<p>CryptoQuant 创始人 <strong>Ki Young Ju</strong> 表示，未来量子计算的突破可能迫使 <strong>比特币</strong> (CRYPTO: BTC) 面临艰难选择：要么积极升级，要么冒着大量 BTC 被盗的风险。</p>
<h2><strong>量子攻击还是币种冻结？</strong></h2>
<p>Ki Young Ju 认为，如果量子威胁变为现实，冻结包括大约 100 万 BTC（归属于中本聪）的脆弱币种，可能是最安全的选择。</p>
<p>比特币当前的安全性依赖于经典密码学（ECDSA），在今天的计算能力下实际上是不可破解的。</p>
<p>然而，足够先进的量子计算机理论上可以从暴露的公钥中推导出私钥。</p>
<p>一旦公钥在链上被揭示（例如在交易后），这种脆弱性在量子计算系统下将永久存在。</p>
<p>估计大约有 689 万 BTC 可能受到量子攻击的威胁，其中约 340 万个币种已经沉睡超过十年。</p>
<h2><strong>更大的风险：经济激励</strong></h2>
<p>如果量子攻击变得便宜且可行，比特币长期以来的假设，即攻击在经济上不可行，将会崩溃。</p>
<p>价值数千亿美元的沉睡币种将成为不可抗拒的目标。这可能迫使网络采用抗量子密码学。</p>
<p>然而，这样的升级可能需要通过设计冻结旧的地址格式，这意味着未能迁移到新的量子安全地址的币种可能会变得永久无法使用。</p>
<h2><strong>真正的挑战：社会共识</strong></h2>
<p>更大的障碍可能不是技术上的，而是社会上的。</p>
<p>比特币的历史，包括区块大小战争和失败的 SegWit2x 提案，证明了在重大协议变更上实现网络范围内的共识是多么困难。</p>
<p>冻结沉睡币种，特别是那些被认为属于中本聪的币种，将挑战比特币不可变性和财产权的核心原则。这种举动可能引发激烈的分歧，甚至导致链分裂。</p>
<p><em>图片来源：Shutterstock</em></p>

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BITF

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<p>CryptoQuant 创始人 Ki Young Ju 警告称，量子计算的进步可能会威胁到比特币的安全，可能导致大量 BTC 被盗。他建议冻结易受攻击的币，包括那些归属于中本聪的币，以作为预防措施。大约 689 万 BTC 可能面临风险，如果量子攻击变得可行，比特币可能需要采用量子抗性加密技术。然而，就此类变更达成共识可能会面临挑战，可能导致社区内部的分裂</p>

<p>CryptoQuant founder <strong>Ki Young Ju</strong> says a future quantum computing breakthrough could force <strong>Bitcoin</strong> (CRYPTO: BTC) into a difficult choice: upgrade aggressively — or risk large amounts of BTC being stolen.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>CryptoQuant 创始人 <strong>Ki Young Ju</strong> 表示，未来量子计算的突破可能迫使 <strong>比特币</strong> (CRYPTO: BTC) 面临艰难选择：要么积极升级，要么冒着大量 BTC 被盗的风险。</p>
</div><h2><strong>Quantum Attack Or Coin Freezing?</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>量子攻击还是币种冻结？</strong></h2>
</div><p>Ki Young Ju argues that freezing vulnerable coins, including roughly 1 million BTC attributed to Satoshi Nakamoto, may ultimately be the safest path if quantum threats become real.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Ki Young Ju 认为，如果量子威胁变为现实，冻结包括大约 100 万 BTC（归属于中本聪）的脆弱币种，可能是最安全的选择。</p>
</div><p>Bitcoin's current security relies on classical cryptography (ECDSA), which is effectively unbreakable with today's computing power.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>比特币当前的安全性依赖于经典密码学（ECDSA），在今天的计算能力下实际上是不可破解的。</p>
</div><p>However, sufficiently advanced quantum computers could theoretically derive private keys from exposed public keys.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，足够先进的量子计算机理论上可以从暴露的公钥中推导出私钥。</p>
</div><p>Once a public key has been revealed on-chain (such as after a transaction is made), that vulnerability would remain permanent under quantum-capable systems.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>一旦公钥在链上被揭示（例如在交易后），这种脆弱性在量子计算系统下将永久存在。</p>
</div><p>Estimates suggest approximately 6.89 million BTC could be quantum-vulnerable, including around 3.4 million coins dormant for over a decade.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>估计大约有 689 万 BTC 可能受到量子攻击的威胁，其中约 340 万个币种已经沉睡超过十年。</p>
</div><h2><strong>The Bigger Risk: Economic Incentives</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>更大的风险：经济激励</strong></h2>
</div><p>If quantum attacks ever become cheap and practical, Bitcoin's long-standing assumption, that attacks are economically unviable, would collapse.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>如果量子攻击变得便宜且可行，比特币长期以来的假设，即攻击在经济上不可行，将会崩溃。</p>
</div><p>Dormant coins worth hundreds of billions of dollars would become irresistible targets. This could force the network to adopt quantum-resistant cryptography.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>价值数千亿美元的沉睡币种将成为不可抗拒的目标。这可能迫使网络采用抗量子密码学。</p>
</div><p>However, such an upgrade might require freezing legacy address formats by design, meaning coins that fail to migrate to new quantum-secure addresses could become permanently un-spendable.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>然而，这样的升级可能需要通过设计冻结旧的地址格式，这意味着未能迁移到新的量子安全地址的币种可能会变得永久无法使用。</p>
</div><h2><strong>The Real Challenge: Social Consensus</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>真正的挑战：社会共识</strong></h2>
</div><p>The greater hurdle may not be technical, but social.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>更大的障碍可能不是技术上的，而是社会上的。</p>
</div><p>Bitcoin's history, including the block size wars and the failed SegWit2x proposal, demonstrates how difficult it is to achieve network-wide consensus on major protocol changes.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>比特币的历史，包括区块大小战争和失败的 SegWit2x 提案，证明了在重大协议变更上实现网络范围内的共识是多么困难。</p>
</div><p>Freezing dormant coins, particularly those believed to belong to Satoshi, would challenge Bitcoin's core principles of immutability and property rights. Such a move could spark intense division or even lead to a chain split.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>冻结沉睡币种，特别是那些被认为属于中本聪的币种，将挑战比特币不可变性和财产权的核心原则。这种举动可能引发激烈的分歧，甚至导致链分裂。</p>
</div><p><em>Image: Shutterstock</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>图片来源：Shutterstock</em></p>
</div>

Is Freezing Satoshi's Coins The Answer To Quantum Threats? It's Complicated, Expert Says

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冻结中本聪的比特币是否是应对量子威胁的解决方案？专家表示，这个问题很复杂