><p>These were pretty obvious just looking at the recent drawdown. The bulls’ last spark of hope lay at $352, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level from the rally between $230 and $799.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>仅从最近的回调来看，这些情况非常明显。多头最后的希望在于 352 美元，这是从 230 美元到 799 美元的上涨中的 78.6% 斐波那契回撤水平。</p>
</div><p>Levels that once acted as support a few weeks ago have now flipped into firm supply zones. Selling pressure proved so strong that the $352 retest failed to produce any meaningful reaction.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>几周前曾作为支撑的水平现在已转变为坚固的供应区。卖压如此强烈，以至于 352 美元的重新测试未能产生任何有意义的反应。</p>
</div><h2><strong>What should traders expect?</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>交易者应该期待什么？</strong></h2>
</div><p>Traders and investors should be prepared for the downtrend to continue.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>交易者和投资者应准备好下行趋势将继续。</p>
</div><p>It is possible that Monero would halt at certain price levels and form a range at moments when Bitcoin [BTC] and major altcoins see a price bounce in their longer-term downtrends.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>门罗币可能会在某些价格水平上停滞，并在比特币 [BTC] 和主要山寨币在其长期下行趋势中出现价格反弹时形成区间。</p>
</div><h2><strong>XMR faces bearish retest zones</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>XMR 面临看跌重新测试区</strong></h2>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Monero-Liquidation-Heatmap-1.png" alt="" original-src="https://ambcrypto.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/Monero-Liquidation-Heatmap-1.png"/></p>
<p>Source: CoinGlass</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>来源：CoinGlass</p>
</div><p>The run is clearly over. A Bitcoin bounce could take XMR higher. The liquidation heatmap showed that the $390-$420 and $500 levels were the next magnetic zones to watch. A retest of these areas could yield another bearish move.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这轮上涨显然已经结束。比特币的反弹可能会推动门罗币上涨。清算热图显示，390-420 美元和 500 美元的水平是下一个值得关注的磁性区域。重新测试这些区域可能会导致另一次看跌走势。</p>
</div><hr/>
<div class="lb-trans"><hr/>
</div><h2>Final Thoughts</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>最后思考</h2>
</div><ul>
<li><em>Monero has had its parabolic rally and subsequent blow-off top, and has retraced 63% in just over three weeks.</em></li>
<li><em>Swing traders and investors would have to be a special kind of brave to buy here, but their portfolios might not thank them for it. Catching knives can be exciting, but also needlessly risky.</em></li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li><em>门罗币经历了抛物线式的上涨和随后的顶峰，并在短短三周内回调了 63%.</em></li>
<li><em>摆动交易者和投资者在此处买入需要特别的勇气，但他们的投资组合可能不会因此而感激他们。抓住刀锋可能令人兴奋，但也可能是无谓的风险。</em></li>
</ul>
</div><p><strong>Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>免责声明：所提供的信息不构成财务、投资、交易或其他类型的建议，仅代表作者的观点。</strong></p>
</div>

Monero falls from FOMO to 63% freefall – What’s next for XMR?

- Monero [XMR] 在 1 月份经历了 63.7% 的快速回调。  
- 当前 $XMR 正面临 Bearish 回撤区域，未来走势可能继续下行。  
- 投资者应谨慎，因市场风险仍然较高。

门罗币从 FOMO 情绪中下跌 63%——XMR 接下来会如何发展？