<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/02/south-africa.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/02/south-africa.png"/></p>
<p>美元/南非兰特汇率本周继续上涨，因为美元贬值交易势头增强。它连续四天下跌，交易价格为 15.95，比去年最高点下跌了 20%。本文提供了南非兰特的预测。</p>
<h2>在美元贬值交易中南非兰特上涨</h2>
<p>南非兰特常被视为新兴市场货币的风向标，表现强劲。这一增长与其他主要新兴市场货币的表现相呼应，如人民币、韩元和新台币，这些货币均大幅上涨。</p>
<p>由于美元在过去几个月保持疲软，这些货币纷纷上涨。数据显示，美国美元指数（DXY）从去年的高点 110 降至当前的 98。</p>
<p>在特朗普执政期间，由于其孤立主义政策，包括实施全球关税，美元下跌。现在美国考虑对伊朗采取行动，而伊朗的人口超过 9000 万。</p>
<p>因此，许多公司和投资者开始评估他们的美元头寸及其对美国的敞口。一个很好的例子是中国，几年前其美国国债持有量超过 1.2 万亿美元，现在已降至 7000 亿美元以下。随后，中国购买了价值数十亿美元的黄金。</p>
<h2>南非经济增长</h2>
<p>美元/南非兰特汇率也因南非经济在非洲国民大会（ANC）与民主联盟（DA）政党的政治联盟后持续增长而下跌。</p>
<p>这一联盟提升了国家的商业信心，并在经济的关键领域取得了重大改善，包括埃斯科姆（Eskom），该公司基本上结束了国家的定期停电。</p>
<p>南非兰特的上涨还得益于近期黄金价格的飙升，过去几个月表现良好，价格已超过 5000 美元，预计这一趋势在未来几个月可能会继续，因为地缘政治风险上升。</p>
<p>南非的出口大幅增长，而通货膨胀在过去几个月持续下降。</p>
<h2>美元/南非兰特技术分析</h2>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/02/USDZAR.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/02/USDZAR.png"/></p>
<p><em>美元/南非兰特价格图表 | 来源：</em> <em>TradingView</em></p>
<p>周线图显示，美元/南非兰特汇率在 2023 年 5 月和 4 月 7 日形成了双顶形态，最高点为 19.88。现在已跌破重要支撑位 17.05，这是 2024 年 9 月的最低水平。</p>
<p>该货币对现在已跌至 61.8% 的斐波那契回撤位。此外，该货币对即将形成死亡交叉形态，这一形态在去年 8 月出现，当时 50 周和 200 周的指数移动平均线（EMA）交叉。</p>
<p>该货币对正在形成一个看跌旗形模式，由一条垂直线和一个整合信号组成。它仍然位于一目均衡云和超级趋势指标下方，可能会跌至下一个关键支撑位 15，距离当前水平近 6%。</p>
<p>美元/南非兰特预测：南非兰特在美元贬值中上涨，首发于 Invezz</p>

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<p>本周美元/南非兰特汇率上涨，降至 15.95，较去年高峰下跌 20%，这与美元贬值趋势有关。南非兰特表现强劲，反映出其他新兴市场货币的上涨，因美元走弱。导致这一现象的因素包括南非经济增长、商业信心改善以及黄金价格上涨。技术分析显示美元/南非兰特呈现看跌趋势，潜在支撑位在 15。文章提供了在这些发展背景下兰特表现的预测</p>

<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/02/south-africa.png" alt="" original-src="https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/02/south-africa.png"/></p>
<p>The USD/ZAR exchange rate continued its rally this week as the dollar debasement trade gained momentum. It dropped for four consecutive days to trade at 15.95, down by 20% from its highest point last year. This article provides a forecast for the South African rand.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美元/南非兰特汇率本周继续上涨，因为美元贬值交易势头增强。它连续四天下跌，交易价格为 15.95，比去年最高点下跌了 20%。本文提供了南非兰特的预测。</p>
</div><h2>South African rand rallies amid the dollar debasement trade</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>在美元贬值交易中南非兰特上涨</h2>
</div><p>The South African rand, often seen as a bellwether for the emerging market currencies, is firing on all cylinders. This growth has mirrored the performance of other top emerging market currencies, like the Chinese yuan, South Korean won, and Taiwan dollar, which have all soared.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>南非兰特常被视为新兴市场货币的风向标，表现强劲。这一增长与其他主要新兴市场货币的表现相呼应，如人民币、韩元和新台币，这些货币均大幅上涨。</p>
</div><p>These currencies have soared as the US dollar has remained weak for months. Data shows that the US Dollar Index (DXY) has dropped from last year’s high of 110 to the current $98.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>由于美元在过去几个月保持疲软，这些货币纷纷上涨。数据显示，美国美元指数（DXY）从去年的高点 110 降至当前的 98。</p>
</div><p>The US dollar has dropped during the Donald Trump era because of his isolationist policies, including by implementing global tariffs. It is now considering attacking Iran, a country with over 90 million people.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在特朗普执政期间，由于其孤立主义政策，包括实施全球关税，美元下跌。现在美国考虑对伊朗采取行动，而伊朗的人口超过 9000 万。</p>
</div><p>As a result, many companies and investors have started to evaluate their dollar positioning and their exposure to the US. A good example of this is China, which has reduced its US government Treasuries holdings from over $1.2 trillion a few years ago to below $700 billion. It has then bought gold worth billions of dollars.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>因此，许多公司和投资者开始评估他们的美元头寸及其对美国的敞口。一个很好的例子是中国，几年前其美国国债持有量超过 1.2 万亿美元，现在已降至 7000 亿美元以下。随后，中国购买了价值数十亿美元的黄金。</p>
</div><h2>South Africa's economic growth</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>南非经济增长</h2>
</div><p>The USD/ZAR pair has also slumped because of the ongoing economic growth of the South African economy after the political union between the African National Congress (ANC) and the Democratic Alliance (DA) parties.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美元/南非兰特汇率也因南非经济在非洲国民大会（ANC）与民主联盟（DA）政党的政治联盟后持续增长而下跌。</p>
</div><p>This alliance has led to a boost in business confidence in the country. It has also led to major improvements in key areas of the economy, including Eskom, which has largely ended the regular power outages in the country.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>这一联盟提升了国家的商业信心，并在经济的关键领域取得了重大改善，包括埃斯科姆（Eskom），该公司基本上结束了国家的定期停电。</p>
</div><p>The South African rand also jumped because of the ongoing gold pricesurge, which has done well in the past few months. It rose to over $5,000, a trend that may continue in the coming months as geopolitical risks jumped.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>南非兰特的上涨还得益于近期黄金价格的飙升，过去几个月表现良好，价格已超过 5000 美元，预计这一趋势在未来几个月可能会继续，因为地缘政治风险上升。</p>
</div><p>South Africa’s exports have jumped, while inflation has continued moving downwards in the past few months.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>南非的出口大幅增长，而通货膨胀在过去几个月持续下降。</p>
</div><h2>USD/ZAR technical analysis</h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2>美元/南非兰特技术分析</h2>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/02/USDZAR.png" alt="" original-src="https://invezz-wp-media.lon1.digitaloceanspaces.com/2026/02/USDZAR.png"/></p>
<p><em>USDZAR price chart | Source:</em> <em>TradingView</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>美元/南非兰特价格图表 | 来源：</em> <em>TradingView</em></p>
</div><p>The weekly timeframe chart shows that the USD/ZAR exchange rate formed a double-top pattern at 19.88, its highest level in May 2023 and April 7. It has now moved below the important support level at 17.05, its lowest level in September 2024.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>周线图显示，美元/南非兰特汇率在 2023 年 5 月和 4 月 7 日形成了双顶形态，最高点为 19.88。现在已跌破重要支撑位 17.05，这是 2024 年 9 月的最低水平。</p>
</div><p>The pair has now dropped to the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement level. Also, the pair is about to form a death cross pattern, which happened in August last year when the 50-week and 200-week Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) crossed each other.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>该货币对现在已跌至 61.8% 的斐波那契回撤位。此外，该货币对即将形成死亡交叉形态，这一形态在去年 8 月出现，当时 50 周和 200 周的指数移动平均线（EMA）交叉。</p>
</div><p>The pair is forming a bearish flag pattern, which is made up of a vertical line and a consolidation sign. It also remains below the Ichimoku cloud and the Supertrend indicators, potentially to the next key support level at 15, which is nearly 6% below the current level.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>该货币对正在形成一个看跌旗形模式，由一条垂直线和一个整合信号组成。它仍然位于一目均衡云和超级趋势指标下方，可能会跌至下一个关键支撑位 15，距离当前水平近 6%。</p>
</div><p>The post USD/ZAR forecast: South African rand rallies amid dollar debasement appeared first on Invezz</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美元/南非兰特预测：南非兰特在美元贬值中上涨，首发于 Invezz</p>
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美元/南非兰特预测：南非兰特因美元贬值而反弹